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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/25

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/25

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 25

    Good Luck on day #84 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Over/under totals for pitching wins this year:

    16.5 Max Scherzer

    15.5 Justin Verlander

    14.5 David Price

    13.5 Kyle Hendricks

    13.5 Noah Syndergaard

    12.5 Johnny Cueto


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Random weekend stuff…..

    13) Loyola, Chi 79, Kansas State 62— Much like #11-seeds George Mason in 2006 and VCU in 2011, who both came from the CAA, Ramblers come from the relative obscurity of the MVC to make the Final Four. No one saw this coming.

    Not only has Loyola won four NCAA tourney games, they had to win the MVC tournament or they would’ve been playing in the NIT.

    Ramblers didn’t have to play #2-seed Cincinnati after the Bearcats blew a 22-point lead to Nevada. #1-seed Virginia lost to a damn #16-seed, and Loyola took advantage of all that.

    Loyola’s first three NCAA tournament wins were by total of four points:
    — Ramblers were down 60-55 with 2:46 left in first round vs Miami.
    — Loyola needed a lucky bounce on a jumper with 0:03.6 left to nip Tennessee, 63-62
    — Loyola was down 20-8 early against Nevada, hung on at the end of its 69-68 win.

    12) By way of comparison, two of George Mason’s four NCAA tourney wins in 2011 were by double figures- they were an underdog in three of the four games.

    VCU had to win an additional play-in game, but four of their five NCAA tourney wins were by double figure margins- they were an underdog in all five of those wins.

    11) A final question on the George Mason/VCU thing; does Porter Moser jump for bigger money? He’ll be in demand. Neither coach at Mason/VCU bolted right away.

    In 2006, Jim Larranaga was coach at George Mason; he went 107-59 at Mason the next five years, then jumped to Miami, the ACC and a lot more money.

    In 2011, Shaka Smart was VCU’s coach; he went 109-35 the next four years before going to Texas and the big $$$ of the Big X.

    10) Michigan 58, Florida State 54— Seminoles went 8:00 without a basket down stretch, then made some questionable decisions on who to foul in last 1:30.

    Unusual stat; in the West Region final the last 21 years, underdogs are 17-4 vs spread.

    9) I love a good coincidence; USC just hired an assistant basketball coach who has two sons, both of whom are 6-10 or taller and are both in high school. Go figure.

    Trojans hired Eric Mobley, an AAU coach for the last 11 years. From ESPN.com:

    “His oldest son, Isaiah, is a 6-foot-10 high school junior and the No. 44-ranked prospect in the Class of 2019, while his youngest son, Evan, is 6-foot-10 and considered one of the top players in the country in the Class of 2020.”

    I wonder where they’ll go to college?

    8) Steph Curry is out with Grade 2 MCL sprain; he might be back for the start of the playoffs.

    7) Ferris State 71, Northern State 69— Fun game to watch, for the D2 national title.

    Ferris State’s president played the clarinet in the school band during this game. I’m guessing the university president at Kentucky or Duke doesn’t still play in the school band.

    Ferris State’s mascot is a bulldog; I’m disappointed they’re not the Ferris Wheels.

    6) Dustin Johnson hit a golf ball 489 yards Friday; seriously, he was on a 573-yard par-5 and was 84 yards from the hole for his second shot.

    5) It bothers me when baseball teams shift and leave third base totally uncovered; they’re just giving up a base hit to anyone with the basic ability to bunt.

    I can see doing it against powerful lefties like Bryce Harper or Freddie Freeman, but against guys who aren’t so great, to me it is just overthinking something that is fairly simple. Maybe the analytics people are trying to justify their position by micromanaging too much.

    4) Apparently it costs $30 to park at A’s games this season; for their four home games with the Giants, it’ll cost $50 to park unless you say “Go A’s!!!” at the gate. Trolling Giants’ fans seems a little immature. Paying $30 to park seems a bit excessive.

    3) There are rumors around that Gonzaga will be jumping from the WCC to the Mountain West as early as next season, which would give the MW an even dozen teams. Gonzaga is supposed to announce their decision in the next two weeks.

    2) #1-seed Kansas is an underdog to Duke today; the previous nine #1-seeds who got points in the regional final went 2-7 SU, 3-6 against the spread.

    1) Few years ago, I was at an AAU basketball tournament at Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas; I’m sitting in bleachers watching this game when one of the coaches takes his cellphone out while play was going on, looks at a text message, then glares at the couple sitting in front of me and says:

    “If you text me again, he’ll never get in!!!!”

    Can’t make stuff like that up.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 25


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    PHILADELPHIA (38-25-0-12, 88 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (42-27-0-6, 90 pts.) - 3/25/2018, 12:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 18-31 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 15-3 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 70-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 22-8 ATS (+11.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 15-4 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 21-6 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 13-6 ATS (+19.9 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 60-57 ATS (+127.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 8-3 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 8-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.3 Units)

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    NASHVILLE (48-15-0-10, 106 pts.) at WINNIPEG (45-19-0-10, 100 pts.) - 3/25/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 8-5 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 8-5-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.4 Units)

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    VANCOUVER (26-40-0-9, 61 pts.) at DALLAS (38-29-0-8, 84 pts.) - 3/25/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VANCOUVER is 23-57 ATS (+107.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    VANCOUVER is 199-226 ATS (+499.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    DALLAS is 72-85 ATS (+226.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 16-19 ATS (-15.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
    DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-12.0 Units) in March games this season.
    DALLAS is 10-20 ATS (-14.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    DALLAS is 15-21 ATS (-9.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 6-2 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 6-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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    BOSTON (46-17-0-10, 102 pts.) at MINNESOTA (41-24-0-8, 90 pts.) - 3/25/2018, 7:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 3-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

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    ANAHEIM (38-24-0-13, 89 pts.) at EDMONTON (33-36-0-5, 71 pts.) - 3/25/2018, 9:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 11-9-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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    NHL

    Sunday, March 25


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    Trend Report
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    PHILADELPHIA @ PITTSBURGH
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Pittsburgh is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

    VANCOUVER @ DALLAS
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games on the road
    Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Vancouver
    Dallas is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Vancouver

    NASHVILLE @ WINNIPEG
    Nashville is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    Nashville is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
    Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    BOSTON @ MINNESOTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Minnesota is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

    ANAHEIM @ EDMONTON
    Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Anaheim's last 9 games on the road
    Edmonton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim


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    NHL (PROFESSIONAL)

    DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME


    Philadelphia at Pittsburgh - Sunday March 25, 2018

    The Flyers (38-25-5) head to Pittsburgh today to face a Penguins team that is 1-4 in its last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+145).

    SUNDAY MARCH 25, 2018
    Philadelphia
    @
    Pittsburgh

    Game 1-2
    March 25, 2018 @ 12:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating: Philadelphia
    11.206
    Pittsburgh
    10.191
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total: Philadelphia
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total: Pittsburgh
    -165
    6
    Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia
    (+145); Over

    Nashville
    @
    Winnipeg

    Game 3-4
    March 25, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating: Nashville
    12.122
    Winnipeg
    11.236
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total: Nashville
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total: Winnipeg
    -115
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Nashville
    (-105); Under

    Vancouver
    @
    Dallas

    Game 5-6
    March 25, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating: Vancouver
    9.778
    Dallas
    11.222
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total: Dallas
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total: Dallas
    -275
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Dallas
    (-275); Over

    Boston
    @
    Minnesota

    Game 7-8
    March 25, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating: Boston
    10.534
    Minnesota
    11.664
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total: Minnesota
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total: Minnesota
    -115
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota
    (-115); Under

    Anaheim
    @
    Edmonton

    Game 9-10
    March 25, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating: Anaheim
    11.334
    Edmonton
    12.409
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total: Edmonton
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total: Anaheim
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Edmonton
    (+120); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2018 at 10:35 AM.

  4. #4
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    Thanks, Bum!! You've been a huge help during the tourneys! Good luck the rest of the way!
    Last edited by Udog; 03-25-2018 at 11:18 AM.

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