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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, April 29

    Good Luck on day #119 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    — Chiefs drafted Kahlil McKenzie, whose dad is the Oakland Raiders’ GM. That will make two days of the year very awkward for Mrs McKenzie.

    — Cubs, White Sox both pitched a shutout Saturday; first time they both hurled shutout on same day since August 29, 2011.

    — Buffalo Bills drafted WR Austin Proehl, whose dad Ricky won a Super Bowl with the Rams.

    — Celtics 112, Bucks 96— Home team won all seven games in this series.

    — Boston College junior G Jerome Robinson will stay in NBA draft, bad news for the Eagles.

    — When Jose Altuve originally signed with Houston, his bonus was $15,000. This year, he is making $55,555.55…….a game. It’ll be triple that starting in 2020.

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

    13) The Interweb has so many NFL mock drafts in the months before this weekend, you should know this: Of the 100 draft picks Thursday/Friday, 51 of those picks were traded before the pick was eventually used to select a player.

    Kind of hard to pinpoint who is going where when the picks get traded so much.

    12) Remember the Tom Cruise movie Jerry Maguire, when Cruise played a sports agent? The actor who played the GM of Arizona Cardinals was singer Glenn Frey of the Eagles.

    11) Alabama had 12 players taken in the this year’s draft; NC State/Ohio State were next, with 7 each. Seven players taken in one draft is an NC State record.

    10) Alabama punter JK Scott was drafted by Green Bay; his agent is Alexa Stabler, daughter of the late Hall of Fame QB/Alabama alum Ken Stabler.

    9) This from an NFL source about LSU RB Derrius Guice, who the Redskins drafted:

    ”He got into an altercation at a meeting with the Eagles. He had several meetings where he came across lazy only wants to play video games. We caught a direct dishonesty from him in our meeting.”

    Guice disputes that story, but apparently lot of teams believed it; he dropped to the 59th pick.

    8) White Sox 3B Matt Davidson has seven homers at Kauffman Stadium this season; thats the most by any visiting player EVER in one season at Kauffman Stadium, and it isn’t May yet.

    7) Thunder vs Utah with Carmelo Anthony on-court: 194 minutes, -58

    Thunder vs Utah with Carmelo Anthony off-court: 94 minutes, +32

    Sometimes life is simple.

    6) Arizona Diamondbacks won their first eight series this year, the first team since the 2001 Seattle Mariners to do that, and first NL team since the ’77 Dodgers.

    5) Earl Anthony was one of the best bowlers of all-time; turns out the lefty with a crew cut was once offered a $35,000 bonus to pitch in the Orioles farm system, but he turned them down.

    4) Utah Jazz PG Ricky Rubio strained his hamstring in the clinching win over Oklahoma City, and will be out 7-10 days, bad news for the Jazz as they take on the Houston Rockets.

    3) As I’m writing this, a teenager in a t-shirt and gym shorts just read the Packers’ draft pick. Don’t be afraid to get dressed up, son. You’re on national TV.

    2) Colts had four 2nd-round picks this year, first team since the ’09 Patriots to have four 2nd-round picks in the same draft.

    1) Washington Nationals’ rookie manager Dave Martinez messed up Saturday; Arizona was going to send up PH Chris Owings in the top of the 10th inning in a 3-3 game, so Martinez went out and removed his lefty reliever so a righty could face Owings. One small problem…….

    Martinez took the pitcher out before the pinch-hitter Owings was announced, so Arizona left the lefty batter Dyson in the game to face the righty reliever. A pitcher has to face one batter before he can be taken out; the pinch-hitter isn’t officially “in the game” until the PA announcer says his name over the PA system.

    Owings walked and then the next batter walked and Arizona won 4-3. No bueno.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, April 29


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    PITTSBURGH (52-31-0-6, 110 pts.) at WASHINGTON (53-27-0-9, 115 pts.) - 4/29/2018, 3:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 54-36 ATS (+3.5 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 24-11 ATS (+10.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    WASHINGTON is 30-18 ATS (+5.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 25-9 ATS (+12.7 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 120-68 ATS (+19.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 51-26 ATS (+14.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 69-42 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 8-13 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 16-11 (+6.6 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 16-11-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.8 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

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    WINNIPEG (57-21-0-10, 124 pts.) at NASHVILLE (57-21-0-11, 125 pts.) - 4/29/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 1-8 ATS (-8.3 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
    NASHVILLE is 57-33 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
    NASHVILLE is 28-9 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 266-208 ATS (+490.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    NASHVILLE is 207-175 ATS (+390.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
    NASHVILLE is 35-17 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NASHVILLE is 48-26 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 57-32 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games this season.
    WINNIPEG is 13-1 ATS (+11.8 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 34-15 ATS (+10.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 39-22 ATS (+16.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 30-18 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WINNIPEG is 20-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 8-7-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.1 Units)

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    NHL

    Sunday, April 29


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    Trend Report
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    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games
    Washington is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
    Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Winnipeg is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
    Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 13 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Nashville
    Winnipeg is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Nashville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
    Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Nashville is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games at home
    Nashville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    Nashville is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-29-2018 at 10:31 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, April 29



    Pittsburgh @ Washington

    Game 11-12
    April 29, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    11.097
    Washington
    12.621
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -120
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-120); Under

    Winnipeg @ Nashville


    Game 13-14
    April 29, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    12.061
    Nashville
    13.981
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -175
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-175); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-29-2018 at 10:32 AM.

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    MLB

    Sunday, April 29


    Sunday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs betting preview and odds

    Both the Penguins and Jets were able to steal home-ice advantage away from their opponents with Game 1 victories in their respective series openers. Can the Capitals and Predators respond? Or will the Pens and Jets head home with big leads?

    Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals (-115, 6)

    Penguins lead series 1-0

    The Washington Capitals have frittered away a two-goal lead four times in seven postseason games, including three of their four at home this postseason. After yielding three third-period goals during a span of 4:49 in the opener, the host Capitals aim to rebound and even their Eastern Conference semifinal series against the Pittsburgh Penguins at one victory apiece when the rivals play Game 2 on Sunday afternoon.

    TV: 3 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, TVAS

    SERIES PRICE (PER LV SUPERBOOK):



    LINE MOVES AND BETTING ACTION: The Capitals opened Game as slight -125 home favorites, but the number has quickly moved down to the current number of -115. This despite the fact the Capitals are seeing 58 percent of wagers according to our consensus. The total opened at 6.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Penguins - C Evgeni Malkin (Questionable, leg), LF Carl Hagelin (Doubtful, face).

    Capitals - LW Andre Burakovsky (Out, upper body).

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    GP W L GAA SAVE % SO
    Matt Murray (Penguins) 7 5 2 2.17 .917 2
    Braden Holtby (Capitals) 6 4 2 2.10 .924 0

    ABOUT THE PENGUINS: Evgeni Malkin shed the non-contact jersey for a more traditional yellow one in practice on Saturday and will be a game-time decision for Game 2 after sitting out two contests with a lower-body injury following a collision with Philadelphia's Jori Lehtera. While superstar captain Sidney Crosby, Malkin, Phil Kessel and Matt Murray tend to dominate the headlines, Jake Guentzel routinely sees his name in big bold letters when the postseason comes along. The 23-year-old capped the late goal surge by linemates Crosby and Patric Hornqvist to extend his point streak to five games (four goals, eight assists) and boost his league-leading total in scoring with 16 (seven goals, nine assists).

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS: The Capitals need a stronger response at home considering they are 1-3 at Capital One Arena while the Penguins are a perfect 4-0 on the road. Although Alex Ovechkin scored and set up a goal in the series opener, the superstar captain and his linemates -- Evgeny Kuznetsov and Tom Wilson -- were on the ice for all three of Pittsburgh's tallies in the third period. Wilson notched a pair of assists to boost his point total to five (two goals, three assists) in seven games.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Penguins are 6-0 in their last six road games.
    * Capitals are 1-4 in their last five games playing on two days rest.
    * Over is 12-3-1 in Penguins last 16 road games.
    * Over is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 home games.
    * Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.




    Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators (-175, 5.5)

    Jets lead series 1-0

    Consider the position of the Nashville Predators, who enter Sunday’s Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals against the visiting Winnipeg Jets having outplayed their Central Division rival in the opener at home, and yet trail in the series. Nashville pounded 48 shots on goal and dominated possession for large portions Friday, but it was the Jets who took advantage of scoring chances in a 4-1 victory between the NHL’s top two teams in the regular season.

    TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER LV SUPERBOOK):



    LINE MOVES AND BETTING ACTION: The Predators opened Game 2 as moderate -167 home favorites and have been moved up to -175, which isn't much of a surprise considering the Preds are seeing 69 percent of wagers according to our consensus. The total hit the board at 5.5.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Jets - C Mathieu Perreault (Questionable, shoulder), RW Joel Armia (Questionable, upper body), D Dmitry Kulikov (Out, back).

    Predators - D Yannick Weber (Questionable, upper body).

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    GP W L GAA SAVE % SO
    Connor Hellebuyck (Jets) 6 5 1 1.77 .940 2
    Pekka Rinne (Predators) 7 4 3 2.81 .900 1

    ABOUT THE JETS: Goalie Connor Hellebuyck followed up back-to-back shutouts to close out Minnesota in round one with a franchise playoff record 47 saves. Center Mark Scheifele continued his red-hot play, scoring two goals for the second time in three games in the series opener to give him six points (five goals) in his past three contests. Forward Blake Wheeler picked up two assists and finished a plus-2, one of 11 Jets who ended the night with a plus rating. Hellebuyck was outstanding but the Jets deserve plenty of credit in front of him, blocking 26 shots (16 coming from defensemen Jacob Trouba, Tyler Myers, Ben Chiarot and Josh Morrissey).

    ABOUT THE PREDATORS: While Winnipeg mustered just 19 shots on goal, its speed put Jets in position to beat Nashville goaltender Pekka Rinne, who was yanked after allowing three goals in two periods. There was one encouraging sign in a frustrating Game 1, as the Predators second line broke through on Kevin Fiala’s shot 1:23 into the third period. Nashville won 66 percent of the game’s faceoffs but defenseman Ryan Ellis was the only Predators player to finish with a plus rating (plus-1). Four Predators recorded five or more shots on goal (forward Filip Forsberg and defensemen Mattias Ekholm, Roman Josi and P.K. Subban), but Forsberg hit the iron late in the second just before Scheifele’s first goal made it 3-0.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Jets are 5-1 in their last six road games.
    * Predators are 12-3 in their last 15 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game.
    * Under is 7-1 in Jets last eight overall.
    * Under is 4-0 in Predators last four overall.
    * Home team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-29-2018 at 10:33 AM.

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