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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/27

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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, April 27

    Good Luck on day #117 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Steelers traded WR Martavis Bryant to Oakland for the 79th pick (3rd round).

    — Three of the top 22 players taken were defensive guys from Alabama.

    — Braves 7, Reds 4— Ronald Acuna hit his first major league homer.

    — Atlanta Hawks parted ways with coach Mike Budenholzer after five years.

    — Last time there were no WR’s taken in first round of the draft was 2008.

    — Amazon signed a deal to stream NFL games for two years, roughly $130 million.

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Running diary of first two hours of NFL Draft

    8:16: Cleveland Browns take Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield with the #1 pick in the draft; time will tell on all these picks, but my quick analysis is this— when we last watched actual college football games, no one had Mayfield in the top 10 picks. No one.

    Now all of a sudden, he is the #1 pick. The team that took Johnny Manziel took a guy who has a lot of similarities to Manziel.

    Cleveland is 2-41 in its last 43 games; they traded for Buffalo’s QB Tyrod Taylor this winter. How long before Mayfield gets to play for the Browns?

    8:21: Giants take Sequon Barkley and my godson, a huge Giants fan, isn’t happy— he wanted Big Blue to take Sam Darnold or trade out of the pick.

    Have to think the Giants could’ve gotten a boatload of picks from Buffalo to move out of this spot, but they didn’t.

    Is it possible that Eli Manning is the real GM of the Giants? They fired Ben McAdoo LY when he benched Eli for a game, after Eli had gotten Tom Coughlin fired the year before. Manning is a 37-year old QB who needs a better offensive line than he currently has.

    8:29: Jets and Giants didn’t use up much time; Jets grab QB Sam Darnold from USC.

    NFL Network has Deion Sanders doing player interviews; I can’t stand him, so it is off to ESPN, where they just had a package about how Darnold’s parents, grandfather and sister all played college sports. I’m sure the Jets drafted Darnold because his sister played volleyball at Rhode Island.

    Cleveland has had 28 different starting QB’s since 1999; that not good.

    8:36: With the second pick of the night, Cleveland takes Denzel Ward, a DB from Ohio State which means that QB’s Allen/Rosen are now sliding down the draft board, since Denver and the Colts don’t need a quarterback, and they have the next two picks.

    8:43: Broncos have to be happier than hell to get Bradley Chubb, the DE from NC State. No way did they think he would be available with the 5th pick.

    8:47: Colts take offensive lineman Quentin Nelson from Notre Dame; Andrew Luck will be a happy guy, but not often a guard is the #6 player in the draft.

    8:53: Finally, the Bills make a trade- they move up to the #7 pick. They take Josh Allen; he might be only kid in country where playing for Buffalo is a weather upgrade.

    Tampa Bay got two second round picks to drop down to #12; good haul for them.

    NFL Network’s Mike Mayock thinks Allen is a project; right now, AJ McCarron is the Buffalo QB, so the project will hit the field sooner than later.

    Allen and Carson Wentz had the same college coach; Craig Bohl, who won multiple I-AA national titles at North Dakota State. That had to help Allen here.

    9:01: Chicago Bears take Roquan Smith, a LB from Georgia; Bears’ defensive coordinator Vic Fangio got a hole-in-one playing golf Thursday, so that plus drafting Smith makes it a big day for Fangio.

    49ers, Raiders are next on the clock and don’t need a QB; Josh Rosen can’t be having fun right now.

    9:04: 49ers take Notre Dame OT Mike McGlinchey; Fighting Irish had two offensive linemen taken in top nine picks- their OL coach has bolted and now works for the Bears, who didn’t take an offensive lineman.

    9:09: Arizona trades with Oakland to move up to #10; Carson Palmer retired and Sam Bradford is always hurt, so this has to be a quarterback, doesn’t it?

    Josh Rosen is an Arizona Cardinal, taken 10th; he is the 4th QB taken in the draft. Last time five QB’s were taken in the first round was 1999. It is good to play QB in a dome; eight home games indoors, plus at least two road games in California every year.

    Of course, the term “chip on his shoulder” got tossed around, since Rosen slipped out of the top five.

    9:18: Dolphins take S Minkah Fitzpatrick, as Nick Saban contributes a player to the team he used to coach.

    This is the 10th year in a row Alabama had a player taken in the first round of the draft.

    9:24: Tampa Bay takes Vita Vea, a defensive tackle from Washington. Bucs traded for Jason Pierre-Paul and drafted this guy, so they’re intent on improving their defense.

    Couple of guys on TV said Via has to work to control his weight so he’ll be more durable and have better stamina.

    9:31: Washington Redskins aren’t popular in Dallas, but they took Da’Ron Payne, a DT from Alabama. Having two of the top 13 players selected has to help your recruiting, right?

    Imagine how different college football would’ve been for the last decade if Nick Saban had won while coaching the Dolphins and stayed there?

    9:40: Saints traded next year’s #1 pick to move up from #27 to #14; they took DE Marcus Davenport from UTSA, after guys from NFL Network went on for five minutes about how great Lamar Jackson would be playing for the Saints. Whoops.

    They must really love Davenport, to trade a #1 pick to the Packers to move up. Saints DL coach Ryan Nielsen and UTSA coach Frank Wilson worked together at Ole Miss, so he must know.

    Green Bay now has two #1 picks next season.

    9:45: Oakland takes T Colton Miller, then Bills traded up to #16 to take Tremaine Edmunds a LB from Virginia Tech.

    9:56: Chargers get a steal with S Derwin James from Florida State; he was hurt a couple years ago when Showtime did their reality show on FSU football. Good kid; he’ll help them.

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    Friday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds: Jets at Predators

    Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators (-150, 5.5)

    Series tied 0-0.

    They combined for 231 points during fantastic regular seasons in which they finished with the two best records in the NHL, and Friday begins what promises to be an entertaining Western Conference semifinal when the Nashville Predators host the Winnipeg Jets in the series opener. The Predators finished with 117 points to win the Presidents’ Trophy, one season after reaching the Stanley Cup Finals, while the Jets set a franchise record with 114 points.

    Nashville finished 3-1-1 against the Jets in the regular season, but each team owns one victory on road ice and the two squads combined for 41 goals in those five games - a testament to the offensive firepower on both rosters considering both teams have Vezina Trophy finalists in Pekka Rinne of the Predators and Winnipeg’s Connor Hellebuyck. “Both teams have great goal scorers, great offensive guys,” Nashville forward Kevin Fiala told reporters. “It doesn’t matter if you’re first line or fourth, everybody can score. It’s going to be a really good series, I think.” The Predators finished the regular season with eight players recording 40 or more points, including a pair of defensemen (Roman Josi and P.K. Subban), while the Jets had four players finish with 60-plus points - including the NHL co-leader in assists (Blake Wheeler) and the second-highest goal scorer in the league (Patrik Laine). “Neither team is passive in how they play,” Jets coach Paul Maurice told the media. “Neither team sits back and tries to slow the game down in terms of what they do with the puck. There’s lots of action in these games.”

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVA, Sportsnet 360

    BETTING STATS:



    LINE HISTORY: The Predators opened as -150 moneyline favorites and as of Thursday evening that number has not moved - this is despite 67 percent of the consensus wagers coming in on the home team. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has yet to move.

    GOALIE MATCHUP:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Connor Hellebuyck 44 11 9 2.36 .924 6
    Pekka Rinne 42 13 4 2.31 .927 8

    ABOUT THE JETS (56-21-8-2, 42-43 O/U): As has been the case all season Winnipeg smothered Minnesota in the opening round with waves of offense, getting three points or more from seven players in the five games - led by four goals and an assist from center Mark Scheifele and a pair of goals from Laine along with defenseman Tyler Myers. Hellebuyck did not face tremendous pressure for large stretches of the series, but even though he was pulled from Game 3 he still finished with a .924 save percentage and a 1.93 goals against average. Defenseman Josh Morrissey is back after serving a one-game suspension in the clinching Game 5, and Winnipeg hopes defenseman Toby Enstrom (lower-body) will be available after he missed the opening round.

    ABOUT THE PREDATORS (57-20-4-7, 44-43 O/U): One aspect Nashville hopes to improve on from its first-round victory over Colorado is its second line, as Fiala, center Kyle Turris and forward Craig Smith combined for just five points. Forward Austin Watson and center Colton Sissons were fantastic in the first round, combining for seven goals and 14 points, while Rinne shook off a rough performance in Game 3 to stop 140-of-154 shots on goal. Forward Ryan Hartman, a trade-deadline acquisition who scored the game-winning goal against the Jets in his Nashville debut Feb. 27, was a healthy scratch in the Game 6 clincher against Colorado after missing Game 5 with a suspension.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    INJURY REPORT:

    Jets - G Connor Hellebuyck (Probable, Shoulder), RW Patrik Laine (Probable, Undisclosed), D Toby Enstrom (Probable, Lower Body), LW Nikolaj Ehlers (Probable, Upper Body), C Mathieu Perreault (Questionable, Shoulder), RW Joel Armia (Questionable, Upper Body), G Steve Mason (Questionable, Lower Body), D Dmitry Kulikov (Out Indefinitely, Back).

    Predators - D Yannick Weber (Questionable, Upper Body).

    TRENDS:

    * Jets are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
    * Predators are 10-2 in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games.
    * Under is 6-1 in Jets last 7 overall.
    * Over is 5-1 in Predators last 6 home games.
    * Jets are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Nashville.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-27-2018 at 11:39 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, April 27



    Winnipeg @ Nashville

    Game 83-84
    April 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    12.721
    Nashville
    14.232
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -155
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-155); Under





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, April 27


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    WINNIPEG (56-21-0-10, 122 pts.) at NASHVILLE (57-20-0-11, 125 pts.) - 4/27/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NASHVILLE is 57-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
    NASHVILLE is 46-25 ATS (+16.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 23-11 ATS (+23.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    NASHVILLE is 35-16 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NASHVILLE is 48-25 ATS (+18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 56-32 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
    WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATS (+10.8 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 33-15 ATS (+9.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 38-22 ATS (+15.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 29-18 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WINNIPEG is 19-8 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 8-6 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 8-6-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.4 Units)

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    NHL

    Friday, April 27


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    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Winnipeg is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
    Winnipeg is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
    Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 12 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Nashville
    Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Nashville is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    Nashville is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games at home
    Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-27-2018 at 11:41 AM.

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