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Thread: Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/14

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, April 14

    Good Luck on day #104 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Updated odds to win the NBA title:

    Golden State Warriors 7-5

    Houston Rockets 9-5

    Cleveland Cavaliers 17-10

    Toronto Raptors 13-1

    Philadelphia 76ers 16-1

    Oklahoma City Thunder 40-1


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……

    13) Thinking about the NFL Draft and Baker Mayfield— I know there’s a lot more to it than just the QB, but Oklahoma Sooners averaged 8.29 yards/play last year, best in country. Next best was UCF at 7.46 yards/play. Sam Darnold’s USC offense was 15th on the list, at 5.56 yards/play.

    12) Jets traded three #2 draft picks to move up from #6 to #3 in the draft, so everyone’s job is on the line when they make that selection in 12 days.

    Guess it is odd that the Giants/Jets will be under intense scrutiny in a draft held in Dallas.

    11) Atlanta Falcons games in 2017 went under the total by an average of 6.84 ppg, after a 2016 season whey went over the total almost every week.

    Detroit Lions games went over by an average of 4.34 ppg, the most in the NFL.

    10) Mets lost both their catchers to injury this week; Travis d’Arnaud tore his UCL, Kevin Plawecki broke his hand. When you’re excited about having Jose Lobaton on your roster, it is time to trade for a catcher.

    9) Chick-fil-A is coming to New York City, which means it is only 148 miles from Armadillo World HQ. Actually, there is a Chick-fil-A in Albany Airport, but you have to go thru security to get to it, so only time I can eat there is when I fly to Las Vegas.

    8) Dallas Cowboys sent WR Dez Bryant packing, which is what happens when you don’t run as fast as you used to. He has a reputation as a bad clubhouse guy; we’ll see where he catches on.

    7) Paul Casey missed the cut at Harbourtown this week, ending his streak of 29 consecutive cuts made, which was the longest active streak on Tour.

    6) Braves 4, Cubs 0— I know its early, I know the weather has mostly sucked so far, but Chicago is 6-7 and their lineup looks very bland. Anthony Rizzo is expected back next week

    5) Much-improved baseball announcer; Braves’ TV guy Chip Caray has gotten so much better over the years; he is fun to listen to now. He is a little ornery about instant replay, but working with Joe Simpson, they’re a good team.

    4) As the dust clears on Lonzo Ball’s rookie year in the NBA, we see that Ball averaged 10.2 ppg, 7.2 assists, 6.9 rebounds and 1.7 steals while shooting 36% from the floor, 30.5% from beyond the arc, while missing 30 of 82 games— he played 34.2 mpg in the 50 games he did play.

    3) Seahawks signed Sebastian Janikowski to be their new kicker; he’ll see his old team Oakland next season. Raiders will see their old punter Marquette King twice a year since he is now a Denver Bronco.

    2) Here in Albany, Siena gave basketball coach Jimmy Patsos $350K to take a hike after five years with the Saints. Patsos was 77-92 at Siena, 47-51 in MAAC games- he didn’t make the NCAA tournament. He did make the NCAA’s once in nine years as coach of Loyola, MD.

    To get out of paying most of what they owed Patsos (he had 3 years left on his contract), the school dredged up some crummy things he did within the team— he was verbally abusive to a team manager, among other things.

    Rumored replacements for Patsos: LeMoyne coach Patrick Beilein and Syracuse assistant Gerry McNamara.

    1— White Sox-Twins in Minnesota was snowed out Friday night and prospects for Saturday don’t look so good, either. Why didn’t they put a retractable dome on their new ballpark, like Milwaukee did?
    Last edited by Udog; 04-14-2018 at 05:10 AM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, April 14



    San Antonio @ Golden State

    Game 501-502
    April 14, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    119.637
    Golden State
    130.775
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 11
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 8
    209 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-8); Over

    Washington @ Toronto


    Game 503-504
    April 14, 2018 @ 5:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    112.706
    Toronto
    122.923
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 10
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 7 1/2
    211
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-7 1/2); Under

    Miami @ Philadelphia


    Game 505-506
    April 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    119.064
    Philadelphia
    124.112
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 5
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 7
    210
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+7); Over

    New Orleans @ Portland


    Game 507-508
    April 14, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    125.963
    Portland
    122.136
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4
    201
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 6
    217 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (+6); Under





    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, April 14


    
Spurs vs Warriors (0-0) 


    No Curry or Leonard in this series. Spurs (47-35) had their worst record in Gregg Popovich’s 21 years as head coach; they won their first round playoff series 14 of last 17 years, but were favored in those. San Antonio lost eight of last nine games with Golden State; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Warriors (58-24) won their fewest games since 2014; they played in NBA Finals last three years. Spurs are 0-7 vs spread in last seven road games; their last road cover was March 8, a 110-107 (+11) loss here in Oakland. Warriors are 0-5 vs spread in last five home games.

    Wizards vs Raptors (0-0)
    

Toronto (59-23) won most games in franchise history; they won first round series last two years, but have never been to NBA Finals. Raptors won their last four home games overall (2-1-1 vs spread). Washington is in playoffs for 4th time in five years; they won their last three first round series. Wizards are 3-7 in last ten games with Toronto, 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Road team won five of last seven series games; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Wizards lost six their last six road games (1-5 vs spread).

    Heat vs 76ers (0-0)


    Philadelphia won its last 16 games, longest winning streak ever going into playoffs; Sixers are in playoffs for first time since 2012- they lost four of last five first round series. Home side won last nine Miami-Philly games; Heat is 2-3 vs spread in last five games in this building. Three of last four series games stayed under total. 76ers’ last loss was March 13; they’re 7-2 vs spread in last nine home games. Heat is in playoffs for 8th time in last ten years; they won last five first round series. Miami split its last ten games; they’re 1-2-1 vs spread in last four road games.

    Pelicans vs Trailblazers (0-0)
    

New Orleans is in playoffs for first time since ’15 and only 2nd time in last seven years; they lost last three first round series- last time they won a playoff series was 2008. Pelicans won four of last six games with Portland; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. New Orleans is without Cousins; they won/covered last five games overall (over 4-1), with wins at Oakland and the Clippers. Blazers are in playoffs for 5th straight year; they’re 2-8 in last ten first round series. Portland won its last three home games overall (2-1 vs spread).




    NBA

    Saturday, April 14


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    San Antonio is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
    San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    San Antonio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
    San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
    San Antonio is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Golden State
    San Antonio is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
    Golden State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Golden State is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
    Golden State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
    Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
    Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
    Golden State is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio


    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games
    Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
    Washington is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
    Washington is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Toronto
    Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Washington is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
    Toronto is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Toronto is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
    Toronto is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
    Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing Washington
    Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
    Toronto is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


    Miami Heat
    Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Miami is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Miami is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
    Miami is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
    Miami is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Philadelphia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    Philadelphia is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
    Philadelphia is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami


    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
    New Orleans is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    New Orleans is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
    New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
    New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
    New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
    New Orleans is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing on the road against Portland
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland is 15-5-2 ATS in its last 22 games
    Portland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Portland is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Portland is 16-2-2 ATS in its last 20 games at home
    Portland is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
    Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    Portland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games when playing at home against New Orleans


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-14-2018 at 10:40 AM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, April 14


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (47 - 35) at GOLDEN STATE (58 - 24) - 4/14/2018, 3:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 129-95 ATS (+24.5 Units) in April games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1045-916 ATS (+37.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 142-108 ATS (+23.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 32-41 ATS (-13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (43 - 39) at TORONTO (59 - 23) - 4/14/2018, 5:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 36-44 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 68-49 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 195-247 ATS (-76.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 6-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 8-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (44 - 38) at PHILADELPHIA (52 - 30) - 4/14/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games on Saturday games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MIAMI is 90-70 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    MIAMI is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (48 - 34) at PORTLAND (49 - 33) - 4/14/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 44-71 ATS (-34.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    PORTLAND is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
    PORTLAND is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    PORTLAND is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
    PORTLAND is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    PORTLAND is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    PORTLAND is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PORTLAND is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    PORTLAND is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PORTLAND is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 45-36 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 6-6 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 6-6 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Sunday, April 15

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (44 - 38) at BOSTON (55 - 27) - 4/15/2018, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 74-91 ATS (-26.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 376-456 ATS (-125.6 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 201-247 ATS (-70.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
    BOSTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 135-98 ATS (+27.2 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (48 - 34) at CLEVELAND (50 - 32) - 4/15/2018, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 47-35 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
    INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Sunday games this season.
    INDIANA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 19-43 ATS (-28.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 11-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 11-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (48 - 34) at OKLAHOMA CITY (48 - 34) - 4/15/2018, 6:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
    UTAH is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (47 - 35) at HOUSTON (65 - 17) - 4/15/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 372-436 ATS (-107.6 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
    HOUSTON is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 10-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-14-2018 at 10:41 AM.

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    16 NBA Playoffs Betting Notes for 16 Championship Contenders
    Monty Andrews

    LeBron James posted his highest scoring average (27.5) since 2009-10 while setting career highs in assists (9.1) and rebounds (8.6); all while leading the league in minutes played.

    Sixteen teams enter the weekend with the goal of winning an NBA championship - and while there are certainly some pretenders in the mix, there are a handful of teams that could walk away with the Larry O'Brien Championship Trophy this June. That said, two teams stand out in oddsmakers' eyes: The Golden State Warriors are the favorite at +125 on Bet365, followed by the Houston Rockets at +160.

    Here are the key betting notes for each of this year's 16 playoff participants:

    Eastern Conference

    Toronto Raptors


    The Raptors (+850 to win the title) came oh-so-close to joining the 60-win club this season, and are a significant threat to win the conference title given how well they performed - particularly in blowouts. Toronto went a stunning 33-5 in games decided by 10 or more points, making them a solid double-digit margin play in prop betting. On the flip side, they were just 5-7 in games decided by three points or fewer, so perhaps you should avoid making a close-decision prop bet on Toronto.

    Boston Celtics

    The Celtics (+6,000) are the feel-good story of the season considering how many key injuries they've had to deal with - but their run could be a short one if they don't curtail the turnovers. Boston has the second-worst turnover rate (15.2) percent over the previous 15 games; that stretch coincides with Kyrie Irving's absence from the lineup. That, combined with the sixth-slowest pace in the league over that span, suggests that bettors should take the under on the Celtics team total.

    Philadelphia 76ers

    The 76ers (+2,000) stunned the basketball world by winning their final 16 games of the season to seize third place in the conference away from the Cleveland Cavaliers. Bettors should note that Philly was the second-best first-quarter team in the league, both in terms of points (29.4) and margin (plus-3.4). This makes the Sixers a terrific first-quarter prop option, as well as a terrific play in the race to 20 points - but avoid them in late-game live betting, as their minus-1.1 fourth-quarter scoring margin is 29th overall.

    Cleveland Cavaliers

    LeBron James might have had his best NBA season yet - at age 33, no less. The future Hall of Famer posted his highest scoring average (27.5) since 2009-10 while setting career highs in assists (9.1) and rebounds (8.6); all while leading the league in minutes played. And The King has saved his best for last, tying or exceeding his regular-season scoring average in six straight postseasons - so consider the over on James' single-game point props as he looks to lead the Cavs (+750) to their second NBA title.

    Indiana Pacers

    The Pacers made a living out of pulling out tight games during the regular season - and that bodes well for them in their first-round matchup against LeBron and the Cavs. Indiana went a sensational 11-2 in games decided by three or fewer points; the 11 victories tied Boston for the most in that category. If they can hang with Cleveland into the latter stages of the game, you'll likely get great odds on a Pacers live bet; consider, as well, that Indiana was a perfect 3-0 in overtime games this season.

    Miami Heat

    Some teams come out of the half-time break on fire (you'll read about one such club shortly); others absolutely do not. The Heat (+10,000) find themselves in the latter category, entering the playoffs as the second-worst third-quarter team in the league at a paltry 23.9 points per game. Not only does this make the Heat completely avoidable in the third-quarter winner props, it should also make bettors think twice about picking Miami to have the highest-scoring second half despite Philly's fourth-quarter struggles.

    Milwaukee Bucks

    The Bucks (+7,000) couldn't have drawn a better first-round opponent than the Celtics, at least in one critical area. Milwaukee has been on fire over the past 15 games, averaging a league-best 21.2 points off turnovers in that span; no other team in the NBA is above 20 points. Combined with the Celtics' turnover troubles over that same stretch, bettors should consider taking the Bucks against the spread - or even as a straight-up underdog, which they're sure to be in the first two games of the series.

    Washington Wizards

    The Wizards (+9,000) might have a psychological edge, having eliminated Toronto in first-round play in 2015, but will need to be on their best behavior to have a shot at another upset this year. Washington averages 21.3 personal fouls per game, good for 25th out of 30 NBA teams; they also rank 25th in foul rate per possession (19.3 percent). Toronto ranks fourth overall in free-throw success rate (79.4 percent) - and extra foul shots will make them an attractive over play in team total props action.


    Western Conference

    Houston Rockets


    The Minnesota Timberwolves had better be ready from the opening tip - because the red-hot Rockets certainly will be. Houston enters the postseason as the team to beat, due in no small part to averaging a league-best 30 points in the opening quarter. They'll be an overwhelming favorite not only in the highest-scoring first-quarter prop - the Rockets' boasted an NBA-best plus-4.5 first-quarter scoring margin during the regular season - but also to win the race to 20 points. Bet both props confidently.

    Golden State Warriors

    Only two teams in the NBA averaged 30 or more points in a specific quarter - the Rockets in the opening stanze, and the Warriors in the 12 minutes preceding the half-time break. Golden State averaged 30.2 third-quarter points in 2017-18, making them a cinch as third-quarter winners against the overmatched Spurs. But consider taking the first quarter as the highest-scoring period overall; the Warriors averaged 29.0 points for (third overall) but surrendered 29.1 points against (most in the NBA).

    Portland Trail Blazers

    The Trail Blazers (+4,000) will need to be at their offensive best to keep up with a New Orleans Pelicans team that averaged nearly 112 points per game - and to do so, the Blazers have to fix some truly awful fourth-quarter long-range shooting woes. Portland enters its first-round encounter having connected on just 24 percent of its fourth-quarter 3-point attempts over the past 15 games. That makes the Blazers a no-go in 4Q scoring props, and as a live bet if they find themselves trailing late.

    Oklahoma City Thunder

    Extra possessions have a significant impact - not only in real-game situations, but in betting prop scenarios, as well. And when it comes to generating those extra possessions - and more scoring as a result - no team is more proficient than the Thunder (+3,300). Oklahoma City led the entire league in both points off turnovers (18.7 per game) and second-chance points (14.9); the Thunder also paced the NBA in offensive rebounding (12.5) and steals (5.0). Give OKC a second look when it comes to team point totals.

    Utah Jazz

    Everyone knows Russell Westbrook like to operate at a faster pace - and that was especially true down the stretch, as OKC ranked ninth in pace over the final 15 games of the season. But that should please the Jazz (+4,000) just fine - they finished second in the NBA in field-goal shooting early in the clock (18-22 seconds left) at 59.9 percent, and were fourth in 3-point shooting at 48.3 percent. If the pace picks up at some point in this series, over bettors are going to have a field day.

    New Orleans Pelicans

    No team played more overtime games than the Pelicans (+10,000) - and few were as successful in extra time, with the Pelicans going an impressive 7-2 en route to an unexpected playoff berth. Defense was the key for New Orleans in OT; they boasted a 93.9 defensive rating in the extra period this season, the third-best mark of any team to appear in at least five overtimes. It might not come up, but should the Pelicans take the Blazers to OT, they'll be a solid live bet.

    San Antonio Spurs

    The Spurs (+7,000) weren't able to extend their incredible streak of 50-win seasons, but their run of playoff appearances remains intact. That said, San Antonio isn't being given much of a chance against the powerhouse Warriors - though bettors should note that the Spurs boasted an incredible plus-7.4 scoring margin at home this season, compared to a minus-1.6 differential on the road. Taking the Spurs against the spread in Games 3 and 4 could pay handsomely.

    Minnesota Timberwolves

    Facing a team that launches 42 3-point attempts per game is a daunting task - but sometimes, the shots just don't fall. And the Timberwolves (+8,000) prefer to score a little closer to the basket, averaging a whopping 49.2 points in the paint - fourth-most in the league. With the Rockets having allowed 48 points in the paint during the regular season - the third-worst rate in the NBA - it's clear the T'Wolves have an edge here. Consider taking them against the spread, especially in Games 3 and 4 in Minnesota.

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    The one basketball betting trend you have to know for the NBA Playoffs
    Jason Logan

    Betting on NBA playoff teams down 0-2 to cover the first-half spread in Game 3 has produced a 64-32-7 ATS record in the postseason since 2007.

    Desperate times call for desperate measures. And that’s what makes this particular NBA Playoffs betting trend so profitable.

    If you ran in NBA betting circles on Twitter last spring, you may have stumbled upon this incredible postseason spot bet that’s been turning out 67 percent winners over the past 11 years.

    The set-up is simple enough: when a NBA team falls behind 0-2 in a playoff series, bet on them to cover the first-half pointspread in Game 3.

    If you did that in 2017, you would have walked away with a 9-3 ATS record. And if you were privy to this trend the past three postseasons, you’d be riding a 28-3 ATS windfall with that first-half situational system going 10-0 ATS in 2016 and 9-0 ATS in 2015. In fact, betting on a team down 0-2 to cover the first-half spread in Game 3 is 64-32-7 ATS in the NBA Playoffs since 2007.

    The best part about this trend is that there’s a strong narrative to back it up. Unlike some betting trends, that have no rhyme or reason, basketball bettors can easily connect the dots when it comes to the motivation behind those trailing teams and the value that lies in their odds for the first 24 minutes of Game 3. That narrative is definitely not lost on bookmakers either.

    "Flat out simple to understand, teams that are down 0-2 come out and play with far more desperation than they do for other games," Peter Childs, supervisor of risk management for Sportsbook.ag, told us during last year’s playoffs.

    "Teams can't afford to go down 0-3, so in must-win spots like being down 0-2, they come out blazing. And for the team they're playing, they're up 2-0 in the series. They are fat and happy and don't come out with the same urgency as their counterparts."

    Thanks to the lack of parity in the NBA, basketball bettors were blessed with this opportunity six times in the opening round of the playoffs last year, and three more times in the conference semifinals. It fizzled out in the conference finals and NBA Finals, which both saw three teams fall behind 0-2 but came up short versus the first-half spread in Game 3.

    With the average juice on a first-half bet being -110, a $100 wager on each of those 103 qualified situations for this remarkable trend would have returned $2,304 in winnings since 2007. And looking at just the past three NBA postseason, followers of this first-half system would be up $2,218.

    NBA bettors will want to keep an eye out for this situation to set itself up in the opening round of the playoffs, with action tipping off this weekend and Game 3’s scheduled for April 19, 20 and 21.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-13-2018 at 12:18 PM.

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    Saturday's NBA Playoffs betting preview and odds

    The opening round of the 2018 NBA Playoffs tip off Saturday with four games on the schedule, including the defending champion Warriors taking on the Spurs and the super exciting 76ers looking to extend their 16 game winning streak over to the postseason in their opener against the Heat.

    San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors (-8, 206)

    The San Antonio Spurs thought they had a chance to knock off the Golden State Warriors in the Western Conference finals last season and held a big lead in Game 1 until superstar Kawhi Leonard went down with an ankle injury. Leonard will be missing again when the teams meet a couple rounds earlier this sping, but Golden State will also be down a man, with former MVP Stephen Curry expected to miss at least this series with a knee sprain.

    ABOUT THE SPURS (47-35, 42, 38-2 ATS, 38-44 O/U): Second-year point guard Dejounte Murray found himself thrust into the rotation in the Western Conference finals last season after Tony Parker went down with an injury, but he is more comfortable now after spending most of 2017-18 as the starter. "It's a new year, new playoffs," Murray told reporters. "We've got to execute the game plan. Coach has a good game plan and we've got to go out - it's up to the players to execute the game plan. It's not going to be perfect, but we can still execute and get the best out of it." Murray adds some youth to a roster that leans heavily on the likes of Ginobili, Pau Gasol, age 37, Danny Green, 30, and Rudy Gay, 31.

    ABOUT THE WARRIORS (58-24, 34-47-1 ATS, 39-43 O/U): Golden State is 17-14 this season in games missed by Curry, but the team will lean on All-Stars Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green in the first round. Durant, who dealt with a rib injury late in the regular season, averaged 26.4 points on 51.6 percent shooting and has the confidence of his teammates to lead the way. "We all want Steph to be here," Quinn Cook, who is starting in place of Curry, told reporters, "but it gives us so much confidence knowing that we have another one of the greatest players to ever play the game."

    SERIES PRICE (PER PINNACLE):



    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: The Warriors hit the board as low as -6.5 at some shops, but they were quickly moved to the current number of -8. According to William Hill US, the Warriors are seeing a slight majority of the tickets (54 percent), but its the Spurs who are seeing the slight edge in the money wagered (55 percent). The total has seen evn more movement. Since opening at 211, it has dropped five points to 206.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Spurs - SF K. Leonard (Out, quadricep).

    Warriors - A. Iguodala (Probable, knee), PG S. Curry (Out, knee), SG P. McCaw (Out, back), SF C. Boucher (Out, ankle).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Spurs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games.
    * Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
    * Over is 5-0 in Spurs last five road games.
    * Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Golden State.
    * Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.




    Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors (-8, 211)

    The Toronto Raptors set a franchise record for wins during the regular season and earned the top seed in the Eastern Conference for the first time in team history. The Raptors will set about trying to make the deepest postseason run in franchise history when they start by hosting the eighth-seeded Washington Wizards in Game 1 of their first-round series on Saturday.

    ABOUT THE WIZARDS (43-39, 37-44-1 ATS, 36-44-2 O/U): Washington stumbled to the end of the regular season with losses in nine of the last 12 games to fall from contention for a top-four seed all the way down to eighth in the East. “If you look at the big picture, we’ve struggled this past 10 days or so,” Wizards coach Scott Brooks told reporters. "But prior to that, the story to me was that we battled and fought and put ourselves into playoff position, and we did it with John (Wall) missing half of the season. For some strange reason, we didn't finish the job. These last 10 or 12 days we’ve been up and down. We've let go of the rope a little bit." Wall missed over two months with a knee injury before returning on March 31 and he averaged 28.5 points and 13.5 rebounds over his last two games.

    ABOUT THE RAPTORS (59-23, 43-38-1 ATS, 41-40-1 O/U): Toronto was swept in the first round by the Wizards in 2015 but is a different team now with only three players remaining from that squad, so it will try to avenge that loss and acheive another milestone, winning Game 1 of a first-round postseason series for the first time. "It's a phenomenon," Raptors coach Dwane Casey told reporters. "There is always that one hurdle you've got to overcome. That's the major one we've got to overcome. "It's got to be mental more than anything." All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry, who combined with fellow All-Star DeMar DeRozan to go 9-of-32 from the field in a Game 1 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks last spring, suggested the team approach Game 1 like a Game 7.

    SERIES PRICE (PER PINNACLE):



    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: The Raptors opened as 8-point home favorites at most books. They dropped to -7.5 at some shops, but are back to the opening number at most places. That being said, bettors are hammering the Wizards ATS according to William Hill US, who are seeing 68 percent of tickets and a whopping 94 percent of the dollars wagerd on this game. The total opened at 211.5 and has seen little movement, with the current number at 211.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Wizards - SF O. Porter Jr. (Questionable, calf), PF M. Scott (Questionable, concussion).

    Raptors - PF S. Ibaka (Probable, mouth), C L. Nogueira (Questionable, hamstring), PG F. VanVleet (Questionable, shoulder), PF P. Siakam (Questionable, shoulder).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.
    * Raptors are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    * Over is 9-3 in Wizards last 12 vs. Atlantic Division opponents.
    * Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Toronto.
    * Wizards are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.




    Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers (-6.5, 212)

    The Philadelphia 76ers enter the postseason on a roll but will be without All-Star center Joel Embiid when they host the Miami Heat in Saturday's opening game of the Eastern Conference first-round series. Embiid missed the final eight games of the regular season with an orbital fracture but his absence didn't stop the 76ers from stretching their winning streak to a franchise-record 16 straight games.

    ABOUT THE HEAT (44-38, 40-36-6 ATS, 37-44-1 O/U): All-Star point guard Goran Dragic missed the regular-season finale with a bone bruise in his right knee but indicated that he expects to be in the lineup for Saturday's opener. "I'm doing everything that I can," Dragic told reporters. "Probably, I'm going to feel it a little bit, but it's not going to bother me. That's the only thing that I'm about, I can play through the pain." Dragic leads the squad in scoring (17.3) and assists (4.8) and his fitness will be crucial as he will be called on to slow down standout Philadelphia rookie Ben Simmons.

    ABOUT THE 76ERS (52-30, 47-33-2 ATS, 41-40-1 O/U): Simmons recorded 10 or more assists on 10 occasions during Philadelphia's 16-game winning streak and he averages 15.8 points, 8.2 assists and 8.1 rebounds. He recorded 12 triple-doubles, second all-time among rookies behind legendary Oscar Robertson (26 in 1960-61) and either Simmons or Utah guard Donovan Mitchell will win Rookie of the Year honors. The 76ers have fared well without Embiid's 22.9 points and 11 rebounds and that impressed coach Brett Brown with one disclaimer - "I feel like what we've been doing without Joel is good, but what you should hear completely the loudest is that I can't wait for him to get back," Brown told reporters.

    SERIES PRICE (PER PINNACLE):



    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: The Sixers hit the board as 6.5-point home favorites and have been bet as high as -7.5 before returning to the opening number. The total opened at 210 and is up two points to 212. Bettors like the 76ers in this spot, with Philly seeing 75 percent of the tickets and 86 percent of the money for Game 1.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Heat - PG G. Dragic (Probable, knee), C H. Whiteside (Questionable, undisclosed), SG D. Waiters (Out, ankle).

    76ers - SG J. Reddick (Questionable, back), C J. Embiid (Doubtful, eye), SG T. Luwawu-Cabarrot (Out, knee).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Heat are 8-3-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win.
    * 76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games playing on two days rest.
    * Over is 9-3 in Heat last 12 road games.
    * Under is 6-0 in 76ers last six games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
    * Home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.




    New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trail Blazers (-5.5, 217)

    Five-time All-Star Anthony Davis has never been part of a postseason victory during his stellar career and he looks to change that fact when the New Orleans Pelicans open their Western Conference first-round series on Saturday against the host Portland Trail Blazers.

    ABOUT THE PELICANS (48-34, 45-36-1 ATS, 47-35 O/U): Sixth-seeded New Orleans won its final five games of the regular season and recorded its third-highest victory total (48) in franchise history, and the prime reason is the 25-year-old Davis, the star power forward who averaged 28.1 points, 11.1 rebounds and 2.6 blocked shots. The Pelicans were swept in four games by the Golden State Warriors in 2015 in Davis' lone previous playoff experience, where he averaged 31.5 points, 11 rebounds and three blocked shots. New Orleans persevered despite a season-ending injury to All-Star center DeMarcus Cousins with Holiday (career-high 19-point average) among the players who picked up the scoring slack.

    ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (49-33, 45-32-5 ATS, 35-47 O/U): Having homecourt advantage is big for a Portland team that won 21 of its last 24 home contests and is supremely confident inside the Moda Center. The Trail Blazers are hoping center Jusuf Nurkic will be up to the task of slowing Davis while also building on his career-best averages of 14.3 points and nine rebounds to go along with a career-high 27 double-doubles. Shooting guard CJ McCollum (21.4) is a strong scoring complement to Lillard but his second-worst outing of the season came against the Pelicans just two-plus weeks ago, when he tallied seven points on 3-of-19 shooting.

    SERIES PRICE (PER PINNACLE):



    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: The Blazers opened as 5.5-point home favorites at most books and that's where the number remains as of Friday night. The total also hasn't seen much movement, currently sitting at the opening number of 217. While the Pelicans are seeing a slight edge in tickets written (52 percent) according to William Hill US, the Blazers are seeing a good majority of the money (67 percent).

    INJURY REPORT:

    Pelicans - C A. Ajinca (Out, knee), PG F. Jackson (Out, foot), C D. Cousins (Out, achilles).

    Blazers - SF M. Harkless (Out, knee), SG C. Wilcox (Out, knee).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
    * Trail Blazers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning SU record.
    * Under is 7-2-1 in Pelicans last 10 games vs. a team with a winning SU record.
    * Over is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last seven games following a ATS win.
    * Favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-14-2018 at 10:42 AM.

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    NBA Playoffs 4-point play: Best ways to bet today’s NBA odds

    The NBA Playoffs are here and there are a number of statistics and betting trends that have us going hmmmmm….

    For instance:


    The road has not been kind to the San Antonio Spurs this season. The Spurs went 15-24-2 against the spread away from the AT&T Center and 3-16 ATS as road underdogs. San Antonio averaged 5.5 fewer points per game when it was on the road compared to when it played on its home floor.

    The Golden State Warriors, meanwhile, are 14-5 against the spread when giving 9.5 or fewer points at home in the playoffs since 2015. Oddsmakers have the Dubs as 8-point home favorites against the Spurs in Game 1 Saturday.

    Here are three other betting need-to-know angles we have our eyes on for the first day of the 2018 NBA Playoffs.

    Raptors Game 1 struggles

    The Toronto Raptors are 1-12 straight up and 2-11 against the spread in Game 1 of the 13 NBA playoff series they’ve been a part of. Even worse, the Dinos are 0-7 SU and ATS in Game 1 of playoff matchups in the Kyle Lowry/DeMar DeRozan era.

    Be on the lookout for player props for Bradley Beal in this series. The Wizards shooting guard averaged 28.8 points in four games against the Raptors this season – which was his highest average against an Eastern Conference opponent. He averaged 22.6 points per game on the campaign overall and his Over/Under point total for Saturday's Game 1 is set at 22.5 (Over -120).

    Sixers pushing the pace

    Joel Embiid doesn’t sound like he’ll be playing in Game 1 of the Philadelphia 76ers-Miami Heat series because of his facial injury but he's expected to return to the Sixers’ lineup at some point during the first round of the playoffs.

    Philly enters the postseason riding a 16-game winning streak with nine of those victories coming with Embiid missing all or most of the game. The 76ers are Ben Simmons’ team without Embiid on the floor and the rookie point forward likes to push the pace.

    Philadelphia averaged three more possessions per 48 minutes without Embiid on the floor after the All-Star break and played with the fastest tempo in the Association over the final 15 games of the regular season.

    The Game 1 total (212) is the lowest Over/Under line in a Sixers game since March 13th.

    Pelicans soar in clutch situations

    The Pelicans outscored their opponents after the All-Star break by 20.6 points per 100 possessions in clutch situations. Clutch is defined as any point with five or fewer minutes left in the fourth quarter or overtime and the game score separated by five or fewer points.

    It might be worth taking a flyer on the Pelicans if they’re down a few buckets in the fourth quarter and are paying a decent return on the live in-game board.

    And don’t forget about playoff Rondo for all you player prop bettors. Rajon Rondo hasn’t seen much action in postseason games over the last few years but it’s apparent he ratchets up his game to another level this time of the year.

    He was a big part of the reason the Bulls went 2-0 up on the No. 1 seed Boston Celtics in the first round of the playoffs last spring. Rondo averaged 11.5 points, 10 assists, 8.5 rebounds and 3.5 steals in two games before picking up an injury that kept him out for the rest of the series against Boston. Rondo's points/rebounds/assists prop total is set at 23.5 (Over -120) for Game 1 Saturday.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-14-2018 at 10:43 AM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, April 15



    Milwaukee @ Boston

    Game 509-510
    April 15, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    115.801
    Boston
    121.980
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 6 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 3 1/2
    203
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Indiana @ Cleveland


    Game 511-512
    April 15, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    116.416
    Cleveland
    125.623
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 9
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 6 1/2
    216 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-6 1/2); Over

    Utah @ Oklahoma City


    Game 513-514
    April 15, 2018 @ 6:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    127.420
    Oklahoma City
    124.041
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 3 1/2
    206
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 4
    205
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (+4); Over

    Minnesota @ Houston


    Game 515-516
    April 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    115.677
    Houston
    124.784
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 9
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 11 1/2
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+11 1/2); Under

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