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Thread: Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/4

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 4

    Good Luck on day #63 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Baseball betting: over/unders on pitcher’s win this year:

    Stephen Strasbug, 15.5

    Zach Greinke, 14.5

    Yu Darvish, 13.5

    Sonny Gray, 13.5

    Noah Syndergaard, 13.5

    Shohei Ohtani, 10.5


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Non-basketball note, but a great one: A young man from Central Florida did 20 reps on the bench press at the NFL Combine Saturday, using a prosthetic left hand- the young man has no left hand. Kudos to Shaquem Griffin, one determined dude. Hope you make it in the NFL.

    12) Tennessee 66, Georgia 61— Vols were picked 13th in SEC preseason poll; there are 14 teams in the SEC. Instead, Tennessee tied Auburn for the regular season title, with only one senior in the Vols’ 10-man rotation.

    11) Hawai’i 68, Cal-State Fullerton 60— This game was delayed for an extra half hour at the half, because a bracket on top of one of the backboards broke, and the school had no replacement.

    After consulting with the Big West head of officials, it was decided to lower the baskets that hang from the ceiling (like high school backboards) and play the second half with those baskets, instead of the usual portable backboards. Very unusual.

    Shot clocks were on the floor in the corners, the way they were in the NBA 40 years ago.

    10) Illinois State 76, Southern Illinois 68 OT— Exciting game in semifinals of Arch Madness in St Louis; Redbirds play top-seeded Loyola in the championship game Sunday.

    No one pays to watch the referees: In first half of this game, after a whistle, a ref calls a taunting technical on an Illinois State player; the replay showed he said something to an opponent as they passed each other after the whistle. No physical contact, just quiet talk. LET IT GO!!!

    Before that could be sorted out, a second SIU player says something in passing to the Illinois State player who got the T, and a second referee gives HIM a technical. So now we have offsetting technical fouls, when nothing should’ve been called in the first place.

    Problem for Illinois State was that the technical on their guy was also his third personal foul, and this was still in the first half. He eventually fouled out in overtime.

    9) Miami 69, Virginia Tech 68— Hurricanes won their last four games, by a total of 8 points.

    8) Xavier 65, DePaul 62— Musketeers win Big East regular season title, first team other than Villanova to do that since the league re-organized.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    Little Rock (+20.5) 72, UL-Lafayette 61 OT
    Cleveland State (+13.5) 89, Northern Kentucky 80
    Marshall (+11) 76, Middle Tennessee 67
    Stanford (+8.5) 84, Arizona State 83
    Sacramento State (+8) 88, Northern Colorado 77
    Arkansas State (+7) 83, UL-Monroe 79
    Texas-El Paso (+6.5) 68, North Texas 66
    Hawai’i (+6.5) 68, Cal State-Fullerton 60

    6) Texas-El Paso 68, North Texas 66— Mean Green were improved this year; they finish 8-10 in Conference USA, after being 9-27 the last two years— 11 of their 18 conference games this season were decided by 4 or fewer points, or in OT.

    5) Stanford 84, Arizona State 83— Sun Devils were 12-0 on Christmas, a top 10 team; they then went 8-10 in the Pac-12, going 3-9 in games decided by 7 or fewer points, or in OT. ASU will be a really tough team to handicap in the NCAAs; I’m assuming they’re going to make it.

    4) NC State 76, Louisville 69— Louisville-Florida State is the 8-9 game in the ACC tournament, with both teams going 9-9 in ACC play. Could it be a play-in game?

    3) Duke 74, North Carolina 64— Duke outscored Tar Heels 49-29 in second half; they took 20 foul shots (9-20), Carolina took five (4-5). My quick math says Blue Devils were 7-15 on arc in the second half. Teams could meet again next weekend in Brooklyn.

    2) Murray State 68, Belmont 51— First bid in the Field of 68 goes to the Racers; over last five years, five different teams have won the OVC tournament.

    1— Cleveland State 89, Northern Kentucky 80— Top seed in Horizon goes down in the biggest upset of the day. Norse had beaten Cleveland State by 17-15 points in two meetings during the regular season, but those games don’t matter nearly as much as this one did.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 4



    Phoenix @ Atlanta

    Game 801-802
    March 4, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    111.563
    Atlanta
    116.667
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 5
    218
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 2 1/2
    224
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (-2 1/2); Under

    Indiana @ Washington


    Game 803-804
    March 4, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    117.216
    Washington
    123.227
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 6
    204
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 3 1/2
    209
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Charlotte @ Toronto


    Game 805-806
    March 4, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    118.452
    Toronto
    122.934
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 4 1/2
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 9
    219
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+9); Over

    New Orleans @ Dallas


    Game 807-808
    March 4, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    119.873
    Dallas
    118.425
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1 1/2
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4
    223
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+4); Over

    Philadelphia @ Milwaukee


    Game 809-810
    March 4, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    122.895
    Milwaukee
    118.786
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 4
    215
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1
    209
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-1); Over

    New York @ Sacramento


    Game 811-812
    March 4, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    114.209
    Sacramento
    110.118
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New York
    by 4
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New York
    by 1 1/2
    214 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (-1 1/2); Over

    Brooklyn @ LA Clippers


    Game 813-814
    March 4, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brooklyn
    114.312
    LA Clippers
    118.798
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 4 1/2
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 9 1/2
    226
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+9 1/2); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-04-2018 at 11:42 AM.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, March 4


    Home side won last six Phoenix-Atlanta games; Suns are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Phoenix lost nine of its last 10 games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as road underdogs. Four of Suns’ last five road games stayed under. Hawks lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under.

    Washington won their last four games with the Pacers; eight of last ten series games went over the total. Indiana covered four of last five games in this building. Pacers won five of their last seven games; they’re 4-6 in last ten games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Wizards lost three of their last four home games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as home favorites. Washington’s last four games stayed under.

    Raptors won their last three games with Charlotte; last four series games went over the total. Hornets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Charlotte lost four of their last six road games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as road underdogs. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Toronto won nine of its last ten games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games.

    New Orleans/Dallas split their last ten games; Pelicans are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Dallas. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. New Orleans won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they’re 9-3 as road favorites. Eight of their last ten games went over. Mavericks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as home underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over.

    Bucks won three of last four games with Philly; road team won five of last seven series games. 76ers are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Milwaukee. Three of last four series games stayed under the total. Philly won eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-6 as road favorites. Sixers’ last four games stayed under the total. Milwaukee lost its last four games; they’re 1-3 as home underdogs. Bucks’ last three games all stayed under.

    Knicks won their last three games with the Kings; they’re 3-0-1 vs spread in last four games in Sacramento. Four of last five series games stayed under. New York lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 1-3 vs spread as road favorites. Knicks’ last five games went over the total. Sacramento lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 2-8 in last ten games as home underdogs. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

    Clippers won four of their last five games with Brooklyn; four of last six series games stayed under the total. Nets are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games played here. Brooklyn lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as road underdogs. Three of their last four road games went over. Clippers won five of their last seven games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as home favorites. Five of their last six games went over.

  5. #5
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    NBA

    Sunday, March 4


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX @ ATLANTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
    Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

    INDIANA @ WASHINGTON
    Indiana is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

    CHARLOTTE @ TORONTO
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Charlotte is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
    Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    NEW ORLEANS @ DALLAS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against New Orleans

    PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE
    Philadelphia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
    Milwaukee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    NEW YORK @ SACRAMENTO
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New York
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against New York

    BROOKLYN @ LA CLIPPERS
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Brooklyn is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-04-2018 at 11:45 AM.

  6. #6
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 4


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (19 - 45) at ATLANTA (19 - 44) - 3/4/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    PHOENIX is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (35 - 27) at WASHINGTON (36 - 27) - 3/4/2018, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 64-46 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
    WASHINGTON is 402-471 ATS (-116.1 Units) in home games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 5-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (28 - 35) at TORONTO (44 - 17) - 3/4/2018, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    TORONTO is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
    TORONTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (35 - 26) at DALLAS (19 - 44) - 3/4/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 405-329 ATS (+43.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    DALLAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 251-201 ATS (+29.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 5-5 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (34 - 27) at MILWAUKEE (33 - 29) - 3/4/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 149-112 ATS (+25.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
    PHILADELPHIA is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 65-80 ATS (-23.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in home games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 367-445 ATS (-122.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (24 - 39) at SACRAMENTO (19 - 44) - 3/4/2018, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (20 - 43) at LA CLIPPERS (33 - 28) - 3/4/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BROOKLYN is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BROOKLYN is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 165-206 ATS (-61.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-04-2018 at 11:46 AM.

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