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Thread: Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/8

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/8

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, February 8

    Good Luck on day #39 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Texas A&M 81, Auburn 80— Aggies have an interesting resume for NCAA’s.

    — UNLV 86, Nevada 78— Big road win for the Rebels; Nevada’s best player is hurt.

    — 3B/1B Todd Frazier gets $17M for two years from the Mets.

    — Twins’ P Ervin Santana is out 10-12 weeks after he had a finger operated on.

    — 17 college hoop teams have already been ranked in the top 5 this season.

    — Agent Bob LaMonte fired Josh McDaniels as a client after Tuesday’s switcheroo; he is also the agent for the Colts’ GM Chris Ballard.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

    13) St John’s 79, Villanova 75— Red Storm started out 0-11 in Big East, but in last five days, they beat both Duke/Villanova. Johnnies played only six guys in this game; four of their starters played 37:00+. Villanova was only 8-33 on arc in this game.

    12) The NBA has strategically moved All-Star Weekend back until after football ends, to make the most of its exposure, but players are complaining now that the break should be earlier in the season, to give them a much-needed break from the 82-game schedule.

    For example, Cleveland has already played 53 of its 81 games, so All-Star break will come after the 2/3 mark of the season. If they move it to January, it will compete with the NFL playoffs.

    11) Gave this some thought during my 11-hour plane excursion Monday; If I’m the Eagles, I don’t trade Nick Foles. Carson Wentz is still the starter, but getting rid of Foles seems like a mistake.

    10) An NBA game got rained out Wednesday night; seriously. Roof was leaking in the arena in New Orleans, so Pacers-Pelicans will play some other day. There was actually a puddle near one of the foul lines, which makes it difficult to play.

    9) Speaking of the Pacers, they’re 30-19 when Victor Oladipo plays, 0-6 when he does not.

    8) Turns out Indianapolis Colts already signed three assistant coaches to contracts before they got left at the altar by Josh McDaniels— one of the coaches is the defensive coordinator, so they almost have to hire a coach with offensive leanings, since the DC is already in place.

    7) Former manager Joe Girardi has surfaced as a studio analyst on MLB Network, which is a good idea; hopefully he’ll do some games. Girardi is a smart guy; we can learn from him.

    6) There is a actually a service where you pay people to walk your dog. If you have to pay someone to walk your dog…….

    a) You’re too damn busy
    b) You shouldn’t have a dog
    c) You’re extremely lazy. Even I would walk my dog, if I had one.

    5) Westgate Hotel added a poker room near their great sportsbook; I was walking down that way the other night and some guy bustles ahead of me like it was a race or something. Turns out he wanted a seat at a poker table; I wanted a hamburger at the restaurant next door.

    4) There have never been four QB’s taken in the first 10 picks of an NFL Draft; that surprised me, figured it would have happened at least once.

    3) Cavaliers 140, Timberwolves 138 OT– Everyone at ESPN can take a deep breath; the Cavaliers won a game. You listen to their 60-minute pregame show and I think they mentioned Minnesota once the whole hour.

    2) Another thing I was wondering about on the plane Monday: what would the average score of an NHL game be if neither team used a goalie, and they just played 6-on-6?

    1— NBA trade deadline is 3:00 this afternoon; will be interesting to see what happens.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, February 8


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    ATLANTA (17 - 37) at ORLANDO (17 - 36) - 2/8/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    ORLANDO is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW YORK (23 - 32) at TORONTO (37 - 16) - 2/8/2018, 7:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 5-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 8-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BOSTON (39 - 16) at WASHINGTON (31 - 23) - 2/8/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BOSTON is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 141-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
    BOSTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BOSTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    WASHINGTON is 401-468 ATS (-113.8 Units) in home games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 11-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 10-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHARLOTTE (23 - 30) at PORTLAND (29 - 25) - 2/8/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 56-72 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 174-217 ATS (-64.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OKLAHOMA CITY (31 - 24) at LA LAKERS (22 - 31) - 2/8/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DALLAS (17 - 37) at GOLDEN STATE (41 - 13) - 2/8/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-08-2018 at 12:25 PM.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, February 8


    Orlando is 5-3 in its last eight games with Atlanta; home side won last four series games. Hawks are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Orlando- under is 3-1 in last four series games played here. Atlanta is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 14-12 vs spread on road. Under is 6-4 in their last 10 games. Orlando won three of its last four games; they’re 1-7 vs spread as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over.

    New York lost its last four games; this is their first game without injured star Porzingis. NY is 7-5 in last 12 games as road underdogs. Knicks’ last six games stayed under. Toronto won five of its last six games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 5-3 in Raptors’ last eight games. Knicks lost eight of last nine games with Toronto; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Four of last five series games stayed under.

    Home side won nine of last ten Celtic-Wizard games; Boston is 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Washington. Six of last eight series games went over total. Celtics won four of their last five games; they’re 9-2 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under. Wizards won five of their last six games; they’re 7-12 vs spread as home favorites. Seven of their last ten games went over the total.

    Portland won seven of its last ten games with Charlotte; last five series games stayed under total. Hornets are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Oregon. Charlotte won three of its last four games; they’re 1-5-1 in last seven games as road underdogs. Last four Charlotte games went over the total. Portland lost its last three games; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as home favorites. Four of their last six games stayed under.

    Thunder won eight of last ten games with the Lakers; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four series tilts in Staples Center. Seven of last ten series games stayed under. Oklahoma City lost four of its last five games, but won by 20 in Oakland Tuesday; they’re 4-11 in last 15 games as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under. Lakers won seven of their last nine games; they’re 4-0 vs spread in last four tries as home dogs. Last three LA games stayed under.

    Golden State won its last nine games with Dallas, six of which went over the total. Mavericks are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Oakland. Dallas lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 9-1 vs spread in last 10 games as road underdogs. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Warriors lost three of their last four games; they’re 1-4-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Seven of their last ten games stayed under.

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    NBA

    Thursday, February 8


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    Trend Report
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    ATLANTA @ ORLANDO
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
    Atlanta is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Orlando
    Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home

    NEW YORK @ TORONTO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York

    BOSTON @ WASHINGTON
    Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    CHARLOTTE @ PORTLAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

    OKLAHOMA CITY @ LA LAKERS
    Oklahoma City is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing LA Lakers
    Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    DALLAS @ GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
    Dallas is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-08-2018 at 12:27 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, February 8



    Atlanta @ Orlando

    Game 501-502
    February 8, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    114.785
    Orlando
    113.553
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 1
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Orlando
    by 1 1/2
    214
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+1 1/2); Over

    New York @ Toronto


    Game 503-504
    February 8, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    115:204
    Toronto
    126.312
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 11
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 15
    209
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+15); Over

    Boston @ Washington


    Game 505-506
    February 8, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    120.523
    Washington
    124.623
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 4
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 1 1/2
    206 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-1 1/2); Under

    Charlotte @ Portland


    Game 507-508
    February 8, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    116.224
    Portland
    121.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 5 1/2
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 3 1/2
    214
    Dunkel Pick:
    Portland
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Oklahoma City @ LA Lakers


    Game 509-510
    February 8, 2018 @ 10:34 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    118.452
    LA Lakers
    119.523
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 1
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 3
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (+3); Under

    Dallas @ Golden State


    Game 511-512
    February 8, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    116.206
    Golden State
    126.311
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 10
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 13
    221
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (+13); Under

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    Mike Callahan is the Cavs' "slump buster". Mark Grace would be proud.
    Cavs are now 11-0 SU and 10-0-1 ATS with referee Mike Callahan on the floor.

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