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Thread: Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/5

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, February 5

    Good Luck on day #36 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds to win the 2018 World Series

    5-1— Bronx Bombers

    11-2— Houston Astros

    6-1— Los Angeles Dodgers

    15-2— Cleveland Indians

    9-1— Chicago Cubs

    10-1— Boston Red Sox, Washington Nationals


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a super Sunday

    13) Eagles 41, Patriots 33— Before this season, Nick Foles was 20-16 as an NFL starting QB; he has never started more than 11 games in a season. Now he is a Philadelphia legend.

    Foles was 28-43 for 373 yards and three TD’s, ending an improbable story where he took over for an injured Carson Wentz and led the Eagles to their first Super Bowl title and 4th NFL title, their first one since 1960.

    I completely whiffed on this game; didn’t think a backup QB could hang 41 in a Super Bowl, so the next question is, does Foles go back to being a backup next year, or do the Eagles trade him, and if so, where do they trade him?

    12) This game broke the Super Bowl record for most total yards before the third quarter was over.

    11) So the Eagles score their first TD to make score 9-3; before they can try the PAT (which they missed), my DirecTV goes out, so I have to go downstairs, retrieve a stepladder and go out to sweep the inch or so of snow off the satellite dish. No bueno.

    Also had my 2017 tax return done by halftime, making it the most productive 90 minutes of my 2018, by far. Muy bueno.

    10) What does ESPN show during the Super Bowl?
    ESPN2— World Series of Poker
    ESPNU— College gymnastics
    ESPN— 30 for 30 on wrestler Ric Flair

    9) New England’s field goal on their first drive were first 1st-quarter points they’ve scored in the eight Super Bowls Brady has played in.

    This was first Super Bowl where both starting QB’s threw for 100+ yards each in first quarter.

    8) Over/under on numbers of players to throw a pass was 2.5, with the over +$180. Four guys threw passes in the first half.

    7) Home underdogs in college basketball were 0-6 vs spread Sunday; that doesn’t happen much.

    6) Gary Woodland shot a 64 Sunday and won the Phoenix Open. Best shot of the day was on the 16th hole, when Matt Kuchar damn near aced the popular par-3.

    5) How many football coaches around the country will put that trick play in that the Eagles used to score their second TD? That will be a popular 2-point play in high school games next fall.

    When Eagles’ TE Trey Burton went to college at Florida, he thought he would be Tim Tebow’s replacement at QB, but that never worked out. Funny how eight years later he throws a TD pass in a Super Bowl.

    4) First half total yardage was 350-323, Patriots; both teams averaged over nine yards per play.

    How would you like to be a Lions’ fan and see that stat? One DC (Jim Schwartz) used to be the Lions’ coach; the other (Matt Patricia) is the Lions’ next head coach.

    3) There had never been a sack-less Super Bowl; Graham’s sack/fumble with 2:10 left was the first sack of the game. Pretty good time for it.

    2) Friend of mine had two squares in a $1,000 per square pool; I’m guessing the guy who had 2-2 was cursing the fates…….until halftime, when the score was 22-12. Cha-ching!!!

    1- I’m guessing this Super Bowl got tremendous TV ratings; it was a terrific, fun game, with a dramatic finish. Next year’s Super Bowl is in Atlanta’s new stadium. Who will be in it?

  3. #3
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Monday, February 5



    Indiana @ Rutgers

    Game 715-716
    February 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    62.225
    Rutgers
    63.302
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Rutgers
    by 1
    133
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 2 1/2
    128
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rutgers
    (+2 1/2); Over

    Syracuse @ Louisville


    Game 717-718
    February 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Syracuse
    64.645
    Louisville
    69.503
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Louisville
    by 5
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Louisville
    by 7
    130
    Dunkel Pick:
    Syracuse
    (+7); Over

    West Virginia @ Oklahoma


    Game 719-720
    February 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    West Virginia
    71.707
    Oklahoma
    76.665
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 5
    163
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 2
    170
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma
    (-2); Under

    Siena @ Fairfield


    Game 721-722
    February 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Siena
    44.462
    Fairfield
    54.879
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Fairfield
    by 10 1/2
    134
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Fairfield
    by 9
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    Fairfield
    (-9); Under

    Bucknell @ Lehigh


    Game 723-724
    February 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Bucknell
    58.425
    Lehigh
    48.516
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Bucknell
    by 10
    148
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Bucknell
    by 7 1/2
    160
    Dunkel Pick:
    Bucknell
    (-7 1/2); Under

    Hampton @ NC Central


    Game 725-726
    February 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Hampton
    44.237
    NC Central
    48.679
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NC Central
    by 4 1/2
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NC Central
    by 3
    146 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NC Central
    (-3); Under

    Southern @ Jackson State


    Game 727-728
    February 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Southern
    39.205
    Jackson State
    37.842
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Southern
    by 1 1/2
    131
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Jackson State
    by 2
    126
    Dunkel Pick:
    Southern
    (+2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-05-2018 at 01:06 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Monday, February 5


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    INDIANA (12 - 12) at RUTGERS (12 - 13) - 2/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
    RUTGERS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
    RUTGERS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
    INDIANA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
    RUTGERS is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    RUTGERS is 163-202 ATS (-59.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SYRACUSE (15 - 8) at LOUISVILLE (16 - 7) - 2/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SYRACUSE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    SYRACUSE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    SYRACUSE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SYRACUSE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    SYRACUSE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    LOUISVILLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    LOUISVILLE is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
    LOUISVILLE is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOUISVILLE is 3-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
    LOUISVILLE is 3-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    W VIRGINIA (17 - 6) at OKLAHOMA (16 - 6) - 2/5/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W VIRGINIA is 46-72 ATS (-33.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
    OKLAHOMA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    W VIRGINIA is 4-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA is 3-3 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SIENA (7 - 17) at FAIRFIELD (9 - 13) - 2/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SIENA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    SIENA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SIENA is 3-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
    SIENA is 4-1 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUCKNELL (17 - 8) at LEHIGH (10 - 13) - 2/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LEHIGH is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    BUCKNELL is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BUCKNELL is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    BUCKNELL is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in February games since 1997.
    BUCKNELL is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUCKNELL is 2-0 against the spread versus LEHIGH over the last 3 seasons
    LEHIGH is 3-3 straight up against BUCKNELL over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    HAMPTON (9 - 14) at NC CENTRAL (12 - 10) - 2/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NC CENTRAL is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NC CENTRAL is 1-1 against the spread versus HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
    NC CENTRAL is 1-1 straight up against HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SOUTHERN U (9 - 14) at JACKSON ST (10 - 13) - 2/5/2018, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    JACKSON ST is 2-2 against the spread versus SOUTHERN U over the last 3 seasons
    SOUTHERN U is 4-3 straight up against JACKSON ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-05-2018 at 01:07 PM.

  5. #5
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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, February 5


    Indiana lost its last four games, losing tough 63-60 home game to Michigan State couple days ago. Hoosiers are 1-4 on Big 14 road, losing by 10-28-2-15 points, with win at Minnesota- they are shooting 30.2% on arc, 64.9% on line in conference. Rutgers lost 10 of its last 12 games; they’re 2-3 at home in Big 14, beating Iowa, Wisconsin. Indiana is 4-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 games, winning by 30-7 points in two visits to the Garden State. Hoosiers are 4-9-2 vs spread in last 15 Big 14 road games; Rutgers is 13-18 vs spread in last 31 home games, 3-2 this season.

    Louisville lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-1 in ACC home games, losing to Florida St Saturday. Cardinals are 6-7 vs top 100 teams. Syracuse lost six of its last nine games; they’re 1-4 in ACC road games, with lone win at lowly Pitt- their ACC road losses are by 6-7-11-4 points. Louisville won five of last six games with Syracuse; Orange lost by 14-20 points in their last two visits to Yum! Center. Syracuse is 9-13 in last 22 games as road underdogs; Louisville is 12-9-1 in last 22 games as home favorites, 3-1 this year.

    Oklahoma lost 89-76 at West Virginia Jan 6; Sooners led by hoop with with 14:06 left, but lost to WVU for third time in last four meetings. Mountaineers won 61-50 here LY, their first win in five Big X visits to Norman. WVU lost five of last seven games; wins were by 35-38 points; they lost last three road games, by 3-9-16 points. Sooners lost four of last six games; they’re 5-0 at home in Big X, scoring average of 93.8 ppg. Oklahoma is 6-2-1 in last nine games as home favorite; West Virginia is 5-3 in its last eight games as road underdogs.

    Siena is 7-17, 3-8 in MAAC; all three of their league wins were by 2 or 3 points. Saints are 0-5 on MAAC road, losing by 5-2-11-7-11 points- they were held under 60 points in last three games. Fairfield is 3-2 in its last five games after a 6-11 start; Stags are 3-2 at home in MAAC, scoring 100+ points in last two home games. Siena won seven of last nine games with Fairfield; they won three of last four visits here. Siena is 5-6 in last 11 games as road underdogs, 1-3 this year; Stags are 8-13 in last 21 games as home favorites, 2-2 this year.

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    NCAAB

    Monday, February 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA @ RUTGERS
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
    Rutgers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Rutgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

    SIENA @ FAIRFIELD
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Siena's last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fairfield's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fairfield's last 7 games when playing at home against Siena

    SYRACUSE @ LOUISVILLE
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games when playing on the road against Louisville
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games
    Louisville is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Louisville is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Syracuse

    WEST VIRGINIA @ OKLAHOMA
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of West Virginia's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma
    Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma's last 7 games when playing West Virginia


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-05-2018 at 01:08 PM.

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    NCAAB

    Monday, February 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Game of the Day: West Virginia at Oklahoma betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Fab freshman and Oklahoma Sooners point guard Trae Young made just two of his 14 attempts from 3-point land against Texas on Saturday. OU is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games.

    No. 19 West Virginia Mountaineers at No. 17 Oklahoma Sooners (-2.5, 167.5)

    One game after West Virginia allowed the most points in a Big 12 game since joining the league in 2012 (93 in a loss at Iowa State) - its fifth loss in six games - coach Bob Huggins’ pressure defense held Kansas State to 29.8 percent shooting while forcing 15 turnovers in a 89-51 victory on Saturday. The win pulled the Mountaineers even with Oklahoma at 6-4 in the league, a game back of Kansas and Texas Tech atop the conference standings. The Sooners could have moved to the top of the standings but couldn’t hold a second-half, eight-point lead Saturday at Texas, as Young suffered through a 7-of-22 shooting night in a 79-74 loss to the Longhorns. On Jan. 6, West Virginia harassed Young into shooting 8-of-22, including 3-of-12 from the arc, and eight turnovers against just five assists in an 89-76 home victory.

    TV:
    9 p.m. ET, ESPN

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Sooners opened as 2-point home chalk and the line has pushed up a half point to 2.5. The total opened as high as 169 and has dropped down to 167.5.

    ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (17-6 SU, 9-10 ATS):
    The Mountaineers, despite playing around illnesses to five players Saturday, got some good offensive production as well against Kansas State as they scored 50 points after halftime while shooting 61 percent (14-of-23) from the floor. Jevon Carter (16.9 points, 5.1 rebounds, 6.8 assists, 3.2 steals) scored only six points but handed out a game-high 11 assists while making a pair of steals. "That's as good a job as he's done with the ball all year," Huggins told reporters. "He has 11 assists and no turnovers and I think anybody in the country would take that any day."

    ABOUT OKLAHOMA (16-6 SU, 8-13 ATS):
    Young (29.8 points, 9.7 assists per game) handed out 14 assists - tied for his second most this season - but shot 2-of-14 from beyond the arc for 19 points against the Longhorns for just his third sub-20-point outing of the season. Center Jamuni McNeace (5.8 points, 5.0 rebounds), who had gone scoreless in three of his last four games, scored a career-high 16 points on 8-of-10 shooting against Texas. Guard Christian James (11.8 points, 4.7 rebounds) and forward Brady Manek (11.3 points, 5.5 rebounds) are the other double-digit scorers for the Sooners.

    TRENDS:


    *WVU is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games following an ATS win.
    *WVU is 1-3 ATS in its last four games.
    *The Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
    *The over is 9-3 in the Sooners' last 12 home games.
    *The over is 4-1 in the Mountaineers' last five games.

    CONSENSUS:
    About 65 percent of contest players are backing the Sooners to cover as 2.5-point home favorites while 60 percent like the game to go over the total.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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