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Thread: Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/29

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/29

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, March 29

    Good Luck on day #88 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Odds to win next week’s Masters:

    10-1: Woods, Johnson, Thomas, McIlroy

    12-1: Jordan Spieth, Justin Rose

    14-1: Bubba Watson

    16-1: Jason Day, Phil Mickelson

    18-1: Rickie Fowler, Jon Rahm

    25-1: Sergio Garcia, Paul Casey


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: 13 of my favorite sports movies…….

    I do this list once a year or so; feel free to make your own list.

    13) Major League— Still maintain that Bob Uecker should’ve won an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor for his portrayal of Harry Doyle, the Indians’ radio announcer. To this day, when a pitcher throws a really terrible pitch to the backstop, chances are the TV guy will say “….juuuust a biiiit outside…” like Harry Doyle did when Wild Thing Vaughn was on the mound.

    12) He Got Game— The only Spike Lee movie I’ve ever seen; its a good one, with Denzel Washington getting released from prison by warden Ned Beatty, on one condition— that he can get his son (Ray Allen) to play basketball at the warden’s alma mater, Big State.

    Anyone who was surprised by Louisville’s problems last year didn’t see this movie.

    11) Rocky— If only they hadn’t made all those awful sequels. Rocky is a classic; a fighter down on his luck gets a once-in-a-lifetime shot to fight for the heavyweight title back when boxing was a big thing. If you’re at a game in Philly now and they cue up the Rocky music, people still get fired up— its pretty cool.

    10) Hoosiers— I’ve had this argument with a friend of mine for years, that Norman Dale was a horrible coach saved only by Jimmy Chitwood not missing a shot in the whole damn movie. Hickory High finished the first game he coached with four guys on the court; even his assistant coach, who wound up in alcohol rehab, knew enough to always give Jimmy the ball when it mattered. They did nail the scene at the end when Hickory wins the state title.

    9) Any Given Sunday— Lawrence Taylor and Jim Brown as actors? Yes!!! Al Pacino coaches his Miami Sharks against four teams, all coached by NFL Hall of Famers.

    8) Moneyball— The good guys lose in the end, but not before they win 20 games in a row and surprisingly make the playoffs. I won’t embarrass myself by telling you how many times I’ve seen this movie, but if you guess, chances are your guess is too low.

    7) Bull Durham— Pitching coach Robert Wuhl delivered this inspirational piece of advice on a visit to the mound:

    “……candlesticks always make a nice gift, and uh, maybe you could find out where she’s registered and maybe a place-setting or maybe a silverware pattern. Okay, let’s get two!”

    6) Friday Night Lights— Of all the sports movies, Billy Bob Thornton does the best job of portraying a coach, in this case a west Texas high school football coach who gets his best player KO’d for the season by leaving him in a blowout too long. The townspeople aren’t pleased.

    5) Blue Chips— Nick Nolte did his research for this by hanging out with Bob Knight’s Indiana Hoosiers for a year, so the thrown chairs and punted balls make more sense. Jerry Tarkanian’s cameo and Bob Cousy’s portrayal of the school’s AD are the underrated parts of this movie.

    4) Invincible— True story about Vince Papale, who was a 30-year old bartender that tried out for and wound up playing special teams for the Eagles for three years in the 70’s. Mark Wahlberg plays Papale; Greg Kinnear plays Dick Vermeil.

    3) Fast Break— Gabe Kaplan’s character quits his job in a New York City deli to become the basketball coach at a small Nevada college. The team he puts together is interesting- Bernard King and Michael Warren are two of the players.

    2) One on One— Robby Benson plays a flashy small school point guard who gets recruited by a big time college program, but once he gets on campus, the coach thinks he made a mistake and tries to run him off the team.

    1— For Love of the Game— Kevin Costner pitches for the Tigers, but is at the end of his career. JK Simmons is his manager; John C O’Reilly his catcher, Kelly Preston his girlfriend. Vin Scully is in effect the narrator of the movie.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-29-2018 at 01:28 PM.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, March 29


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    WASHINGTON (41 - 33) at DETROIT (34 - 40) - 3/29/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 8-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 8-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHICAGO (24 - 50) at MIAMI (40 - 35) - 3/29/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 88-65 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
    MIAMI is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (43 - 32) - 3/29/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-7 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    INDIANA (44 - 31) at SACRAMENTO (24 - 51) - 3/29/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
    INDIANA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
    INDIANA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MILWAUKEE (39 - 35) at GOLDEN STATE (54 - 20) - 3/29/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, March 29


    Wizards won eight of last ten games with Detroit; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Washington is 4-1 vs spread in its last five visits to the Motor City. Wizards lost three of their last four games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight games, 1-3 in last four on road. Three of their last four games stayed under. Pistons won four of last five games; they covered last four games as a home favorite. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    Miami won three of last four games with Chicago; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Bulls are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to South Beach. Chicago lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread); they’re 2-11 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Miami won four of its last six games; they’re 7-1 in last eight games as home favorites. Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

    Thunder won six of last nine games with the Spurs; OKC is 1-2 vs spread in last three visits to the Alamo. Five of last six series games stayed under. Oklahoma City won seven of its last nine games; they’re 0-2-1 vs spread in their last three games, all of which stayed under total. Spurs won their last six home games, covering last six games as home favorites. San Antonio’s last three games all went over.

    Pacers won their last three games with the Kings; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Five of last six series games stayed under. Indiana won four of its last five games; they’re 7-4 as road favorites this season. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Sacramento lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-11 vs spread in last 15 games as home underdogs. Kings’ last four games stayed under the total.

    Golden State won eight of last nine games with Milwaukee; Bucks are 5-3 vs spread in last eight. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Milwaukee is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 7-2 as a road favorite this season. Eight of their last nine games went over total. Warriors lost six of their last nine games- they have big injury issues, are 0-2 as home underdogs. Six of their last eight games stayed under total.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-29-2018 at 01:18 PM.

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    NBA

    Thursday, March 29


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON @ DETROIT
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

    CHICAGO @ MIAMI
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing Miami
    Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    OKLAHOMA CITY @ SAN ANTONIO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    Oklahoma City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    INDIANA @ SACRAMENTO
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Indiana

    MILWAUKEE @ GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
    Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-29-2018 at 01:19 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, March 29



    Washington @ Detroit

    Game 701-702
    March 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    119.083
    Detroit
    122.545
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 3 1/2
    205
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 1
    210
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (-1); Under

    Chicago @ Miami


    Game 703-704
    March 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    103.988
    Miami
    122.635
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 18 1/2
    215
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 13
    209 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-13); Over

    Oklahoma City @ San Antonio


    Game 705-706
    March 29, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    120.894
    San Antonio
    121.774
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 1
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 2
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+2); Under

    Indiana @ Sacramento


    Game 707-708
    March 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    119.540
    Sacramento
    115.573
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 4
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 8
    203
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+8); Over

    Milwaukee @ Golden State


    Game 709-710
    March 29, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    115.304
    Golden State
    122.785
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 7 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 4 1/2
    215 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-4 1/2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-29-2018 at 01:20 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, March 29



    Washington @ Detroit

    Game 701-702
    March 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    119.083
    Detroit
    122.545
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 3 1/2
    205
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 1
    210
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (-1); Under

    Chicago @ Miami


    Game 703-704
    March 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    103.988
    Miami
    122.635
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 18 1/2
    215
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 13
    209 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-13); Over

    Oklahoma City @ San Antonio


    Game 705-706
    March 29, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    120.894
    San Antonio
    121.774
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 1
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 2
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+2); Under

    Indiana @ Sacramento


    Game 707-708
    March 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    119.540
    Sacramento
    115.573
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 4
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 8
    203
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+8); Over

    Milwaukee @ Golden State


    Game 709-710
    March 29, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    115.304
    Golden State
    122.785
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 7 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 4 1/2
    215 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-4 1/2); Over
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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