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Thread: Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/5

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 5

    Good Luck on day #64 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — Last five years, five different teams have won the World Series.

    — Guy that played Mr Chow in the Hangover movies was at the Duke-UNC game Saturday, wearing a Duke sweatshirt.

    — Michigan 75, Purdue 66— Wolverines win Big 14 tourney for second year in a row.

    — Tampa Bay Rays signed Carlos Gomez for $4M to play right field this year.

    — For the record, Phil Mickelson’s last PGA win was 97 starts ago.

    — Tickets to sit on the hill behind the OF fence at Braves-Cardinals spring training game Saturday were $25. Wow. $25 to sit on a grassy hill and watch an exhibition game.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

    13) Cincinnati 62, Wichita State 61— Intense, high level game; Bearcats win the AAC regular season title. Cincy PG Evans was hobbling around most of the game; they need him to be healthy 11 days from now.

    12) Loyola Chi 65, Illinois State 49— Ramblers are in NCAA’s for first time since 1985; this was their 5th year in the MVC- it is first time they’ve had a winning conference record since 2007.

    As for Illinois State, they lost in finals of Arch Madness for 4th time in six years, losing to four different schools, two of whom (Creighton, Wichita) aren’t even in the MVC anymore.

    11) Think about it, conference realignment has made coaches millionaires who work at schools that didn’t even move. Andy Enfield broke the bank at USC because of his success at Florida Gulf Coast, where his team made the Sweet 16 in 2013.

    But Florida Gulf Coast became the best team in the Atlantic Sun only because Belmont moved up to the OVC; Bruins won the A-Sun title five of the last seven years they were in the league. Enfield should send the Belmont AD a gift every year.

    FGCU is 70-22 in A-Sun play since Belmont moved on.

    Wichita State became a MVC power after Creighton went to the Big East.

    10) Lipscomb 108, Florida Gulf Coast 96— Speaking of which, you play the conference title game on your home floor, its not good if you’re down 60-31 at halftime. Lipscomb was 32-47 on the foul line, and this was a true road game for them. 47 free throws is an awful lot.

    FGCU made a wild comeback in the second half, got within five points, but ran out of gas at the end and Lipscomb is in the NCAA’s for the first time ever.

    Lipscomb won its last eight games and 12 of last 13- they play 7th-fastest tempo in country. Some of their high-profile non-conference games:
    — Lost 86-64 at Alabama
    — Lost 80-57 at Texas
    — Lost 81-71 at Tennessee
    — Lost 98-66 at Purdue

    Lipscomb turns ball over 20+% of time out of conference, which is a red flag; at times they looked awful when Florida Gulf Coast was pressing them.

    9) Phil Mickelson won a playoff over Justin Thomas in this week’s PGA event; Mickelson got his first Tour win in January 1991; Thomas was born in April, 1993

    8) Over the last 30 years, this was just 23rd out of 1,355 PGA tournaments that was won by a golfer who was 47+ years old.

    7) Virginia won the ACC by four games; 3rd-place teams were six games behind Virginia.

    6) Ohio State coach Chris Holtmann is 49-23 in conference games wth Butler/Ohio State the last four years, but he is 0-4 in conference tournament games in those seasons.

    When he was at Gardner-Webb, Holtmann’s teams were 23-29 in conference games, 1-3 in the conference tournaments, so he is 1-7 overall as a head coach in conference tourneys.

    5) Radford 55, Liberty 52— Carlik Jones, a 31.1% 3-point shooter coming in, drained a walk-off, conference-winning 3-ball at the buzzer to send Radford dancing for first time since 2009, when they got waxed 101-58 by North Carolina as a 16-seed in first round.

    This year’s Radford team had these high-profile pre-conference games:
    — Lost 82-72 at Ohio State.
    — Lost 74-62 at Vanderbilt
    — Lost 95-68 at Virginia Tech
    — Lost 77-62 at Nevada

    They play the 5th-slowest tempo in America.

    4) Interesting note: Some NFL teams at the Combine scheduled 15:00 interviews with UCLA players, only to grill that player about QB Josh Rosen. Teams will do anything they can to mine out information about players they might potentially select.

    3) From MMQB.com: “…….there’s a favorite question employed by almost every team in the NFL when quizzing a prospect about his teammates: If you could take one teammate with you to your future NFL team, who would it be?”

    It is straight out of the movie Draft Day, where the Browns don’t draft a QB prospect in part because his teammates didn’t go to his 21st birthday party. A quarterback has to be a leader, a person his teammates believe in. Doesn’t work any other way.

    2) We had 8.5 inches of snow in Albany the other day; in Cobleskill, which Mapquest says is 45 miles away from here, they had 39 inches of snow, over three feet!!! No bueno.

    1— Kawhi Leonard and Jordan Brand were working on a new four-year extension worth more than $20 million, but now talks have stalled.

    According to ESPN.com: “…….discussions broke down abruptly because representatives for Leonard didn’t feel that the new deal reflected the forward’s accomplishments and standing within the league.” Oh boy.

    Leonard has been cleared by the Spurs’ doctors to play, but has chosen not to; he’s played in nine games this season- he currently makes $500,000 a year on his Jordan endorsement deal, is being paid $18,868,625 by the Spurs this season.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, March 5


    Home side won six of last seven Detroit-Cleveland games; Pistons are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Ohio. Three of last four series games went over. Detroit lost eight of their last 10 games; they’re 1-8 in last nine games as road underdogs. Under is 4-1-3 in their last eight games. Cavs lost four of their last six games; they’re 2-8 vs spread in last 10 games as home favorites. Four of their last six games stayed under.

    Pacers won three of last four games with Milwaukee; four of last five series games stayed under. Bucks are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Indiana. Milwaukee lost four of its last five games; they’re 11-12 as road underdogs, 6-4-1 vs spread if they played night before. Three of their last four games stayed under. Indiana won six of its last eight games; they’re 6-1 in last seven games as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under.

    Miami won/covered nine of last ten games with Phoenix; Suns are 0-4 vs spread in last four trips to South Beach. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Phoenix lost nine of its last 10 games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 4-1 in their last five road games. Miami won three of its last four games; they’re 4-6 in last 10 games as home favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    Boston won five of last six games with the Bulls; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Windy City. Four of last six series games stayed under. Red Sox won four of their last five games; they’re 10-7 as road favorites. Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Boston games. Chicago lost five of its last six games; they’re 11-6 vs spread in last 17 home games. Four of their last six games went over the total.

    Spurs won their last five games with Memphis (4-0-1 vs spread); Grizzlies are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five trips to the Alamo. Six of last seven series games went over. Memphis lost its last ten games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as road underdogs. Their last three games stayed under the total. San Antonio lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as home favorites. Eight of their last nine games went over.

    Utah won its last three games with Orlando; five of last six series games went over. Magic covered its last four visits to SLC. Orlando won its last two games after a 7-game skid; they’re 8-1 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Jazz won eight of its last ten games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under.

    Lakers lost their last 10 games with Portland (2-8 vs spread); four of last five series games went under the total. Portland covered last five series games played in Staples. Trailblazers won their last six games (5-1 vs spread); four of their last five games stayed under. Portland is 6-5 as road favorites. Lakers won last five games, covered last six; they’re they covered five of last six tries as home underdogs. Over is 7-0-1 in their last eight games.

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    NBA

    Monday, March 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
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    MILWAUKEE @ INDIANA
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games on the road
    Indiana is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

    DETROIT @ CLEVELAND
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Detroit is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Cleveland
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

    PHOENIX @ MIAMI
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
    Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

    BOSTON @ CHICAGO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Boston

    MEMPHIS @ SAN ANTONIO
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Memphis's last 14 games on the road
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

    ORLANDO @ UTAH
    Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Orlando is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Utah is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Orlando

    PORTLAND @ LA LAKERS
    Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-05-2018 at 12:28 PM.

  5. #5
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, March 5


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    DETROIT (29 - 34) at CLEVELAND (36 - 26) - 3/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    DETROIT is 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    DETROIT is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    CLEVELAND is 19-42 ATS (-27.2 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 10-37 ATS (-30.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-25 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 8-7 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 9-6 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MILWAUKEE (34 - 29) at INDIANA (36 - 27) - 3/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 66-80 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 368-445 ATS (-121.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    INDIANA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 6-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 6-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHOENIX (19 - 46) at MIAMI (33 - 30) - 3/5/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 81-62 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (44 - 20) at CHICAGO (21 - 41) - 3/5/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games this season.
    BOSTON is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 9-6 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 9-6 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MEMPHIS (18 - 44) at SAN ANTONIO (36 - 27) - 3/5/2018, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 12-8 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (20 - 43) at UTAH (33 - 30) - 3/5/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 62-80 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (37 - 26) at LA LAKERS (28 - 34) - 3/5/2018, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA LAKERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    LA LAKERS are 138-96 ATS (+32.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    PORTLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 7-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 9-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-05-2018 at 12:29 PM.

  6. #6
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, March 5



    Detroit @ Cleveland

    Game 701-702
    March 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    112.023
    Cleveland
    121.188
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 9
    215
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 6
    220
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-6); Under

    Milwaukee @ Indiana


    Game 703-704
    March 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    118.225
    Indiana
    123.319
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 5
    203
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 2 1/2
    209 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (-2 1/2); Under

    Phoenix @ Miami


    Game 705-706
    March 5, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    114.131
    Miami
    119.742
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 5 1/2
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 9 1/2
    216 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+9 1/2); Over

    Boston @ Chicago


    Game 707-708
    March 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    120.711
    Chicago
    114.589
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 6
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 9
    216
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+9); Over

    Memphis @ San Antonio


    Game 709-710
    March 5, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    110.225
    San Antonio
    118.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 8 1/2
    196
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 11
    202 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+11); Under

    Orlando @ Utah


    Game 711-712
    March 5, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    114.312
    Utah
    121.523
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 7
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 10
    207
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+10); Under

    Portland @ LA Lakers


    Game 713-714
    March 5, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Portland
    124.916
    LA Lakers
    120.445
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 4 1/2
    229
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 2
    223 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Portland
    (-2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-05-2018 at 12:31 PM.

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