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Thread: Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/28

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/28

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, February 28

    Good Luck on day #59 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Six over/under wagers for home run totals this season:

    39.5— Giancarlo Stanton

    35.5— Mike Trout

    35.5— Nolan Arenado

    34.5— Manny Machado

    33.5— Josh Donaldson

    33.5— Bryce Harper


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Starting today, the first of some changes here at the website will take place.

    No more daily NHL write-ups; I’ve decided to concentrate on basketball between football and baseball seasons. For now, everything else here stays the same.

    12) I’m not making this up: A Pittsburgh-area family is suing Steelers’ safety Sean Davis because he posted a Snapchat video about how slow the service was at the drive-thru window at a Chick-fil-A, where their son works- the son was then “bullied” at school because of the video.

    The lawsuit contains claims for libel, cyberbullying, intentional infliction of emotional distress and slander. Davis offered to invite the teenager and two friends to be his guest at a Steelers’ practice, and to go to Davis’ summer football camp in Washington, but the family declined.

    Good grief, our country is getting soft.

    11) I mentioned Sunday how Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley was going after the refs as they left the floor in Corvallis after the Sun Devils lost to Oregon State Saturday- the Pac-12 nailed him with a $10,000 fine for those shenanigans.

    10) If Bronx Bombers’ GM Brian Cashman is so bleeping smart, let him go be the GM of the Pirates or the Rays or the A’s and see how many freakin’ games his team wins. Gets old hearing media types praise Cashman all the time— he is playing checkers with more pieces than most of his opponents- he should win. Since 2001, Cashman’s team has one World Series title, after a run of four titles in five years in the late 90’s.

    9) Speaking of Tampa Bay, they may not have an excuse to be cheapskates for too much longer; Rays and Fox Sports Net are nearing a long-term extension to their broadcast deal. From CBSSports.com:

    “Fox’s payout is expected to increase to around $50 million in 2019 under the new contract. Over the 15-year life of the deal, which would run through the 2033 season, Fox would pay, on average, around $82 million per year.”

    8) Several NBA personnel types told ESPN’s Jeff Goodman that they would advise Missouri freshman Michael Porter Jr to play this season, rather than just sit out and wait for the NBA Draft. Porter played 2:00 in the opener and hasn’t played since because of a back problem.

    7) Texas declined to sign free agent P Seung-hwan Oh because he failed his physical; Toronto then signed Oh- you wonder what the difference is in the physicals between the two teams.

    6) Three US cities with the best TV ratings for the Winter Olympics: Salt Lake City, Denver and Minneapolis.

    5) Former big league reliever Andrew Bailey retired from playing and will be the Angels’ instant replay coordinator this season. I’m a curious guy; wonder how much that job pays?

    4) Why is Russell Wilson in spring training with the Bronx Bombers? How does his presence there help them prepare for this season? Does he still get paid by the Seahawks if he tears an ACL playing baseball?

    3) 20 or so years ago, I bowled in a Thursday night league; had never done it before, haven’t done it since. It was kind of fun, but I was in over my head and didn’t do very well— I didn’t even own my own bowling ball, just used an alley ball every week. But hey, I could watch college games on TV and eat pizza in between my turns.

    One night, a guy on the lanes to my right bowled a 300— it was a different league, really good bowlers, and I remember how casual the guy was about bowling a 300. I was excited, I mean the guy just bowled a freakin’ perfect game- couldn’t understand why he just smiled, and got ready for his next game. Best I ever did was a 212; anything over 170 was cause for celebration.

    2) According to baseball-reference.com. San Francisco Giants already have $127M in salary obligations for 2020; Minnesota Twins have $0 on the books after 2019.

    1— If you’re a kid in West Virginia this week, you were on an unscheduled vacation— teachers went on strike for better pay/benefits, but they’ll be back at work on Thursday.

    When I was a junior in high school, our teachers were on strike when school started— problem is, teachers at two other local schools were also on strike, so the teachers would go to the other two schools and be subs to make some $$$, which kind of defeated the whole purpose.

    We had a different teacher for every class every day for the whole week; it was chaotic; some kids marched to the district offices to “protest for the teachers” – they just didn’t want to go to class. For those lazy people like me who had no desire to walk anywhere, we just sat in class, did very little and stayed out of trouble. Good times.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, February 28


    "Starting today, the first of some changes here at the website will take place.

    No more daily NHL write-ups; I’ve decided to concentrate on basketball between football and baseball seasons. For now, everything else here stays the same."
    - Biff Fischer (Armadillo)




    NHL

    Wednesday, February 28


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY ISLANDERS @ MONTREAL
    NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games
    Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home

    BUFFALO @ TAMPA BAY
    Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Buffalo is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
    Tampa Bay is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Buffalo
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo

    DETROIT @ ST. LOUIS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
    Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of St. Louis's last 21 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games

    CALGARY @ COLORADO
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Colorado is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Colorado is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

    NY RANGERS @ VANCOUVER
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games on the road
    NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home
    Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-28-2018 at 12:27 PM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, February 28


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    BUFFALO (19-33-0-11, 49 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (43-17-0-3, 89 pts.) - 2/28/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 19-44 ATS (+81.7 Units) in all games this season.
    BUFFALO is 2-13 ATS (+20.8 Units) after a division game this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 43-20 ATS (+76.0 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 16-5 ATS (+6.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 23-9 ATS (+9.5 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    BUFFALO is 284-256 ATS (+540.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    BUFFALO is 216-227 ATS (+488.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 379-418 ATS (-168.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 8-2 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 8-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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    NY ISLANDERS (29-27-0-7, 65 pts.) at MONTREAL (23-29-0-10, 56 pts.) - 2/28/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY ISLANDERS are 9-1 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 13-6 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a division game this season.
    MONTREAL is 23-39 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games this season.
    MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-16.1 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 16-22 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (+18.5 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
    MONTREAL is 11-26 ATS (+41.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    MONTREAL is 3-10 ATS (-7.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MONTREAL is 4-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (26-26-0-10, 62 pts.) at ST LOUIS (34-26-0-4, 72 pts.) - 2/28/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 17-6 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 6-2 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
    ST LOUIS is 3-9 ATS (-11.5 Units) in February games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST LOUIS is 3-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CALGARY (32-23-0-9, 73 pts.) at COLORADO (33-24-0-5, 71 pts.) - 2/28/2018, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 33-29 ATS (+63.3 Units) in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 12-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
    COLORADO is 9-1 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
    COLORADO is 20-19 ATS (+41.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
    CALGARY is 7-1 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    CALGARY is 23-13 ATS (+9.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 6-2 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 6-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY RANGERS (27-30-0-6, 60 pts.) at VANCOUVER (24-32-0-7, 55 pts.) - 2/28/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY RANGERS are 7-18 ATS (+28.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
    VANCOUVER is 10-7 ATS (+20.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
    VANCOUVER is 10-6 ATS (+18.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
    VANCOUVER is 236-241 ATS (-117.9 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 377-356 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 96-88 ATS (-67.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VANCOUVER is 2-3 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
    NY RANGERS is 3-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, February 28



    Buffalo @ Tampa Bay

    Game 51-52
    February 28, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    10.494
    Tampa Bay
    12.934
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -330
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-330); Over

    NY Islanders @ Montreal


    Game 53-54
    February 28, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    10.446
    Montreal
    11.517
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Montreal
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Montreal
    -125
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (-125); Under

    Detroit @ St. Louis


    Game 55-56
    February 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    10.403
    St. Louis
    9.339
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 1
    3
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -160
    5
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+140); Under

    Calgary @ Colorado


    Game 57-58
    February 28, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Calgary
    11.686
    Colorado
    10.543
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -130
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    (+110); Under

    NY Rangers @ Vancouver


    Game 59-60
    February 28, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Rangers
    9.037
    Vancouver
    11.296
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vancouver
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vancouver
    -120
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vancouver
    (-120); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-28-2018 at 12:27 PM.

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