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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/23

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, April 23

    Good Luck on day #113 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — Giants’ 1B Brandon Belt had a 21-pitch AB Sunday that took 12:45— he fouled off 16 two-strike pitches, before he lined out to RF. 21-pitch AB is a major league record, at least since 1986, when they started keeping track of this stuff.

    — Spurs 103, Warriors 90— San Antonio staves off elimination, now trails series 3-1

    — Bucks 104, Celtics 102— Milwaukee hung on after leading by 16 at the half.

    — Penguins 8, Flyers 5— Pitt advances to 2nd round; not a lot of defense here.

    — Indians 7, Orioles 3— Under is now 8-1 in games at Camden Yards this season.

    — Cubs’ 3B Kris Bryant was hit in head by a pitch, left the game in Denver Sunday, but was said to be OK.

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: More football notes as Draft Week starts……

    13) The 2018 schedule was announced Thursday night, the best option out of 59,031 possible schedules that the league’s computer produced.

    12) FOX is doing Thursday Night Football this season; apparently they asked the NFL to move some of their prime Sunday afternoon games to Thursday, and that happened.

    Vikings-Rams, Packers-Seahawks, Eagles-Giants, Saints-Cowboys are all Thursday night games this year. FOX’s Thursday night ratings should be pretty good.

    11) No teams will play on the road following a Monday Night Football road game; that happened five times last year, and teams complained about it.

    10) Eagles-Jaguars play a 9:30am ET game in London, which means the poor ticket takers in Las Vegas casinos (6:30am there) probably have to be at work by 5:30am. No bueno.

    This is the first time ever the defending Super Bowl champ will play in England.

    9) Jets-Lions is a Week 1 Monday night game in large part because Ed Sheeran has a Sunday concert at Ford Field that week. Sheeran’s concert tour forced 8 NFL games off of Sunday dates.

    8) According to Sports Illustrated’s Peter King, last year the Giants were not pleased with their schedule because they felt they were too often playing teams more rested than they were- they were -22 in “rest disparity”, at one point playing consecutive games vs teams coming off their bye week. This year, no team’s rest disparity is worse than -11. (Giants’ is -7)

    7) NFL will play two Saturday games in Week 16—but they haven’t been announced yet. That is also Christmas week, but the four teams won’t be told their games will be played on December 22 until Halloween or so. Those two games will undoubtedly involve contending teams.

    6) Packers-Patriots in Week 9 is just the second meeting between Rodgers-Brady as starting QB’s. Green Bay beat the Patriots 26-21 in 2014, with Rodgers throwing for 368 yards, but he was hurt when New England beat the Packers in 2010.

    Rodgers didn’t start in the 2006 Packer-Patriot meeting, but replaced an injured Brett Favre in 2nd quarter of an easy New England win.

    5) Jon Gruden has been out of coaching for nine years; he’s spent most of that time on Monday Night Football, so fitting that his return to the sidelines is the Week 1 Monday Night Football nightcap against the Rams in Oakland.

    4) If you were advising Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield and he told you he wanted a camera crew to follow him around for four months before the draft, would you have told him that was a good idea or a bad idea?

    Apparently there is going to be a documentary made about Mayfield’s path from his bowl game last January to the NFL Draft in Dallas. Would be fun to know what his prospective employers think of that.

    3) “Every game I’ve seen him play, he’s been the best player on the field.”

    Thats an AFC GM talking about Louisville QB Lamar Jackson, who to me will be the most interesting player to follow at the draft Thursday-Saturday.

    2) According to a video on NFL.com, Green Bay has the toughest schedule in 2018 and Houston has the easiest. Of course, injuries will drastically change all that as time goes on, but the NFL Network has to have something to talk about between now and the draft on Thursday.

    1) Denver Broncos signed free agent punter Marquette King, so they traded their old punter Riley Dixon to the Giants for a future conditional draft pick.

  3. #3
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    Monday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds

    The Stanley Cup Playoffs continue Monday with two Game 6's. The Maple Leafs and Blue Jackets need to defend home ice in order to keep their seasons alive and force Game 7.

    Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs (+110, 6)

    Bruins lead series 3-2.

    One night after Pittsburgh and Nashville both failed to win close-out games on home ice, the Boston Bruins suffered a similar fate in their bid to KO the Toronto Maple Leafs in their Eastern Conference first-round series. The Bruins get another chance to send the Maple Leafs packing when they take a 3-2 series lead into Monday's Game 6 at Toronto's Air Canada Centre.

    ABOUT THE BRUINS (53-22-9-3, 39-43 O/U): The Bruins still have the upper hand in the series and have reason to feel confident, having won Game 4 in Toronto (3-1) and knowing it has the luxury of a winner-take-all Game 7 on home ice. Goaltender Tuukka Rask has guided Boston to the Stanley Cup Final (2013) and won a Vezina Trophy, but he lasted only nine shots and was yanked midway through the second period Saturday after giving up four goals to put his team in a catch-up situation. Center Patrice Bergeron was back in the lineup Saturday after sitting out Game 4 but Boston's top line, which amassed 20 points in the first two games, was held off the scoresheet.

    ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS (51-29-5-2, 44-36 O/U): The Maple Leafs were demolished in their first two games in Boston by a combined 12-4 count but they scored a pair of early goals and rode a superb 42-save performance by Frederik Andersen to stave off elimination with a 4-3 victory. There was speculation as to whether coach Mike Babcock would switch Mitch Marner to Auston Matthews' line to ignite a spark; instead, Babcock elevated Connor Brown alongside Matthews, moved William Nylander to a newly formed unit with Kadri and Andreas Johnsson, and put Kasperi Kapanen with Tyler Bozak and James van Riemsdyk. Brown and Johnsson each scored their first career playoff goals and van Riemsdyk also converted.

    SERIES PRICE (PER SPORTS INTERACTION):



    LINE HISTORY: The Bruins opened as -130 road favorites for Game 6 and as of Sunday night that moneyline has not moved. The total hit betting boards at 6 and has been steady.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Bruins - D Brandon Carlo (Out For Season, Ankle), LW Anders Bjork (Out For Season, Shoulder).

    Leafs - C Leo Komarov (Questionable, Lower Body), LW Joffrey Lupul (I-R, Conditioning).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Bruins are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
    * Maple Leafs are 22-8 in their last 30 home games.
    * Under is 8-3 in Bruins' last 11 road games.
    * Over is 11-5-1 in Maple Leafs' last 17 home games.
    * Bruins are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.




    Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets (-105, 5.5)

    Capitals lead series 3-2.

    Columbus Blue Jackets coach John Tortorella offered the second guarantee of his team's Eastern Conference first-round series, and he hopes it goes as well as the first one served up by Washington Capitals captain Alex Ovechkin. Tortorella's Blue Jackets aim to avert a fourth straight loss and stave off elimination on Monday when they host Ovechkin and the Capitals in Game 6 at Nationwide Area.

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS (52-26-8-1, 49-36 O/U): In addition to his two goals, Backstrom also had an assist to cap a three-point performance to move into a tie with defenseman John Carlson with a team-leading eight points in the series. Evgeny Kuznetsov scored his fourth goal in Game 5 to claim the club lead in that department from Russian countryman Ovechkin, who was held off the scoresheet for the first time since the series opener and saw his multi-point streak end at three games. Washington G Braden Holtby has turned aside 95 of 101 shots during his team's three-game winning streak.

    ABOUT THE BLUE JACKETS (47-31-5-4, 44-43 O/U): "I won't have to say a damn word to (my team). We'll be back here for Game 7." Checking forward Matt Calvert (team-leading three goals) netted his second career two-goal performance in the playoffs in Game 5 and Alexander Wennberg notched an assist in his first game of the series to perhaps instill the confidence needed by Tortorella to make his postseason guarantee. Columbus has seen its power play short-circuit as the team has failed on 13 consecutive opportunities in the last three games after an initial 4-for-8 performance in the first two.

    SERIES PRICE (PER SPORTS INTERACTION):



    LINE HISTORY: This game opened as a Pick 'Em and as of Sunday night the moneyline has moved slightly in the Caps' direction to -115. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has yet to move.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Capitals - LW Andre Burakovsky (Out Indefinitely, Upper Body).

    Jackets - C Alexander Wennberg (Questionable, Upper Body), LW Lukas Sedlak (Out Indefinitely, Head).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Capitals are 7-0 in their last 7 road games.
    * Blue Jackets are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
    * Over is 6-2 in Capitals' last 8 overall.
    * Over is 9-2 in Blue Jackets' last 11 overall.
    * Capitals are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-23-2018 at 11:29 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, April 23



    Boston @ Toronto

    Game 17-18
    April 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    11.906
    Toronto
    10.536
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -125
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-125); Over

    Washington @ Columbus


    Game 19-20
    April 23, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    11.912
    Columbus
    10.633
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -115
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-115); Over





    NHL

    Monday, April 23


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    Trend Report
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    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
    Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games on the road
    Boston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Maple Leafs
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Toronto's last 25 games
    Toronto is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
    Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
    Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
    Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Columbus
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Columbus
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
    Columbus Blue Jackets
    Columbus is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Columbus is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
    Columbus is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Columbus's last 11 games
    Columbus is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Columbus is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
    Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games at home
    Columbus is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    Columbus is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing Washington
    Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-23-2018 at 11:30 AM.

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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Monday, April 23


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (53-22-0-12, 118 pts.) at TORONTO (51-29-0-7, 109 pts.) - 4/23/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 36-41 ATS (-17.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 20-11 ATS (+32.6 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
    TORONTO is 141-148 ATS (-49.8 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 10-8 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 10-8-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (52-26-0-9, 113 pts.) at COLUMBUS (47-31-0-9, 103 pts.) - 4/23/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 53-35 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 20-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 17-9 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
    WASHINGTON is 29-17 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WASHINGTON is 9-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    COLUMBUS is 21-40 ATS (+65.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 12-6 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 12-6-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-23-2018 at 11:31 AM.

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