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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/25

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/25

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, February 25

    Good Luck on day #56 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Six top prospects for the Boston Red Sox:

    1) Jay Groome, P— When your #1 prospect has a 3-9 career record, that says a lot.

    2) Michael Chavis, 3B— Hit .250 in 67 games in the Eastern League LY.

    6) Darwinzon Hernandez, P— Three years in, hasn’t escaped A-ball yet.

    7) Sam Travis, 1B— Ht .263 in 76 big league AB’s last season.

    20) Hector Velasquez, P— Had 2.92 ERA in 25 big league IP last season.

    23) Brian Johnson, P— Struck out 21 batters in 27 big league IP last year.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Oregon 89, Arizona 83 OT— Most intense regular season college basketball game I’ve seen in years; Arizona was out to win for its suspended coach, with an us-against-them mentality, but they ran out of gas in overtime, and lost despite 28 points, 13 rebounds from Deandre Ayton.

    Sean Miller has a weird contract at Arizona; he gets $10.3M if he is fired for cause, but only $5.15M if he is fired without cause. Either way, if Arizona fires him because of this mess, he ain’t gonna have to work anymore.

    With all this FBI stuff going on, will the IRS go after the families who took payoff money and didn’t pay taxes on it? If coaches are losing their jobs, I hope they do go after the families.

    12) Shaquille O’Neal’s son is a big time high school recruit this year who had committed to play at Arizona. He de-committed Saturday, which is probably good news for LSU, Shaq’s alma mater.

    11) Virginia 66, Pitt 37— Halftime score: Virginia 30, Pitt 7. I’m not making that up. 30-7. Pitt was 1-22 from the floor in the first half. One basket, 22 shots. No bueno.

    Sean Miller is a Pitt alum and from the Pittsburgh area. You wonder if they would hire him once Arizona shows him the door, which could happen soon. Given Arizona’s NCAA troubles, probably not.

    10) Kansas 74, Texas Tech 72— Jayhawks clinched at least a tie for their 14th consecutive Big X title, which is extremely impressive. Don’t think they had the best team in the league this year but that does not matter, since they’ve won the most games.

    9) Creighton 89, Villanova 83 OT— The huge grin Creighton coach Greg McDermott wore in the last few seconds of this game said a lot; the Bluejays are going to the NCAA’s.

    Villanova split its last six games; they’ll be a shaky #1 seed when NCAA tournament brackets come out in two weeks.

    8) If you read this space regularly, you know I’m a big fan of the Showtime series Billions. Learned last night that Paul Giamatti, the actor who plays prosecutor Chuck Rhoades, is the son of the late baseball commissioner Bart Giamatti.

    Has to be a way they can work Pete Rose into an episode to bust Chuck’s chops.

    7) William & Mary 114, Charleston 104 OT— Cougars scored 1.30 ppp and lost, which almost never happens. Teams combined to shoot 21-47 on arc. W&M blew a 16-point second half lead but made 33-38 on the foul line.

    If seeds hold in CAA tourney, these teams would meet in the semifinals.

    6) So far this season, 105 of 351 D-I teams have taken 40%+ of their FGA’s from behind arc; eight years ago, only 33 teams took 40% of their shots behind the arc.

    279 of 351 teams have taken 33.3% of their shots behind the arc; eight years ago, only 149 teams did. College basketball has largely become a 6-6 and under sport.

    The increase in 3-pointers means more long rebounds, more loose balls— success in shooting 3-pointers is tough to sustain from game-to-game. It creates hugely erratic performances from more and more teams. Makes the sport much harder to handicap.

    5) Oregon State 79, Arizona State 75— Beavers led by 9 with 2:36 to go, ASU tied it with about a minute left, but never scored again. Bobby Hurley was going off on one of the refs as the game went off the air. Sun Devils are 7-9 in the Pac-12, after a 12-0 pre-conference mark- they have no inside game, and their guards played lot better in December than they are now.

    4) Seton Hall 81, St John’s 74 OT— Red Storm played six guys in an overtime game; four of their five starters played more than 40:00— their only sub played 23:00.

    3) Jacksonville Jaguars gave QB Blake Bortles a 3-year, $54M contract, so they’re out of the market for a new quarterback.

    2) Upsets of the Day:
    Wyoming (+9.5) 78, Fresno State 68
    Creighton (+7.5) 89, Villanova 83 OT
    Tenn-Martin (+7) 72, SE Missouri 66
    Indiana State (+6) 66, Bradley 64
    Valparaiso (+5) 69, Drake 64
    Arkansas (+5) 76, Alabama 73
    Louisville (+4) 75, Virginia Tech 68

    1— Baseball streak that will never, ever be topped; in 1980, Oakland’s Rick Langford threw 22 straight complete games, one of which went 14 innings. He went 19-12, 3.26 for the season in 35 starts, throwing 290 innings.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, February 25



    Boston @ Buffalo

    Game 1-2
    February 25, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    10.919
    Buffalo
    9.395
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    N/A

    St. Louis @ Nashville


    Game 3-4
    February 25, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    12.206
    Nashville
    11.144
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (+145); Over

    Detroit @ NY Islanders


    Game 5-6
    February 25, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    10.457
    NY Islanders
    8.987
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    N/A

    Edmonton @ Anaheim


    Game 7-8
    February 25, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    11.873
    Anaheim
    10.504
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    N/A

    San Jose @ Minnesota


    Game 9-10
    February 25, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    10.057
    Minnesota
    12.579
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -150
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-150); Over

    Vancouver @ Arizona


    Game 11-12
    February 25, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vancouver
    10.407
    Arizona
    11.806
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arizona
    -115
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    (-115); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-25-2018 at 01:04 PM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, February 25


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    BOSTON (37-14-0-8, 82 pts.) at BUFFALO (18-33-0-11, 47 pts.) - 2/25/2018, 5:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 8-3 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 8-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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    ST LOUIS (34-24-0-4, 72 pts.) at NASHVILLE (37-14-0-9, 83 pts.) - 2/25/2018, 12:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NASHVILLE is 22-7 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 54-33 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 32-19 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 176-172 ATS (+365.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
    ST LOUIS is 25-16 ATS (+41.5 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 25-14 ATS (+42.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 11-8 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 11-8-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.8 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (25-26-0-10, 60 pts.) at NY RANGERS (27-30-0-5, 59 pts.) - 2/25/2018, 7:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY RANGERS is 5-3 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    NY RANGERS is 5-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EDMONTON (26-31-0-4, 56 pts.) at ANAHEIM (31-21-0-11, 73 pts.) - 2/25/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 11-8 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    ANAHEIM is 11-8-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE (33-21-0-8, 74 pts.) at MINNESOTA (34-20-0-7, 75 pts.) - 2/25/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN JOSE is 3-12 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN JOSE is 10-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    SAN JOSE is 214-223 ATS (+477.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 61-64 ATS (-24.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 5-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 5-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VANCOUVER (23-31-0-7, 53 pts.) at ARIZONA (18-33-0-10, 46 pts.) - 2/25/2018, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VANCOUVER is 3-13 ATS (+19.7 Units) after a division game this season.
    VANCOUVER is 376-356 ATS (-117.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 12-29 ATS (+46.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 18-43 ATS (+69.6 Units) in all games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VANCOUVER is 6-3 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    VANCOUVER is 6-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-25-2018 at 01:05 PM.

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, February 25


    Bruins won eight of last ten games with Buffalo; road team won five of last six series games. Boston won its last five games in western NY. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Bruins won eight of last 11 games overall, five of last seven on road. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Sabres lost four of last five games overall, five of last seven at home. Three of their last four games stayed under.

    Nashville won its last four games with the Blues; six of last seven series games stayed under the total. St Louis lost its last four visits to Music City. Blues were outscored 17-7 in losing their last five games; they lost three of last five road games. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Preds won their last three games, scoring 15 goals; they won three of last five home games. Four of their last six games went over.

    Rangers won three of last four games with Detroit; under is 8-0-2 in last ten series games. Red Wings lost three of last four visits to Manhattan. Detroit lost three of its last four games overall, three of last five on the road. Red Wings’ last seven games stayed under the total. New York was outscored 26-11 in losing its last six games; Rangers lost three of their last four home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    Ducks won five of last seven games with Edmonton; home side won last five. Oilers lost their last three games in the Pond. Last three series games stayed under total. Edmonton won three of its last four games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Oilers lost five of their last seven road games. Anaheim won four of its last five games; their last seven games stayed under. Ducks won four of their last five home games.

    Minnesota won its last five games with the Sharks, who lost three of their last five trips to the Twin Cities. Under is 2-0-1 in last three series games played here. San Jose lost 3-1/7-1 in its last two games; they lost three of last four road games. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Wild won their last three games, all on road; they lost three of last five home games. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

    Arizona won its last two games with Vancouver, after losing seven of previous eight series games. Canucks lost 3-0/4-3 in last two visits to Arizona. Under is 3-1-3 in last seven series games. Vancouver lost eight of its last ten games overall, five of last six on road. Five of their last six games went over total. Arizona won four of last five games overall but split last six home games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

  6. #6
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    NHL

    Sunday, February 25


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST. LOUIS @ NASHVILLE
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Nashville
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
    Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
    Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis

    BOSTON @ BUFFALO
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home

    DETROIT @ NY RANGERS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Detroit
    NY Rangers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit

    EDMONTON @ ANAHEIM
    Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
    Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games
    Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    SAN JOSE @ MINNESOTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games
    Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Jose
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose

    VANCOUVER @ ARIZONA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Vancouver's last 13 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-25-2018 at 01:07 PM.

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