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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/5

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, February 5

    Good Luck on day #36 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds to win the 2018 World Series

    5-1— Bronx Bombers

    11-2— Houston Astros

    6-1— Los Angeles Dodgers

    15-2— Cleveland Indians

    9-1— Chicago Cubs

    10-1— Boston Red Sox, Washington Nationals


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a super Sunday

    13) Eagles 41, Patriots 33— Before this season, Nick Foles was 20-16 as an NFL starting QB; he has never started more than 11 games in a season. Now he is a Philadelphia legend.

    Foles was 28-43 for 373 yards and three TD’s, ending an improbable story where he took over for an injured Carson Wentz and led the Eagles to their first Super Bowl title and 4th NFL title, their first one since 1960.

    I completely whiffed on this game; didn’t think a backup QB could hang 41 in a Super Bowl, so the next question is, does Foles go back to being a backup next year, or do the Eagles trade him, and if so, where do they trade him?

    12) This game broke the Super Bowl record for most total yards before the third quarter was over.

    11) So the Eagles score their first TD to make score 9-3; before they can try the PAT (which they missed), my DirecTV goes out, so I have to go downstairs, retrieve a stepladder and go out to sweep the inch or so of snow off the satellite dish. No bueno.

    Also had my 2017 tax return done by halftime, making it the most productive 90 minutes of my 2018, by far. Muy bueno.

    10) What does ESPN show during the Super Bowl?
    ESPN2— World Series of Poker
    ESPNU— College gymnastics
    ESPN— 30 for 30 on wrestler Ric Flair

    9) New England’s field goal on their first drive were first 1st-quarter points they’ve scored in the eight Super Bowls Brady has played in.

    This was first Super Bowl where both starting QB’s threw for 100+ yards each in first quarter.

    8) Over/under on numbers of players to throw a pass was 2.5, with the over +$180. Four guys threw passes in the first half.

    7) Home underdogs in college basketball were 0-6 vs spread Sunday; that doesn’t happen much.

    6) Gary Woodland shot a 64 Sunday and won the Phoenix Open. Best shot of the day was on the 16th hole, when Matt Kuchar damn near aced the popular par-3.

    5) How many football coaches around the country will put that trick play in that the Eagles used to score their second TD? That will be a popular 2-point play in high school games next fall.

    When Eagles’ TE Trey Burton went to college at Florida, he thought he would be Tim Tebow’s replacement at QB, but that never worked out. Funny how eight years later he throws a TD pass in a Super Bowl.

    4) First half total yardage was 350-323, Patriots; both teams averaged over nine yards per play.

    How would you like to be a Lions’ fan and see that stat? One DC (Jim Schwartz) used to be the Lions’ coach; the other (Matt Patricia) is the Lions’ next head coach.

    3) There had never been a sack-less Super Bowl; Graham’s sack/fumble with 2:10 left was the first sack of the game. Pretty good time for it.

    2) Friend of mine had two squares in a $1,000 per square pool; I’m guessing the guy who had 2-2 was cursing the fates…….until halftime, when the score was 22-12. Cha-ching!!!

    1- I’m guessing this Super Bowl got tremendous TV ratings; it was a terrific, fun game, with a dramatic finish. Next year’s Super Bowl is in Atlanta’s new stadium. Who will be in it?

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, February 5


    Maple Leafs won seven of last ten games with Anaheim; four of last six series games stayed under the total. Ducks lost three of their last four visits to Toronto. Anaheim split last six games; they lost three of their last four road games. Four of their last six games went over. Toronto won four of its last five games; they lost three of last four home games. Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

    Islanders won six of last eight games with Nashville; five of last seven games went over the total. Predators lost three of last five visits to Brooklyn. Nashville won eight of last ten games overall; they split their last six road games. Six of their last nine games stayed under total. Islanders lost five of last eight games overall; they lost three of last four home games. Four of their last five games stayed under.

    Rangers/Dallas split their last ten games; road team won last four. Rangers won three of their last four visits to Texas. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. New York lost five of its last six games overall; they lost five of their last six road games. Eight of their last ten went over the total. Dallas Stars won six of their last nine games overall; they lost three of last five at home. Three of their last four games stayed under.

    Tampa Bay won four of last five games with Edmonton; five of last six series games stayed under. Lightning lost four of last five visits to Edmonton. Tampa Bay won five of its last six games, all on road; four of their last five games went over the total. Oilers won four of their last six games overall; they won three of last five home games. Three of their last four games went over the total.




    NHL

    Monday, February 5


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    Trend Report
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    NASHVILLE @ NY ISLANDERS
    Nashville is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
    Nashville is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games
    NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Nashville

    ANAHEIM @ TORONTO
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

    NY RANGERS @ DALLAS
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing NY Rangers

    TAMPA BAY @ EDMONTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
    Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay


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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, February 5


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    ANAHEIM (25-18-0-10, 60 pts.) at TORONTO (30-19-0-5, 65 pts.) - 2/5/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 3-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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    NASHVILLE (31-12-0-7, 69 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (26-22-0-5, 57 pts.) - 2/5/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY ISLANDERS is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    NY ISLANDERS is 3-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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    NY RANGERS (25-22-0-5, 55 pts.) at DALLAS (30-19-0-4, 64 pts.) - 2/5/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY RANGERS are 5-14 ATS (+20.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    DALLAS is 37-11 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    NY RANGERS are 21-11 ATS (+9.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    NY RANGERS are 19-11 ATS (+30.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    NY RANGERS are 13-7 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 11-25 ATS (-19.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 16-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY RANGERS is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    NY RANGERS is 3-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (36-13-0-3, 75 pts.) at EDMONTON (22-24-0-4, 48 pts.) - 2/5/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 375-416 ATS (-123.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 36-16 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 15-6 ATS (+7.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 17-5 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 19-6 ATS (+9.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    EDMONTON is 22-28 ATS (-20.0 Units) in all games this season.
    EDMONTON is 56-86 ATS (+152.0 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
    EDMONTON is 8-14 ATS (-12.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    EDMONTON is 2-8 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 3-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-05-2018 at 01:01 PM.

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    NHL Betting Cheat Sheet and Odds: Golden Knights visit the champs
    Monty Andrews

    The Golden Knights are installed at +800 on Bet365 to win the Stanley Cup in their first year of existence - behind only the Lightning, who are at +500.

    Welcome Home

    The Toronto Maple Leafs have a long climb ahead of them if they hope to gain ground in the Atlantic Division - but the schedule is on their side as they kick off a five-game homestand Monday night against the Anaheim Ducks. Toronto comes into the week trailing the division-leading Tampa Bay Lightning by 10 points; Boston is in second place, five points clear of the Maple Leafs, but has four games in hand. Still, Toronto has a great opportunity to make up some real estate on both teams, with eight of their next 10 games at Air Canada Centre. And the Leafs have won seven of their last nine meetings with the Ducks.

    Meet the Champs

    The Vegas Golden Knights have looked every bit the part of Stanley Cup contender since their first NHL game. Tuesday, they'll get a crack at the two-time champ as the expansion darlings take on the Penguins in Pittsburgh. The Golden Knights are installed at +800 on Bet365 to win the Stanley Cup in their first year of existence - behind only the Lightning, who are at +500. The Penguins know a thing or two about winning the title, and are coming off a sensational 9-3-0 showing in January that has elevated their odds of a third consecutive championship to +1,800 - sixth-best among Eastern Conference teams.

    Connor Heads to Tinseltown

    Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers look to continue their push for a playoff spot as they visit the Los Angeles Kings on Wednesday night. Edmonton comes into the week a full 13 points out of a Western Conference wild-card berth, and is running out of games to make up ground. McDavid finds himself in a similar situation when it comes to the NHL scoring race; the defending Art Ross Trophy winner is 10 points behind current front-runner Nikita Kucherov of the Tampa Bay Lightning, who come to town on Tuesday night. Edmonton is a whopping +5,000 longshot to win the NHL title.

    Trade Target Tussle

    Two teams expected to be active in the days leading up to the NHL trade deadline do battle Thursday night in upstate New York when the Buffalo Sabres entertain the New York Islanders. Firmly entrenched in last place in the Eastern Conference, Buffalo is in sale mode, with several players likely to be on the block - most notably winger Evander Kane, the team's second-leading scorer. The Islanders are on the periphery of the wild-card picture in the East, and would love to shore up their shaky defense and goaltending. The Islanders are +1,500 longshots on Bet365 to represent the East in the Stanley Cup finals.

    Player News

    * The Penguins are ready to roll with their current goaltending tandem of Matt Murray and Tristan Jarry as they push for a high playoff seed. Pittsburgh enters the week in third place in the Metropolitan and is listed at +600 to win the division.

    * The New York Rangers might be without defenseman Marc Staal for a while after he was hit in the head by Nashville's Alexei Emelin on Saturday night. Staal is a major piece for a Rangers back end that ranks 22nd in goals against per game (3.0).

    * The Sedin twins will remain with the Vancouver Canucks through the remainder of the season. There was talk the Sedins might consider moving on, but will stay with the only team they've ever played for until their contracts expire this summer.

    Injury Updates

    * Colorado's playoff hopes have taken a major hit with word that star forward Nathan MacKinnon will miss the next 2-to-4 weeks with an arm injury. MacKinnon has 61 points in 50 games for the Avalanche, who are +1,600 on Bet365 to claim the Central Division.

    * Montreal Canadiens forward Jonathan Drouin is day-to-day after taking a puck to the ribs from teammate Karl Alzner over the weekend. The Habs are 14-3-3 SU and 13-6-1 O/U in games in which Drouin records a point so far this season.

    * Ottawa Senators forward Bobby Ryan is out indefinitely after re-injuring his hand in Thursday's win over Anaheim. It has been a lost year for the four-time 30-goal scorer, who has tallied just seven times while recording 20 points through his first 39 games.

    Stanley Cup Futures

    * Have the Dallas Stars finally put it altogether after years of frustrating inconsistency? Oddsmakers have the Stars at +2,000 on Bet365 to win the Stanley Cup; Dallas has won two in a row coming into the week and sits fourth in the Central.

    * The Philadelphia Flyers are headed in the wrong direction, coming into the first full week of February having lost four consecutive games. Oddsmakers have the Flyers as a +2,800 longshot to end their 43-year Stanley Cup title drought.

    Over/Under Trends

    * So much for the goal frenzy that punctuated the start of the NHL season. Entering Sunday's action, teams had gone below the total 200 times over the previous 60 days, compared to just 172 over results in that same span.

    * The Lightning are one of only a handful of teams that have bucked the recent under-heavy league trend; the No. 1 team in the NHL has exceeded the total in nine of its last 12 games, moving to 31-21 O/U for the season - the second-most overs in the NHL.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-05-2018 at 01:02 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, February 5



    Anaheim @ Toronto

    Game 1-2
    February 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Anaheim
    12.410
    Toronto
    10.556
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -150
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    (+130); Over

    Nashville @ NY Islanders


    Game 3-4
    February 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nashville
    11.223
    NY Islanders
    12.334
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Islanders
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -130
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Islanders
    (+110); Over

    NY Rangers @ Dallas


    Game 5-6
    February 5, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Rangers
    11.245
    Dallas
    12.665
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    -210
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (-210); Under

    Tampa Bay @ Edmonton


    Game 7-8
    February 5, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    12.334
    Edmonton
    10.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -135
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-135); Under

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