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Thread: Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/7

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, February 7

    Good Luck on day #38 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    — Tennessee 61, Kentucky 59— Wildcats are 3-5 in their last eight games.

    — There are 446 bridges in the city of Pittsburgh. Lot of bridges.

    — Thunder 125, Warriors 105— OKC had lost its previous four games.

    — Boise St 73, New Mexico 71— Boise outscored Lobos 8-0 over the final 1:46.

    — Wednesday is National Signing Day in college football; games in 2021 and 2022 will be won by what happens today.

    — Magic 116, Cavaliers 98— Cleveland led by 21 in second quarter. Cavaliers would be #4 seed in the East right now. Thursday 3pm is the NBA trade deadline; I’m just sayin’.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Tuesday morning, the Indianapolis Colts announced they hired Josh McDaniels as their new coach. By 8pm Tuesday, McDaniels had backed out of the deal. Go figure.

    12) There are reports the Patriots greatly sweetened McDaniels’ contract to keep him in Foxboro; maybe they guaranteed he’d replace Bill Belichick when Belichick retires. Who knows what happened, but the Colts look foolish for now, even if they may be better off in the long run.

    If someone isn’t 100% into being your football coach, then YOU DO NOT WANT HIM. Now the Colts have to regroup and take advantage of the opportunity to find a smart football person who really wants to coach the Indianapolis Colts. NFL head coaching jobs are in great demand.

    it should be mentioned here that when McDaniels was coach of the Broncos, he drafted Tim Tebow in the first round. If you’re a Colts’ fan, are you really sad about losing this guy?

    11) Took the 6:20am flight from Albany to Chicago to Las Vegas Monday morning; was in the airport by 4:30am. Was on the plane at 6am- the flight took off…….at 10:53am. Oy.

    It was a bright. sunny morning in Albany Monday; Southwest Airlines claimed it was too windy to take off, and that snow had blown on the one runway they could use, none of which made a hell of a lot of sense. There was maybe a half-inch of snow on the ground. Maybe some air traffic callers called in sick, who knows?

    Everything turned out pretty well, other than wasting four hours of my life that could’ve spent with me being asleep. In a bed. There were three empty seats on the Chicago-to-Vegas flight; one of them was the middle seat next to me. Leg room is tremendous!!!

    Then I got a $100 voucher Tuesday in an e-mail from Southwest, apologizing for the delay. it was this e-mail that casually mentioned something about air traffic controllers, which made me wonder what was really up.

    10) Bad news for the Knicks Tuesday night; Kristaps Porzingis tore his ACL, is out for the year.

    9) Ben Simmons is a really good player and the 76ers will probably make the playoffs this year, but could he learn how to shoot? They said Tuesday that of 346 baskets this season, only seven of them came on shots longer than 16 feet. He is 0-10 behind the arc, but only seven baskets in 1,720 minutes longer than 16 feet?

    Simmons is also shooting only 56.3% on the foul line.. If he wants to eventually be considered a truly great player, he better get himself in a gym this summer and improve his shooting.

    8) Emeka Okafor played nine minutes for the Pelicans Monday night; it was his first NBA action in four years and 296 days, when he was on the Wizards. Okafor is 35 and banked just under $90M in his playing career. Good to see that he worked hard enough to get back in the NBA.

    7) Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim got his 200th career win on February 4, 1985 against Seton Hall, the day after current Louisville coach David Padgett was born.

    6) Schools are closed in Philadelphia Thursday, because of the Eagles’ victory parade.

    5) Think about it, from 2005-08, Doug Pederson was the head football coach at Calvary Baptist Academy in Shreveport, LA. Now he is the head coach of the Super Bowl champs.

    4) James Madison postponed basketball games scheduled for Thursday, Saturday over fears of a possible mumps outbreak in the program. One assistant coach had mumps; three other people, including one player, are suspected of having it now.

    In case you were wondering: “Mumps is a mild to moderate contagious viral illness spread usually by close or face-to-face contact. Its symptoms can appears from 12 to 25 days after exposure, and those symptoms include body aches, fever and swollen or tender salivary glands.”

    3) San Francisco Giants will retire Barry Bonds’ #25 when the Giants host Pittsburgh in August.

    2) So much for preseason polls: Auburn was picked 9th, Tennessee 13th in the SEC preseason poll. They’re the top two teams in the league.

    1— Sat next to a couple gamblers in the Westgate sportsbook Tuesday night; this is one of my favorite places on earth, where people of all races/creeds sit near each other and bond over their desire to wager money on sports. If only the rest of the world got along so well……..

    Anyway, Gambler A was having a bad day. Gambler B, his friend, was trying to pump him up that his current bet, a totals’ bet on the first half of the Michigan-Northwestern game, was going to be a winner. Gambler B’s optimism was annoying Gambler A.

    Gambler B: “Hey, I’m just trying to keep things positive.”
    Gambler A: “I’m not big on all this positive shit.”

    Alrighty then; as soon as he says that, kid on Northwestern hit a 3-pointer at the end of the half to make Gambler A’s bet a loser. they left right after that; Gambler A won later on with his Nebraska bet; hopefully he was more cheerful then.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, February 7


    Nets are 3-5 in last eight games with the Pistons; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Last four series games stayed under the total. Brooklyn lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 16-8 as road underdogs, 3-4 vs spread on road if they played night before. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Detroit won its last four games; they’re 2-8 in last 10 games as home favorites. Five of their last six games went over.

    Houston/Miami split their last ten games; Rockets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to South Beach. Five of last seven series games stayed under. Houston won nine of last ten games; they’re 15-9 as road favorites, but 1-5 vs spread if they played night before. Nine of their last 11 games stayed under the total. Miami lost its last four games, all by 6 or fewer points; they’re 2-4 as home underdogs. Six of their last eight games stayed under.

    Pacers won eight of last ten games with New Orleans; they covered four of last five visits to Bourbon Street. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Indiana won six of its last nine games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Pelicans lost four of their last five games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Three of last four New Orleans games went over.

    Cleveland lost by 16 in Orlando last nite after leading by 21; Cavaliers are 4-7 in last 11 games- they’re 0-2 as home underdogs. Last three Cleveland games stayed under. Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Minnesota; over is 7-1 in last eight series games. Wolves are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Ohio. Minnesota split its last ten games; they’re 7-5-1 as road favorites (0-3 in last three). Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

    Grizzlies won four of last five games with Utah; five of last seven series games stayed under. Jazz are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Tennessee. Utah won its last six games; they’re 3-5 as road favorites. Last four Jazz games went over the total. Memphis lost six of its last seven games; they are 5-4 vs spread if they played night before- they’re 6-7 as home underdogs. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    Spurs won nine of last ten games with the Suns; they’re 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Arizona. Last three series games stayed under the total. San Antonio split their last ten games; they’re 7-10-1 vs spread as road favorites. Five of their last seven games went over. Phoenix lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 8-15 as home underdogs, 4-6 if they played night before. Over is 3-2 in their last five games.

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    NBA

    Wednesday, February 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
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    BROOKLYN @ DETROIT
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn


    Houston @ Miami
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
    Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston

    Minnesota @ Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

    Utah @ Memphis
    Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    Memphis is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

    Indiana @ New Orleans
    Indiana is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing New Orleans
    Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Orleans's last 17 games at home
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

    San Antonio @ Phoenix
    San Antonio is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
    San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 14 games when playing San Antonio


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-07-2018 at 01:39 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, February 8


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (19 - 36) at DETROIT (26 - 26) - 2/7/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 6-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (39 - 13) at MIAMI (29 - 25) - 2/7/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 75-59 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 142-108 ATS (+23.2 Units) in February games since 1996.
    MIAMI is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    INDIANA (30 - 25) at NEW ORLEANS (28 - 25) - 2/7/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MINNESOTA (34 - 22) at CLEVELAND (30 - 22) - 2/7/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 53-81 ATS (-36.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 14-37 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    CLEVELAND is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UTAH (25 - 28) at MEMPHIS (18 - 35) - 2/7/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (34 - 21) at PHOENIX (18 - 37) - 2/7/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-07-2018 at 01:39 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, February 7



    Brooklyn @ Detroit

    Game 701-702
    February 7, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brooklyn
    114.562
    Detroit
    119.609
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 5
    204
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 9 1/2
    209
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+9 1/2); Under

    Houston @ Miami


    Game 703-704
    February 7, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    121.967
    Miami
    119.547
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 2 1/2
    206
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 5
    211
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+5); Under

    Indiana @ New Orleans


    Game 705-706
    February 7, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    116.018
    New Orleans
    121.511
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 5 1/2
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 3
    220
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-3); Over

    Minnesota @ Cleveland


    Game 707-708
    February 7, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    124.617
    Cleveland
    118.598
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 6
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4
    220
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-4); Over

    Utah @ Memphis


    Game 709-710
    February 7, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    118.737
    Memphis
    116.315
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 2 1/2
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 7 1/2
    201
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+7 1/2); Over

    San Antonio @ Phoenix


    Game 711-712
    February 7, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    121.233
    Phoenix
    114.674
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 6 1/2
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 11
    203
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+11); Over

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    NBA

    Wednesday, February 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NBA Game of the Day: Timberwolves at Cavaliers betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers (+4, 223)

    The Cleveland Cavaliers' lengthy slide continues to hit low points, and the team attempts to bounce back from another disappointment when it hosts the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Cleveland possessed a 21-point, second-quarter lead against lowly Orlando on Tuesday before falling 116-98 for its 13th setback in 19 games.

    The Cavaliers have lost by 20 or more points in four of their last 13 contests, but Tuesday's 18-point defeat was just as disappointing to LeBron James after his team was shellacked 65-31 in the second half. "I mean, it's just a culmination of our season, pretty much," James told reporters. "We've had big leads this year, we've lost them for whatever reason. They came out (after halftime) with a lot of sense of urgency." The Timberwolves hammered the Cavaliers 127-99 on Jan. 8 to end a six-game losing streak in the series. Minnesota, which has won 10 of its last 16 contests, has been idle since Saturday's 118-107 home victory over New Orleans.

    TV:
    8 p.m. ET, ESPN, FS North (Minnesota), FS Ohio (Cleveland)

    LINE HISTORY:
    Crazy line movement for this game as the Cavs opened as 1.5-point home favorites early Tuesday afternoon. The ugly performance by Cleveland against the Magic has everyone fading the defending Eastern Conference champs for tonight's game, and the spread has jumped the fence all of the way to Minnesota -4. The total hit betting boards at 221.5 and has jumped to 223 as of Wednesday afternoon.

    INJURY REPORT:


    Timberwolves - No injuries to report.

    Cavaliers - SG D. Wade (Out, Illness), PF K. Love (Late March, Finger).

    POWER RANKINGS:
    T-Wolves (-6.1) - Cavaliers (-3.3) + home court (-3) = Cavs -0.2

    MATCHUP CHART:




    ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (34-22 SU, 28-26-2 ATS, 28-27-1 O/U):
    All-Star guard Jimmy Butler continued his stellar production with 30 points, eight rebounds and seven assists in the victory over the Pelicans. Butler has topped 20 points in all five contests since returning from a four-game absence due to a knee injury and is riding an eight-game overall streak of 20-point performances. All-Star center Karl-Anthony Towns leads the NBA with 47 double-doubles and has notched six in a row after a 22-point, 16-rebound effort against New Orleans.

    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (30-22 SU, 14-37-1 ATS, 24-26-2 O/U):
    Cleveland had a superb 43-point opening quarter against the Magic and appeared headed to an easy victory before the unforeseen collapse. J.R. Smith (12 points on four 3-pointers) and Isaiah Thomas (11 points) scored all their points in the first quarter as the Cavaliers allowed Orlando to record 41 third-quarter points before registering just nine of their own in the final quarter on 3-of-18 shooting. "When we hit adversity, we go our separate ways," Thomas told reporters. "That's just how I feel, and it looks like that as well. Guys start going 1-on-1, offense and defense, and it's every man for himself."

    TRENDS:


    * Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    * Cavaliers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    * Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
    * Under is 10-1 in Cavaliers last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.
    * Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:
    Contest users are backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this matchup, with 54 percent of pointspread picks on the home underdog. When it comes to the total, 54 percent of wagers are on the Over.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    Pacers' Victor Oladipo (illness) will play tonight @ New Orleans.
    Spread: Pelicans -3.5
    Total: 221.5


    Cavaliers blow a 21-point lead in 116-98 loss to Magic.
    The betting public is jumping ship faster than Theon Greyjoy. Cavs opened yesterday as 1.5-point home favorites tonight vs T'wolves and a 5.5-point line swing now has line at MIN -4.
    Cavs are 14-37-1 ATS this season, including 5-20-1 at home.


    As bad as things have been for Cleveland...
    Mike Callahan is the lead official for tonight's game vs. Minnesota. Cavs are 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games involving Callahan.
    Spread: T-Wolves -4
    Total: 223

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    Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
    Spread: Rockets -5.5
    Total: 211

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