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Thread: Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/10

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/10

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, February 10

    Good Luck on day #41 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Odds for the college basketball national championship

    Villanova 7-2— opened at 12-1

    Michigan State 4-1— opened at 20-1

    Duke 9-2— opened at 12-1

    Virginia 7-1— opened at 30-1

    Purdue 7-1— opened at 60-1

    Kansas 20-1— opened at 12-1


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: In a perfect world, where I made the decisions……

    13) Every kid would learn basic life skills in high school: cooking, laundry, how to write a check, how to do a budget, the divorce laws.

    12) We’d get rid of the designated hitter, once and for all.

    11) NFL players wouldn’t have radios in their helmets; coaches have six days to prepare the players. Sunday should be the players’ day to play.

    10) Speaking of which, no Thursday NFL games, except for Week 1 and Thanksgiving Day.

    9) Get rid of the electoral college; whichever presidential candidate gets the most votes, they win the election. Seems simple enough. I’ve felt this way about the electoral college since I was in high school, a very long time ago.

    8) Kids could go straight from high school to the NBA or G-League, but if you go to college to play ball, then you’re not eligible for the draft for two years.

    7) Major leagues would have a salary floor and a salary cap; none of this BS the Marlins are doing, dumping all your good players, insuring a 100-loss seasons not only this year but for the foreseeable future.

    6) NBA playoff series would be two out of three until the Finals, which would be best-of-5. the way the NBA is now, the playoffs suck; who can beat Golden State four out of seven games?

    5) Relief pitchers have to face at least two batters when they come in, instead of one; if MLB is really concerned about pace of play, nothing drags it down like left/right pitching changes. if a lefty reliever can’t get righty hitters out, then they shouldn’t be in the big leagues.

    4) I’d be in favor of college basketball adopting the NBA’s 8-second rule for getting the ball over halfcourt; most anything that encourages pressing and a faster-paced game is a good thing.

    3) I’d make cigarettes illegal; they’re known to cause cancer. What is good about them?

    2) I’d make sure DirecTV picked up the Pac-12 Network. Its not too much to ask.

    1— One news item:

    Bad times at Colorado State: on Thursday, the basketball team boycotted practice because of growing frustration over lack of communication from the school about an investigation into coach Larry Eustachy’s treatment of players/staff.

    Apparently the school wants to fire Eustachy, who makes around $950K a year; I’m guessing the delay is they’re making damn sure they can fire him for cause and not have to pay him.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, February 10


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    NEW ORLEANS (28 - 26) at BROOKLYN (19 - 37) - 2/10/2018, 6:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 123-160 ATS (-53.0 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BROOKLYN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MILWAUKEE (30 - 24) at ORLANDO (18 - 36) - 2/10/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 365-439 ATS (-117.9 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 151-191 ATS (-59.1 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 58-76 ATS (-25.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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    LA CLIPPERS (28 - 25) at PHILADELPHIA (27 - 25) - 2/10/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WASHINGTON (31 - 24) at CHICAGO (19 - 35) - 2/10/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    WASHINGTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    CHICAGO is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
    CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (35 - 21) at GOLDEN STATE (42 - 13) - 2/10/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1032-903 ATS (+38.7 Units) in all games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 8-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA LAKERS (23 - 31) at DALLAS (17 - 38) - 2/10/2018, 8:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DENVER (29 - 26) at PHOENIX (18 - 38) - 2/10/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 175-224 ATS (-71.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 166-120 ATS (+34.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 7-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-10-2018 at 01:25 PM.

  4. #4
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    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, February 10


    Nets lost seven of last eight games with New Orleans; over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Pelicans are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. New Orleans lost five of its last six games; they’re 7-3 as road favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Brooklyn lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 13-6-1 as home underdogs. Five of their last eight games stayed under the total.

    Milwaukee won five of last seven games with the Magic; Bucks are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Orlando. Four of last five series games stayed under. Bucks won seven of last nine games; they’re 4-2 as road favorites, 6-3-1 if they played night before. Bucks’ last nine games went under the total. Magic won four of their last five games; they’re 6-1 in last seven tries as home underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under.

    76ers lost eight of last ten games with the Clippers; three of last four series games stayed under. Clips are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. LA won five of its last six games, beating Pistons and Blake Griffin last nite; Clippers are 16-7 vs spread on road, 4-3 if they played night before. LA’s last six games stayed under. Philly won three of its last four games; they’re 1-5 vs spread if they played night before, 16-7 vs spread overall at home. Three of their last four stayed under.

    Washington won its last four games with Chicago, but Bulls covered four of last five; Wizards are 3-3 vs spread in last six visits to the Windy City. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Washington lost its last two games after a 5-game win streak; they’re 6-6 as road favorites. Six of last eight Wizard games went over. Chicago lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 9-7 as home dogs, 4-4 if they played night before. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    Golden State won its last six games with the Spurs (5-1 vs spread); five of last six series games went over total. San Antonio is 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Spurs split their last ten games; they’re 5-4 as road underdogs- six of their last eight games went over. Golden State lost three of its last five games; they’re 2-5-2 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under.

    Lakers lost nine of last ten games with Dallas; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four games in this building. Six of last eight series games stayed under. Los Angeles won four in row, eight of last ten games; they covered three of last five road games. Lakers’ last four games stayed under the total. Mavericks lost seven of their last eight games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home tilts. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

    Nuggets won seven of last eight games with Phoenix; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to the desert. Five of last six series games went over. Denver won six of its last nine games; they’re 3-5 as road favorites. Five of their last six games went over total. Suns lost nine of their last ten games; they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Three of their last four games went over the total.

  5. #5
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    NBA

    Saturday, February 10


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    Trend Report
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    NEW ORLEANS @ BROOKLYN
    New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Brooklyn's last 19 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Brooklyn's last 20 games at home

    MILWAUKEE @ ORLANDO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
    Orlando is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    LA CLIPPERS @ PHILADELPHIA
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
    LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    WASHINGTON @ CHICAGO
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington

    SAN ANTONIO @ GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
    Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio

    LA LAKERS @ DALLAS
    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
    Dallas is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing LA Lakers

    DENVER @ PHOENIX
    Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Denver
    Phoenix is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Denver


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-10-2018 at 01:27 PM.

  6. #6
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, February 10



    New Orleans @ Brooklyn

    Game 501-502
    February 10, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    115.676
    Brooklyn
    116.498
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 1
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1 1/2
    220
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+1 1/2); Over

    Milwaukee @ Orlando


    Game 503-504
    February 10, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    118.735
    Orlando
    115.238
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 3 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 5
    207
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+5); Over

    LA Clippers @ Philadelphia


    Game 505-506
    February 10, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    117.878
    Philadelphia
    122.792
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 5
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 2 1/2
    217 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-2 1/2); Under

    Washington @ Chicago


    Game 507-508
    February 10, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    123.226
    Chicago
    113.092
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 10
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 5
    215 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-5); Under

    San Antonio @ Golden State


    Game 509-510
    February 10, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    120.912
    Golden State
    129.012
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 8
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 11
    215 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+11); Over

    LA Lakers @ Dallas


    Game 511-512
    February 10, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    117.512
    Dallas
    116.499
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 1
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    by 2 1/2
    213
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (+2 1/2); Over

    Denver @ Phoenix


    Game 513-514
    February 10, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    121.335
    Phoenix
    112.409
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 9
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 7
    219 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-7); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-10-2018 at 01:27 PM.

  7. #7
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    NBA

    Saturday, February 10


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NBA Game of the Day: Spurs at Warriors betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors (-11, 215)

    The Golden State Warriors still can't seem to keep their cool, but at least they're back in the win column. The Warriors will again attempt to keep their emotions in check when they host the San Antonio Spurs in a key Western Conference battle on Saturday.

    Golden State general manager Bob Myers addressed the team prior to Thursday's game about the growing number of technical fouls the team is accumulating, and head coach Steve Kerr agreed that the team needs "to do a much better job of staying poised," but All-Star forward Draymond Green still went out on Thursday and earned his NBA-leading 14th technical foul. "Yeah, I don't know what to do at this point," Green told reporters. "It really don't matter what I agree with. I don't have no power in this situation. Yeah, I don't know what to do at this point. It is what it is." The Warriors still managed to skip past the Western Conference-worst Dallas Mavericks 121-103, but the Spurs present a different challenge. San Antonio snapped its own two-game slide while beginning a six-game road trip by blasting the Phoenix Suns 129-81 on Wednesday.

    TV:
    8:30 p.m. ET, ABC

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Warriors opened as 10-point home chalk and money coming in on the defending champs boosted that number up a full point to -11 at most shops. The total hit the board at 218 and has been bet down to 215.

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Spurs (-6.3) - Warriors (-12.1) + home court (-3) = Spurs -8.8

    INJURY REPORT:


    Spurs - PG Dejounte Murray (Out, Ankle), PG Tony Parker (Out, Back), SF Rudy Gay (Late February, Heel), SF Kawhi Leonard (Out Indefinitely, Quadricep).

    Warriors - PF Jordan Bell (Mid-February, Ankle).

    MATCHUP CHART:




    ABOUT THE SPURS (35-21 SU, 29-25-2 ATS, 24-32 O/U):
    Wednesday's contest matched the most one-sided loss in history for the Suns and one of the most complete performances for San Antonio, which held Phoenix to 34 percent from the floor. The one downside came in the second quarter, when starting point guard Dejounte Murray went down with an ankle injury. The 21-year-old is still getting used to leading the offense for the Spurs but scored 14 points on 7-of-12 shooting in 13 minutes before leaving on Wednesday and scored in double figures in six of the last eight games.

    ABOUT THE WARRIORS (42-13 SU, 24-30-1 ATS, 28-27 O/U):
    Whoever the Spurs start at point guard on Saturday will have to contend with Golden State's Stephen Curry, who breezed to 20 points on 7-of-12 shooting and eight assists in 30 minutes on Thursday. The Warriors fell behind by 10 points at the end of the first quarter in the win before outscoring Dallas 98-70 the rest of the way. "I think our talent just took over in the third quarter," Kerr told reporters. "We obviously had a lot more talent on the floor tonight than they did. Then Steph (Curry) and KD (Kevin Durant) got going, and they were hitting tough, contested shots."

    TRENDS:


    * Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

    * Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

    * Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State.

    * Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:
    Users are backing the road dog Spurs in this matchup, with 59 percent of pointspread picks. When it comes to the total, 60 percent of wagers are on the Over.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by Udog; 02-10-2018 at 01:40 PM.

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    -UNDER is 10-1 when #Spurs are on 2 days rest
    -UNDER is 19-8-1 in Spurs Road Games
    Common sense is not so common.
    “You can have everything you want in life if you help enough other people get what they want out of life.” Zig Ziglar

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