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Thread: Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/1

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, May 1

    Good Luck on day #121 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Players who have come up with most men on base, and % of those runners they drove in:

    — Khris Davis, Oak: 95 runners, drove in 16 (16.8%)

    — Scooter Gennett, Cin: 93 runners, drove in 12 (12.9%)

    — Giancarlo Stanton, NYY: 92 runners, drove in 10 (10.9%)

    — Didi Gregorius, NYY: 90 runners, drove in 20 (22.2%)

    — Marcell Ozuna, StL: 88 runners, drove in 15 (17.0%)

    — Carlos Correa, Hst: 87 runners, drove in 16 (18.4%)

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Victor Oladipo’s 3-pointer at the end of Game 7 of Pacers-Cavaliers didn’t help Indiana win the series (they lost Game 7 by 4) but it helped Pacer backers win their bets. Most sports books opened Game 7 with the Cavaliers as 6.5-point favorites and closed at either 5 or 5.5.

    “It was probably a swing of $3 million to $5 million in Nevada. These types of things happen five or more times a week in our industry, whether it’s a two-run home run to cover the run line in the bottom of the ninth or an empty-net goal in the last minute of an NHL game.”
    Johnny Avello, head of race and sportsbook for the Wynn in Las Vegas

    12) Review of 40 notable mock drafts by the Arizona Cardinals’ PR guy shows average of 1st round “hits” (right player/right team) was just 3/32; average of the previous five years was 4.2.

    For second straight year, NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah led these mock drafters with 8 hits.

    11) Tough times for the Dodgers: Dodgers’ SS Corey Seager will have Tommy John surgery, is out for the season. Yasiel Puig is on the DL after getting hurt running into the wall in San Francisco Saturday. Rich Hill is on the DL with a cracked fingernail, which is a big deal if the nail is on your pitching hand.

    10) Manny Machado is making $16M this season and the Orioles are terrible; he’ll be a free agent after this season. Would the Dodgers trade for Machado to fill Seager’s spot?

    9) In 1983, Palace Station Casino in Las Vegas put up a 126-foot tall sign that contained 9,280 individual lamps; they started taking that sign down Monday, as part of a $192M project to modernize the Palace Station. Hopefully they keep the good Subway sub shop in their sportsbook.

    8) Veteran NBA player Ener Kanter said at the start of his N.B.A. career in 2011, he swore at referees, but exclusively in Turkish, his native tongue. He went his entire first season without referees calling a technical on him- he’s had 15 technicals since- “I should’ve stuck with Turkish,” was how Kanter described those.

    At the start of this year’s NBA postseason, 62 foreign-born players from 33 countries were on playoff rosters.

    7) Red Sox (Xander Bogaerts) hit their 6th grand slam of the season last night; 14 teams haven’t hit one yet this season.

    6) Leading money winners on the PGA Tour this season:
    1) Justin Thomas $5,221,300 2) Bubba Watson $3,690,454 3) Patrick Reed $3,580,252

    5) Leading money winners on the Senior Golf Tour this year:
    1) Steve Stricker $630,235 2) Jerry Kelly $539,890 3) Vijay Singh $500,380

    4) High school basketball star Romeo Lankford will stay close to home and go to Indiana this fall; the hoopla surrounding his announcement was ludicrous, with roughly 4,000 people in his high school gym for the event.

    Lankford is a 6-5 guard who was listed as the #6 HS prospect in this year’s class, but he was the best prospect who had to yet to commit. This is the first time since 2007 that the Hoosiers signed up the top-ranked senior from Indiana.

    3) An authenticated signed Sandy Koufax jersey that he wore pitching for the Brooklyn Dodgers in 1956 was sold for $414,279 at a recent auction.

    2) Cubs 3, Rockies 2— Chicago won its last five games, allowing total of four runs.

    1— Guy named Joe Ganim is the mayor of Bridgeport, CT; never heard of him until just now, but he wants to enter the Democratic primary to be governor of Connecticut. He’s been elected mayor of Bridgeport five times, with a little break in between.

    The “little break” in between was a 7-year federal prison sentence; from his Wikipedia page:

    “On March 19, 2003, Ganim was convicted of 16 federal counts: one count each of racketeering, extortion, racketeering conspiracy and bribery; two counts of bribery conspiracy; eight counts of mail fraud and two counts of filing a false tax return.”

    Would you vote for this guy to be governor of your state? Good grief.

  3. #3
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    Tuesday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs betting preview and odds

    Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs continues Tuesday night with a pair of Game 3s. Both the Penguins and Capitals and the Predators and Jets head to the lower seeded city with their series all even at 1-1.

    Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins (-145, 5.5)

    Series tied 1-1.

    After ending the Pittsburgh Penguins' streak of road playoff victories at six, the Washington Capitals look to extend their good fortune away from home on Tuesday in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series at PPG Paints Arena. The Capitals, who evened the series with Sunday's 4-1 triumph, have won all three road games this postseason and seven of nine dating to last year - including two of three in the Steel City.

    TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVAS2

    LINE MOVES AND BETTING ACTION: The Penguins opened as -150 moneyline favorites at home for Game 3 and as of Monday evening that number is down to -145. This line move was despite a hefty 77 percent of wagers coming in on the Pens. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has yet to move.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Capitals - RW Tom Wilson (Questionable, Possible Suspension), LW Andre Burakovsky (Out Indefinitely, Lower Body).

    Penguins - D Brian Dumoulin (Questionable, Upper Body), LW Carl Hagelin (Questionable, Face), C Evgeni Malkin (Questionable, Leg).

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Braden Holtby 34 16 4 2.99 .907 0
    Matt Murray 27 16 3 2.92 .907 1

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS (54-27-8-1, 50-38 O/U): Evgeni Kuznetsov and T.J. Oshie are expected to play on Tuesday despite both sustaining minor hand injuries during the tail end of the third period in Game 2. "Everybody's fine. Same traveling party. Same lineup," said coach Barry Trotz, who noted that Andre Burakovsky could resume skating soon following a surgical procedure last week on the heels of an upper-body injury suffered against Columbus on April 15. As for Tom Wilson, the first-line forward did not receive a disciplinary hearing for his hit to the head of defenseman Brian Dumoulin, multiple media outlets reported on Monday.

    ABOUT THE PENGUINS (52-32-4-2, 49-36 O/U): Evgeni Malkin (lower body) will be a game-time decision on Tuesday after missing three contests with a lower-body injury sustained in Game 5 of the first-round series versus Philadelphia. The former Hart Trophy recipient centered the second line between wings Dominik Simon and Bryan Rust during Monday's practice while fellow forward Phil Kessel shuffled to the third line alongside Derick Brassard and Conor Sheary. Carl Hagelin (upper body) and Dumoulin (upper body) also are questionable to play in Game 3, with the former changing his non-contact jersey to a traditional yellow one midway into Monday's practice while the latter wore a non-contact sweater throughout.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Capitals are 10-1 in their last 11 road games.
    * Penguins are 97-34 in their last 131 home games.
    * Under is 17-6-6 in Capitals' last 29 Conference Semifinals games.
    * Over is 8-1 in Penguins' last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    * Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.




    Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets (-135, 5.5)

    Series tied 1-1.

    The Winnipeg Jets were agonizingly close to winning the first two games of the Western Conference semifinals on the road, but nonetheless host the Nashville Predators in Tuesday’s Game 3 having swiped home-ice advantage. Now the Jets have to find a way to bounce back less than 48 hours after a grueling 5-4 double-overtime loss, one in which Nashville’s playoff experience gained during last year’s run to the Stanley Cup Finals shined through in sudden death.

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, CNBC, CBC, TVA Sports

    LINE MOVES AND BETTING ACTION: The Jets opened as -125 home favorites and as of Monday night that moneyline is up slightly to -135. 65 percent of users are wagering on the home favorite Jets. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has yet to move

    INJURY REPORT:

    Predators - D Yannick Weber (Questionable, Upper Body).

    Jets - C Mathieu Perreault (Questionable, Shoulder), RW Joel Armia (Questionable, Upper Body), D Dmitry Kulikov (Out Indefinitely, Back).

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Pekka Rinne 42 13 4 2.31 .927 8
    Connor Hellebuyck 44 11 9 2.36 .924 6

    ABOUT THE PREDATORS (58-21-4-7, 45-44 O/U): Goaltender Pekka Rinne bounced back from being pulled after the first two periods of Game 1, setting a playoff career high with 46 saves. Nashville’s top line was outstanding in finishing a combined plus-6, as Johansen posted his first playoff multi-goal game, forward Filip Forsberg collected three assists and forward Viktor Arvidsson finished with three points. Defenseman Ryan Ellis recorded an assist for the third consecutive game, while defenseman P.K. Subban scored his first goal of the postseason and finished with two points in 39:24 of ice time.

    ABOUT THE JETS (57-21-9-2, 43-44 O/U): Winnipeg accelerated the offensive pressure two nights after recording only 19 shots in Game 1, putting 50 shots on goal as Scheifele led the way again with a three-point night (including his sixth and seventh goals in his past four games, giving him a league-leading eight in the postseason). Defenseman Dustin Byfuglien finished with one goal and one assist, four blocked shots and six shots on goal in a team-high 35:27 of ice time. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, who made 47 saves in the opener, allowed Johansen’s first goal 27 seconds into the contest but played well despite the four goals allowed, making 36 saves.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Predators are 13-4 in their last 17 road games.
    * Jets are 41-10 in their last 51 home games.
    * Under is 5-1-1 in Predators' last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
    * Under is 5-0 in Jets' last 5 home games.
    * Home team is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
    Last edited by Udog; 05-01-2018 at 12:19 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, May 1



    Washington @ Pittsburgh

    Game 51-52
    May 1, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    11.740
    Pittsburgh
    12.978
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -145
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-145); Under

    Nashville @ Winnipeg


    Game 53-54
    May 1, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nashville
    12.769
    Winnipeg
    14.183
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    -135
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (-135); Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, May 1


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (54-27-0-9, 117 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (52-32-0-6, 110 pts.) - 5/1/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 38-13 ATS (+19.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 120-69 ATS (-3.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 51-27 ATS (+6.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 28-9 ATS (+15.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 17-2 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 37-14 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 69-43 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 55-36 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 21-13 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    WASHINGTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
    WASHINGTON is 33-18 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 31-18 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WASHINGTON is 10-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 16-12 (+5.6 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 16-12-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    13 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NASHVILLE (58-21-0-11, 127 pts.) at WINNIPEG (57-22-0-10, 124 pts.) - 5/1/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 57-33 ATS (+4.0 Units) in all games this season.
    WINNIPEG is 26-4 ATS (+20.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    WINNIPEG is 34-16 ATS (+6.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 28-13 ATS (+28.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    WINNIPEG is 53-40 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 30-19 ATS (+5.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WINNIPEG is 20-9 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    NASHVILLE is 58-33 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
    NASHVILLE is 47-26 ATS (+12.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    NASHVILLE is 36-17 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NASHVILLE is 49-26 ATS (+18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 9-7-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.1 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Tuesday, May 1


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Washington is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    Pittsburgh is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Washington
    Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Washington


    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Nashville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
    Nashville is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
    Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Winnipeg is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 9 games
    Winnipeg is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Nashville
    Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-01-2018 at 04:32 PM.

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