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Thread: Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/11

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 11

    Good Luck on day #70 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Over last two years, best 3-point shooters in NBA:

    6) Seth Curry, 137-322, 42.5%

    5) Darren Collison, 145-339, 42.8%

    4) Klay Thompson, 471-1101, 42.8%

    3) Otto Porter Jr, 257-595, 34.2%

    2) Kyle Korver, 307-698, 44.0%

    1) Joe Ingles, 289-649, 44.5%


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Basketball trivia: a regulation hoop is exactly two basketballs wide. Its a pretty good coaching point to show that to kids- the hoop looks smaller because it is ten feet up in the air, but if you show kids that two basketballs can fit in a rim, it can help their confidence.

    12) Arizona 75, USC 61— If you made me tell you who the best team in the country is, I’d tell you Arizona, though Virginia is close. All the chaos at Arizona this season may help them this month, since they’re used to the limelight- it may have brought the team closer together.

    Pac-12 will have an interesting day, with UCLA/Arizona State on the bubble. It is possible that the AAC gets more teams in the tournament than the Pac-12.

    11) UMBC 65, Vermont 62— Retrievers win the America East title- this was a great game. This league has found a niche with the 11am Saturday slot in Champ Week. No matter where their championship game is played, the gym is always packed.

    Senior guard Jairus Lyles drained a straight-away 3-pointer with 0:00.6 left to give UMBC its first NCAA berth since 2008. This was UMBC’s first win over Vermont in their last 24 meetings.

    Ryan Odom is UMBC’s coach; his dad is Dave Odom, who was Tim Duncan’s coach at Wake Forest.

    10) How great was Pistol Pete Maravich? He played at LSU from 1967-70, long time ago, but there are still eight college gyms in this country where Maravich holds the scoring record for a visiting player. Pistol Pete scored 44.2 ppg in his three-year varsity career, and that was before 3-pointers were in the game.

    9) Marshall 67, Western Kentucky 66- Thundering Herd is in NCAAs for first time since 1987; they’re coached by Dan D’Antoni, Mike’s brother.

    8) LIU won the NEC tournament this week; they’re 18-16 this year, against the #335 schedule in the country (out of 351). Only 5 of their 34 games were against teams ranked in the top 200.

    7) Coaching carousel: UConn fired Kevin Ollie, Georgia fired Mark Fox.

    UConn won the national championship four years ago, but in this “What have you done for me lately?” world, they’re 30-35 the last two years, so Ollie was told to take a hike.

    Georgia is 58-50 in SEC games the last six years, but Dawgs only made the NCAAs twice in nine years under Fox. Some smart mid-major team will hire Fox and will be glad they did.

    Also being rumored that Fresno State coach Rodney Terry will be leaving for the UTEP job, which I am told pays better than Fresno.

    6) Mookie Betts started out spring training 0-16; I’ve always wondered if players get stressed out over spring training slumps. When Betts got his first hit of the spring the other day, an infield hit, he smiled and pointed to the skies, so apparently, the 0-16 start stressed him out.

    5) Cal-Fullerton 71, Cal-Irvine 55— Big West has nine teams in it; the last eight years, 8 of those 9 teams won the Big West tournament once each, which may help explain why Cal-Riverside will be hiring a new coach this spring.

    4) Houston 77, Wichita State 74— AAC semifinal was a terrific game; dawned me during second half that Jim Nantz went to college at Houston, but you’d never know it listening to him call the game. Nantz, Raftery and Grant Hill make a good broadcasting team.

    3) Villanova 76, Providence 66 OT— Bubble teams everywhere exhale; Friars would’ve been a bid-stealer. Internet pundits keep speculating about Chris Mack or Ed Cooley leaving for other schools, but why would you leave a Big East job?

    Not only is the Big East a really good league, there is no football involved at those schools, so your team is king at your school, and thats a big thing.

    2) Every bubble team in the country will be rooting for Rhode Island against Davidson today; if Davidson wins, it knocks another team off the bubble. Nevada losing in the Mountain West already knocked one bubble team off.

    1— Today is one of the longer days of the year, and not because we turned the clocks ahead an hour last night; NCAA brackets come out at 6:00 tonight. Once the brackets come out, then it is a full night of research and handicapping. Sleepy day, very busy night.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 11


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    TORONTO (48 - 17) at NEW YORK (24 - 42) - 3/11/2018, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
    TORONTO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    NEW YORK is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    NEW YORK is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NEW YORK is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 9-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHICAGO (22 - 43) at ATLANTA (20 - 46) - 3/11/2018, 3:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 7-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 7-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    GOLDEN STATE (51 - 15) at MINNESOTA (38 - 29) - 3/11/2018, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 364-429 ATS (-107.9 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UTAH (36 - 30) at NEW ORLEANS (38 - 27) - 3/11/2018, 4:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 7-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SACRAMENTO (21 - 45) at DENVER (36 - 30) - 3/11/2018, 5:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 6-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    SACRAMENTO is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    HOUSTON (51 - 14) at DALLAS (21 - 45) - 3/11/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 406-330 ATS (+43.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 252-202 ATS (+29.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    DALLAS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    HOUSTON is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games this season.
    HOUSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    HOUSTON is 101-64 ATS (+30.6 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 9-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    INDIANA (38 - 28) at BOSTON (46 - 20) - 3/11/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BOSTON is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    INDIANA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHILADELPHIA (35 - 29) at BROOKLYN (21 - 45) - 3/11/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    BROOKLYN is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BROOKLYN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (38 - 27) at LA LAKERS (29 - 36) - 3/11/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 11-38 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
    CLEVELAND is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    LA LAKERS are 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 5-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-11-2018 at 12:10 PM.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, March 11


    Knicks lost nine of last ten games with Toronto; five of last six series games stayed under. Raptors are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Manhattan. Toronto won its last seven games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as road favorites. Five of their last six games went under the total. New York lost its last six games; they’re 0-6 in last six games as a home underdog. Six of their last eight games went over.

    Bulls won their last three games with the Hawks; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Chicago lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 0-8 in last eight tries as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went under the total. Hawks lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 3-4 as home favorites. Eight of their last nine games stayed under.

    Golden State won eight of its last ten games with Minnesota, but are 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Four of last six series games stayed under. Warriors won seven of their last eight games; they’re 2-8 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Timberwolves lost their last three games; they’re 2-1 as home underdogs. Eight of their last ten games went over.

    Jazz won six of their last seven games with the Pelicans; they covered three of last four visits to Bourbon Street. Six of last eight series games went over. Utah won its last five games; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last ten road games. Eight of their last nine games stayed under. New Orleans won nine of its last ten games; check status of Davis (ankle). Pelicans are 2-2 vs spread in last four home games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

    Nuggets won four of last five games with Sacramento; five of last six series games stayed under the total. Kings are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Sacramento is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games. Kings’ last four games stayed under total. Denver is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home favorites. Eight of their last ten games went over.

    Rockets won their last seven games with Dallas; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Houston had their 17-game win streak snapped Friday; they’re 9-2 vs spread in last 11 road games. Six of their last nine games went under the total. Mavericks lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as home underdogs. Six of their last eight games went over.

    Celtics won five of last six games with Indiana; four of last five series games went over the total. Pacers are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Benton. Indiana won four of its last five games; they’re 4-2 in last six games as road underdogs. Eight of last nine Pacer games stayed under the total. Celtics won six of their last seven games; they’re 1-6 in last seven games as a home favorite. Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

    76ers/Nets split their last ten games; Philly is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Sixers are 3-4 in their last seven games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as road favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Brooklyn lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as home underdogs. Four of their last five games went over.

    Lakers lost their last seven games with Cleveland; last nine series games went over. Cavaliers are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played in Staples. Cleveland is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 2-11 in last 13 games as road favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total. Lakers won six of their last eight games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home underdogs. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

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    NBA

    Sunday, March 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO @ NEW YORK
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Toronto
    New York is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

    CHICAGO @ ATLANTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chicago's last 22 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
    Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

    GOLDEN STATE @ MINNESOTA
    Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
    Minnesota is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

    UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    New Orleans is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

    SACRAMENTO @ DENVER
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 13 games

    HOUSTON @ DALLAS
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Houston is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home

    INDIANA @ BOSTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
    Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

    PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN
    Philadelphia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
    Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

    CLEVELAND @ LA LAKERS
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    LA Lakers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-11-2018 at 12:12 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 11



    Toronto @ New York

    Game 801-802
    March 11, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    121.674
    New York
    114.665
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 7
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 9 1/2
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+9 1/2); Under

    Chicago @ Atlanta


    Game 803-804
    March 11, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    114.198
    Atlanta
    113.008
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 1
    206
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 3
    214 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+3); Under

    Golden State @ Minnesota


    Game 805-806
    March 11, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    125.290
    Minnesota
    118.172
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 7
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 5
    226
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-5); Under

    Utah @ New Orleans


    Game 807-808
    March 11, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    123.502
    New Orleans
    118.441
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 5
    206
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 3
    213
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-3); Under

    Sacramento @ Denver


    Game 809-810
    March 11, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    111.562
    Denver
    124.980
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 13 1/2
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 11 1/2
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-11 1/2); Over

    Houston @ Dallas


    Game 811-812
    March 11, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    128.342
    Dallas
    115.409
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 13
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 9 1/2
    211 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-9 1/2); Over

    Indiana @ Boston


    Game 813-814
    March 11, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    119.324
    Boston
    122.869
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 3 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 6 1/2
    208 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+6 1/2); Over

    Philadelphia @ Brooklyn


    Game 815-816
    March 11, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    119.665
    Brooklyn
    116.732
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 3
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 6
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+6); Over

    Cleveland @ LA Lakers


    Game 817-818
    March 11, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    118.425
    LA Lakers
    119.559
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 1
    233
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 3
    228 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (+3); Over

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