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Thread: Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/7

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 7

    Good Luck on day #66 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Over/under wagers for home runs this season:

    31.5 Gary Sanchez

    30.5 Kyle Schwarber

    28.5 Marcell Ozuna

    28.5 Charlie Blackmon

    27.5 Joey Votto

    26.5 Jake Lamb


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) One of the most underestimated facts in sports; over the last five years, Tom Brady has earned $74,784,964, “only” $14,956,993 a year. That allows New England more flexibility in paying other players. Not many quarterbacks or any athlete would willingly take less money to help the ballclub win— you think a member of the Manning family would do that?

    Since 2013, Eli Manning has earned $97,660,004, 3rd-most in NFL.

    Lot of people think Brady is the best quarterback ever; for him to be in the middle of the pack salary-wise is ludicrous and absurd.

    12) Since 2013, Baltimore Ravens have spent $119,584,094 on the QB position, most in the NFL; Tennessee Titans have spent $38,280,713, the least.

    11) Matthew Stafford has earned $111,008,969 over the last five years; he has an 0-3 career record in playoff games, which is part of why the Lions changed coaches this winter.

    10) St Mary’s lost in the WCC tourney and their non-conference strength of schedule is #290; I don’t know if they’re getting in NCAA’s or not, but I do know this will be the longest week of their lives, as they wait for 6:00 Sunday night, to see if their season is a success or a failure.

    9) Maine fired its basketball Monday and hired the former women’s coach, who sat out last year on medical leave. Then Maine’s best player announced he would transfer; Aaron Calixte scored 17 points a game this season. New coach’s job just got a little tougher.

    8) Random baseball fact: last year, Joey Votto had a streak of 20 games in a row where he reached base 2+ times. That is the longest such streak since 1981. Barry Bonds had a 19-game streak in 2004.

    7) Ed Hochuli retired as an NFL referee; he gave the best explanations for penalties. Long time ago, Hochuli was a linebacker at Texas-El Paso. Hochuli’s son Shawn is one of two new NFL refs, replacing his dad and Jeff Triplette, who also retired.

    6) Charleston 83, Northeastern 76 OT— CAA final was one of best games of Champ Week so far. Huskies led by as many as 17 points in second half. This tournament is usually played in Richmond, but has been in Charleston last couple years- that sure helped the Cougars in this game. Charleston is in NCAA’s for first time since 1999.

    Northeastern +2.5 is a very tough beat.

    5) Wow. University of Memphis is seriously considering firing Tubby Smith and replacing him with Memphis legend Anfernee Hardaway, who is currently a high school coach in Memphis.

    Rumors are that Hardaway would bring Larry Brown in as an assistant coach. Brown will be 78 in September; he is the only coach ever to win an NBA title and an NCAA national title.

    4) Arizona Diamondbacks are bringing the bullpen cart back for this year; not sure if it’ll help pace of play at all, but bullpen carts are very cool. Now that just about all the bullpens are off the field and behind the OF fence, you might see more teams do this.

    3) Gonzaga 74, BYU 54— Orleans Arena in Las Vegas has a great coffee shop; am guessing it is filled with happy Gonzaga fans after this rout of a BYU team that emptied its bucket when they upset St Mary’s Monday nite.

    There is talk of Gonzaga moving to a better basketball league; that would be a really interesting decision. Gonzaga is kind of like UNLV was in the late 80’s when they ruled the Big West, but once they moved to the Mountain West, things haven’t been as good for the Rebels. Sometimes it is better to be the big fish in a smaller pond.

    2) South Dakota 97, South Dakota 87— Jackrabbits are headed to NCAA’s for 3rd year in row and fifth time overall. They have a 6-8 kid named Daum who is an NBA player- he can shoot the 3-ball (42.8%) but when he got in foul trouble in this game, they still stretched out their lead- their freshman Jenkins is also a really good player.

    1— In 1985, Mike Schmidt was the highest paid baseball player, at $3,125,000 a year.

    This year, even a cheapskate team like my Oakland A’s have six guys who make that much. Trust me, none of those six guys could touch Mike Schmidt’s shoelaces. If Schmidt was playing today, you’d have to add on a zero to the end of that $3,125,000 to pay his tab.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, March 7


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    UTAH (34 - 30) at INDIANA (37 - 27) - 3/7/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 66-46 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MEMPHIS (18 - 45) at CHICAGO (21 - 42) - 3/7/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    HOUSTON (50 - 13) at MILWAUKEE (34 - 30) - 3/7/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
    HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
    HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 66-81 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 399-470 ATS (-118.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 368-446 ATS (-122.6 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 263-320 ATS (-89.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TORONTO (46 - 17) at DETROIT (29 - 35) - 3/7/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
    TORONTO is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    DETROIT is 65-79 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 113-162 ATS (-65.2 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
    DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ORLEANS (37 - 26) at SACRAMENTO (20 - 44) - 3/7/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    SACRAMENTO is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (37 - 26) at DENVER (35 - 29) - 3/7/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    DENVER is 177-224 ATS (-69.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ORLANDO (20 - 44) at LA LAKERS (28 - 35) - 3/7/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 62-81 ATS (-27.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 72-101 ATS (-39.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in March games since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 162-204 ATS (-62.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    ORLANDO is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-07-2018 at 12:16 PM.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, March 7


    Pacers won six of last nine games with Utah; three of last four series games went over total. Jazz is 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Indiana. Jazz won 15 of its last 17 games; they covered six of last eight road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Indiana won seven of its last nine games; they’re 7-1 in last eight games as home favorites. Six of their last seven games stayed under.

    Road team won seven of last nine Memphis-Chicago games; Grizzlies covered four of last five visits to the Windy City, four of which stayed under the total. Memphis lost its last 14 games; they’re 13-11-1 as road underdogs. Last four Memphis games stayed under total. Bulls lost six of their last seven games; they’re 6-3 as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

    Home side won last six Houston-Milwaukee games; Rockets are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Wisconsin. Five of last seven series games went over. Houston won their last 16 games; they are 8-1 vs spread in last nine road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Milwaukee lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-3 as home underdogs. Four of their last five games went under the total.

    Toronto won its last four games with Detroit; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Raptors won their last five games (4-1 vs spread); they covered their last four games as road favorites. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Pistons lost six of their last seven games; they’re 4-5 as home underdogs. Under is 5-1-3 in their last nine games.

    Kings won four of last six games with New Orleans; six of last nine series games went over total. Pelicans are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Sacramento. New Orleans won its last nine games; they’re 10-3 as road favorites, and 5-3 vs spread if they played night before. Last six Pelican games went over the total. Sacramento lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-8 in last 11 games as home underdogs. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

    Cavaliers lost six of last nine games with Denver, which just beat Cavaliers by 9 in Cleveland Saturday. Cavs are 2-1-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Last four series games went over total. Cleveland is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 6-3 vs spread as road underdogs. fFve of their last seven games stayed under. Denver lost three of its last five games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as home favorites. Nine of their last ten games went over.

    Home side won last nine Magic-Laker games; Orlando is 0-4 vs spread in last four series games played in Staples Center. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Orlando lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went under the total. Lakers won five of their last six games; they’re 6-3 as home favorites. Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

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    NBA

    Wednesday, March 7


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    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH @ INDIANA
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Utah is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
    Indiana is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

    TORONTO @ DETROIT
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

    MEMPHIS @ CHICAGO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games at home

    HOUSTON @ MILWAUKEE
    Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games

    NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO
    New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Sacramento is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

    ORLANDO @ LA LAKERS
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando
    LA Lakers is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

    CLEVELAND @ DENVER
    Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 11 games


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-07-2018 at 12:19 PM.

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