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Thread: Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/6

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, February 6

    Good Luck on day #37 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Eastern Conference of the NBA:

    7-4— Cleveland Cavaliers

    2-1— Boston Celtics, Toronto Raptors

    20-1— Washington, Milwaukee, Philadelphia

    40-1— Indiana, Miami, Detroit


    Odds to win the NBA title:

    -$250— Golden State Warriors

    +$200— Everyone else


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Can baseball thoughts make you warmer?

    It was 75 degrees when I got off the plane in Las Vegas Monday; problem is, I had been on that plane for 11 hours— more on that tomorrow.

    Spring training starts next week; here are some baseball notes to keep you warm.

    13) Houston Astros led MLB with a .478 slugging percentage LY and struck out only 1,087 times; they’re only second team since 1948 (’95 Indians) to lead league in SP while striking out the least amount of times in the league.

    12) Atlanta Braves used nine 3rd basemen LY; with Chipper Jones getting in Hall of Fame this summer, it has been five years since he left Atlanta and they still haven’t found a replacement.

    11) Chicago Cubs are 27-15 in their last 42 games against their rivals from St Louis.

    10) Cubs had 100 quality starts in 2016, when they won the World Series; that number slipped to 77 last year, which put a big strain on their bullpen.

    9) Speaking of which, Toronto’s bullpen threw 596.2 innings LY- thats 11 outs a game, which is just too much. If your starting pitchers can’t finish the 6th inning consistently, you’re in trouble.

    8) Seattle Mariners made 219 player transactions last season; they used 61 different players, 15 of whom weren’t in Seattle’s organization when the season started.

    7) Red Sox hit 168 homers last year, least in the American League.

    6) Texas Rangers had three guys LY who hit 25+ homers while batting less than .210; they’re first team ever to do that.

    5) Baltimore’s starting pitchers had a 5.70 ERA last year, which helps explain why they won 14 fewer games than in 2016.

    4) Cincinnati Reds used 10 different ROOKIE starting pitchers LY; playing in their small home ballpark, thats just too many.

    3) Angels’ first basemen hit a combined .231 LY; their second basemen hit .206, which is why they got Ian Kinsler. Albert Pujols is going to have to play a decent amount of 1B this year if Shotei Ohtani, is going to DH.

    2) Detroit Tigers owe Miguel Cabrera $184M over the next six years; Cabrera is going to be 35 in April, so it is doubtful they’ll be able to get out from under that back-loaded contract.

    1) Oakland A’s allowed 82 unearned runs LY, most in baseball; they made 121 errors, which is unacceptable. Maybe they shouldn’t have let infield coach Ron Washington bolt to Atlanta.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, February 6


    Cleveland won nine of last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered last three; Cavaliers are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here, with last three going over total. Cleveland lost its last five road games; their last road win was here, on Jan 6. Cavaliers are 0-8 vs spread in last eight tries as road favorites. Orlando lost four of its last six games; they’re 4-1 in last five games as home dogs. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Magic is 4-5 vs spread if they played night before.

    Rockets won their last three games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in the Barclays Center. Three of last four series games went over. Houston won eight of its last nine games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites. Nine of their last ten games went under the total. Brooklyn lost six of its last seven games; they’re 12-6-1 as home underdogs. Eight of their last ten games stayed under.

    Knicks lost five of last seven games with Milwaukee; they lost by hoop in Milwaukee Friday nite. Four of last five series games stayed under. Bucks won six of their last seven games; they’re 14-11 vs spread on road. Last seven Milwaukee games stayed under total. New York lost six of its last eight games; they’re 17-10 vs spread at home. Knicks’ last five games stayed under the total. Bucks’ star Antetokounmpo tweaked his right ankle Sunday (check status).

    Memphis/Atlanta split their last ten games; Grizzlies are 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Memphis lost five of its last six games; they are 11-8-1 as road underdogs. Six of Grizzlies’ last eight games went over. Hawks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 2-3 vs spread as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over the total.

    Home side won seven of last eight Boston-Toronto games; Celtics are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Canada. Six of last seven series games stayed under total. Boston won its last four games; they’re 8-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five road gams went over the total. Raptors won four of their last five games; they covered three of last four home games. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

    Home side won last five Wizard-76er games; Wizards are 3-3 vs spread in last six visits here. Four of last five series games went over. Washington won its last five games; they’re 10-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over total. Philadelphia lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-0 in last five games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

    Road team won last four Phoenix-Laker games; Suns are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games in Staples. Seven of last eight series games went over. Phoenix lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Lakers won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-3 as home favorites. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven home games.

    Golden State won/covered seven of last eight games with Oklahoma City; Thunder are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Six of last seven series games stayed under. OKC lost its last four games; they’re 4-2-1 as road underdogs. Three of last four Thunder games stayed under the total. Warriors lost two of last three games; they’re 1-3-2 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

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    NBA

    Tuesday, February 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Cleveland is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Orlando
    Orlando is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

    BOSTON @ TORONTO
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
    Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
    Toronto is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

    MEMPHIS @ ATLANTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

    HOUSTON @ BROOKLYN
    Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Houston is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

    MILWAUKEE @ NEW YORK
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    PHOENIX @ LA LAKERS
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
    Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    OKLAHOMA CITY @ GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Golden State
    Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-06-2018 at 01:09 PM.

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    NBA

    Tuesday, February 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Cleveland is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Orlando
    Orlando is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

    BOSTON @ TORONTO
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
    Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
    Toronto is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

    MEMPHIS @ ATLANTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

    HOUSTON @ BROOKLYN
    Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Houston is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

    MILWAUKEE @ NEW YORK
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    PHOENIX @ LA LAKERS
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
    Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    OKLAHOMA CITY @ GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Golden State
    Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-06-2018 at 01:09 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, February 6



    Cleveland @ Orlando

    Game 501-502
    February 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    119.561
    Orlando
    115.872
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 4
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 7
    221
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+7); Over

    Houston @ Brooklyn


    Game 503-504
    February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    123.229
    Brooklyn
    116.197
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 7
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 11
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+11); Over

    Milwaukee @ New York


    Game 505-506
    February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    120.902
    New York
    116.784
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 4
    198
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 1 1/2
    205
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-1 1/2); Under

    Memphis @ Atlanta


    Game 507-508
    February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    113.228
    Atlanta
    117.392
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 4
    200
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 2
    205 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (-2); Under

    Boston @ Toronto


    Game 509-510
    February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    118.737
    Toronto
    125.328
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 6 1/2
    201
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 5
    206 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-5); Under

    Washington @ Philadelphia


    Game 511-512
    February 6, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    115.236
    Philadelphia
    124.985
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 9 1/2
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 6
    213 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-6); Under

    Phoenix @ LA Lakers


    Game 513-514
    February 6, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    113.425
    LA Lakers
    117.895
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 4 1/2
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 8
    217 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+8); Over

    Oklahoma City @ Golden State


    Game 515-516
    February 6, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    121.378
    Golden State
    128.491
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 7
    235
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 10
    229
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (+10); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-06-2018 at 01:11 PM.

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    NBA

    Tuesday, February 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NBA Game of the Day: Thunder at Warriors betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors (-10, 230)

    Head coach Steve Kerr called the Golden State Warriors "mentally fried" even before they went into Denver and suffered a rare loss in which they led entering the fourth quarter on Saturday. The Warriors will hope two days off and a return home gives them a boost when they host the struggling Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday.

    Golden State was enduring the second night of a back-to-back and its third road game in five days on Saturday, when it was outscored 38-25 in the fourth quarter and suffered a 115-108 loss at the Nuggets. "We've got to make sure we're not building bad habits, and we're starting to," Kerr told reporters after the latest setback. "You can't win at the highest level and, game on the line, we're just not locking in." The Thunder and point guard Russell Westbrook are always highly motivated to play the Warriors and ex-teammate Kevin Durant, but they are looking just as weary after a 108-104 home loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday marked their fourth consecutive defeat. "It's fun, man. Adversity is great," Westbrook told reporters. "Me personally, I love adversity. It gives you an opportunity to bring your teammates together, bring everybody together and look forward to positive things. Throughout the season, there's going to be a lot of ups and downs, but we never flinch. That's one thing about this organization, about our team: We never flinch based on what's going on. We always stay together."

    TV:
    10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Warriors opened as big 10.5-point home favorites and as of Tuesday morning that number was down to -10. The total hit betting boards at 227.5 and has been bumped up to 230.

    INJURY REPORT:


    Thunder - SG A. Roberson (Out For Season, Knee).

    Warriors - PF D. West (Probable, Personal), PF J. Bell (Mid Feb, Ankle).

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Thunder (-6.9) - Warriors (-13.5) + home court (-3) = Warriors -9.6

    MATCHUP CHART:




    ABOUT THE THUNDER (30-24 SU, 22-32 ATS, 24-30 O/U):
    Oklahoma City is 1-4 since losing shooting guard Andre Roberson -- the team's best perimeter defender -- to a season-ending knee injury. The Thunder allowed each of their last three opponents to make at least 13 3-pointers and are about to go up against a Golden State squad that leads the NBA in 3-point percentage (.392). "I'm most concerned about defensively, to be honest, is our 3-point defense," Thunder coach Billy Donovan told reporters after Sunday's loss. "I'm really, really concerned about that. You want to protect the deep paint, and you don't want to give up layups, but when the ball gets kicked back out, we have got to have more urgency to run people off the line. That's where Andre Roberson is great, maybe the best I've ever seen, is being able to close down on shooters and get them to bounce it and then also guard them."

    ABOUT THE WARRIORS (41-12 SU, 23-29-1 ATS, 27-26 O/U):
    Golden State was just 8-of-31 from beyond the arc at Denver and the tired legs showed up on the defensive end in the fourth quarter as well. "The whole fourth quarter was rough," Stephen Curry told reporters. "We had some 50-50 balls go the other way, giving extra possessions. ... We just didn't make those timely plays to keep that separation. On a back-to-back, those 12 minutes, it's going to be tough to get through, and we didn't do enough to win." Durant was the bright spot in the loss, scoring 31 points on 12-of-16 shooting to improve to 24-of-33 from the floor in two games this month.

    TRENDS:


    * Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
    * Warriors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
    * Under is 9-1 in Thunder last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games.
    * Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Golden State.

    CONSENSUS:
    Contest users are backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this matchup, with 59 percent of pointspread picks on the road underdog. When it comes to the total, 60 percent of wagers are on the Over.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-06-2018 at 01:12 PM.

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    NBA

    Tuesday, February 6



    NBA's Top ATS Teams:

    1. Celtics 33-19-2
    2. Nets 31-23
    3. Bulls 29-23-1
    4. 76ers 27-22-1
    5. Clippers 28-23-1
    6. Jazz 29-24
    7. Raptors 28-24
    8. Hawks 27-24-2
    9. Spurs 28-25-2
    10. Pacers 29-26


    NBA's Worst ATS Teams:

    30. Cavs 14-36-1
    29. Thunder 22-32
    28. Kings 22-28-3
    27. Warriors 23-29-1
    26. Hornets 22-27-4
    25. Magic 23-28-1
    24. Grizzlies 23-27-2
    23. Bucks 22-25-5
    22. Wizards 25-28


    NBA's Top OVER Teams:

    1. Pelicans 31-22
    t2. Bulls 28-25
    t2. Kings 28-25
    4. 76ers 26-24
    t5. Raptors 27-25
    t5. Clippers 27-25
    t5. Lakers 27-25
    8. Knicks 28-26

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    NBA's Top UNDER Teams:

    1. Heat 33-21
    2. Mavs 32-21-1
    3. Nets 31-21-2
    4. Blazers 32-22
    5. Spurs 32-23
    6. Nuggets 31-23
    7. Rockets 28-22-1
    8. Wizards 29-23-1



    Cavs are the worst ATS team in the NBA (and it's not even close) at 14-36-1 & are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games. Magic are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
    Spread: Cavs -6.5
    Total: 225.5

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