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Thread: Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/12

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, February 12

    Good Luck on day #43 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds for the 2018 American League:

    5-2– Houston Astros

    3-1— Bronx Bombers

    7-2— Cleveland Indians

    6-1— Boston Red Sox

    10-1— Los Angeles Angels

    12-1— Toronto, Minnesota


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

    13) I don’t like the Winter Olympics; I despise everything about winter except basketball, but there is this one weird sport where people ski around for a while, then they lay on the ground and fire a rifle at targets, and their skiing time gets penalized if they miss targets— then they get up, ski some more, and then shoot more targets.

    Apparently it started out as a training exercise for soldiers in Norway or Finland, before it became an actual competition.

    12) Pitt Panthers are 8-18 this year, 0-13 in the ACC; they’re starting four freshmen in a brutal league. Pitt fans ran former coach Jamie Dixon out of town after he went 40-32 in conference play his last four years at Pitt. Be careful what you wish for…….

    11) Indianapolis Colts signed Frank Reich as their new coach, even running a pic of him signing his contract on Twitter, in a good-natured response to cynical fans on social media, after the debacle with Josh McDaniel weaseling out of his commitment to Indianapolis.

    10) Chicago Cubs gave P Yu Darvish $126M for six years. Darvish was 10-12, 3.86 in 31 starts LY for Texas/Dodgers; he’s been an All-Star in four of his five big league seasons.

    9) Good to see NASCAR races on TV Sunday; once you see NASCAR, that means spring training ain’t too far away.

    8) California’s insurance commissioner has launched an investigation into Aetna after learning a former medical director for the insurer admitted under oath he never looked at patients’ records when deciding whether to approve or deny care.

    Oy.

    7) Arizona Cardinals’ WR Larry Fitzgerald teamed with pro Kevin Streelman to win the pro-am at the Pebble Beach golf tournament this weekend.

    6) Cavaliers 121, Celtics 99— Its obviously way too early to grade the NBA trades made last week, but Cleveland has to be giddy about their first two games after the trades— Addition by Subtraction would be a good way to sum things up so far.

    5) Jazz 115, Trailblazers 96— Utah won its last eight games, is now 1.5 games out of the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

    4) Cincinnati 76, SMU 51— Mustangs got crushed and still only played seven guys- the 7th guy played only 8:00. Security at SMU games must be pretty tight; former President George Bush (43) sits at half court most games. Kind of like SMU’s version of Jack Nicholson or Billy Crystal.

    3) I’m not a fan of these “mock brackets” being put out— in four weeks, we’ll have the real brackets and they’re the only ones that matter. I suppose it gets people talking about college basketball and thats good, but it is useless chatter. Upsets will happen, teams will slide or surge and the committee will most likely get the right 68 teams in.

    2) Kentucky lost its last three games, first time that has happened in John Calipari’s tenure; no pundits will pick them to make the Final Four but no coaches will want to see the Wildcats in their bracket.

    1— Happy birthday to Abraham Lincoln, who would’ve turned 209 years old today.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, February 12



    New York @ Philadelphia

    Game 701-702
    February 12, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    111.562
    Philadelphia
    124.981
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 13 1/2
    204
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 11 1/2
    209 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-11 1/2); Under

    New Orleans @ Detroit


    Game 703-704
    February 12, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    116.229
    Detroit
    122.413
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 6
    215
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 2 1/2
    220
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (-6); Under

    LA Clippers @ Brooklyn


    Game 705-706
    February 12, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    118.225
    Brooklyn
    117.196
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 1
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 4 1/2
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Orlando @ Chicago


    Game 707-708
    February 12, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    116.231
    Chicago
    114.835
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 1 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    by 4 1/2
    214
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+4 1/2); Over

    San Antonio @ Utah


    Game 709-710
    February 12, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    122.342
    Utah
    121.109
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 1
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 4
    No Total
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+4); N/A

    Phoenix @ Golden State


    Game 711-712
    February 12, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    110.525
    Golden State
    122.983
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 12 1/2
    234
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 15 1/2
    No Total
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+15 1/2); N/A
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-12-2018 at 01:38 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, February 12


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    NEW YORK (23 - 34) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 25) - 2/12/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 221-172 ATS (+31.8 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ORLEANS (29 - 26) at DETROIT (27 - 28) - 2/12/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 124-160 ATS (-52.0 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 100-132 ATS (-45.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 69-98 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA CLIPPERS (28 - 26) at BROOKLYN (19 - 38) - 2/12/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 111-145 ATS (-48.5 Units) in February games since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 92-124 ATS (-44.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 223-274 ATS (-78.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BROOKLYN is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BROOKLYN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ORLANDO (18 - 37) at CHICAGO (19 - 36) - 2/12/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 58-77 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    ORLANDO is 71-101 ATS (-40.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 6-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (35 - 22) at UTAH (28 - 28) - 2/12/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1032-904 ATS (+37.6 Units) in all games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (18 - 39) at GOLDEN STATE (43 - 13) - 2/12/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 166-121 ATS (+32.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-12-2018 at 01:39 PM.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, February 12


    Knicks won seven of last ten games with Philly; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four games in this building. Four of last five series games stayed under. New York lost their last six games; they’re 10-16 as road underdogs. Seven of their last eight games stayed under. 76ers won four of their last five games; they covered their last five home games. Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

    Pelicans won nine of their last ten games with Detroit; they covered three of last four visits to the Motor City. Four of last five series games went over total. New Orleans lost five of its last seven games; they’re 9-9 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over. Detroit lost their last two games after a 5-game win streak; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games went over.

    Clippers won three of last four games with the Nets; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five games in the Barclays Center, four of which stayed under total. Clippers won five of their last seven games; they’re 4-1 as road favorites. LA’s last seven games stayed under. Brooklyn lost one of its last ten games; they’re 7-3-1 in last 11 games as home underdogs. Brooklyn’s last three games went over.

    Bulls won five of their last six games with Orlando; last nine series games stayed under. Magic is 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Chicago. Orlando won three of its last four games; they’re 7-0 vs spread in last seven road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Bulls lost eight of their last nine games; they’re 6-3 as home favorites. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.

    Jazz won its last three games with San Antonio; five of last six series games went over. Spurs are 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to Utah. San Antonio lost three of their last four games; they’re 5-4 as road underdogs. Seven of their last nine games went over. Utah won its last nine games (8-1 vs spread); they’re 1-7 in last eight games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games went over.

    Warriors won their last ten games with Phoenix (5-5 vs spread); Suns are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Oakland. Phoenix lost nine of their last ten games; they’re 13-11 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over. Golden State split its last six games; they’re 8-4 in last 12 games as home favorites. Four of their last six home games went over the total.

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    NBA

    Monday, February 12


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS @ DETROIT
    New Orleans is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing New Orleans

    NEW YORK @ PHILADELPHIA
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 15 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    LA CLIPPERS @ BROOKLYN
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

    ORLANDO @ CHICAGO
    Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Orlando
    Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

    SAN ANTONIO @ UTAH
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Utah is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

    PHOENIX @ GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Golden State
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-12-2018 at 01:40 PM.

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    NBA's Top OVER Referees:

    1. Eric Lewis 31-11
    2. Nick Buchert 27-17
    3. Sean Wright 23-14
    t4. Scott Twardoski 23-16
    t4. Leroy Richardson 23-16
    6. James Williams 24-17
    t7. CJ Washington 19-13
    t7. Jason Goldenberg 19-13

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    NBA's Top UNDER Referees:

    1. Leon Wood 26-10
    2. Mike Callahan 25-11
    3. Kane Fitzgerald 28-15
    4. Aaron Smith 25-12
    5. Pat Fraher 27-14
    6. Mark Ayotte 26-15
    7. Marat Kogut 25-16
    8. Eric Dalen 17-8

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    Referee Assignments

    Mon, Feb 12
    Time Matchup Official 1 Official 2 Official 3
    7:00 PM ET New Orleans at Detroit D. Stafford R. Acosta K. Lane
    7:00 PM ET New York at Philadelphia E. Malloy C. Kirkland D. Taylor
    7:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers at Brooklyn J. Williams S. Corbin J. Van Duyne
    8:00 PM ET Orlando at Chicago M. Callahan T. Ford J. Goldenberg
    9:00 PM ET San Antonio at Utah R. Mott T. Brown T. Maddox
    10:30 PM ET Phoenix at Golden State D. Guthrie M. Ayotte C. Washington

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    NBA's Top ATS Teams:

    1. Celtics 34-22-2
    2. Nets 33-24
    3. 76ers 30-22-1
    4. Raptors 31-24
    5. Bulls 30-24-1
    6. Jazz 31-25
    7. Clippers 29-24-1
    8. Pacers 31-26


    NBA's Worst ATS Teams:

    30. Cavs 17-37-1
    29. Thunder 24-33
    28. Hornets 22-30-4
    27. Kings 23-29-3
    26. Grizzlies 24-29-2
    25. Warriors 25-30-1
    24. Magic 25-29-1
    23. Wizards 26-30


    LaMarcus Aldridge (sore right knee) will not play tonight at Utah or Tuesday at Denver.
    Tonight's Spread: Jazz -4.5
    Total: 197.5


    Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Sixers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
    76ers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
    Spread: Sixers -11.5
    Total: 210.5

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    Under is 7-1 in Knicks' last 8 overall.
    Under is 4-1 in 76ers' last 5 overall & 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
    Under is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in Philadelphia.
    Spread: 76ers -11.5
    Total: 210.5

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