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Thread: Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/5

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, May 5

    Good Luck on day #125 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Updated Super Bowl odds:

    6-1: New England Patriots

    8-1: Pittsburgh Steelers, Philadelphia Eagles

    10-1: Los Angeles Rams

    12-1: Minnesota Vikings

    14-1: Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Chargers

    18-1: New Orleans Saints, Jacksonville Jaguars

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) Angels 5, Mariners 0— Albert Pujols becomes the 32nd player to get 3,000 hits; Pujols is only the fourth player in history with 3,000 hits and 600 home runs.

    12) Dodgers 4, Padres 0— Rookie Walker Buehler and three LA relievers combined to no-hit the Padres in a game played in Monterrey, Mexico. It was only Buehler’s third career start.

    11) Pelicans 119, Warriors 100— Rajon Rondo had 21 assists, 10 rebounds in one of the greatest games ever by someone who scored only four points in that game. Golden State still leads this series 2-1; home side won all three games.

    10) If David Ortiz gets in the Hall of Fame when his time comes, then Edgar Martinez damn sure better get in the HOF with him. There are no DH’s in the Hall of Fame, but playing in a media capital shouldn’t give you an advantage over a player who played on the west coast. Edgar Martinez was also a great hitter, and he didn’t have any PED-related issues.

    9) Indians split a doubleheader with Toronto Thursday, scoring 11/13 runs; they’re first team since the ’93 Cardinals to split a twinbill despite scoring 11+ runs in both games.

    8) Rockets 113, Jazz 92— Houston led 70-40 at halftime. Not good for TV ratings.

    7) Mock me if you like, but I’ve never seen Star Wars or The Godfather.

    However, I’ve seen Moneyball a countless number of times, as well as Blue Chips, The Bodyguard and Rounders more times than you think would be normal.

    6) The mother of Clippers’ guard Patrick Beverley was a contestant on The Price Is Right this week; she won two cars and a trip to Madagascar (I had to look it up on MapQuest to find out where the hell it is), a total winnings of $41,000.

    5) Mets are going to DFA Matt Harvey Saturday, meaning that New York has 10 days to trade him, and if they can’t, he gets released. Harvey is 29 and has a 7.00 ERA in 27 innings so far this season.

    4) A’s 6, Orioles 4— Baltimore had Mancini, Chris Davis, Trumbo, Alvarez, Valencia in their lineup Friday; basically, five DH’s. They made three errors in this game and fell to 8-24.

    3) Astros 8, Diamondbacks 1— Gerrit Cole threw a one-hitter, struck out 16 D’Backs.

    2) Peter Malnati leads the Wells Fargo golf tournament after two rounds; he has one Tour win, the 2016 Sanderson Farms tournament, which accounts for much of his $2,611,198 in career earnings. On the Interweb, all that matters it that Eldrick Woods made the cut by two shots.

    1) Starting pitchers who induce the highest %age of swings/misses:
    NL: Corbin 38.7%, Scherzer 35.1%, Ray 34.9%, deGrom 33.2%
    AL: Ohtani 36.6%, Clevinger 35.3%, Cole 34.6%, Paxton 33.4%

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    Saturday's NBA Playoffs betting preview and odds

    Round 2 of the NBA Playoffs continues Saturday, as a pair of Eastern Conference teams look to take a 3-0 stranglehold in their respective series. The 76ers are hoping home court is just what they need to bounce back, while the Raps head to Cleveland down 0-2 hoping to avoid another playoff disappointment.

    Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers (-9, 206)

    Celtics lead series 2-0

    The Boston Celtics look to open up a commanding 3-0 series lead when they visit the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday in the Eastern Conference semifinals. Philadelphia was in good position to even the series when it led Game 2 by 22 points but Boston rallied to post an impressive 108-103 victory.

    TV: 5 p.m. ET, ESPN

    SERIES PRICE (PER WILLIAM HILL US):



    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: Despite dropping the first two games, the 76ers have opened Game 3 on their home court as healthy 9-point favorites. And while the public is hammering the Celtics at that number (75 percent of wagers according to our consensus), there seems to be enough balanced action to keep the line at the opening number. The total has seen more action. Since opening at 208 it has been bet down to 206 even though Games 1 and 2 easily went Over similar totals. This movement seems to be sharp action with 73 percent of pubilc wagers on the Over.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Celtics - PG Kyrie Irving (Out, knee), SF Gordon Hayward (Out, ankle), PF Daniel Theis (Out, knee).

    76ers - SG Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (Out, knee).

    ABOUT THE CELTICS (61-30, 57-32-2 ATS, 50-40-1 O/U): The Celtics appear to be in good shape as they are 36-0 all-time when holding a 2-0 lead in a seven-game series. Small forward Jayson Tatum is averaging 24.5 points over the first two games of the series, while Shooting guard Jaylen Brown scored 13 points in 25 minutes off the bench after missing the series opener with a hamstring injury.

    ABOUT THE 76ERS (56-33, 51-36-2 ATS, 45-43-1 O/U): Philadelphia is 0-11 all-time when dropping the first two contests of a seven-game playoff series. Rookie point guard Ben Simmons experienced a disastrous time in Game 2 as he had just one point while committing five turnovers. Star center Joel Embiid had 20 points and 14 rebounds for his fourth consecutive double-double but was just 8-of-22 shooting.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Celtics are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
    * 76ers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games.
    * Over is 13-3 in Celtics last 16 overall.
    * Over is 4-0 in 76ers last fiyr games following a ATS loss.
    * Underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.




    Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.5, 216)

    Cavaliers lead series 2-0

    LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers once again have the Toronto Raptors on the ropes and they will try to deliver another damaging blow in the one-sided rivalry when the teams meet for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series on Saturday. The Cavaliers took both games at top-seeded Toronto to begin the series and seek to extend their postseason winning streak versus the Raptors to nine straight games - all in the past three seasons.

    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ABC

    SERIES PRICE (PER WILLIAM HILL US):



    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: The Cavaliers opened Game 3 as 4-point home favorites and were quickly bet to the current number of 4.5, which isn't too surprising considering nearly 60 percent of public wagers on the Cavs according to our Covers Consensus. The total has been bet down one point to the current number of 216, despite 66 percent of wagers on the Over, indicating sharp action on the Under.

    INJURY REPORT: No injuries to report.

    ABOUT THE RAPTORS (63-27, 47-42-1 ATS, 46-43-1 O/U): After winning a franchise-record 59 games during the regular season while earning the top seed in the East for the first time, Toronto is quickly searching for answers as it heads to Cleveland. Led by DeRozan (24 points) and Kyle Lowry (21), the Raptors shot 54.3 percent but they offered little resistance at the other end while forcing just three turnovers, giving the Cavaliers a 24-8 advantage in that category this series.

    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (56-35, 35-55-1 ATS, 43-46-2 O/U): James collected 43 points - his fourth game of 40-plus points this postseason - and tied a playoff career high with 14 assists in a resounding 128-110 victory on Thursday for a 2-0 series lead. James hasn't needed much help during the playoffs, but he was given a boost in Game 2 with a breakout effort for big man Kevin Love. After averaging 10.9 points on 31.9 percent shooting through the first eight playoff games, the veteran had 31 points on 11-of-21 shooting in Thursday's win.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Raptors are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on one days rest.
    * Cavaliers are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games.
    * Over is 8-1 in Raptors last nine Conference Semifinals games.
    * Under is 8-2 in Cavaliers last 10 home games.
    * Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, May 5



    Boston @ Philadelphia

    Game 701-702
    May 5, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    121.948
    Philadelphia
    123.100
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 9 1/2
    206
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+9 1/2); Over

    Toronto @ Cleveland


    Game 703-704
    May 5, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    118.915
    Cleveland
    120.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 2
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 4 1/2
    216 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (+4 1/2); Under





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, May 5


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (61 - 30) at PHILADELPHIA (56 - 33) - 5/5/2018, 5:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games on Saturday games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BOSTON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games this season.
    BOSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
    BOSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a division game this season.
    BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
    BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
    BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
    BOSTON is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 8-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 12-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (63 - 27) at CLEVELAND (56 - 35) - 5/5/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 199-251 ATS (-77.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    CLEVELAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 20-47 ATS (-31.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Saturday games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 14-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 16-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    14 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, May 5


    Celtics (2-0) @ 76ers
    Boston lost its last six road games; their last road win was March 28 at Utah. 76ers led 48-26 in second quarter of Game 2, then led 93-88 midway thru 4th quarter, but lost 108-103, as Boston grabbed 2-0 series lead. Simmons played 31:00 and somehow scored only one point (0-4 from floor). Philly won 12 of its last 13 home games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Sixers are 1-5 vs Boston this season. Celtics Horford/Rozier shot combined 32-54 from floor in first two series games. Over is 11-2 in last 13 Boston games.

    Raptors @ Cavaliers (2-0) 

    James had 43 points, 14 assists in Game 2 as Cavaliers demoralized Toronto with two road wins to start this series; Love had 31 points, 11 rebounds as Cleveland outscored Raptors 67-47 in second half. Cavaliers won their last three home games, by 3-3-4 points. Toronto has now lost its last four games with Cleveland; Raptors forced only three turnovers (-8) in Game 2. Last four Cleveland games went over the total; over is 7-3 in second round games so far this spring.

    Second Round
    Pelicans-Warriors

    GState 123-101, -7.5, O223.5
    GState 121-116, -11, O229
    NO 119-100, +5, U232.5

    Jazz-Rockets
    Hst 110-96, -11.5, U206.5
    Utah 116-108, +10.5, O205
    Hst 113-92, -4.5, U209.5

    76ers-Celtics
    Bos 117-101, +5, O205
    Bos 108-103, +3.5, O206.5

    Cavaliers-Raptors
    Clev 113-112 OT +7, O213.5
    Clev 128-110, +7, O213.5

    First Round
    Wizards-Raptors

    Tor 114-106, -7.5, O211
    Tor 130-119, -7, O214
    Wsh 122-103, -1, O217.5
    Wsh 106-98, +1.5, U217
    Tor 108-97, -7, U216
    Tor 102-92, -2, U214.5
    Raptors win series, 4-2

    Heat-76ers
    Phil 130-103, -6.5, O212
    Mia 113-103, +6.5, U217
    Phil 128-108, -2.5, O213.5
    Phil 106-102, -4, U212.5
    Phil 104-91, -10, U215.5
    76ers win series, 4-1

    Bucks-Celtics
    Bos 113-107 OT, -4.5, O199.5
    Bos 120-106, -1, O200
    Mil 116-92, -5, O205.5
    Mil 104-102, -5.5, O203.5
    Bos 92-87, -4.5, U202.5
    Mil 97-86, -4.5, U201.5
    Bos 112-96, -4.5, O196
    Celtics win series, 4-3

    Pacers-Cavaliers
    Ind 98-80, +7.5, U212.5
    Clev 100-97, -8, U209
    Ind 92-90, -1.5, U209.5
    Clev 104-100, -1.5, U206.5
    Clev 98-95, -6.5, U206
    Ind 121-87, -1.5, O202
    Clev 105-101, -5.5, O200.5
    Cavaliers win series, 4-3

    Spurs-Warriors
    GState 113-92, -8, U209.5
    GState 116-101, -9 O205.5
    GState 110-97, -3.5, O205.5
    SA 103-90, +5.5, U206.5
    GState 99-91, -11, U204.5
    Warriors win series, 4-1

    Pelicans-Blazers
    NO 97-95, +5.5, U216.5
    NO 111-102, +6, U216
    NO 119-102, -3.5, O215.5
    NO 131-123, -6.5, O217
    Pelicans win series, 4-0

    Jazz-Thunder
    OKC 116-108, -4.5, O205
    Utah 102-95, +4, U206.5
    Utah 115-102, -5, O209
    Utah 113-96, -5, O208
    OKC 107-99, -2.5, U207.5
    Utah 96-91, –7, U207.5
    Jazz win series, 4-2

    Wolves-Rockets
    Hst 104-101, -11.5, U215.5
    Hst 102-82, -10.5, U212.5
    Minn 121-105, +6, O217
    Hst 119-100, -6, O217
    Hst 122-104, -12, O217
    Rockets win series, 4-1




    NBA

    Saturday, May 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games
    Boston is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
    Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Boston is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
    Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games
    Philadelphia is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
    Philadelphia is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games at home
    Philadelphia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
    Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
    Philadelphia is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing Boston
    Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
    Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games
    Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games
    Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
    Toronto is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
    Toronto is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Toronto is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
    Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Cleveland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
    Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
    Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NBA

    Saturday, May 5




    Pelicans ✅ +1 first-half vs Dubs Friday, improving greatest NBA betting trend to 4-2 ATS so far in 2018.
    Result for last four NBA Playoffs:

    2018: 4-2 ATS
    2017: 9-3 ATS
    2016: 10-0 ATS
    2015: 9-0 ATS

    Two more spots tonight!
    TOR +2 1H, PHI -7 1H

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