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Thread: Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/28

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/28

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, April 28

    Good Luck on day #118 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Ole Miss transfer QB Shea Patterson is eligible to play at Michigan this fall.

    — AL Central is 21-49 outside the division so far this season.

    — Colorado Rockies won 1-0 in Miami Friday night, just their 20th-ever 1-0 win, which is the fewest in MLB since 1993.

    — Steelers drafted Oklahoma State QB Mason Rudolph; is he Big Ben’s successor?

    — New Pitt basketball coach Jeff Capel hired his brother Jeff as an assistant coach.

    — Jason Witten will retire from the Cowboys and be the analyst on Monday Night Football this fall.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) Utah Jazz led Oklahoma City by 25 in Game 5 of their series before the Thunder came back and won Game 5 of their series.

    A guy in Las Vegas had $4,000 on the Thunder (-2.5); he tossed the ticket in the trash when Utah got up by 25, and he had to do some mad scrambling thru the garbage to get the ticket back after OKC stormed back for the win/cover.

    Luckily for him, a) the trash hadn’t been emptied and b) he found the ticket.

    12) In the 6th inning Wednesday nite, Tampa Bay Rays put a lefty reliever named Jonny Venters in to face lefty slugger Chris Davis. No big deal; that stuff happens over and over all throughout baseball. Lefty vs lefty. One batter. Venters retired Davis on four pitches.

    But this was different; Venters hadn’t appeared in a major league game in six years, or 2,008 games; he was 15-10, 2.25 in 230 games for the Braves from 2010-12.

    Since then, Venters has had three Tommy John surgeries on his left elbow; the hours and hours of rehab he went through—- there had to be times he thought Wednesday night would never come, but now he is back in the major leagues. Good for him.

    11) Carolina Panthers took WR DJ Moore with the 24th pick Thursday night; the kid had 8 QB’s in his three years playing WR at Maryland. Eight QB’s in three years is an awful lot.

    Norv Turner is the Panthers’ new OC; Cam Newton will be a fascinating follow this season.

    10) Eagles got an extra 2nd round pick in 2019 for dropping down 20 spots in this draft so the Ravens could take Lamar Jackson.

    9) Cal-Riverside has a new basketball coach (David Patrick); one of the Highlanders’ new assistant coaches is Mike Magpayo, who at one time was the CEO of a multimillion dollar real estate firm in SoCal.

    8) Seattle’s Jean Segura has come to bat with a man on 3rd base 10 times this season; he knocked that runner in all 10 times.

    7) Players who have come to bat with most men on base this season (thru Thursday):
    Khris Davis 94, Didi Gregorius 86, Giancarlo Stanton 85, Marcell Ozuna 84

    6) Players who have driven in the highest %age of baserunners this season (min 50 PA):
    Brad Miller 33.3%, David Peralta 32.4%, Preston Tucker 28.3%, Nick Ahmed, 27.8%

    5) Portland Trailblazers had an excellent season, going 49-33, but now they’ve lost their last 10 playoff games so you hope it doesn’t cost coach Terry Stotts his job.

    4) Dodgers/Kershaw were -$380 to beat the Marlins Wednesday night; they lost. Long time ago, I read something that said laying anything more than $-150 in baseball is a bad idea. Whether that is still true or not I’m not sure, but laying more than -$200 isn’t wise.

    3) Miami Dolphins drafted TE Mike Gesicki in the 2nd round; for some reason. NFL Network showed highlights of Gesicki playing high school basketball— he scored over 1,800 points in HS, which is nice, but its a football draft.

    2) It is April 28 and national baseball writers are already speculating on where stars on struggling teams or small market teams will be traded to. As an A’s fan, few things make my blood boil as quickly as this, like Oakland, Tampa Bay and the Orioles are bleepin’ farm clubs for the %$#@& rich teams.

    1) Umpire Will Little worked home plate in April 21’s Toronto-New York game, the 8th time in last four years Little has done the plate in a Bronx Bomber game. Here is how those games went:

    2015
    Bronx W5-2 @ Baltimore +$123 U9

    Bronx W3-1 @ Seattle -$115 U7

    2016
    Bronx W6-3 vs Tampa Bay +$103 O8
    Bronx W7-3 vs Kansas City -$130 O8

    2017
    Bronx W3-2 vs St Louis +$123, U8

    Bronx W3-2 vs Oakland -$145, U9.5
    Bronx W7-4 @ Baltimore +$121, O9.5

    2018
    Bronx W9-1 vs Toronto -$148, O9

    8-0, outscoring opponents 43-18, and they were an underdog four times. Not going to say another bleeping word except this: if you were a big league manager, would you want Will Little umping the plate in a game against the Bronx Bombers?

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Saturday, April 28



    Boston @ Tampa Bay

    Game 85-86
    April 28, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    12.446
    Tampa Bay
    11.243
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -150
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+130); Under

    San Jose @ Vegas


    Game 89-90
    April 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    13.053
    Vegas
    10.545
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -175
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (+155); Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, April 28


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    BOSTON (54-23-0-12, 120 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (58-24-0-5, 121 pts.) - 4/28/2018, 3:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 37-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 41-43 ATS (-25.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 41-46 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 59-29 ATS (+17.2 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 19-5 ATS (+13.3 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 228-233 ATS (+536.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 9-4 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 9-4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE (49-28-0-10, 108 pts.) at VEGAS (56-24-0-7, 119 pts.) - 4/28/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN JOSE is 37-39 ATS (-15.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN JOSE is 18-28 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 57-31 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games this season.
    VEGAS is 25-9 ATS (+13.3 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    VEGAS is 30-15 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    SAN JOSE is 9-3 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN JOSE is 25-9 ATS (+12.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    SAN JOSE is 19-9 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    SAN JOSE is 216-228 ATS (+485.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 4-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Saturday, April 28


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Boston Bruins
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Jose's last 19 games
    San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
    San Jose is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Vegas's last 23 games
    Vegas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas's last 9 games at home
    Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
    Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-28-2018 at 10:28 AM.

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    Saturday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs betting preview and odds

    The Bruins and Lightning renew hostilities when they open their Conference semifinal series Saturday in Tampa Bay and will the Golden Knights ever lose a playoff game?

    Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning (-155, 6)

    The Tampa Bay Lightning will be a very well-rested team when they host the Boston Bruins on Saturday afternoon for Game 1 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series. The Lightning wrapped up their first-round series April 21 by topping New Jersey in five games while the Bruins trailed by a goal going into the decisive Game 7 before rallying for a 7-4 victory over Toronto on Wednesday.

    TV: 3 p.m. ET, NBC, Sportsnet, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER SPORTS INTERACTION):



    LINE MOVES AND BETTING ACTION: The Lighning opened Game 1 as -145 faovrites and have been bet u slightly to -155. The total hit the board at an even 6. Bettors are giving the big edge to the home team with 72 percent og wagers on the Lightning. When it comes to the total 58 percent of wagers are on the Over.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    GP W L GAA SAVE % SO
    Tuuka Rask (Boston) 7 4 3 2.94 .899 0
    Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay) 5 4 1 2.01 .941 0

    ABOUT THE BRUINS: The Bruins won the first three games in the season series before suffering a 4-0 defeat at Tampa Bay in the finale April 3. David Pastrnak is third in the league in scoring during the playoffs with 13 points for Boston, which averaged four goals in the first round. Pastrnak, left wing Brad Marchand (nine points), Torey Krug (eight points) and captain Zdeno Chara (plus-5 rating) were solid in the first round. Rookie left wing Jake DeBrusk matched Pastrnak with five goals to lead the Bruins in the first round.

    ABOUT THE LIGHTNING: Nikita Kucherov led Tampa Bay with five goals and five assists against New Jersey. Tampa Bay was much improved on the penalty kill in the first-round series, giving up three goals on 19 attempts (two when down two skaters), but face a Bruins team that was 7-for-22 with the man advantage against Toronto. Ryan McDonagh, who had four assists in the first round, and Anton Stralman have become the shutdown pair that will often face the Marchand-Patrice Bergeron-Pastrnak line while Norris Trophy candidate Victor Hedman is averaging a team-high 26:24 of ice time.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Bruins are 1-6 in their last seven road games.
    * Lightning are 17-5 in their last 22 Conference Semifinals games.
    * Over is 5-0-2 in Bruins last seven games following a win.
    * Under is 5-1 in Lightning last six games playing on three or more days rest.
    * Under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings.




    San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights (-175, 5.5)

    Golden Knights lead series 1-0

    The Vegas Golden Knights have experienced a string of firsts in their record-setting expansion season but jitters have not been among them. The bright lights of the postseason have done nothing to slow the Golden Knights, who look to take a 2-0 lead over visiting San Jose on Saturday in their Western Conference semifinal after thrashing the Sharks 7-0 in the series opener.

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, SN, TVAS

    SERIES PRICE (PER SPORTS INTERACTION):



    LINE MOVES AND BETTING ACTION: The line opened with the Golden Knights as hefty -175 home faves for Game 2 and that's where the line remains. The total hit the board at 5.5. This is another game where bettors are giving a big edge to the home team with 70 percent of wagers on the Knights, while 60 percent of wagers are on the Over.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    GP W L GAA SAVE % SO
    Martin Jones (San Jose) 5 4 1 2.05 .938 1
    Marc Andre-Fluery (Vegas) 5 5 0 0.54 .982 3

    ABOUT THE SHARKS: Sharks forward Evander Kane received a one-game suspension Friday for cross-checking Vegas defenseman Pierre-Edouard Bellemare. Kane was San Jose's big-ticket acquisition from Buffalo at the trade deadline and scored three times in the first-round sweep of Anaheim after netting nine goals in 17 regular-season games. Martin Jones allowed four goals in four games versus the Ducks but was chased 3.5 minutes into the second period after surrendering five goals on 13 shots. Sharks C Joe Thornton cented the No. 1 line at Friday's practice but will not play in Game 2.

    ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS: The Golden Knights scored seven goals in the four-game sweep of Los Angeles in the first round but matched the total in the series. The early cushion certainly made his job easier, but Marc-Andre Fleury became the 14th goaltender in history -- and first in 14 years -- to record three shutouts in his team's first five playoff games, even taking time to join the T-Mobile Arena fans in the wave. While Vegas received goals from seven different players, its top line of Jonathan Marchessault, William Karlsson and Reilly Smith accounted for nine points, with Smith collecting six assists over a four-game point streak.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Sharks are 4-1 in their last five games playing on one days rest.
    * Golden Knights are 8-0 in their last eight vs. a team with a winning record.
    * Over is 5-0-3 in Sharks last eight Conference Semifinals games.
    * Under is 5-1 in Golden Knights last six after scoring five goals or more in their previous game.
    * Home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

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