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Thread: Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/25

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/25

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, April 25

    Good Luck on day #115 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    You can wager on where players will be taken in the NFL Draft Thursday:

    — Baker Mayfield, under 6.5 (-$120)

    — Bradley Chubb, under 5.5 (-$180)

    — Calvin Ridley 19.5

    — Derrius Guice, under 32.5 (-$200)

    — Lamar Jackson, over 17.5 (-$200)

    — Saquon Barkley, under 5.5 (-$400)

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) First round draft picks in the last five NFL Drafts:
    SEC 50, ACC 30, Pac-12 29, Big 14 21, Big X 11.

    12) The definition of tone deaf:

    Baseball commissioner Rob Manfred said Tuesday that Rogers Centre in Toronto is in need of an update. The downtown stadium has been the Blue Jays’ home since 1989.

    Not sure if Mr Manfred ever watches CNN, but there was a tragedy in Toronto yesterday, with a van killing ten people in an apparent act of terrorism. I’m guessing that today wasn’t the best time to be asking for improvements to the city’s domed stadium.

    11) 76ers 104, Heat 91— Philly is on to the second round for first time since 2012.

    10) UCLA QB Josh Rosen has good bloodlines for athletic success; his father Charles was a nationally ranked ice skater who nearly qualified for the Olympics in the 1970s; his mother, Liz, was captain of the Princeton lacrosse team.

    9) Mets’ SS Amed Rosario got his 4th walk of the season last night, in his 67th plate appearance; last year, he had three walks in 170 PAs.

    8) Big 14 is already moving to 20 conference games next basketball season. ACC will do the same in 2019-20. Now the Pac-12 might go to 20 league games, too. This will hurt mid-majors trying to get an at large NCAA bid- extra conference games will raise teams’ power ratings.

    7) Reds 9, Braves 7 (12)— Atlanta scored four runs in 9th inning to tie game, but Scooter Gennett sent everyone home happy with a walk-off homer in the 12th inning.

    6) Golfer Matt Kuchar has made 28 consecutive cuts, longest current streak on the PGA Tour.

    5) There have been 77 home runs hit into McCovey Cove behind the RF fence at Giants’ Pac-Bell ballpark in San Francisco; 35 of those were hit by Barry Bonds.

    4) Houston Rockets led 50-49 at halftime in Minnesota Monday night, then outscored the Timberwolves 50-20 in the 3rd quarter, as they took a 3-1 series lead. It was only the second time ever a team had a +30 quarter in a playoff game.

    3) I wonder if someday baseball will go to flat bases, like we used to have in kickball when we were kids. Two reasons:
    a) Players sometimes turn an ankle stepping on a base, especially if it is raining.
    b) Once in a great while, batted balls hit a base and provide a lucky hit.

    Not saying I would endorse that, but could see it happening.

    2) 236 players declared as early-entrants for the NBA Draft, 181 from colleges; those who did not sign with an agent can still go back to college. There are only 60 picks in the NBA Draft, so do the math. Salary in the G-League is $35,000 a year, about the same as tuition for a year in college. Some kids have some very interesting choices to make.

    1) I have no sympathy for guys who are eligible for the NBA or NFL Draft who fail a drug test before the draft. You’re on the verge of getting a job that potentially can pay you millions of dollars; you KNOW you’re going to get drug tested. You KNOW it!!!

    A wide receiver from Florida failed a drug test at the NFL Combine. At the freakin’ Combine? Not good.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-25-2018 at 12:23 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, April 25



    Toronto @ Boston

    Game 25-26
    April 25, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    10.265
    Boston
    11.178
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 1
    3
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-165); Under





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, April 25


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (52-29-0-7, 111 pts.) at BOSTON (53-23-0-12, 118 pts.) - 4/25/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
    BOSTON is 11-16 ATS (-16.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 273-235 ATS (-157.9 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 24-28 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 36-42 ATS (-35.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 40-46 ATS (-18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 11-8 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 11-8-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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    NHL

    Wednesday, April 25


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Toronto is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    Toronto is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games on the road
    Toronto is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Boston
    Toronto is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Boston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
    Boston is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
    Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-25-2018 at 12:24 PM.

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    Stanley Cup Playoffs Game 7 Betting Preview and Odds: Leafs at Bruins

    Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins (-170, 5.5)

    Series tied 3-3.

    The Toronto Maple Leafs have not won a postseason series since 2004 -- a streak they hope to snap when they visit the Boston Bruins on Wednesday night in a winner-take-all Game 7 of their Eastern Conference first-round set. After facing series deficits of 2-0 and 3-1, the Maple Leafs staved off elimination with a 4-3 win at Boston in Game 5 before prevailing 3-1 on Monday night.

    Despite's Boston early dominance, the series is eerily reminiscent of the previous meeting between the teams in the playoffs in 2013, when Toronto won Games 5 and 6 only to become the first team in history to cough up a three-goal third-period lead in Game 7. “In both scenarios, we’ve been down 3-1 and come back,” Maple Leafs defenseman Jake Gardiner said. "We’re not thinking specifically about (the past) with Boston. Our goal is to win the Stanley Cup and you have to beat everybody. The pressure is kind of off us. Just relax, treat it like another game, and ultimately you’ll be ready.” It appeared the Bruins would make it a short series after winning the opening two games by a combined 12-4, but they remain confident of advancing to a conference semifinal matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning. “If anybody would have told us at the start of the year that we’d be going into a Game 7 in the first round at home, we would have taken it," Boston forward Brad Marchand said. "Whatever has happened in the last six games doesn’t mean anything. ... It’s going to be a challenge. They’re a great team and they’ve played really well in this series. It’s gonna be fun and we’re looking forward to it.”

    TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet, TVAS (Toronto), NESN (Boston)

    BETTING STATS:



    LINE HISTORY: The Bruins opened as -165 moneyline favorites for Game 7 and, as of Tuesday night, that number has been bet up to -170. 67 percent of moneyline wagers logged by consensus for this game are on the favorite Bruins. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has not moved.

    GOALIE MATCHUP:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Frederik Andersen 38 21 5 2.81 .918 5
    Tuukka Rask 34 14 5 2.36 .917 3

    ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS: Frederik Andersen entered the series with a 10-1-0 record against Boston, but he was pierced early and often before turning in superb performances in the past two outings, making 42 saves in Game 5 and turning aside 32 of 33 shots in Game 6. “We’ve played with that (elimination) mentality for a bit now and we should be comfortable with it,” Andersen said. “But I don’t think there’s too much momentum going on in the playoffs like this." Mitch Marner is riding the momentum of a stellar series, delivering the tiebreaking score Monday to give him two goals and six assists during a five-game point streak.

    ABOUT THE BRUINS: Boston's top line of Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak amassed a staggering 20 points in the first two games of the series, but the unit has been held off the scoresheet in each of the three losses while posting a minus-16 in those games. Maybe there is a little bit of (frustration), but you've got to go back to the drawing board and find the character we've shown all year," said Bergeron, who has been stifled since sitting out Game 4 due to injury. "Now it's about one game." Coach Bruce Cassidy dropped Rick Nash to the third line with Riley Nash and David Backes and replaced him with Danton Heinen.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    INJURY REPORT:

    Leafs - C Leo Komarov (Questionable, Lower Body), LW Joffrey Lupul (I-R, Conditioning).

    Bruins - D Brandon Carlo (Out For Season, Ankle), LW Anders Bjork (Out For Season, Shoulder).

    TRENDS:

    * Maple Leafs are 6-0 in their last 6 Wednesday games.
    * Bruins are 21-6 in their last 27 home games.
    * Over is 8-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 10 road games.
    * Over is 10-2-4 in Bruins last 16 home games.
    * Home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-25-2018 at 12:25 PM.

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