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Thread: Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/8

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/8

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, March 8

    Good Luck on day #67 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Over/under wagers for pitcher’s wins this season:

    17.5 Clayton Kershaw

    16.5 Max Scherzer

    15.5 Chris Sale

    14.5 Luis Severino

    13.5 Kyle Hendricks

    12.5 Johnny Cueto


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Wrapping up a winter Wednesday

    13) ACC— Louisville 82, Florida State 74— Louisville’s interim coach David Padgett turned 33 last month; I’m guessing the last five months have been a blur for him, but his Cardinals played a great first half, leading 41-22 before hanging on at the end for their 20th win. Louisville will likely go on probation; has Padgett does enough to earn the full-time coaching gig?

    Boston College upset NC State 91-87; they play Clemson Thursday.

    12) Pac-12— Colorado 97, Arizona State 85— Sun Devils beat Xavier, Kansas before Christmas, were ranked 3rd in country at one point, but they lost five of their last six games, went 8-11 in Pac-12 play, and have zero right to bitch if they get left out of the Field of 68. Their RPI was 65 after this loss to Colorado, which made 13-21 3-pointers in this game.

    Oregon State and Oregon both advanced with overtime wins; Beavers’ three games with Washington this season were decided by total of 8 points.

    11) A-14— UMass upset LaSalle 69-67; Explorers were 1-16 on arc, Minutemen 10-23.

    10) Big X— Oklahoma State 71, Oklahoma 60— Sooners lost eight of their last 10 games, losing their last 10 games away from Norman. Bracketology people still have Oklahoma in the field of 68, but they’re not a very good team right now.

    9) Mountain West— UNLV 97, Air Force 90 OT— Huge sigh of relief from the desert, as Rebels snap a 5-game losing skid and get their 20th win of the season. UNLV-Nevada Thursday; Wolf Pack crushed UNLV 101-75 in Las Vegas last week, but the Rebels won earlier in Reno.

    8) Kansas center Udoka Azubuike won’t play in this week’s Big 12 tournament in Kansas City after he sprained the MCL in his left knee during practice Tuesday.

    7) Los Angeles Rams are having an interesting offseason; they traded MLB Alec Ogletree to the Giants Wednesday for 4th and 6th-round draft picks- the move clears $5M in cap room, which begs the question as to just how much money they’re going to pay Aaron Donald this spring.

    Ogletree was the quarterback of the defense, so it’ll be interesting to see who the new MLB will be and where that $5M in cap space is used. I’m pretty sure the Rams have five picks in the 6th round of the draft— they must think this draft is deep with talented players.

    6) Missouri’s star recruit Michael Porter Jr was supposed to be America’s best freshman, but he played 2:00 in the season opener, then left with a back injury, hasn’t played since. He returns today in St Louis for the SEC tournament; how will his presence change the Tigers’ chemistry?

    5) Big East— St John’s 88, Georgetown 77— Hoyas beat St John’s twice during the season, but Red Storm shot 67% inside arc in this game and move on to play top-seeded Xavier Thursday. Hoyas lost their last five games; they took 32 3’s, only 30 2-point shots in this game.

    4) C-USA— Tex-San Antonio 71, UTEP 58— Roadrunners went 11-7 in C-USA this year, after going 26-61 the previous five years; they’re 9-2 in last 11 games and play Marshall today.

    3) SEC— South Carolina 85, Ole Miss 84— Gamecocks made 12-21 on arc, only 19-34 on foul line. Ole Miss buried a 3 from deep in left corner to cover the spread at the buzzer.

    2) Sun Belt— Texas State 73, Coastal Carolina 66— Bobcats snapped a 9-game losing skid with win here; six of those nine losses were by 4 or fewer points or in OT.

    1) For me, today and tomorrow are just as much fun as the first round of the NCAA tournament; dozens of games all over the country, teams either positioning for seeding next week, or trying to shock the world and get in the field of 68.

    Today is 14 or 15 hours of great action; enjoy!!!

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, March 8


    Hornets won eight of last nine games with Brooklyn; six of last eight serried games stayed under total. Nets covered five of their last six visits to Charlotte. Brooklyn lost nine of its last 10 games but covered four of their last five; they’re 9-3 in last 12 games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over. Charlotte lost its last four games; they covered last five games as the home favorite. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

    Home side won last eight Miami/Philly games; 76ers are 2-2-1 vs spread in their last five visits to South Beach. Four of last six series games went over total. Sixers won three of last four games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as road favorites. Four of last six Philly games stayed under total. Miami won four of its last six games; they’re 3-5 as home underdogs this season. Seven of last nine Heat games went over.

    Celtics won last three games with Minnesota; home side won nine of last ten series games. Celtics are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Four of last six series games went over the total. Boston won five of its last six games; they’re 11-7 as road favorites. Over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. Timberwolves are 4-6 in their last ten games; they’re 2-1 as home dogs this season. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games. Minnesota hasn’t played since Friday.

    Suns won three of last four games with Oklahoma City; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Six of last nine series games went over total. Phoenix lost nine of its last ten games; they are 3-5 vs spread in last eight games as road underdogs. Under is 4-2 in their last six road tilts. Thunder split their last six games; they’re 5-8 in last 13 games as home favorites. Three of last four OKC games went over.

    Warriors won last seven games with San Antonio, covering last five; six of last seven series games went over. Spurs are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. San Antonio lost six of its last eight games; they’re 8-6 as road underdogs this season. Eight of their last ten games went over total. Golden State won its last six games, but is 0-3 vs spread in last three; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Four of last five Warrior games stayed under.




    NBA

    Thursday, March 8


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    Trend Report
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    BROOKLYN @ CHARLOTTE
    Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
    Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    Charlotte is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn

    PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI
    Philadelphia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
    Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

    PHOENIX @ OKLAHOMA CITY
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Phoenix's last 16 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Oklahoma City's last 13 games when playing at home against Phoenix

    BOSTON @ MINNESOTA
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
    Minnesota is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

    SAN ANTONIO @ GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games on the road
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-08-2018 at 12:39 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, March 8


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (20 - 45) at CHARLOTTE (28 - 37) - 3/8/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
    BROOKLYN is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 6-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 8-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHILADELPHIA (35 - 28) at MIAMI (34 - 31) - 3/8/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 82-62 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (45 - 20) at MINNESOTA (38 - 28) - 3/8/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games this season.
    BOSTON is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    MINNESOTA is 364-428 ATS (-106.8 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHOENIX (19 - 47) at OKLAHOMA CITY (37 - 29) - 3/8/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a favorite this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (37 - 27) at GOLDEN STATE (50 - 14) - 3/8/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1035-908 ATS (+36.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 186-145 ATS (+26.5 Units) in March games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 10-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-08-2018 at 12:40 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, March 8



    Brooklyn @ Charlotte

    Game 651-652
    March 8, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brooklyn
    114.526
    Charlotte
    119.033
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 4 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Charlotte
    by 7 1/2
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+7 1/2); Under

    Philadelphia @ Miami


    Game 653-654
    March 8, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    120.224
    Miami
    119.845
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 2 1/2
    204
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    Pick
    209
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    Under

    Boston @ Minnesota


    Game 655-656
    March 8, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    124.325
    Minnesota
    119.867
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 4 1/2
    218
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 2
    214
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-2); Over

    Phoenix @ Oklahoma City


    Game 657-658
    March 8, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    107.834
    Oklahoma City
    120.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 13
    233
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 10
    228
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (-10); Over

    San Antonio @ Golden State


    Game 659-660
    March 8, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    119.512
    Golden State
    127.634
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 8
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 12
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+12); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-08-2018 at 12:41 PM.

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