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Thread: Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/11

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, February 11

    Good Luck on day #42 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Odds for the 2018 Stanley Cup playoffs:

    5-1— Tampa Bay Lightning

    6-1— Nashville Predators, Las Vegas Golden Knights

    8-1— Pittsburgh Penguins

    10-1— Boston Bruins

    12-1— Toronto, Washington, Winnipeg

    16-1— Anaheim Ducks


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college basketball Saturday

    13) Oregon State 97, Washington 94 2OT— Just when the Huskies were sneaking towards the bubble, Stephen Thompson Jr hit the game winner with 0:00.3 left. Thompson’s dad played for Syracuse, where he was a teammate of Washington coach Mike Hopkins.

    12) Texas A&M 85, Kentucky 74— Wildcats lost their 3rd straight game; they’re 3-5 in last eight games- they’re shooting 28.7% on arc in SEC games. A&M won six of last eight games; they have an interesting resume; several quality wins, but also a 5-game losing streak in January.

    11) Virginia Tech 61, Virginia 60 OT— Hokies won five of last six games; this win is especially important for them because their non-conference schedule was 341st in country, which means it was really weak. This was Virginia’s first loss since Dec 5 at West Virginia.

    10) Upsets of the Day:
    UL-Monroe (+13.5) 90, Georgia State 82 OT
    Virginia Tech (+12) 61, Virginia 60 OT
    Oklahoma State (+12) 88, West Virginia 85
    Cal-Northridge (+11.5) 77, Hawai’i 71
    DePaul (+9) 80, Providence 63
    Northern Illinois (+8.5) 90, Buffalo 88 OT
    Fordham (+8) 80, Duquesne 57

    9) Baylor 80, Kansas 64— Right now, with six games left, Texas Tech is atop Big X at 9-3, with Jayhawks one game behind. Kansas won the last 13 Big X regular season titles.

    8) Michigan State 68, Purdue 65— Rough week for the senior-laden Boilermakers, who lost to Buckeyes/Spartans by combined total of four points. Miles Bridges hit the game-winner with 0:03 left to send everyone home happy in East Lansing.

    7) Xavier 72, Creighton 71— Controversial ending, with refs calling foul on the Bluejays with 0:00.3 left— marginal calls like that don’t often go against the home folks. Goodin scored a career-high 17 points for the Musketeers.

    6) Boston College 72, Miami 70- Vastly-improved Eagles are 5-7 in ACC this year, after being 10-62 in ACC games the previous four years.

    5) Colorado State 90, San Jose State 79— Rams suspended interim head coach Steve Barnes just before this game; a 30-year old assistant was named the newest interim coach. Apparently the players like this guy; they doused him with water bottles after this win snapped the Rams’ losing streak at seven games.

    4) Arizona State 88, UCLA 79— Sun Devils got their first Pac-12 weekend sweep in three seasons under coach Bobby Hurley- they’re also over .500 (7-6) in Pac-12 for first time this season.

    3) North Carolina 96, NC State 89— Since 2002, Tar Heels are now 13-0 in game following a win over Duke; you’d think that next game would be a trap game, but not for Carolina.

    2) Montana 71, Sacramento State 69 OT— Griz is 13-0 in Big Sky, narrowly avoiding an upset loss here. Hornets led by 9 with 11:23 left, by 3 with 1:45 left.

    1— UNLV 85, Wyoming 70— I had fun watching this game in person; Rebels jumped out to 19-2 lead, then the natives got restless when Cowboys briefly grabbed lead in second half. UNLV held Wyoming star James to 6-23 shooting— he is 15-45 from floor since the Cowboys played three consecutive OT games Jan 24-27-31.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, February 11


    Raptors won six of last eight games with Charlotte; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Last three series games went over. Toronto won its last four games; they’re 8-8 as road favorites. Last three Raptor games stayed under the total. Hornets lost their last three games, all on road; they’re 1-6 as home underdogs. Five of their last six home games went over the total.

    Cleveland won six of its last eight games with the Celtics; they’re 4-2 vs spread in their last six visits to Boston. Three of last four series games stayed under. Cavaliers are 5-3 in their last eight games, 1-0 since the trades; they’re 4-3 as road underdogs. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Celtics won five of their last seven games; they’re 2-5 in last seven tries as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

    Detroit won four of its last five games with the Hawks; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. eight of last ten series games went over. Pistons won five of their last six games; they’re 3-3 as road favorites. Six of last eight Detroit games went over the total. Hawks lost seven of their last ten games; they’re 6-4 in last ten games as home underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under.

    Knicks won three of last four games with the Pacers; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Indiana. Three of last four series games stayed under. New York lost its last five games; they’re 10-15 as road underdogs. Knicks’ last seven games stayed under the total. Pacers won seven of their last ten games; they’re 5-3 in last eight games as home favorites. Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

    Minnesota won six of last nine games with Sacramento; four of last five series games went over the total. Kings are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Sacramento lost three of its last four games; they’re 12-8 in last 20 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over total. Timberwolves lost six of their last nine games; they’re 8-0 vs spread in last eight games as home favorites. Minnesota’s last three games all went over.

    Thunder won six of last seven games with Memphis; six of last eight series games went over the total. Grizzlies are 0-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oklahoma. Memphis lost its last five games; they’re 11-9-1 as road underdogs. Grizzlies’ last three games stayed under. OKC lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-7 in last ten games as home favorites. Thunder’s last four games went under the total.

    Houston won its last six games with Dallas (5-1 vs spread); six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Mavericks are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Dallas lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 9-2 in last 11 games as road underdogs- three of their last four games went over total. Rockets won its last seven games, covering four of last five; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as home favorites. Last three Houston games went over total.

    Home side won last eight Utah-Portland games; Jazz are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Three of last four series games stayed under. Utah won eight games in a row; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six road games. four of their last six games went over, Trailblazers won six of their last nine games; they covered four of last five home games. Three of their last four games stayed under.

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    NBA

    Sunday, February 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO @ CHARLOTTE
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
    Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games at home
    Charlotte is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Toronto

    DETROIT @ ATLANTA
    Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Detroit

    CLEVELAND @ BOSTON
    Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
    Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

    NEW YORK @ INDIANA
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
    Indiana is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New York
    Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    MEMPHIS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Memphis is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games
    Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
    Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis

    DALLAS @ HOUSTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Houston
    Dallas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    SACRAMENTO @ MINNESOTA
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    UTAH @ PORTLAND
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-11-2018 at 11:25 AM.

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    NBA

    Sunday, February 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NBA Game of the Day: Cavaliers at Celtics betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (-4.5, 213)

    The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to debut their four newcomers when they visit the rival Boston Celtics on Sunday afternoon. Playing without newly acquired players George Hill, Jordan Clarkson, Larry Nance Jr. and Rodney Hood - each of whom was picked up in the team's series of trades before Thursday's deadline - the Cavaliers rolled to a 123-107 win at Atlanta on Friday.

    "It felt like we played together," LeBron James told reporters after recording his 10th triple-double of the season with 22 points, a career-high 19 assists and 12 rebounds. "Offensively and defensively the communication was really high. The ball was moving around. The ball was popping and everybody felt like they were in a good rhythm." The rout of the Hawks gave Cleveland consecutive victories for the first time since the middle of December and it will try to spoil the party in Boston on Sunday, when Celtics great Paul Pierce has his number retired. The Celtics sandwiched a pair of losses around an overtime win at Washington and know they need to do some homework to get ready for Cleveland's new crop of players. "All the film goes out the window, I'll tell you that," All-Star guard Kyrie Irving told reporters after Friday's 97-91 loss to Indiana in the opener of a three-game homestand. "So, I think everyone's kind of at a high anticipation of what they'll look like."

    TV:
    3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Celtics opened this big matchup versus the new-look LeBron and Co. as four-point home favorites and have been bet up to the current number of -4.5. The total hit the board at 213.5 and has been bet down slightly to the current number of 213.

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Cavaliers (-2.3) - Celtics (-7.5) + home court (-3) = Celtics -8.2

    INJURY REPORT:


    Cavaliers - PG J. Clarkson (Probable Sunday, trade), PG G. Hill (Probable Sunday, trade), SG R. Hood (Probable Sunday, trade), PF L. Nance Jr. (Probable Sunday, trade), PF K. Love (Late March, finger).

    Celtics - PG S. Larkin (Late February, knee), PG M. Smart (Mid February, hand), SF G. Hayward (Out indefinitely, ankle).

    MATCHUP CHART:




    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (32-22, 16-37-1 ATS, 26-26-2 O/U):
    Kyle Korver was one of many Cleveland players who likely sweated out the trade deadline and the veteran celebrated the fact that he got to stick around by pouring in a season-high 30 points at Atlanta. "Man, the ball was moving tonight," Korver - who is 11-for-19 from 3-point range during the two-game winning streak - told reporters. "I don't know the last time I shot that many shots in a game." Korver also matched a season high with 32 minutes played but will cede some of his playing time to the imports, particularly Hood, who averaged 16.8 points while shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc in 39 games with Utah.

    ABOUT THE CELTICS (40-17, 34-21-2 ATS, 28-29 O/U):
    Boston, which fell percentage points behind Toronto in the race for the top spot in the Eastern Conference, was held to 98 points or fewer in regulation in each of its last four games and it shot 38.2 percent from the field in Friday's loss. "I thought we started the game really going through the motions and I thought they started the game really playing with great force and purpose," coach Brad Stevens told the media, touching on a season-long issue for a team that has been forced to rally from behind in many games. Irving led the way with 21 points while backup Terry Rozier, who filled in admirably when Irving was sidelined recently with a quad injury, shot 1-for-11 off the bench.

    TRENDS:


    * Cavaliers are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games.
    * Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on one days rest.
    * Under is 7-1-1 in Cavaliers last nine games vs. Atlantic Division opponents.
    * Under is 5-1 in Celtics last six home games.
    * Road team is 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
    * Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Boston.

    CONSENSUS:
    Early bettors are giving the edge to LeBron and his new-look Cavaliers in this big Eastern Conference showdown, with 60 percent of wagers on Cleveland. When it comes to the total, a whopping 71 percent of wagers are on the Over.


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-11-2018 at 11:26 AM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, February 11


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (38 - 16) at CHARLOTTE (23 - 32) - 2/11/2018, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (32 - 22) at BOSTON (40 - 17) - 2/11/2018, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 16-37 ATS (-24.7 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    BOSTON is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 7-6 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 10-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (27 - 27) at ATLANTA (17 - 39) - 2/11/2018, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    DETROIT is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 5-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (23 - 33) at INDIANA (31 - 25) - 2/11/2018, 5:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (17 - 37) at MINNESOTA (34 - 24) - 2/11/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (18 - 36) at OKLAHOMA CITY (31 - 25) - 2/11/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (18 - 38) at HOUSTON (41 - 13) - 2/11/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 401-328 ATS (+40.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    DALLAS is 497-417 ATS (+38.3 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 250-201 ATS (+28.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    DALLAS is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    DALLAS is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points this season.
    HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season.
    HOUSTON is 49-67 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 7-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 8-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (27 - 28) at PORTLAND (31 - 25) - 2/11/2018, 9:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-11-2018 at 11:26 AM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, February 11



    Toronto @ Charlotte

    Game 801-802
    February 11, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    125.672
    Charlotte
    118.189
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 7 1/2
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 3 1/2
    216
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Cleveland @ Boston


    Game 803-804
    February 11, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    116.314
    Boston
    124.873
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 8 1/2
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 5
    212 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-5); Under

    Detroit @ Atlanta


    Game 805-806
    February 11, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    117.825
    Atlanta
    116.723
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 1
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 4
    210
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+4); Over

    New York @ Indiana


    Game 807-808
    February 11, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    113.545
    Indiana
    119.623
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 6
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 9 1/2
    208
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+9 1/2); Over

    Sacramento @ Minnesota


    Game 809-810
    February 11, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    111.580
    Minnesota
    119.067
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 7 1/2
    218
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 13 1/2
    212
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+13 1/2); Over

    Memphis @ Oklahoma City


    Game 811-812
    February 11, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    113.626
    Oklahoma City
    119.098
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 5 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 8
    205 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+8); Over

    Dallas @ Houston


    Game 813-814
    February 11, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    112.872
    Houston
    131.798
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 19
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 13 1/2
    217 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-13 1/2); Under

    Utah @ Portland


    Game 815-816
    February 11, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    117.545
    Portland
    123.985
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 6 1/2
    198
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 3 1/2
    204 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Portland
    (-3 1/2); Under

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