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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/6

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, April 6

    Good Luck on day #96 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Major league batting averages the last seven years, for lefty hitters who pull the ball on the ground. Shifting has forced lefty batters to hit the ball in the air more.

    2017 – .197

    2016 – .193

    2015 – .207

    2014 – .208

    2013 – .222

    2012 – .221

    2011 – .235

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) With 20 more days until the NFL Draft, it is beginning to look like Lamar Jackson will be the most interesting player to follow.

    The Louisville QB was a really good college player- he won the freakin’ Heisman Trophy, but his Wonderlic score wasn’t good and there are reports that when he was analyzing plays/concepts on the white board with coaches, he didn’t do well either, both major red flags for QB prospects.

    Then there’s the thing about his mother being his manager which hasn’t helped anything.

    12) Lot of outfielders now carry an index card in their back pocket to help them position themselves for different hitters.

    11) Fresno State hired San Diego State assistant Justin Hutson as its new coach; he spent the last 12 years as an assistant in the Mountain West, for the Aztecs and at UNLV. He is considered to be a great recruiter— basketball people on Twitter were very enthusiastic about this hire.

    10) I mentioned couple weeks ago how Texas-Arlington fired coach/alum Scott Cross despite his team going 72-33 the last three years; now it turns out the Mavericks’ basketball budget is in the lower half…..of the Sun Belt Conference!!!!

    School’s AD says he wants the basketball team to be like Gonzaga, but the school spends money like it is a bottom 50 team. No bueno.

    Texas-Arlington’s basketball budget is $1.5M; Gonzaga’s is $7M.

    9) Pretty good basketball tournament Nov 22-23 at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas; Michigan State, North Carolina, UCLA and Texas.

    8) Oakland A’s did a logical thing and acquired OF Trayce Thompson off waivers from New York. Trayce will live in Oakland with his brother Klay, who plays across the parking lot from the Oakland Coliseum with the Warriors.

    Trayce Thompson will likely only be in Oakland for 10 days or so, unless he makes a positive impression before the A’s need a 5th starting pitcher on April 17.

    7) Oddsmakers put out over/unders for individual team totals for each NFL game; say Team A is a 3-point favorite over Team B and the total of 41, then Team A’s total would be 22 and Team B’s would be 19. You wager on stuff like this, if you live somewhere that has legal wagering (ahem).

    Last year the Chargers led the NFL by allowing 4.59 points less per week than their opponents’ over/under; Vikings were next at -3.88 per week.

    6) Houston Texans allowed 4.2 ppg more than their opponents’ total each week; Denver was 31st in the NFL, at +2.98 ppg.

    5) As far as offense goes, he Rams scored 5.75 more ppg than the oddsmakers estimated to lead the league; Jacksonville was next, at +4.72 ppg.

    4) Most disappointing offensive teams were Oakland at -4.14 ppg and Atlanta (-4.06).

    3) I’m not a “Get off my lawn!!!” guy on this subject, but this is an interesting fact, with the strikeout becoming so prevalent now.

    In 1950, Yogi Berra went to the plate 656 times and struck out 12 times. Twelve.

    He hit 28 homers, knocked in 124 runs and struck out 12 times.

    2) Sergio Garcia had a rough day; he hit five balls in the water on the 15th hole and got a 13. He shot an 81, which isn’t good. Garcia can’t even go home when he misses the cut Friday; since he is the defending champ, he’ll present this year’s champ with the green jacket Sunday.

    No one in Masters history had even gotten worse than an 11 on the 15th hole; Ben Crenshaw is one of the guys who got an 11 on #15.

    To his credit, Garcia played the last three holes in -1.

    1) Brewers’ closer Corey Knebel hurt his hamstring in the 9th inning of Milwaukee’s loss to the Cubs last night. It didn’t look good. The game was 8-0 Cubs when he got hurt.

  3. #3
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    NHL

    Friday, April 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Ottawa is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games
    Ottawa is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Ottawa is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    Ottawa is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Ottawa is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
    Pittsburgh is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Pittsburgh is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
    Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Ottawa
    Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
    Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa


    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    Buffalo is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
    Buffalo is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Buffalo is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 12 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Tampa Bay is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
    Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
    Tampa Bay is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo
    Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games when playing at home against Buffalo


    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
    St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    St. Louis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
    St. Louis is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Chicago
    St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Blackhawks
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
    Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Chicago is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games at home
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis


    Dallas Stars
    Dallas is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games
    Dallas is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
    Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Dallas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
    Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
    Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
    Anaheim Ducks
    Anaheim is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games
    Anaheim is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Anaheim is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Anaheim is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-06-2018 at 12:00 PM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, April 6



    Ottawa @ Pittsburgh

    Game 1-2
    April 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    11.549
    Pittsburgh
    10.181
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -250
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (+200); Over

    Buffalo @ Tampa Bay


    Game 3-4
    April 6, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    11.317
    Tampa Bay
    10.439
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -360
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (+300); Under

    St. Louis @ Chicago


    Game 5-6
    April 6, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    11.798
    Chicago
    10.313
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -155
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-155); Over

    Dallas @ Anaheim


    Game 7-8
    April 6, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    11.570
    Anaheim
    13.157
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Anaheim
    -155
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    (-155); Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, April 6


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OTTAWA (28-41-0-11, 67 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (46-29-0-6, 98 pts.) - 4/6/2018, 7:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 10-5 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 10-5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (25-43-0-12, 62 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (53-23-0-4, 110 pts.) - 4/6/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 25-56 ATS (+107.2 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 54-27 ATS (+103.5 Units) in all games this season.
    BUFFALO is 288-262 ATS (+553.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    BUFFALO is 235-236 ATS (+496.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    BUFFALO is 220-232 ATS (+502.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 385-421 ATS (-83.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 8-3 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 8-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST LOUIS (43-31-0-6, 92 pts.) at CHICAGO (33-37-0-10, 76 pts.) - 4/6/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 9-3 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 30-22 ATS (+53.2 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 33-48 ATS (-57.6 Units) in all games this season.
    CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-11.7 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 15-28 ATS (+76.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
    CHICAGO is 65-71 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 21-25 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 5-18 ATS (+24.2 Units) after a division game this season.
    CHICAGO is 14-28 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST LOUIS is 11-9-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.5 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (41-31-0-8, 90 pts.) at ANAHEIM (42-25-0-13, 97 pts.) - 4/6/2018, 10:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 4-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-06-2018 at 12:01 PM.

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    NHL betting cheat sheet and odds: How to bet hockey's final weekend
    Monty Andrews

    We’ve reached the final weekend of the NHL regular season. Before you place a single bet on hockey, make sure you know all the angles with our NHL betting cheat sheet.

    Singing the Blues

    The St. Louis Blues are on the brink of squandering an opportunity to participate in the Stanley Cup playoffs, but there's still time to salvage the season as the Blues visit the Central Division-rival Chicago Blackhawks on Friday night.

    The Blues have lost four games in a row to remain one point behind the Colorado Avalanche for the second Western Conference wild card spot. The Avalanche have lost three consecutive games themselves. The Blackhawks are on the outside of the playoff picture but would love to play the spoiler role in this one. St. Louis is a +4,000 long shot to win the Stanley Cup championship at SportsInteraction.

    Vegas finale

    The Vegas Golden Knights wrap up one of the most successful inaugural seasons in the history of pro sports when they square off against the Flames in Calgary Saturday night. The Golden Knights exceeded even the loftiest expectations this season and go into the final weekend having already secured the Pacific Division title with 51 victories and 109 points. They also brought a windfall for Sin City supporters, earning more than +18 units on the season ($1,800 if you bet $100 on each of their games).

    Even more impressively, Vegas has remained a betting favorite from start to finish and goes into Friday with +700 odds to do the unthinkable and win the Stanley Cup in its first season of existence - the fourth-best odds of any team in the league.

    Big finish

    There's just one game on the final day of the regular season and it could be a big one, as the Boston Bruins entertain the Florida Panthers. This one could have significance for both teams. The Bruins come into the final three days of the regular season tied with the Tampa Bay Lightning atop the Atlantic Division, with both teams having two games left to play.

    The Panthers enter the weekend having won three in a row and they'll need two more victories, combined with a Philadelphia Flyers regulation loss Saturday afternoon to the Rangers, to squeak into the final Eastern Conference wild-card spot.

    Injury updates

    * Anaheim Ducks forward Patrick Eaves will not return to the team this season. Eaves has appeared in just two games with the Ducks after being diagnosed with Guillain-Barre syndrome in September Anaheim is +2,000 to win the Stanley Cup at SportsInteraction.

    * Ottawa Senators forward Marian Gaborik will need up to eight weeks of recovery time after undergoing surgery to fix a herniated disc in his back. Gaborik has four goals and three assists in 16 games since joining the Sens in a trade with Los Angeles.

    * A lower-body injury has forced the New York Islanders to shelf defenseman Johnny Boychuk for their final game of the season. Boychuk has appeared in just 58 games for the lottery-bound Islanders, recording six goals and 12 assists.

    Stanley Cup odds

    * The Nashville Predators remain the team to beat in the latest Stanley Cup futures odds. The Presidents' Trophy winners are installed at +400 to take home their first title in franchise history after coming up just short last season.

    * Whoever emerges as the Atlantic Division champion this weekend will likely see an odds boost heading into the postseason. But for the time being, both the Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins are Stanley Cup co-favorites at +550.

    * Fancy a three-peat? The Pittsburgh Penguins are paying out at +950 - the sixth-best odds in the league - to become the first team to win three consecutive Stanley Cup titles since the 1980s New York Islanders.

    Betting trends

    * The Overs have it. Barring an unprecedented run of low-scoring games, the Over will emerge as the stronger play this season. There have been 618 games to exceed the total compared to 598 Unders. Just 20 games remain in the regular season.

    * Home favorites continue to be a superior play relative to the season average, with 65.5 percent of home-ice faves converting over the previous 30 days. That hot stretch has raised the overall season rate for home favorites to 60.7 percent.

    * The Golden Knights are positioned to return the most value of any team during the regular season. Vegas enters the final stretch of the campaign at +18.12 units, comfortably ahead of the runner-up Winnipeg Jets (+16.84). New Jersey (+14.40) sits third.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-06-2018 at 12:02 PM.

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