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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/16

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/16

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 16

    Good Luck on day #75 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Odds you can get on various World Series matchups:

    14-1- Astros-Dodgers

    18-1– Indians-Dodgers

    18-1— Astros-Nationals

    22-1— Indians-Nationals

    30-1— Red Sox-Cubs

    150-1— A’s-Dodgers— Hey, a guy can dream.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a basketball Thursday

    Night Games
    16) Buffalo 89, Arizona 68— Complete ass-kicking; Bulls outhustled Arizona, they made 15-30 on the arc and they looked like the better team. Arizona kids quit in the last 10:00.

    This is first time since 2012 a MAC team won an NCAA tournament game; it is only the second time in last eight years Arizona didn’t make the Sweet 16. With all their legal issues, could be a long time before they get there again.

    15) Houston 67, San Diego State 65— Rob Gray scored 39 of Houston’s 67 points, including the game-winner with 0:01 left; I don’t want to say he’s a ballhog, but he took 25 shots, 15 more foul shots and he had zero assists. It is amazing how much he dominates the ball, but he made 12-25 from the floor and the Cougars advance.

    14) Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 81— Pet Peeve of the Day; calling a flagrant foul when a defender intrudes the space of the guy with the ball, and the offensive player swings the ball to create space and plugs the defender in the face with the ball or his elbow. Whats he supposed to do?

    20 years ago, we used to teach this about rebounding: “Catch-Tuck-Swing” the ball, and if the guy on the other team didn’t want to get drilled in the face, he’d move his face. Now in our soft society, that would be a foul on the guy with the ball, maybe a flagrant foul. It shouldn’t be.

    13) Kentucky 78, Davidson 73— Davidson hit a 3-ball with 0:00.6 to cover the spread, but now Kentucky plays Buffalo Saturday for a spot in the Sweet 16.

    Kentucky went 0-for-6 outside the arc against Davidson, which ended a 1,047-game streak in which Kentucky made at least one 3-pointer. It was the longest active streak in the country, dating back to November 26, 1988.

    12) Texas Tech 70, Stephen F Austin 60— Lumberjacks led by 3 at the half; but Keenan Evans scored 23 points for the Red Raiders and Tech gets their first NCAA tournament win since 2005.

    11) Michigan 61, Montana 47— Griz led this game 10-0 early, but Big Sky teams haven’t won a tournament game since 2006- they’re just not good enough to beat a top 20 opponent.

    10) Florida 77, St Bonaventure 62— Bonnies made tournament for first time since 2012, beat UCLA Tuesday, but ran out of gas here and got drilled by the Gators, who now play Texas Tech.

    I’m still amazed one of the genius AD’s at the big money schools hasn’t scooped up Bonnies’ coach Mark Schmidt— he is a very good coach. Ain’t easy to recruit players to Olean, NY.

    9) Villanova 87, Radford 61— Worst game of the day, a total mismatch; now the Wildcats face their bugaboo, the second round of the tournament.

    Since 2010, Villanova is 1-4 in the second round of the NCAA’s, losing two of last three years in 2nd round as a #1-seed; the one time they won was two years ago, when they went on to win the national title. Villanova plays Virginia Tech Saturday.

    Day games
    1) Rhode Island 83, Oklahoma 78 OT— First game of the tournament was terrific; Sooners led by 8 late in first half, then trailed by 6 with 4:10 left in regulation, before URI missed a point-blank putback at the buzzer to force OT, where the Rams prevailed.

    Oklahoma winds up losing 12 of its last 16 games. URI moves on to play Duke.

    2) Loyola Chi 64, Miami FL 62— Donte Ingram stuck a 3-ball with 0:00.3 left to send Ramblers on to the next round in their first NCAA appearance since 1985. Loyola outscored Miami 8-2 over the last 2:47; they were +6 in turnovers (16-10) for the game.

    This is the 14th consecutive year that a #11 seed beat a #6 seed

    3) Gonzaga 68, NC-Greensboro 64— Games like this are what make the NCAA tournament great. Condescending jerks like Jay Bilas think the NCAA’s should be the best 68 teams in country, rather than the champs from all 32 D-I leagues, but if that were the case, the Spartans wouldn’t have been invited— we’d get the 13th place team in the ACC.

    Zags led by 12 with 16:00 left, but UNCG took a 64-62 lead with 1:46 to play- Gonzaga scored the last six points of the game. Exciting game, for sure.

    4) Ohio State 81, South Dakota State 73— This game was 70-70 with 1:53 left, but then SD State fouled the 3-point shooter on the next two trips and that was that. Jackrabbits dared Ohio State to shoot 3-pointers; OSU was 12-40 outside the arc, 15-32 inside arc.

    South Dakota State’s Mike Daum is an NBA player; he is a sturdy 6-8 guy with 3-point range; he had 27 in this game, and star freshman Jenkins had 16. If those two guys are back in school next year, the Jackrabbits should go dancing again.

    5) Duke 89, Iona 67— Gaels shot 38.3% on arc for season; they were 5-24 in this game, as Duke ran out to a 53-39 halftime lead and coasted home from there.

    6) Seton Hall 94, NC State 83— Pirates are #55 experience team in country, NC State is #179, which explains this result. Seton Hall led 51-41 at the half and held the Wolfpack off in a game with lot of fouls. Solid first season for Kevin Keatts with NC State, finishing at 21-12. ACC lost two teams already; Wolfpack and Miami.

    7) Kansas 76, Penn 60— Quakers led 21-11 early, then reality set in. Penn had a senior named Caleb Wood, only senior in their rotation. He was 4-12 behind the arc in this game, only 12 shots he took all day. He shot 38% behind arc for the year; thats a good gig, just shooting 3’s.

    Penn was first Ivy League team to be a 16-seed since Princeton in 1989.

    8) Tennessee 73, Wright State 47— Total mismatch, other than first 2:00, when Raiders led 2-0. Vols are just so much more athletic than Wright State. Tennessee has all five of its starters back next year, so they should be even better. Wright State’s only senior starter was Grant Benzinger, son of former major leaguer Todd Benzinger— he was 2-16 from floor in this game.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, March 16



    NY Islanders @ Washington

    Game 51-52
    March 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    11.355
    Washington
    10.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Islanders
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -210
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Islanders
    (+175); Under

    Dallas @ Ottawa


    Game 53-54
    March 16, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    9.917
    Ottawa
    13.682
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 3 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    -145
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (+125); Under

    San Jose @ Calgary


    Game 55-56
    March 16, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    11.889
    Calgary
    10.414
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (+120); Over

    Nashville @ Colorado


    Game 57-58
    March 16, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nashville
    13.193
    Colorado
    12.022
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-140); Over

    Detroit @ Anaheim


    Game 59-60
    March 16, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    11.737
    Anaheim
    10.655
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Anaheim
    -240
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+200); Over

    Minnesota @ Vegas


    Game 61-62
    March 16, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    11.443
    Vegas
    10.351
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+145); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-16-2018 at 11:12 AM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, March 16


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY ISLANDERS (30-30-0-10, 70 pts.) at WASHINGTON (40-23-0-7, 87 pts.) - 3/16/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 165-95 ATS (+277.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 16-4 ATS (+9.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 30-9 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 32-19 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 7-5-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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    DALLAS (38-26-0-7, 83 pts.) at OTTAWA (25-33-0-11, 61 pts.) - 3/16/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 72-81 ATS (-29.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 10-17 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    DALLAS is 19-27 ATS (-17.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 48-49 ATS (-7.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 47-40 ATS (+88.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 49-46 ATS (+103.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 25-25 ATS (+57.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 55-39 ATS (+94.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    DALLAS is 70-68 ATS (+156.2 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
    DALLAS is 11-1 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 97-77 ATS (-4.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 1-6 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest this season.
    OTTAWA is 99-109 ATS (-80.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 8-21 ATS (+32.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    OTTAWA is 4-13 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 163-149 ATS (-121.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 4-1 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 4-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE (38-23-0-9, 85 pts.) at CALGARY (35-26-0-10, 80 pts.) - 3/16/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 15-5 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    CALGARY is 5-9 ATS (-8.3 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
    CALGARY is 2-7 ATS (-8.6 Units) on Friday nights this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN JOSE is 7-5 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    SAN JOSE is 7-5-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NASHVILLE (46-14-0-10, 102 pts.) at COLORADO (38-24-0-8, 84 pts.) - 3/16/2018, 9:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 10-3 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 10-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.7 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (26-33-0-11, 63 pts.) at ANAHEIM (35-24-0-12, 82 pts.) - 3/16/2018, 10:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 3-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (39-24-0-7, 85 pts.) at VEGAS (45-20-0-5, 95 pts.) - 3/16/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 66-69 ATS (-31.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS (-19.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 46-25 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games this season.
    VEGAS is 21-11 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    VEGAS is 12-6 ATS (+3.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    VEGAS is 22-12 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 2-0-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-16-2018 at 11:13 AM.

  5. #5
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    NHL

    Friday, March 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY ISLANDERS @ WASHINGTON
    NY Islanders is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

    DALLAS @ OTTAWA
    Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
    Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

    SAN JOSE @ CALGARY
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Jose's last 10 games on the road
    San Jose is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
    Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose

    NASHVILLE @ COLORADO
    Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

    DETROIT @ ANAHEIM
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Detroit's last 16 games
    Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
    Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    MINNESOTA @ VEGAS
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
    Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-16-2018 at 11:14 AM.

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