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Thread: Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/4

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 4

    Good Luck on day #63 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Baseball betting: over/unders on pitcher’s win this year:

    Stephen Strasbug, 15.5

    Zach Greinke, 14.5

    Yu Darvish, 13.5

    Sonny Gray, 13.5

    Noah Syndergaard, 13.5

    Shohei Ohtani, 10.5


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Non-basketball note, but a great one: A young man from Central Florida did 20 reps on the bench press at the NFL Combine Saturday, using a prosthetic left hand- the young man has no left hand. Kudos to Shaquem Griffin, one determined dude. Hope you make it in the NFL.

    12) Tennessee 66, Georgia 61— Vols were picked 13th in SEC preseason poll; there are 14 teams in the SEC. Instead, Tennessee tied Auburn for the regular season title, with only one senior in the Vols’ 10-man rotation.

    11) Hawai’i 68, Cal-State Fullerton 60— This game was delayed for an extra half hour at the half, because a bracket on top of one of the backboards broke, and the school had no replacement.

    After consulting with the Big West head of officials, it was decided to lower the baskets that hang from the ceiling (like high school backboards) and play the second half with those baskets, instead of the usual portable backboards. Very unusual.

    Shot clocks were on the floor in the corners, the way they were in the NBA 40 years ago.

    10) Illinois State 76, Southern Illinois 68 OT— Exciting game in semifinals of Arch Madness in St Louis; Redbirds play top-seeded Loyola in the championship game Sunday.

    No one pays to watch the referees: In first half of this game, after a whistle, a ref calls a taunting technical on an Illinois State player; the replay showed he said something to an opponent as they passed each other after the whistle. No physical contact, just quiet talk. LET IT GO!!!

    Before that could be sorted out, a second SIU player says something in passing to the Illinois State player who got the T, and a second referee gives HIM a technical. So now we have offsetting technical fouls, when nothing should’ve been called in the first place.

    Problem for Illinois State was that the technical on their guy was also his third personal foul, and this was still in the first half. He eventually fouled out in overtime.

    9) Miami 69, Virginia Tech 68— Hurricanes won their last four games, by a total of 8 points.

    8) Xavier 65, DePaul 62— Musketeers win Big East regular season title, first team other than Villanova to do that since the league re-organized.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    Little Rock (+20.5) 72, UL-Lafayette 61 OT
    Cleveland State (+13.5) 89, Northern Kentucky 80
    Marshall (+11) 76, Middle Tennessee 67
    Stanford (+8.5) 84, Arizona State 83
    Sacramento State (+8) 88, Northern Colorado 77
    Arkansas State (+7) 83, UL-Monroe 79
    Texas-El Paso (+6.5) 68, North Texas 66
    Hawai’i (+6.5) 68, Cal State-Fullerton 60

    6) Texas-El Paso 68, North Texas 66— Mean Green were improved this year; they finish 8-10 in Conference USA, after being 9-27 the last two years— 11 of their 18 conference games this season were decided by 4 or fewer points, or in OT.

    5) Stanford 84, Arizona State 83— Sun Devils were 12-0 on Christmas, a top 10 team; they then went 8-10 in the Pac-12, going 3-9 in games decided by 7 or fewer points, or in OT. ASU will be a really tough team to handicap in the NCAAs; I’m assuming they’re going to make it.

    4) NC State 76, Louisville 69— Louisville-Florida State is the 8-9 game in the ACC tournament, with both teams going 9-9 in ACC play. Could it be a play-in game?

    3) Duke 74, North Carolina 64— Duke outscored Tar Heels 49-29 in second half; they took 20 foul shots (9-20), Carolina took five (4-5). My quick math says Blue Devils were 7-15 on arc in the second half. Teams could meet again next weekend in Brooklyn.

    2) Murray State 68, Belmont 51— First bid in the Field of 68 goes to the Racers; over last five years, five different teams have won the OVC tournament.

    1— Cleveland State 89, Northern Kentucky 80— Top seed in Horizon goes down in the biggest upset of the day. Norse had beaten Cleveland State by 17-15 points in two meetings during the regular season, but those games don’t matter nearly as much as this one did.

  3. #3
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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 4


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    CINCINNATI (26 - 4) at WICHITA ST (24 - 5) - 3/4/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CINCINNATI is 118-158 ATS (-55.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    WICHITA ST is 221-174 ATS (+29.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
    WICHITA ST is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    WICHITA ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    WICHITA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    WICHITA ST is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    SMU (16 - 14) at S FLORIDA (9 - 21) - 3/4/2018, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SMU is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    SMU is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    SMU is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    SMU is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    S FLORIDA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
    S FLORIDA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
    S FLORIDA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
    S FLORIDA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all home games this season.
    S FLORIDA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games this season.
    S FLORIDA is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    S FLORIDA is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
    S FLORIDA is 74-106 ATS (-42.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    S FLORIDA is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    S FLORIDA is 2-2 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
    SMU is 4-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    E CAROLINA (10 - 18) at MEMPHIS (18 - 12) - 3/4/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 158-199 ATS (-60.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 149-188 ATS (-57.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    MEMPHIS is 30-10 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games in March games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    E CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    TEMPLE (16 - 13) at TULSA (18 - 11) - 3/4/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TULSA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
    TULSA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
    TULSA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    TULSA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
    TULSA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    TULSA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 211-169 ATS (+25.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    TEMPLE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
    TEMPLE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    TULSA is 3-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
    TULSA is 2-2 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    CONNECTICUT (14 - 16) at HOUSTON (23 - 6) - 3/4/2018, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CONNECTICUT is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
    CONNECTICUT is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
    HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
    HOUSTON is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
    HOUSTON is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    TULANE (14 - 15) at UCF (17 - 12) - 3/4/2018, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TULANE is 226-273 ATS (-74.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
    TULANE is 226-273 ATS (-74.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
    TULANE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    TULANE is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    TULANE is 149-197 ATS (-67.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    TULANE is 94-132 ATS (-51.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
    TULANE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    TULANE is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    UCF is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    UCF is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
    UCF is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
    UCF is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    UCF is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
    UCF is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCF is 4-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
    UCF is 3-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    TOWSON ST (18 - 13) vs. WM & MARY (18 - 11) - 3/4/2018, 2:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TOWSON ST is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    TOWSON ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.
    TOWSON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
    WM & MARY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games this season.
    WM & MARY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
    WM & MARY is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
    WM & MARY is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    WM & MARY is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
    WM & MARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    TOWSON ST is 4-1 against the spread versus WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
    TOWSON ST is 5-1 straight up against WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    UNC-WILMINGTON (10 - 20) vs. HOFSTRA (19 - 11) - 3/4/2018, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOFSTRA is 46-22 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 108-72 ATS (+28.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 5-2 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    WOFFORD (20 - 11) vs. UNC-GREENSBORO (24 - 7) - 3/4/2018, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    UNC-GREENSBORO is 4-3 against the spread versus WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
    UNC-GREENSBORO is 5-2 straight up against WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    WI-MILWAUKEE (15 - 16) vs. IL-CHICAGO (17 - 14) - 3/4/2018, 5:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IL-CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
    IL-CHICAGO is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    IL-CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
    IL-CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    IL-CHICAGO is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    IL-CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    WI-MILWAUKEE is 207-162 ATS (+28.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    WI-MILWAUKEE is 201-158 ATS (+27.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    WI-MILWAUKEE is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    IL-CHICAGO is 5-2 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    IL-CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    IUPUI (11 - 18) vs. OAKLAND (18 - 13) - 3/4/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OAKLAND is 44-21 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
    IUPUI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
    OAKLAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    OAKLAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    OAKLAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    OAKLAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
    OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    OAKLAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    IUPUI is 2-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
    OAKLAND is 1-1 straight up against IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    N DAKOTA ST (14 - 16) vs. IUPU-FT WAYNE (18 - 13) - 3/4/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N DAKOTA ST is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-3 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-3 straight up against N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    ORAL ROBERTS (11 - 20) vs. DENVER (14 - 14) - 3/4/2018, 9:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 4-2 against the spread versus ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 5-1 straight up against ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    LIPSCOMB (22 - 9) at FLA GULF COAST (23 - 10) - 3/4/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLA GULF COAST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    FLA GULF COAST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    FLA GULF COAST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    FLA GULF COAST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
    FLA GULF COAST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLA GULF COAST is 3-3 straight up against LIPSCOMB over the last 3 seasons




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    HOLY CROSS (12 - 18) at COLGATE (18 - 12) - 3/4/2018, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLGATE is 3-3 straight up against HOLY CROSS over the last 3 seasons




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    BOSTON U (15 - 15) at BUCKNELL (23 - 9) - 3/4/2018, 2:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUCKNELL is 3-0 against the spread versus BOSTON U over the last 3 seasons
    BUCKNELL is 5-1 straight up against BOSTON U over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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    LIBERTY (20 - 13) at RADFORD (21 - 12) - 3/4/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    RADFORD is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    RADFORD is 1-0 against the spread versus LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
    RADFORD is 5-2 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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  4. #4
    Join Date
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    Default

    NCAAB

    Sunday, March 4


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    Trend Report
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    CINCINNATI @ WICHITA STATE
    CINCINNATI

    Cincinnati is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
    Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    WICHITA STATE

    Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    HOLY CROSS @ COLGATE
    HOLY CROSS

    No trends to report
    COLGATE

    No trends to report
    DREXEL @ COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
    DREXEL

    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Drexel's last 5 games when playing College of Charleston
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Drexel's last 9 games
    COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON

    College of Charleston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of College of Charleston's last 7 games
    LIBERTY @ RADFORD
    LIBERTY

    No trends to report
    RADFORD

    No trends to report
    SOUTHERN METHODIST @ SOUTH FLORIDA
    SOUTHERN METHODIST

    Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games on the road
    SOUTH FLORIDA

    The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Florida's last 9 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of South Florida's last 15 games
    BOSTON UNIVERSITY @ BUCKNELL
    BOSTON UNIVERSITY

    No trends to report
    BUCKNELL

    No trends to report
    ILLINOIS STATE @ LOYOLA-CHICAGO
    ILLINOIS STATE

    Illinois State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Illinois State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    LOYOLA-CHICAGO

    Loyola-Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Loyola-Chicago's last 5 games
    TOWSON @ WILLIAM & MARY
    TOWSON

    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Towson's last 5 games when playing William & Mary
    Towson is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing William & Mary
    WILLIAM & MARY

    The total has gone OVER in 5 of William & Mary's last 5 games when playing Towson
    William & Mary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    EAST CAROLINA @ MEMPHIS
    EAST CAROLINA

    The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games on the road
    East Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
    MEMPHIS

    Memphis is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against East Carolina
    Memphis is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing East Carolina
    TEMPLE @ TULSA
    TEMPLE

    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 6 games when playing Tulsa
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Temple's last 9 games on the road
    TULSA

    Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Tulsa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    LIPSCOMB @ FLORIDA GULF COAST
    LIPSCOMB

    No trends to report
    FLORIDA GULF COAST

    No trends to report
    CONNECTICUT @ HOUSTON
    CONNECTICUT

    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    HOUSTON

    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    WOFFORD @ UNC GREENSBORO
    WOFFORD

    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wofford's last 5 games when playing UNC Greensboro
    Wofford is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    UNC GREENSBORO

    UNC Greensboro is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    UNC Greensboro is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wofford
    TULANE @ CENTRAL FLORIDA
    TULANE

    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tulane's last 10 games when playing Central Florida
    Tulane is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    CENTRAL FLORIDA

    Central Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tulane
    Central Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tulane
    MICHIGAN @ PURDUE
    MICHIGAN

    Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Michigan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    PURDUE

    Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games
    WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE @ UIC
    WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE

    Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 10 games
    UIC

    The total has gone OVER in 5 of UIC's last 5 games
    UIC is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee
    DELAWARE @ NORTHEASTERN
    DELAWARE

    Delaware is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Delaware's last 6 games
    NORTHEASTERN

    Northeastern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Northeastern is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Delaware
    FURMAN @ EAST TENNESSEE STATE
    FURMAN

    Furman is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Furman is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    EAST TENNESSEE STATE

    No trends to report
    NORTH DAKOTA STATE @ IPFW
    NORTH DAKOTA STATE

    The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Dakota State's last 5 games when playing IPFW
    North Dakota State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    IPFW

    The total has gone OVER in 6 of IPFW's last 7 games
    IPFW is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing North Dakota State
    SAINT PETER'S @ IONA
    SAINT PETER'S

    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Peter's's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saint Peter's's last 6 games when playing Iona
    IONA

    Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saint Peter's
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iona's last 6 games when playing Saint Peter's
    IUPUI @ OAKLAND
    IUPUI

    IUPUI is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of IUPUI's last 18 games
    OAKLAND

    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
    Oakland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing IUPUI
    UNC WILMINGTON @ HOFSTRA
    UNC WILMINGTON

    UNC Wilmington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hofstra
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNC Wilmington's last 7 games when playing Hofstra
    HOFSTRA

    Hofstra is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Hofstra is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    ORAL ROBERTS @ DENVER
    ORAL ROBERTS

    No trends to report
    DENVER

    Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oral Roberts
    Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    QUINNIPIAC @ FAIRFIELD
    QUINNIPIAC

    Quinnipiac is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Quinnipiac is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Fairfield
    FAIRFIELD

    Fairfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Fairfield's last 15 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  5. #5
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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, March 4


    Wichita State made 8-18 on arc, won 76-72 at Cincinnati Feb 18; Shockers won their last seven games, last five by 7 or less points; they’re 5-3 vs spread as home favorites in their first year in AAC, 7-1 SU, with only loss to SMU. Wichita is 4-3 this season vs top 50 teams. Cincinnati won 19 of its last 21 games; they’re 7-1 on AAC road, with only loss by 5 at Houston- they’re a dog for second time this season- they lost 89-76 (+3) to Xavier in December. Bearcats are 2-4 vs top 50 teams. AAC home favorites are 30-30 against the spread.

    Temple was +12 (18-6) in turnovers in 59-58 home win over Tulsa Jan 17; Hurricane led by 7 with 11:03 left in game. Tulsa won four of six AAC games with Temple; Owls lost both visits here, by 16-19 points. Temple lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-2 as road underdogs. Owls 3-5 on AAC road, losing last two away games, at Wichita/UConn. Tulsa won seven of last eight games, with only loss at Cincinnati; Hurricane is 3-3 as home favorites this year, seven of eight games SU, with lone home loss by 3 to Wichita. AAC home favorites are 30-30.

    CAA tournament, Charleston
    Wm&Mary won its first CAA tourney game the last four years, by 11-13-15-5 points- they’re 6-4 in last four tourneys, losing in finals in 2014, 2015- they’ve never been in NCAAs. Towson is 2-4 in first CAA tourney game the last six years; they lost 75-71 to Wm&Mary in this event four years ago. Towson lost its last three games overall, by 3-5-5 points; they beat W&M twice this year, 99-73 on road, then 96-82 in OT at home- Tigers won five of last six series games. Tribe lost four of its last seven games overall; they’re 3-7 vs teams ranked in top 150.

    NC-Wilmington won the CAA tournament last two years with Keatts as HC; they slumped to 10-20 this year with their new coach, but Seahawks won six of last eight games with Hofstra. UNCW beat Pride in this event two years ago, lost to Hofstra in 2014. Teams split pair of games this year, with home side winning both. Seahawks split their last six games; 4 of their last 14 games went to OT (2-2). Hofstra won its first CAA tourney game six of last nine years; they won their last four games overall- they’re 11-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200.

    Missouri Valley tournament, St Louis
    Loyola, Chi beat Illinois State twice this season, both by 68-61 scores; they led both games 33-28 at halftime- Loyola is 3-7 overall in MVC meetings with the Redbirds. Ramblers haven’t been to the NCAA’s since 1985; they won their last nine games overall, are 16-1 since Jan 4. Loyola used three starters 30:00+ the last two days- PG Custer played 37:00 yesterday. Illinois State needed OT to beat SIU Saturday; Redbirds played four starters 32:00+. ISU won four of its last five games, with only loss by 7 at Loyola eight days ago. Redbirds lost 71-51 in MVC final last year.

    Big 14 tournament, New York City
    Purdue beat Michigan twice this season, by total of five points- teams split last 10 meetings. This is 3rd year in row Michigan-Purdue meet in Big 14 tourney; Wolverines won LY on their way to the title; Boilers won in semis two years ago. Michigan is playing for 4th day in row; they won their last seven games, are 7-4 vs top 50 teams this season. Wolverines played three starters 32:00+ in yesterday’s win over Michigan St. Purdue won its last four games overall; they played three starters 31:00+ yesterday, when they made 11-21 on arc in 78-70 win over Penn State.

    Horizon tournament, Detroit
    Ill-Chicago beat Milwaukee twice this season, by 15-18 points; Flames won four of last five series games, but lost 74-68 to Panthers in LY’s Horizon tourney. UIC lost its last two games overall after they had won 12 of previous 14 games; Flames are 4-8 in this event the last eight years, 1-2 under McClain. Milwaukee won Horizon tourney in 2015, lost in final LY, under two different coaches- they have a 3rd coach now. Panthers are 3-4 in their last seven games- they’re 10-8 vs teams ranked outside top 200. UIC is 14-2 this season vs teams ranked outside top 200.

    Southern Conference tournament, Asheville, NC
    Wofford lost twice to NC-Greensboro this year, by 4-10 points; Spartans won last four series games, beating Wofford 77-73 in LY’s SoCon tourney. Terriers won four of last six games overall; they used three starters 31:00+ in mostly stress-free win over Mercer Saturday. Greensboro won nine of its last ten games; they played three starters 30:00+ yesterday. UNCG is 8-5 vs teams in top 200. Terriers won this event four times in six years from 2010-15, but are 2-2 the last three years. UNCG is 4-3 in last four SoCon tourneys; they lost by 5 to East Tennessee in LY’s final.

    East Tennessee State/Furman split two games this season; the games were decided by total of four points. ETSU is 5-4 against the Paladins in SoCon meetings; Bucs beat Furman 84-76 in this event two years ago. ETSU lost four of last six games overall after starting season 22-4; they start three seniors, two frosh, are #24 experience team in country. Furman won its last seven games; they won so easily yesterday that none of their guys played more than 24:00. Paladins lost by 3 points in SoCon final three years ago; they’re won by 3 at East Tennessee last Sunday.

    Summit tournament, Sioux Falls, SD
    Fort Wayne lost three of last five games overall but won by 8 at North Dakota State eight days ago. Mastodons beat ND State twice this season, by 8-12 points, won last three series games- they lost by 3 to North Dakota State in Summit final three years ago. FW is 2-2 in this event since then. Bison won this event in 2014, 2015; they’re 9-3 in last five tourneys, winning first tourney game four of five years. ND State lost six of last seven D-I games; they’re 1-8 this year vs teams ranked in top 200, with only win at South Dakota January 6.

    MAAC tournament, Albany
    Iona won MAAC tourney three of last five years, lost in finals the other two years; with top two seeds in this year’s tourney already gone, Gaels are favored to win it again. Gaels played three starters 34:00+ in last night’s easy win over Manhattan. Iona is 3-4 in its last seven games overall. St Peter’s won its last four games, allowing 51 ppg; they had Saturday off. Peacocks lost 83-75 to Iona in LY’s tourney- they won MAAC tourney in 2011, are 6-6 in this event since then. Iona won its last seven games with St Peter’s, winning this year’s meetings, by 4-9 points.

    Quinnipiac posted upsets Thurs/Fri after losing seven of last eight regular season games; Bobcats beat Fairfield 75-70 in Nassau Coliseum Jan 27, then lost 102-98 in double OT in rematch at Fairfield Feb 17. Teams split last eight series games. Quinnipiac is 10-11 vs teams ranked outside top 200. This is first time Bobcats won two games in same conference tourney since 2010 NEC tourney. Fairfield won its last six games; they’re 12-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Stags won fairly easy yesterday, but two starters still played the whole 40:00.

    WCC tournament, Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
    BYU won its last seven WCC tourney games that weren’t against Gonzaga/St Mary’s, but is 0-5 in WCC tourney games against the WCC’s top two teams. Cougars lost twice to St Mary’s this year, by 10 in OT at home, by 13 in Moraga. Gaels are 11-4 vs BYU in WCC meetings. BYU won five of its last seven games overall; they’re 2-5 vs top 100 teams this season, with wins over Utah Valley, Utah. St Mary’s struggled mightily with Pepperdine last night; they played only six guys, using four starters 35:00+. Gaels won last four games after consecutive losses to Gonzaga/USF.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-04-2018 at 11:30 AM.

  6. #6
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    Nov 2004
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 4



    Cincinnati @ Wichita State

    Game 815-816
    March 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    69.745
    Wichita State
    74.670
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wichita State
    by 5
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wichita State
    by 1 1/2
    143 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wichita State
    (-1 1/2); Under

    SMU @ South Florida

    Game 817-818
    March 4, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    SMU
    55.476
    South Florida
    46.612
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    SMU
    by 9
    122
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    SMU
    by 7 1/2
    128 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    SMU
    (-7 1/2); Under

    East Carolina @ Memphis

    Game 819-820
    March 4, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    East Carolina
    43.845
    Memphis
    53.458
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Memphis
    by 9 1/2
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Memphis
    by 12 1/2
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    East Carolina
    (+12 1/2); Over

    Temple @ Tulsa

    Game 821-822
    March 4, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Temple
    62.856
    Tulsa
    61.735
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Temple
    by 1
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tulsa
    by 2
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Temple
    (+2); Over

    Connecticut @ Houston

    Game 823-824
    March 4, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    57.237
    Houston
    68.395
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 11
    136
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 15
    142
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (+15); Under

    Tulane @ UCF

    Game 825-826
    March 4, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tulane
    54.673
    UCF
    58.135
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UCF
    by 3 1/2
    126
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UCF
    by 8
    131 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tulane
    (+8); Under

    Drexel @ Coll of Charleston

    Game 827-828
    March 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Drexel
    00.000
    Coll of Charlesto
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Drexel

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Drexel

    Dunkel Pick:
    Drexel
    ( );

    Towson @ William & Mary

    Game 829-830
    March 4, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Towson
    51.235
    William & Mary
    48.319
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Towson
    by 3
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Towson
    by 1
    160 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Towson
    (-1); Over

    Delaware @ Northeastern

    Game 831-832
    March 4, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Delaware
    00.000
    Northeastern
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Delaware

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Delaware

    Dunkel Pick:
    Delaware
    ( );

    NC-Wilmington @ Hofstra

    Game 833-834
    March 4, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NC-Wilmington
    51.376
    Hofstra
    53.895
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Hofstra
    by 2 1/2
    168
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hofstra
    by 5
    163
    Dunkel Pick:
    NC-Wilmington
    (+5); Over

    Illinois State @ Loyola-Chicago

    Game 835-836
    March 4, 2018 @ 2:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Illinois State
    00.000
    Loyola-Chicago
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Illinois State

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Illinois State

    Dunkel Pick:
    Illinois State
    ( );

    Michigan @ Purdue

    Game 837-838
    March 4, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Michigan
    00.000
    Purdue
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan

    Dunkel Pick:
    Michigan
    ( );

    WI-Milwaukee @ Illinois-Chicago

    Game 839-840
    March 4, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    WI-Milwaukee
    47.623
    Illinois-Chicago
    52.211
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Illinois-Chicago
    by 4 1/2
    135
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Illinois-Chicago
    by 1
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    Illinois-Chicago
    (-1); Under

    IUPUI @ Oakland

    Game 841-842
    March 4, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    IUPUI
    42.763
    Oakland
    51.909
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oakland
    by 9
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oakland
    by 6 1/2
    149
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (-6 1/2); Under

    Wofford @ NC-Greensboro

    Game 843-844
    March 4, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wofford
    00.000
    NC-Greensboro
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wofford

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wofford

    Dunkel Pick:
    Wofford
    ( );

    Furman @ E Tenn State

    Game 845-846
    March 4, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Furman
    00.000
    E Tenn State
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Furman

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Furman

    Dunkel Pick:
    Furman
    ( );

    North Dakota St @ IPFW

    Game 847-848
    March 4, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Dakota St
    49.721
    IPFW
    53.658
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    IPFW
    by 4
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    IPFW
    by 1 1/2
    151
    Dunkel Pick:
    IPFW
    (-1 1/2); Under

    Oral Roberts @ Denver

    Game 849-850
    March 4, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oral Roberts
    46.513
    Denver
    49.986
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 3 1/2
    136
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 1 1/2
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-1 1/2); Under

    St Peter's @ Iona

    Game 851-852
    March 4, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St Peter's
    00.000
    Iona
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St Peter's

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St Peter's

    Dunkel Pick:
    St Peter's
    ( );

    Quinnipiac @ Fairfield

    Game 853-854
    March 4, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Quinnipiac
    00.000
    Fairfield
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Quinnipiac

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Quinnipiac

    Dunkel Pick:
    Quinnipiac
    ( );

    Lipscomb @ FL-Gulf Coast

    Game 855-856
    March 4, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Lipscomb
    54.376
    FL-Gulf Coast
    58.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    FL-Gulf Coast
    by 4
    164
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    FL-Gulf Coast
    by 7 1/2
    159
    Dunkel Pick:
    Lipscomb
    (+7 1/2); Over

    Holy Cross @ Colgate

    Game 857-858
    March 4, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Holy Cross
    48.785
    Colgate
    52.318
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colgate
    by 3 1/2
    136
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colgate
    by 6 1/2
    130
    Dunkel Pick:
    Holy Cross
    (+6 1/2); Over

    Boston U @ Bucknell

    Game 859-860
    March 4, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston U
    43.512
    Bucknell
    57.634
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Bucknell
    by 14
    143
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Bucknell
    by 11 1/2
    148
    Dunkel Pick:
    Bucknell
    (-11 1/2); Under

    Liberty @ Radford

    Game 861-862
    March 4, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Liberty
    50.345
    Radford
    54.419
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Radford
    by 4
    117
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Radford
    by 1 1/2
    122 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Radford
    (-1 1/2); Under

  7. #7
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    Nov 2004
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    NCAAB

    Sunday, March 4


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Big Ten Conference championship betting preview and odds: Michigan vs. Purdue
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers (-3, 137.5)

    Game to be played at Madison Square Garden, New York

    Michigan became the first team since 2001 to win four games in four days at the Big Ten tournament last season, outlasting Purdue in overtime on its way to its first conference tournament title. The 13th-ranked and fifth-seeded Wolverines attempt to win four games in as many days for the second straight year as they face the eighth-ranked and second-seeded Boilermakers in the championship game at New York's Madison Square Garden.

    The biggest challenge Michigan faced during its conference tournament run last season - besides the airplane scare it endured traveling to the event - was a four-point overtime victory against top-seeded Purdue in the quarterfinals. The Wolverines appear to be playing their best basketball late again for a second straight season, as they ran their winning streak to eight games Saturday with a 75-64 semifinal triumph over Michigan State. Michigan will have payback on its mind Sunday, however, as Purdue took both regular-season meetings this year by a total of five points. The Boilermakers, who are in search of their first tournament title since capturing their only one in 2009, won for the fifth straight time Saturday after defeating Penn State 78-70 in the other semifinal.

    TV:
    4:30 p.m. ET, CBS

    BETTING STATS:




    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES:


    Purdue opened as 3.5-point favorites and early Sunday morning action on the underdog Wolverines has pushed that number down slightly to 3. The total hit betting boards at 135 and has been bet up to 137.5.

    MATCHUP CHART:




    ABOUT MICHIGAN (27-7 SU, 21-11-1 ATS, 16-16-1 O/U):
    Moritz Wagner poured in 14 of his 15 points in the second half Saturday to overcome a 0-for-7 from the field showing before intermission, and the second-team all-conference honoree became the 54th Wolverine to surpass 1,000 points in his career. Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman added 15 points against the Spartans on 6-of-11 from the floor and, including a 10-for-15 effort from the field versus Purdue 12 games ago, the 6-4 guard is shooting 50.7 percent (39.4 over the first 22 contests). Sophomore Zavier Simpson (7.4 points, 3.0 rebounds) turned in one of his finest performances Saturday, reaching double figures for the fourth straight time with 15 points while also corralling seven boards - his most in over a month.

    ABOUT PURDUE (28-5 SU, 15-16-1 ATS, 15-17-1 O/U):
    Rebounding figures to be one area in which coach Matt Painter will address in the 20-plus hours between games as Purdue has been beaten on the glass in each of its first two games in New York (72-60), particularly on the offensive end (33-13). First-team All-Big Ten performer Carsen Edwards (18.7 points) has scored at least 26 points in four of his last five outings - including both games at MSG - and has buried three or more 3-pointers in six straight after a 6-for-9 effort Saturday. Senior 7-2 center Isaac Haas (14.6 points, 5.5 rebounds) is averaging 14.5 points and 8.5 boards in New York and burned the Wolverines for 24 points on 10-of-14 shooting in 20 minutes in a Jan. 25 victory.

    TRENDS:


    * Wolverines are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
    * Boilermakers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Big Ten.
    * Over is 5-0-1 in Wolverines' last 6 vs. Big Ten.
    * Over is 22-6 in Boilermakers' last 28 neutral site games.
    * Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

    TIP-IN BETTING TIDBITS:


    - Michigan has won three of the four meetings in the Big Ten tournament, including the title game in the inaugural event in 1998 - a result that was later vacated.

    - With his next triple, Boilermakers G Dakota Mathias passes E'Twaun Moore (243) for the most 3-pointers in program history.

    - The Wolverines, who on Saturday became only the fourth team this season to outrebound the Spartans (36-33), have held seven straight opponents below one point per possession.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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