By Doug Upstone (30-8 roll, 78.9%, documented at CappersMonitor.com)


Starting this week, on Friday's we will start adding in series wagering in baseball to go along with our line moves. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (127-103-4 run) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.

NBA (507) CLEVELAND at (508) PHILADELPHIA 7:05 ET NBA-TV

An extremely important game for seeding purposes for both teams in the East. However, the wagering action is focused on the total where the total is up two points to 224. With and without Joel Embiid, the Philadelphia offense has been on fire during their long winning streak and is averaging over 116 PPG in their past nine battles. For 43 minutes last night, the Cleveland defense was dreadful, but they picked it up when it counted and they had a huge come from behind win against Washington. I suspect we will see a great deal of defensive intensity tonight in Philly and the Cavs are 11-1 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season.

Betting Trend - 67% backing Under
Doug's VPID Take - Play Under

MLB (903) CINCINNATI at (904) PITTSBURGH 7:05 ET FSOH

From a common sense standpoint, Cincinnati being flipped from +120 to -120 over Pittsburgh makes no sense. The Reds are 1-4 while Pittsburgh is a sizzling 5-1. Cincy starter Luis Castillo (0-1, 10.80 ERA) was pounded in his first outing and Pirates hurler Trevor Williams tossed six no-hit innings to begin his season. Castillo has more ability and had a bad outing and has thrown well twice against the Bucs. Nevertheless, I cannot overlook the Reds are 5-18 after batting .225 or worse over a five-game span.

Betting Trend - 55% backing Pittsburgh
Doug's VPID Take - Pittsburgh wins

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