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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/30

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 30

    Good Luck on day #89 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Opening Day attendance figures:

    — Cubs @ Marlins: 32,151 (mostly Cub fans)

    — Cardinals @ Mets: 44,189, including Phil/Evan Pivnick

    — Twins @ Orioles: 45,469

    — Astros @ Rangers: 47,253

    — Red Sox @ Rays: 31,042

    — Angels @ A’s: 27,764. Hey the A’s are tied for first place. This was their first daytime home opener since 1994.

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up Opening Day and other stuff

    13) I used to be a minor league official scorer, long time ago (back when I had hair); if I kept score of games today, I’d code the field 3-9 instead of players, to account for shifting in the field.

    For instance, Houston used four OF’s vs Joey Gallo Thursday; he flied out to 3B Alex Bregman, who was playing in left field. Traditional scoring would say F5, since Bregman plays 3B, but I’d say F7, since Gallo hit the ball to left field.

    I’d supplement my scorebook with written notes on who actually caught the ball, but thats how I’d score a game now. Just think it would be more accurate.

    12) Rays 6, Red Sox 4— Chris Sale allowed no runs, one hit in six IP (92 PT), then the Boston bullpen blew the lead in the 8th inning, allowing four walks, two hits, with Denard Span’s 3-run triple the big hit.

    11) Dodger TV guy Joe Davis said there were 90 mound visits (90!!!) in Game 7 of the World Series last year. the limit this year will be six per team; ummm, thats a little different.

    10) Cubs 8, Marlins 4- Roof was open at Marlins’ Park Thursday; it was open for six home games out of 78 LY and Miami was 0-6 in those games. Marlins are not a MLB-quality team right now- they’re going to lose a lot of games.

    For the record, Ian Happ was the first batter this season and he hit a home run.

    9) If you care about such things, Josh Donaldson led MLB last year, 15 1st-inning homers. Giancarlo Stanton was next, with 14. Stanton hit one in the first inning in Toronto Thursday, and then he hit another one in the 9th inning.

    8) Astros 4, Rangers 1— When Joey Gallo batted with bases empty, Houston played four guys in OF with no fielders on left side of the infield. Actually, Altuve was in the OF too, in short RF, so they had five guys in the outfield.

    7) McDonald’s All-American Darius Bazley decommitted from Syracuse, becoming the first top high school prospect to choose turning pro in the G League, where he’ll make $26,000, instead of spending a few months in college. Maybe he’ll get a small shoe contract.

    Bazley is a 6-9 kid from the Cincinnati area; he’ll sign a pro contract when he turns 18 in June. Big gamble on his part— if he were to get hurt, then what? If he gets hurt in college, he’s still in college and has the school’s resources at his disposal. He won’t be property of an NBA team next year, just the G-League team. He’ll be eligible for the 2019 NBA Draft.

    6) White Sox 11, Royals 4— Matt Davidson hit three homers for Chicago; maybe I should’ve picked him up in my fantasy league, back when he was available. Whoops.

    5) RIP Rusty Staub 73, who played 23 years in the big leagues, breaking in with the Houston Colt .45’s in 1963. Le Grand Orange, as he was known in Montreal, made six All-Star teams and had a career OB% of .362 with 292 career homers. He owned a popular restaurant in Manhattan for years after he retired from playing.

    Think about how times have changed; in 1963, there was a baseball team named after a gun and an NBA team called the Baltimore Bullets.

    4) Braves 8, Phillies 5— Phils led this game 5-2 in 8th, but Atlanta rallied, and Nick Markakis hit a walk-off homer to send Braves fans home happy.

    Atlanta catcher Tyler Flowers is the first player this season to leave a game with an injury— he suffered an oblique injury in the second inning.

    3) Orioles 3, Twins 2 (11)— Not 100% sure, but Zach Duke may very well be the first pitcher ever to strike out four batters in an inning on Opening Day- he struck out four Orioles in the 7th inning.

    Adam Jones hit a walk-off homer in the 11th inning to send everyone home happy, after Orioles blew a 2-0 lead in the ninth inning.

    2) Brewers 2, Padres 1 (12)— Bill Schroeder is a former big league catcher who is a really good analyst; Padres had two on, one out in the 7th inning Thursday with Milwaukee leading 1-0, and Schroeder says more than once (three times??) that reliever Josh Hader can get Austin Hedges out with a slider, almost like he is trying to use telepathy to get him to throw it.

    Eventually, Hader throws the slider and strikes Hedges out.

    1— Louisville QB Lamar Jackson threw 59 passes, took snaps under center in front of reps from all 32 NFL teams Thursday, but he wouldn’t run a 40-yard dash, because everyone knows he is fast enough to play QB and he ain’t interested in being a wide receiver. Good for him.

  3. #3
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    NHL

    Friday, March 30


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    Trend Report
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    TAMPA BAY @ NY RANGERS
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    NY Rangers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
    NY Rangers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

    TORONTO @ NY ISLANDERS
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Islanders's last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto

    CAROLINA @ WASHINGTON
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    CHICAGO @ COLORADO
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

    LOS ANGELES @ ANAHEIM
    Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
    Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Anaheim is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    ST. LOUIS @ VEGAS
    St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
    Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-30-2018 at 10:57 AM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, March 30


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    TAMPA BAY (51-22-0-4, 106 pts.) at NY RANGERS (33-35-0-9, 75 pts.) - 3/30/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY RANGERS is 5-3 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    NY RANGERS is 5-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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    CAROLINA (34-32-0-11, 79 pts.) at WASHINGTON (46-24-0-7, 99 pts.) - 3/30/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 34-43 ATS (-17.2 Units) in all games this season.
    CAROLINA is 16-23 ATS (-11.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
    CAROLINA is 9-16 ATS (-9.2 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a division game this season.
    CAROLINA is 14-27 ATS (+41.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WASHINGTON is 47-31 ATS (+15.5 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.1 Units) in March games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 17-4 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 8-3 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 8-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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    TORONTO (46-24-0-7, 99 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (32-35-0-10, 74 pts.) - 3/30/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 380-397 ATS (-114.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    NY ISLANDERS are 32-45 ATS (-48.9 Units) in all games this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 9-18 ATS (+27.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 12-26 ATS (-20.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 2-11 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 5-3 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 5-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)

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    CHICAGO (32-36-0-10, 74 pts.) at COLORADO (41-28-0-8, 90 pts.) - 3/30/2018, 9:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 5-7 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 7-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LOS ANGELES (43-28-0-7, 93 pts.) at ANAHEIM (39-25-0-13, 91 pts.) - 3/30/2018, 10:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 8-6 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    ANAHEIM is 8-6-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST LOUIS (43-28-0-5, 91 pts.) at VEGAS (48-22-0-7, 103 pts.) - 3/30/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 49-29 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games this season.
    VEGAS is 23-15 ATS (+0.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ST LOUIS is 30-20 ATS (+51.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 20-7 ATS (+10.5 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 28-18 ATS (+51.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 1-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-30-2018 at 10:58 AM.

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, March 30



    Tampa Bay @ NY Rangers

    Game 51-52
    March 30, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    9.738
    NY Rangers
    11.741
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Rangers
    by 2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -160
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Rangers
    (+140); Under

    Carolina @ Washington


    Game 53-54
    March 30, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    11.627
    Washington
    10.715
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Carolina
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -210
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Carolina
    (+175); Over

    Toronto @ NY Islanders


    Game 55-56
    March 30, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    11.378
    NY Islanders
    9.265
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -165
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-165); Under

    Chicago @ Colorado


    Game 57-58
    March 30, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    10.610
    Colorado
    11.564
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -210
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (-210); Under

    Los Angeles @ Anaheim


    Game 59-60
    March 30, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Los Angeles
    11.341
    Anaheim
    12.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Anaheim
    -130
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    (-130); Over

    St. Louis @ Vegas


    Game 61-62
    March 30, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    11.202
    Vegas
    12.317
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -150
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (-150); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-30-2018 at 10:59 AM.

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