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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/12

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, February 12

    Good Luck on day #43 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds for the 2018 American League:

    5-2– Houston Astros

    3-1— Bronx Bombers

    7-2— Cleveland Indians

    6-1— Boston Red Sox

    10-1— Los Angeles Angels

    12-1— Toronto, Minnesota


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

    13) I don’t like the Winter Olympics; I despise everything about winter except basketball, but there is this one weird sport where people ski around for a while, then they lay on the ground and fire a rifle at targets, and their skiing time gets penalized if they miss targets— then they get up, ski some more, and then shoot more targets.

    Apparently it started out as a training exercise for soldiers in Norway or Finland, before it became an actual competition.

    12) Pitt Panthers are 8-18 this year, 0-13 in the ACC; they’re starting four freshmen in a brutal league. Pitt fans ran former coach Jamie Dixon out of town after he went 40-32 in conference play his last four years at Pitt. Be careful what you wish for…….

    11) Indianapolis Colts signed Frank Reich as their new coach, even running a pic of him signing his contract on Twitter, in a good-natured response to cynical fans on social media, after the debacle with Josh McDaniel weaseling out of his commitment to Indianapolis.

    10) Chicago Cubs gave P Yu Darvish $126M for six years. Darvish was 10-12, 3.86 in 31 starts LY for Texas/Dodgers; he’s been an All-Star in four of his five big league seasons.

    9) Good to see NASCAR races on TV Sunday; once you see NASCAR, that means spring training ain’t too far away.

    8) California’s insurance commissioner has launched an investigation into Aetna after learning a former medical director for the insurer admitted under oath he never looked at patients’ records when deciding whether to approve or deny care.

    Oy.

    7) Arizona Cardinals’ WR Larry Fitzgerald teamed with pro Kevin Streelman to win the pro-am at the Pebble Beach golf tournament this weekend.

    6) Cavaliers 121, Celtics 99— Its obviously way too early to grade the NBA trades made last week, but Cleveland has to be giddy about their first two games after the trades— Addition by Subtraction would be a good way to sum things up so far.

    5) Jazz 115, Trailblazers 96— Utah won its last eight games, is now 1.5 games out of the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

    4) Cincinnati 76, SMU 51— Mustangs got crushed and still only played seven guys- the 7th guy played only 8:00. Security at SMU games must be pretty tight; former President George Bush (43) sits at half court most games. Kind of like SMU’s version of Jack Nicholson or Billy Crystal.

    3) I’m not a fan of these “mock brackets” being put out— in four weeks, we’ll have the real brackets and they’re the only ones that matter. I suppose it gets people talking about college basketball and thats good, but it is useless chatter. Upsets will happen, teams will slide or surge and the committee will most likely get the right 68 teams in.

    2) Kentucky lost its last three games, first time that has happened in John Calipari’s tenure; no pundits will pick them to make the Final Four but no coaches will want to see the Wildcats in their bracket.

    1— Happy birthday to Abraham Lincoln, who would’ve turned 209 years old today.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, February 12



    Tampa Bay @ Toronto

    Game 51-52
    February 12, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    12.724
    Toronto
    11.411
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -125
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (+105); Under

    Chicago @ Arizona


    Game 53-54
    February 12, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    10.612
    Arizona
    11.553
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    -125
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    (-105); Under

    Florida @ Edmonton


    Game 55-56
    February 12, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida
    9.782
    Edmonton
    11.223
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    (-140); Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, February 12


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    TAMPA BAY (38-14-0-3, 79 pts.) at TORONTO (33-19-0-5, 71 pts.) - 2/12/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 38-17 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 19-6 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 20-7 ATS (+9.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 217-226 ATS (+479.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    TORONTO is 135-145 ATS (-82.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    TORONTO is 64-99 ATS (+165.5 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
    TORONTO is 8-19 ATS (+30.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 7-3 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 7-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.2 Units)

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    CHICAGO (24-23-0-8, 56 pts.) at ARIZONA (13-32-0-10, 36 pts.) - 2/12/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 24-31 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games this season.
    CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-11.0 Units) after a division game this season.
    CHICAGO is 355-351 ATS (-138.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 152-171 ATS (-90.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    ARIZONA is 13-42 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all games this season.
    ARIZONA is 4-16 ATS (+26.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    ARIZONA is 5-20 ATS (+34.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    ARIZONA is 11-29 ATS (+50.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 8-0 (+8.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 8-0-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

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    FLORIDA (23-23-0-6, 52 pts.) at EDMONTON (23-27-0-4, 50 pts.) - 2/12/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA is 10-22 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    FLORIDA is 161-241 ATS (+421.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    FLORIDA is 173-206 ATS (-80.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    EDMONTON is 22-12 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
    FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
    EDMONTON is 23-31 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games this season.
    EDMONTON is 4-10 ATS (-7.1 Units) after a division game this season.
    EDMONTON is 3-8 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
    EDMONTON is 3-8 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    EDMONTON is 4-11 ATS (-7.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    EDMONTON is 186-181 ATS (+367.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    EDMONTON is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 3-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, February 12


    Road team won last five Tampa Bay-Toronto games; Lightning won five of their last six games in this building. Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Tampa Bay won seven of last nine games overall, five of last seven on road. Seven of their last eight games went over. Maple Leafs won seven of last eight games overall, won last four home games. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.

    Chicago won its last nine games with the Coyotes, winning their last five visits to Arizona; over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Blackhawks lost their last five games, scoring nine goals; they’ve been outscored 11-5 in losing last three road games. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Coyotes lost five of their last six games overall, four of last five at home. Last four Arizona games went over.

    Road team won seven of last nine Florida-Edmonton games; Panthers lost three of last five visits to Edmonton. Last three series games went over. Florida won four of its last five games overall, split its last four road games. Four of last five series games stayed under. Oilers lost their last three games, all on road; they split last four home games. Five of their last six games went over the total.




    NHL

    Monday, February 12


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY @ TORONTO
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
    Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

    CHICAGO @ ARIZONA
    Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
    Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
    Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    FLORIDA @ EDMONTON
    Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
    Edmonton is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Florida


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-12-2018 at 01:19 PM.

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    NHL

    Monday, February 12


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NHL Game of the Day: Lightning at Maple Leafs betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Toronto’s surge has left it comfortably in third place in the Atlantic Division - eight points behind Tampa Bay, which has won four of five this month.

    Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs (A: +100, H: -120, T: 6)

    Mitch Marner is making people forget about his slow start to the season and looks to continue an offensive surge when the Toronto Maple Leafs host the NHL-best Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday. The 20-year-old Marner has scored seven goals in his last 10 games after managing just five in the first 47 contests this campaign and has been a major factor in Toronto's 7-1-0 burst.

    “He's been working real hard in practice and now it’s starting to show in the game,” Maple Leafs coach Mike Babcock told reporters after Marner’s five-point performance in Saturday’s 6-3 win over Ottawa. “It was the full 60 minutes of doing it right and being on top of it.” Toronto’s surge has left it comfortably in third place in the Atlantic Division - eight points behind Tampa Bay, which has won four of five this month after Saturday’s 4-3 triumph over Los Angeles. The Lightning continue to post victories but have had trouble closing out games of late while getting outshot in the third period in six of their last seven contests - four times by a margin of at least eight. “You look down the stretch and what’s to come and what we’re trying to prepare for, that’s not going to take us very far,” Tampa Bay defenseman Anton Stralman told reporters after the team was outshot by the Kings 20-4 over the final 20 minutes.

    TV:
    7 p.m. ET, NHL Network, FS Sun (Tampa Bay), TSN4, TVA (Toronto)

    If you're in the market for a online sportsbook, check out in-depth reviews of the best books and sign-up bonuses at OddsShark.com.

    LINE HISTORY:
    This battle of Eastern Conference powers opened as a Pick 'Em, however, by Monday morning the moneyline shaded slightly in Toronto's direction - up to -120. The total hit betting boards at 6 and has not moved off that initial number.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:


    Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB) vs. Frederik Andersen (TOR)
    GP W L OTL GAA SAVE % SO

    Andrei Vasilevskiy
    46 33 10 2 2.29 .929 7

    Frederik Andersen
    47 27 15 4 2.65 .921 4

    INJURY REPORT:


    Lightning - G Peter Budaj (Late Feb, Leg), LW Ondrej Palat (Mid March, Lower Body).

    Maple Leafs - RW Nikita Soshnikov (Out Indefinitely, Lower Body), LW Joffrey Lupul (I-R, Conditioning).

    ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (38-14-1-2, 34-21 O/U):
    Nikita Kucherov, who leads the league with 69 points, has scored in back-to-back games to pull within one of his third straight 30-goal season. Captain Steven Stamkos also tallied on Saturday and has accumulated four goals and six assists over his last eight contests while Brayden Point (46 points) has been kept off the scoresheet in four straight games. Yanni Gourde has recorded three goals and five assists during his five-game point streak and Alex Killorn has netted four tallies and set up four others in the same span.

    ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS (33-19-4-1, 24-28 O/U):
    Marner, who is tied for second on the team in scoring with William Nylander at 42 points, credits linemates Patrick Marleau and Nazem Kadri (10 points in his last eight games) for his offensive revival. “It has been great playing with these two guys,” Marner, who was the first player to notch five points in a game for Toronto since Tomas Kaberle in 2009, told reporters. “They move the puck well, they skate well. It’s exciting to play with them.” Leading scorer Auston Matthews (26 goals, 44 points) has tallied seven times in his last 10 contests while adding four assists in that stretch.

    TRENDS:


    * Lightning are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
    * Maple Leafs are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
    * Over is 7-1 in Lightning last 8 games following a win.
    * Under is 7-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 games following a win.
    * Road team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is siding with the road underdog Lightning at a rate of 55 percent and the Over is getting 54 of the totals action.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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