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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/22

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, April 22

    Good Luck on day #112 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Early over/under win totals for NFL teams in 2018:

    10.5— Eagles, Patriots, Packers, Vikings

    9.5— Falcons, Texans, Jaguars, Chargers, Rams

    8.5— Ravens, Panthers, Cowboys, Saints, Raiders, 49ers, Seahawks

    7.5— Broncos, Lions, Chiefs, Giants, Titans

    6.5— Bills, Bears, Colts, Jets, Buccaneers

    5.5— Cardinals, Bengals, Dolphins, Redskins


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Oakland 3, Boston 0— Sean Manaea’s first career complete game is also a no-hitter, and against a powerful lineup that was 17-2 coming into the game.

    Manaea walked only two hitters; it was the first time the Red Sox were shut out in 25 years, when current Tigers’ pitching coach Chris Bosio did it for the Mariners on April 22, 1993, so almost 25 years to the day.

    12) San Diego Padres’ manager Andy Green had himself a dilemma in Phoenix Friday night.

    Padres led 1-0 after seven innings; Green’s Tyson Ross had a no-hitter going but had already thrown 104 pitches— this was his 4th start back from injury. Ross threw 81-107-100 pitches in his first three starts this season.

    Ross’ health is very important, winning the game is important; the no-hitter is less important but is the one thing everyone would talk about.

    11) Ross walked a guy, then with two out CF Franchy Cordero got Green off the hook when he misjudged a fly ball that fell for a double that tied the score and ended the no-hitter, after Ross had thrown 127 pitches.

    San Diego went on to win 4-1; hopefully Ross will bounce back and the longest outing of his career won’t cause his arm any problems.

    10) Utah Jazz rookie Donovan Mitchell was the 13th player taken in last summer’s draft; Denver took him, then traded him to Utah for Tyler Lydon, Trey Lyles.

    Mitchell scored 55 points in Utah’s first two playoff games, breaking Michael Jordan’s record for most points scored by a guard in his first two playoff games. Anytime you break one of Jordan’s records, you’re doing pretty well.

    9) Cal Bears hired former UCLA assistant basketball coach David Grace to the same position; there seemed to be hard feelings when Steve Alford fired the former Air Force veteran last month. Grace was a solid recruiter for the Bruins. UCLA-Cal games might be a little more spirited than normal next winter.

    8) Seven Pittsburgh Pirates were involved on a double play in Friday’s game; the play was scored 1-3-4-2-5-8-7, which means everyone touched the ball except the shortstop and rightfielder, and that doesn’t happen much at all.

    7) From Christopher Kamka: Javier Báez is the first Cubs’ player with 20+ RBI in team’s first 17 games of a season since Billy Williams (25) in 1970.

    6) Sports are interesting because sometimes you benefit from stuff that has nothing to do with you. Take the NBA’s New Orleans Pelicans.

    Nikola Mirotic scored 30 points for New Orleans in their Game 3 win over Portland; the Pelicans are one of the NBA’s hottest teams, and Mirotic is a big reason why.

    Back on October 17, Mirotic was in training camp with the Chicago Bulls; he was trash-talking with teammate Bobby Portis during a practice and finally a scuffle broke out. Portis punched Mirotic in the face; Mirotic was left with a fractured face and a concussion.

    5) Nine days later, Mirotic says either he or Portis has to leave the Bulls, but Mirotic couldn’t be traded until mid-January because he just signed a two-year deal with the Bulls last summer. Other Bulls who were quoted anonymously said they preferred Portis over Mirotic as a teammate, which had to make things pretty awkward for 9 or 10 weeks.

    Finally on February 1, Mirotic was sent to New Orleans for three players and a #1 draft pick. Good move by the Pelicans; they’re still playing. Chicago finished the season 27-55.

    4) Was watching the Reds-Cardinals game on the baseball package on DirecTV Saturday; the Reds’ announcers sound like their best friend just died. Very somber. I know the team sucks, but tell some stories, entertain the viewers— talk about how to get out of slumps. Something!!!

    3) 76ers 106, Heat 102— Philly leads series 3-1; Miami led all four games at halftime.

    2) Aaron Rodgers bought a minority stake in the Milwaukee Bucks this week; not bad for a guy who had zero football scholarship offers coming out of high school.

    1) They had 86,818 fans at Nebraska’s spring football game Saturday.

    Number 31 on the red team scored a touchdown in that game; he is a wide receiver from Arizona and that was his first-ever college catch. Kid’s name is Kade Warner; you might’ve heard of his father, Hall of Fame QB Kurt Warner.

  3. #3
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    Sunday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds

    The Stanley Cup Playoffs continue Sunday with two Game 6's. The Flyers and Avalanche need to defend home ice in order to keep their seasons alive and force Game 7's. - the most exciting thing in sports.

    Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers (+110, 6)

    Penguins lead series 3-2.

    The Philadelphia Flyers extended their Eastern Conference first-round series by defeating the Penguins in Pittsburgh for the second time in three games. The Flyers, who find themselves trailing 3-2 in the series, aim to once again stave off elimination in Game 6 on Sunday afternoon against a Penguins club that has outscored the hosts 20-4 at Wells Fargo Center this season.

    The Flyers aim to avert an 0-3 postseason performance for the second time in 20 years against Pittsburgh, which has posted wins in Philadelphia with lopsided scores of 5-1, 5-2, 5-1 and 5-0 - with the latter two coming in Game 3 and 4 of this series. Penguins superstar captain Sidney Crosby has tuned out Flyers fans and the team itself in Philadelphia, erupting for 10 points (two goals, eight assists) and a plus-8 rating in four games this season at Wells Fargo Center.

    TV: 3 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, TVAS

    ABOUT THE PENGUINS: Forwards Evgeni Malkin and Patric Hornqvist will be "game-time decisions" in Game 6, per coach Mike Sullivan, with the former laboring after Jori Lehtera fell on his left leg in the first period while the latter has missed the last two games with an upper-body injury. Malkin returned to the second period and logged 20:22 of ice time, but Derick Brassard likely would be elevated from the third line to second should the former Hart Trophy recipient's injury be too much after the adrenaline wears off. "(Brassard) is an important player for us, regardless of who's in the lineup. He's a good player. I thought (Friday) night was his best performance as a Penguin," Sullivan said of Brassard, who notched an assist in Game 5 and has three points (one goal, two assists) in the series.

    ABOUT THE FLYERS: Valtteri Filppula turned in his most impressive performance as a member of the Flyers on Friday, netting a short-handed goal to forge a tie late in the second period while setting up two others after failing to dent the scoresheet in his nine previous outings. "Fil's just a really good, two-way veteran. Very sound up and down the middle of the rink," coach Dave Hakstol said of the 34-year-old Finn. Michal Neuvirth, a surprise starter in Game 5, turned aside 30 shots - including a diving stop on Crosby with 50 seconds remaining in the third period - to increase his postseason save percentage to a sterling .930 in 15 career tilts.

    SERIES PRICE (PER WESTGATE):



    LINE HISTORY: The Flyers opened this elimination game as +140 home dogs and that number has been bet down to +130 heading into game day. The total hit betting boards at 6 and has yet to move off the opening number.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Penguins - RW Patric Hornqvist (Questionable, Upper Body) ,RW Carter Rowney (Out Indefinitely, Upper Body).

    Flyers - No injuries to report.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Penguins are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
    * Over is 7-1-1 in Penguins last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    * Over is 6-1-1 in Flyers last 8 games following a win.
    * Penguins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.




    Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche (+155, 6)

    Predators lead series 3-2.

    The Colorado Avalanche weren't given much of a chance by many prognosticators heading into their Western Conference first-round series with the Nashville Predators, but a late surge helped them fend off elimination in their last outing. The upstart Avalanche aim to fluster the Presidents' Trophy-winning Predators once again in Game 6 on Sunday when the series shifts to the Pepsi Center.

    Nathan MacKinnon deftly weaved his way around defenders before setting up captain Gabriel Landeskog for the tying goal before Sven Andrighetto cleaned up a rebound with 1:28 left as Colorado snapped a seven-game skid in Nashville with a 2-1 win on Friday. Nashville was unable to advance and set up a conference semifinal date with Patrik Laine and Winnipeg despite unleashing 19 of its 45 shots in the third period at Andrew Hammond (career-high 44 saves), but coach Peter Laviolette wasn't going to put too much stock into the latest setback.

    TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, Sportsnet, TVAS, FS Tennessee (Nashville), Altitude (Colorado)

    ABOUT THE PREDATORS: Austin Watson recorded his club-best sixth point while extending his point streak to six games (four goals, three assists) after setting up Nick Bonino midway into the third period on Friday. While Watson is having a strong series, Nashville's second line of Craig Smith, Kevin Fiala and Kyle Turris have struggled mightily at times against Colorado. Smith has saved face with two goals, but Fiala committed both of the Predators' penalties in Game 5 and Turris has registered only five shots while notching just one assist and a minus-1 rating in the series.

    ABOUT THE AVALANCHE: Hammond had all of one regular-season game with Colorado under his belt, but that lack of familiarity didn't prevent him from turning in a sterling performance in Game 5. "For the most part, I thought guys did a good job letting me see pucks through lanes and boxing out," the 30-year-old said. "When it wasn't, you go back to your roots. I'm more of a battler as a goalie than necessarily technically perfect, but you'll take it however it comes." Defenseman Tyson Barrie set up a goal for the second straight game and fourth time in four outings to pull even with Mikko Rantanen for the team lead in assists.

    SERIES PRICE (PER WESTGATE):



    LINE HISTORY: The Predators opened as high as +165 road favorites and that was too high for bettors as money coming in on the home team brought that number down to +155 at most books. The total hit the board at 6 and has held firm at that number.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Predators - D Yannick Weber (Questionable, Upper Body), RW Ryan Hartman (Eligible, Suspension).

    Avalanche - G Jonathan Bernier (Questionable, Lower Body), G Semyon Varlamov (Out Indefinitely, Knee), D Erik Johnson (Late May, Knee).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Predators are 9-2 in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.
    * Avalanche are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.
    * Over is 7-1 in Avalanche last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
    * Predators are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Colorado.
    * Predators are 14-3 in the last 17 meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-22-2018 at 11:26 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, April 22



    Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia

    Game 73-74
    April 22, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    11.636
    Philadelphia
    10.231
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -155
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-155); Over

    Nashville @ Colorado


    Game 75-76
    April 22, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nashville
    11.884
    Colorado
    10.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -175
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-175); Under





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, April 22


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    PITTSBURGH (50-31-0-6, 106 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (44-29-0-14, 102 pts.) - 4/22/2018, 3:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 29-21 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 21-7 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 64-61 ATS (-4.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 13-5 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 118-68 ATS (+16.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 49-26 ATS (+12.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 26-9 ATS (+11.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 16-2 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 254-266 ATS (+537.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 12-5 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 12-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NASHVILLE (56-20-0-11, 123 pts.) at COLORADO (45-33-0-9, 99 pts.) - 4/22/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 46-42 ATS (-20.5 Units) in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 17-6 ATS (+24.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
    COLORADO is 27-23 ATS (+68.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
    COLORADO is 16-9 ATS (+28.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NASHVILLE is 56-32 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
    NASHVILLE is 45-25 ATS (+11.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 265-207 ATS (+36.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    NASHVILLE is 206-175 ATS (+384.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
    NASHVILLE is 34-16 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NASHVILLE is 47-25 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 14-5 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 14-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    14 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+9.6 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Sunday, April 22


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Philadelphia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games
    Nashville is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Nashville is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Nashville's last 18 games when playing Colorado
    Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Nashville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Colorado is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
    Colorado is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Colorado's last 18 games when playing Nashville
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
    Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing at home against Nashville


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-22-2018 at 11:27 AM.

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