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Thread: Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/13

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, February 13

    Good Luck on day #44 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Bucknell 65, Colgate 64— Bison trailed by 8 with 0:33 left to play.

    — Jazz 101, Spurs 99– Red-hot Utah wins its 10th game in a row.

    — Baylor 74, Texas 73 2OT— Bears won their 4th game in a row.

    — Portland Pilots are 10-17, 4-10 in the WCC, but they covered their last eight games.

    — Andy Kennedy is out after 12 years as Ole Miss’ basketball coach; this is the first time in seven years Ole Miss is under .500 in the SEC.

    — Green Bay Packers’ 2018 opponents combined to go 135-115 this past year, so they have the “hardest” schedule in the NFL next season.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Scanning college basketball conferences

    13) AAC— Cincinnati is 12-0, has a 3-game lead over Wichita State/Houston; I’m thinking all three of these teams make the NCAA’s, but no one else from this league.

    12) ACC— Virginia is 12-1, has a 2-game lead over Clemson; surprising. 2014 was last time neither Duke/North Carolina finished 1-2 in the ACC (Virginia/Syracuse). That is the only time since 2002 that has happened.

    11) Atlantic 14— Rhode Island Rams are 12-0, have a 4-game lead over both St Bonaventure, Davidson; URI should be in the NCAA’s, but everyone else looks like a longshot to make the Field of 68. Richmond is 7-5 in the A-14, but only 9-15 overall.

    10) Big 14— Surprising Ohio State leads Purdue/Michigan State, who were expected to be very good. Michigan should get in with a strong finish; upstarts Nebraska/Penn State are fighting to get off the bubble. OSU coach Holtmann might be national Coach of the Year.

    9) Big X— Best league in the country; Texas Tech leads Kansas by a game, West Virginia by 1.5 games. Jayhawks won last 13 regular season titles, so Tech winning the league would be a huge upset. Seven of ten teams in this league are in KenPom’s top 50 in the country.

    8) Big East— Xavier/Villanova are in a virtual tie for first place; Musketeers are 8-0 in Big East games decided by 7 or fewer points. Villanova has some injury issues right now, but hope to have everyone back for the postseason.

    7) Big Sky— Montana is 13-0, leads Weber State by two games, which doesn’t mean a whole lot, since the conference tournament is on a neutral floor and only the tournament winner will get into the NCAA’s. 9-3 Idaho is 33-15 in conference games the last three seasons.

    6) Big West— Cal-Santa Barbara leads Cal-Irvine by half a game; Anteaters were 5-11 when conference play started- they’re #299 experience team in country. UCSB was 6-22 last year; new coach Joe Pasternack has used transfers to get the Gauchos back on track.

    5) Colonial— Charleston leads Northeastern by a game; Huskies just won the Beanpot hockey tourney for first time in 30 years- maybe this is their year. This is a one-bid league and their conference tournament will be really wide open.

    4) Horizon— 26th-ranked league was 14th three years ago; defections of Loyola, Valparaiso have crippled league. Northern Kentucky leads way this year, with Wright State game behind and UIC game behind them. Another one-bid league.

    3) MAAC— Rider/Canisius are tied for the top; Niagara is in 3rd place, Iona in 4th. Conference tournament is in beautiful downtown Albany, but Siena is awful so that shouldn’t matter much. Right now, the 4-5 game would be Iona-Manhattan, which would be very interesting.

    2) MAC— Buffalo/Toledo have three less losses than anyone else in MAC and are only teams in league ranked higher than #168. Will be disappointing if they don’t meet in MAC title game.

    1) Missouri Valley— Loyola-Chicago has 2-game lead over Southern Illinois, but Ramblers haven’t been in NCAA’s since 1985, so they’ll have lot of pressure on them in Arch Madness.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, February 13


    Home side won seven of last nine Miami-Toronto games; Heat are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Last five series games stayed under. Miami lost five of their last six games; they’re 13-7 vs spread as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over. Raptors won their last five games; they’re 5-1 in last six games as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

    Hawks covered five of last six games with the Bucks; they’re 6-4 SU in last ten series games. Atlanta covered three of last four visits here. Three of last four series games went over total. Hawks are 4-6 in their last ten games; they’re 10-5 in last 15 games as road underdogs. Over is 6-4 in their last ten games. Milwaukee won eight of its last ten games; they’re 7-5-1 in last 13 games as home favorites. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games.

    Rockets won nine of their last ten games vs Minnesota; they’re 1-2 vs spread in last three visits to the Twin Cities. Eight of last ten series games went over. Houston won its last eight games overall, covered four of last six road games. Three of their last four games went over. Minnesota is 4-6 in its last ten games; they’re 2-0 as home underdogs. Wolves’ last four games went over the total.

    Cavaliers are 6-4 in their last ten games with the Thunder; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four tips to Oklahoma City. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Cavaliers won their last three games since the three big trades, winning by 2-22-16 points; they’re 5-3 as road underdogs. Let three Cleveland games went over total. Oklahoma City lost five of its last seven games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home favorites. Four of last five Thunder games stayed under total.

    Kings won five of last seven games with the Mavericks; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to Dallas. Three of last four series games stayed under. Sacramento lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over total. Dallas lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-7 as home favorites. Seven of their last ten games stayed under.

    Spurs won their last five games with Denver; four of those were in Alamo; San Antonio is 2-1 vs spread in last three visits to Colorado. Four of last six series games went over. Spurs are 1-4 vs spread if playing second of two consecutive notes on road- they lost four of last five games, are 5-5 as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games went over. Nuggets won four of their last five games; they’re 13-11 as home favorites. Six of their last seven games went over.

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    NBA

    Tuesday, February 13


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    Trend Report
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    MIAMI @ TORONTO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

    CLEVELAND @ OKLAHOMA CITY
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
    Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

    ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE
    Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home

    HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Houston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Minnesota is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home

    SACRAMENTO @ DALLAS
    Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games at home
    Dallas is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    SAN ANTONIO @ DENVER
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
    San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-13-2018 at 01:38 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, February 13


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    MIAMI (30 - 26) at TORONTO (39 - 16) - 2/13/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 76-60 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 143-109 ATS (+23.1 Units) in February games since 1996.
    MIAMI is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    TORONTO is 190-238 ATS (-71.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 8-8 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ATLANTA (18 - 39) at MILWAUKEE (31 - 24) - 2/13/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 398-465 ATS (-113.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 54-86 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 366-439 ATS (-116.9 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 4-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    HOUSTON (42 - 13) at MINNESOTA (35 - 24) - 2/13/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 362-423 ATS (-103.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (33 - 22) at OKLAHOMA CITY (32 - 25) - 2/13/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SACRAMENTO (17 - 38) at DALLAS (18 - 39) - 2/13/2018, 8:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 7-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    SACRAMENTO is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (35 - 23) at DENVER (30 - 26) - 2/13/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-13-2018 at 01:39 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, February 13



    Miami @ Toronto

    Game 501-502
    February 13, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    119.548
    Toronto
    123.674
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 4
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 8
    206
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+8); Over

    Atlanta @ Milwaukee


    Game 503-504
    February 13, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    115.423
    Milwaukee
    120.397
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 5
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 7 1/2
    207
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+7 1/2); Over

    Houston @ Minnesota


    Game 505-506
    February 13, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    125.554
    Minnesota
    120.013
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 5 1/2
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 2 1/2
    222 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-2 1/2); Under

    Cleveland @ Oklahoma City


    Game 507-508
    February 13, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    120.956
    Oklahoma City
    124.463
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 3 1/2
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 1 1/2
    222 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (-1 1/2); Under

    Sacramento @ Dallas


    Game 509-510
    February 13, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    113.092
    Dallas
    117.624
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 4 1/2
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    by 6 1/2
    204
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+6 1/2); Over

    San Antonio @ Denver


    Game 511-512
    February 13, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    118.231
    Denver
    122.336
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 4
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 7
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+7); Over

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    NBA

    Tuesday, February 13


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NBA Game of the Day: Rockets at Timberwolves betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5, 222)

    The Houston Rockets are winners of eight in a row and have a chance to go into the All-Star break in first place in the Western Conference with a couple more wins and a little help. The Minnesota Timberwolves, who host the Rockets on Tuesday, are looking for their own momentum heading into the break and have not lost on their home floor since Dec. 16.

    The Timberwolves, who host the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday in their final game before the break, pushed their home winning streak to 13 in a row on Sunday but needed to work hard down the stretch to pull off a 111-106 triumph over the West-worst Sacramento Kings. "It's a long season, it really is," reserve guard Jamal Crawford told the Minneapolis Star Tribune. "There will be highs and lows and ebbs and flows, but if we can find ways to win games like even when we're not technically at our best, then it's a good thing for us." Houston won its last four on the road and is making a brief stop in Minnesota after grinding out a 104-97 home win over the Dallas Mavericks. "We wouldn't be anywhere without our defense," Rockets All-Star guard James Harden told reporters. "Whenever we can rely on getting stops and creating opportunities from our defense good things happen offensively for everybody."

    TV:
    8 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet Southwest (Houston), FS North (Minnesota)

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Rockets opened as two-point road favorites and that number has been bet up to 2.5. The total hit betting boards at 222.5 and has dropped slightly to 222.

    INJURY REPORT:


    Rockets - SF T. Ariza (Out Indefinitely, Hamstring).

    Timberwolves - SG M. Georges-Hunt (Questionable, Illness).

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Rockets (-11.1) - T-Wolves (-6.3) + home court (-3) = Rockets -1.8

    MATCHUP CHART:




    ABOUT THE ROCKETS (42-13 SU, 27-27-1 ATS, 25-29-1 O/U):
    Houston is learning to win even when things aren't going its way and pulled out the victory on Sunday despite struggling to 13-of-45 from 3-point range. "We don't really get frustrated. We don't get too high, too low," Harden told reporters after grinding out the win over the Mavericks. "We just try to stay at an even keel. We know that there's gonna be runs in the game. We know that shots are gonna be missed and coverages are gonna be blown, but if we can move past it and move to the next play -- the faster we can do that -- the better off we'll be." Harden went 4-of-13 from beyond the arc in the win but finished with a team-high 27 points.

    ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (35-24 SU, 28-29-2 ATS, 31-27-1 O/U):
    All-Star guard Jimmy Butler scored 11 of his 18 points in the decisive fourth quarter on Sunday. "Jimmy Butler woke up," Crawford told the Star Tribune of what made the difference down the stretch. "He was asleep. Obviously, we know how good he is. But it just separates everything. He started making all the plays and he read the game wonderfully. Score, get fouled, get assists. We tried chipping in when we could." Butler is averaging 29.8 points on 53.3 percent shooting over the last five games.

    TRENDS:


    * Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    * Timberwolves are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
    * Under is 9-1 in Rockets' last 10 vs. Western Conference.
    * Over is 5-0 in Timberwolves' last 5 vs. Western Conference.
    * Over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:
    Users are backing the Houston Rockets in this matchup, with 62 percent of pointspread picks on the road favorite. When it comes to the total, 74 percent of wagers are on the Over.


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