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Thread: Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/14

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, February 14

    Good Luck on day #45 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Super Bowl next season:

    5-1— New England Patriots

    7-1— Pittsburgh Steelers, Philadelphia Eagles

    12-1— Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers

    16-1— New Orleans Saints

    18-1— Atlanta Falcons

    20-1— Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Rams


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) I came down to the casino floor Monday to go to the sports book here at the Westgate, and 3/4 of the casino floor is empty, including the carpet. They’re tearing up the old carpet and laying new carpet— they moved out all the slot machines and pushed the gaming tables over by the theater— it just looks weird. I’m guessing everything will be back in place by the weekend.

    12) Auburn is an 8.5-point favorite over Kentucky tonight; when these teams met LY, Kentucky was a 24-point favorite. Bruce Pearl has to get lot of votes for national Coach of the Year.

    11) Over the last six seasons, Kentucky has been a road underdog in ten SEC games; would you be surprised to know that they’re 1-8-1 against the spread in those games?

    10) Georgetown 87, Butler 83— 11-point underdog Hoyas are 5-9 in the Big East after playing the easiest pre-conference schedule in the country. When Patrick Ewing pulled his team out of the PK80 tournament in November, it was assumed that the talent there was so awful that they didn’t want to get clobbered early in Ewing’s first season as a head coach.

    Georgetown’s kids play very hard and fact is, they’re better than most people thought they would be. Moving on, recruiting will be a huge question for Ewing, since he’s never done it before.

    9) Persistence is important in sports and in life. Golfer Ted Potter Jr won the Pebble Beach tournament Sunday and earned $1,506,517 for his second career win.

    When Potter was first starting out as a pro golfer, he entered 24 events on the web.com Tour, and he missed the cut in all 24 tournaments. Can you imagine how awful that must have been, not to mention how expensive? But Potter stuck it out, and now he is a 2-time Tour winner.

    8) Pepperdine fired basketball coach Marty Wilson; in seven years in Malibu, the Waves are 42-76 in WCC games under Wilson, 1-13 this year. Pepperdine went 10-8 in league two and also three years ago, but then they fell off the cliff.

    This means that in a league dominated by Gonzaga/St Mary’s, with BYU a steady third, LMU coach Mike Dunlap is the 4th-longest tenured coach in the WCC and he is 21-47 in WCC games. Five of the ten WCC teams have fired their coach in the last three years- Pacific’s coach retired.

    7) Looks like the Los Angeles Angels will use a 6-man pitching rotation, which is what teams in Japan do (teams generally have Monday off in Japan). Halos spent a ton of money when they signed Shohei Ohtani, and he is used to pitching once a week. This will be an interesting thing to follow— if it works for them, you know more teams will do it.

    6) Isaiah Thomas is in his 7th year in the NBA and he is already on his fifth team; what does that tell you? He is a career 19 ppg scorer. I’m guessing he may not be America’s best teammate.

    5) Arizona Cardinals gave GM Steve Keim a 4-year contract extension; now he has to get together with his new coach and figure out who the Cardinals’ QB will be going forward.

    4) Nebraska 70, Maryland 66— Cornhuskers have 20 wins for the first time since 1993.

    3) Rhode Island 85, Richmond 67— Rams won their 16th straight game, but EC Matthews hurt his left knee and was dragged off the court. URI seemed hopeful that the injury isn’t serious- they went 4-2 when Matthews broke his wrist earlier this season.

    2) What in God’s name is former major league pitcher Esteban Loaiza thinking? The guy made over $43M in his playing career and now he gets busted with 44 pounds of cocaine, which is worth $500,000? Hard to have any sympathy for the guy.

    1) If you want someone else to hold your money for the next 50 weeks, you can bet Super Bowl LIII today; AFC is a 1-point favorite, with a total of 52. Game is in Atlanta’s domed stadium.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-14-2018 at 01:46 PM.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, February 14


    Columbus won six of last seven games with Toronto; road team won six of last eight series games. Four of last six series games went over. Blue Jackets won last two games after a 2-7 skid; they lost three of last five road games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Maple Leafs won four in row, eight of last nine games; they won last five home games. Three of their last four games went over.

    Avalanche lost six of their last nine games, but eight of those were on road; Colorado won their last nine home games. Under is 3-1 in their last four home games. Montreal/Colorado split their last ten games; Canadiens lost three of their last four visits to Denver. Four of last six series games went over. Montreal lost five of its last seven games overall, three of last four on road. Four of their last six games stayed under.

    Florida/Vancouver split their last eight games; Panthers lost 3-2ot/2-1 in last two visits here. Under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Florida won five of its last six games; they won their last three road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Canucks lost four of their last five games; they’re 3-2 in last five home games. Five of their last seven games went over the total.




    NHL

    Wednesday, February 14


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    Trend Report
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    COLUMBUS @ TORONTO
    Columbus is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

    MONTREAL @ COLORADO
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    FLORIDA @ VANCOUVER
    Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home
    Vancouver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-14-2018 at 01:48 PM.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, February 14


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    COLUMBUS (29-23-0-4, 62 pts.) at TORONTO (34-19-0-5, 73 pts.) - 2/14/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLUMBUS is 6-2 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    COLUMBUS is 6-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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    MONTREAL (22-26-0-7, 51 pts.) at COLORADO (30-21-0-4, 64 pts.) - 2/14/2018, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MONTREAL is 22-33 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
    MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-11.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    COLORADO is 30-25 ATS (+63.1 Units) in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 11-6 ATS (+18.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
    COLORADO is 15-12 ATS (+29.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    COLORADO is 17-11 ATS (+31.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    COLORADO is 18-16 ATS (+38.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    COLORADO is 9-1 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    COLORADO is 123-130 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 3-2 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    COLORADO is 3-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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    FLORIDA (24-23-0-6, 54 pts.) at VANCOUVER (22-28-0-6, 50 pts.) - 2/14/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA is 162-241 ATS (+422.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    FLORIDA is 174-206 ATS (-79.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 174-119 ATS (+34.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 10-5 ATS (+16.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
    FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
    VANCOUVER is 235-239 ATS (-120.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    VANCOUVER is 376-355 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 96-87 ATS (-65.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLORIDA is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA is 3-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-14-2018 at 01:48 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, February 14



    Columbus @ Toronto

    Game 51-52
    February 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Columbus
    11.982
    Toronto
    10.818
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Columbus
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -200
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Columbus
    (+170); Under

    Montreal @ Colorado


    Game 53-54
    February 14, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Montreal
    11.562
    Colorado
    10.623
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Montreal
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -125
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (+105); Over

    Florida @ Vancouver


    Game 55-56
    February 14, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida
    11.672
    Vancouver
    10.192
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida
    -115
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida
    (-115); Under

  6. #6
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    Top NHL OVER Referees:

    1. Francois St. Laurent 33-17
    2. Dan O'Halloran 31-20
    3. Kelly Sutherland 28-20
    4. Brian Pochmara 29-21
    5. Chris Schlenker 14-7
    6. Brad Watson 27-20
    7. Dave Jackson 24-18
    8. Eric Furlatt 28-22


    Top NHL UNDER Referees:

    1. Dan O'Rourke 33-16
    2. Marc Joannette 32-18
    3. Tom Chmielewski 31-19
    4. Graham Skilliter 28-19
    5. Pierre Lambert 9-2
    6. Kevin Pollock 26-21
    7. Justin St. Pierre 26-23
    8. Steve Kozari 26-23


    Top NHL Moneyline Teams (based on $100 per game):

    1. GKnights $2078
    2. Avalanche $1142
    3. Lightning $1113
    4. Predators $900
    5. Bruins $875
    6. Jets $685
    7. Capitals $420
    8. Leafs $417
    9. Blues $326
    10. Devils $289


    Worst NHL Moneyline Teams (based on $100 per game):

    31. Coyotes $-2063
    30. Sabres $-1706
    29. Senators $-1652
    28. Oilers $-1501
    27. Canadiens $-1334
    26. Blackhawks $-1294
    25. Red Wings $-616
    24. Hurricanes $-507
    23. Canucks $-479

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