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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/22

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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, January 22

    Good Luck on day #22 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — Eagles’ 38 unanswered points are the most by any team in a playoff game since the Jets scored 41 unanswered points against Indianapolis in ’02 Wild Card game.

    — Nick Foles/Drew Brees went to the same high school in Texas; Foles becomes the 2nd QB to start a Super Bowl who played high school ball in Texas.

    — Last five years, 9 of 10 #1 seeds made it to the Super Bowl. Only the ’16 Cowboys didn’t.

    — On January 24, 2017, the Eagles opened at 50-1 to win this year’s Super Bowl.

    — If you care about such things, total on the Super Bowl is 48.

    — JJ Watt has to win the NFL’s Man of the Year, right? Guy raised $37M for charity.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

    13) Patriots 24, Jaguars 20— Tom Brady went to the same high school as Barry Bonds, Lynn Swann— Serra HS in San Mateo, CA; their booster club must have a boatload of money.

    Despite all that, my favorite Serra HS alum is former big league infielder Tim Cullen, who won a World Series ring as a reserve infielder with the ’72 Oakland A’s.

    Looking up Cullen’s career, which lasted seven years, in February, 1968 he was traded from the Senators to the White Sox, then in August that same year, he was traded back to Washington. In both trades, infielder Ron Hansen went the other way. No idea why.

    12) Patriots’ WR Danny Amendola played the first four years of his career with the St Louis Rams; he missed 22 of 64 games in those years, when the Rams went a combined 17-46-1. Amendola was productive when he played, but he missed way too many games.

    In five years since moving on to New England, Amendola has played in 69 of 80 games, for a team that went 63-17— are the Patriots’ trainers that much better than the Rams’ trainers?

    11) Maybe this happens a lot and I’ve just never seen it, but when the Patriots’ game ended and Brady was shaking hands with a guy on Jacksonville, referee Clete Blakeman patted Brady on the back, got his attention, then said something quick to him before he left.

    Since when do the referees congratulate players after they win?

    10) In 266 NFL games this season, only 12 times has a team been called for zero or one penalty in a game— New England became the 12th team Sunday.

    Last time an NFL team had only one penalty in a playoff game? The Patriots, back in 2011.

    9) Two years ago, for whatever reason, ESPN went out of its way to promote LSU’s freshman star Ben Simmons, to the point where you almost rooted against Simmons, especially when LSU didn’t make the NCAA tournament. It became sickening that ESPN would promote a kid who had no resume— it was all hype.

    This year, they’re doing the same thing with Oklahoma’s Trae Young, to the point where the kid has 28 turnovers in his last three games but you feel like ESPN thinks he is the best college ballplayer since Michael Jordan, or at least Simmons. Enough already; let the season play itself out. At least Oklahoma will be in the NCAA’s.

    8) How many movies has Dwayne Johnson made? Seems like The Rock is working his butt off, making a ton of cash. According to IMDB.com, Mr Johnson has made 70 movies/TV shows, not counting all his WWE stuff and he is only 46 years old.

    He has 10 projects that have either been completed or announced but not released yet. Have to give him credit, he is making a lot of money while the proverbial iron is hot.

    7) When Nick Foles went to the Pro Bowl after the 2013 season, his OC with the Eagles was Pat Shurmur, who is Minnesota’s OC now and is expected to be named head coach of the Giants Tuesday. Foles could win the Super Bowl, then go back to being the Eagles’ backup next year.

    6) What the hell do the Vikings do now? Bad enough they have to go home and have the Super Bowl played in their own ballpark, but their offseason will really be interesting.

    Which of the three QB’s stays in Minnesota? Keenum? Bridgewater? Bradford? Do two of them stay and if so, which one takes a hike? Lot of hard questions need to be answered.

    5) Clemson Tigers are 16-3 and appear headed to the NCAAs, but they lost 2nd-leading scorer Donte Grantham with a torn ACL Saturday— he is out for the year.

    4) Man if you don’t like football, Sunday was a rough day for sports on TV; a few, but not many college hoop games- no real good ones, some golf, the Australian Open, but just a lackluster TV day, except for the conference championship games.

    3) Eagles 38, Vikings 7—During the regular season, Vikings were only team not to allow a defensive TD against them- whoops. Patrick Robinson’s first quarter pick-6 changed all that, and turned the tide in a game that Minnesota led early, 7-0.

    2) NFL trivia— Case Keenum could’ve become the second undrafted QB to start a Super Bowl, but the draft today is only seven rounds— John Unitas was a 9th round pick of the Steelers in 1955, though there were also a lot fewer teams then. Unitas was the 102nd player taken in the ’55 draft, which would put him in the 4th round these days.

    Kurt Warner remains the only undrafted QB to start a Super Bowl.

    1) Early line on the Super Bowl: Patriots, -5.5 or 6, bet down already from -7. Some experts are predicting it’ll get back to 7 or 7.5 in the next two weeks.

    It is unusual that the Eagles just KO’d the Vikings and now head to Minnesota for the Super Bowl, where it is doubtful they’ll get a warm reception.

    2018 handicapping note: Vikings return to Philadelphia in the 2018 regular season.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, January 22



    Colorado @ Toronto

    Game 1-2
    January 22, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    10.309
    Toronto
    12.447
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -160
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-160); Over

    Detroit @ New Jersey


    Game 3-4
    January 22, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    10.016
    New Jersey
    11.549
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Jersey
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Jersey
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Jersey
    N/A

    Ottawa @ Minnesota


    Game 5-6
    January 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    11.524
    Minnesota
    10.674
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -200
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (+170); Under

    Tampa Bay @ Chicago


    Game 7-8
    January 22, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    11.235
    Chicago
    12.673
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -140
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+120); Under

    Buffalo @ Calgary


    Game 9-10
    January 22, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    11.743
    Calgary
    10.822
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    -200
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (+170); Over

    NY Islanders @ Arizona


    Game 11-12
    January 22, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    10.219
    Arizona
    11.637
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Islanders
    -135
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    (+115); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-22-2018 at 11:23 AM.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, January 22


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    COLORADO (26-16-0-3, 55 pts.) at TORONTO (26-17-0-5, 57 pts.) - 1/22/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 26-19 ATS (+49.6 Units) in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 78-60 ATS (+141.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    COLORADO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in January games this season.
    COLORADO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
    COLORADO is 13-10 ATS (+26.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    COLORADO is 15-9 ATS (+26.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    COLORADO is 11-7 ATS (+19.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
    COLORADO is 14-11 ATS (+28.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    TORONTO is 5-11 ATS (-8.2 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 22-34 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 133-144 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    TORONTO is 6-17 ATS (+26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 3-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)

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    DETROIT (18-20-0-7, 43 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (24-13-0-8, 56 pts.) - 1/22/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW JERSEY is 5-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    NEW JERSEY is 5-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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    OTTAWA (15-20-0-9, 39 pts.) at MINNESOTA (25-17-0-5, 55 pts.) - 1/22/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OTTAWA is 15-29 ATS (+45.6 Units) in all games this season.
    OTTAWA is 38-34 ATS (+77.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 44-35 ATS (+80.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 22-15 ATS (+40.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 43-37 ATS (+88.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 52-59 ATS (-30.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 3-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (31-12-0-3, 65 pts.) at CHICAGO (22-18-0-6, 50 pts.) - 1/22/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 6-15 ATS (-13.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 373-416 ATS (-125.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 55-29 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 6-14 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 4-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (11-26-0-9, 31 pts.) at CALGARY (25-16-0-5, 55 pts.) - 1/22/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 11-35 ATS (+59.8 Units) in all games this season.
    BUFFALO is 3-17 ATS (+28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CALGARY is 6-1 ATS (+4.6 Units) in January games this season.
    CALGARY is 6-1 ATS (+7.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
    CALGARY is 23-9 ATS (+32.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    CALGARY is 40-24 ATS (+64.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    BUFFALO is 212-222 ATS (+476.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 2-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY ISLANDERS (24-20-0-4, 52 pts.) at ARIZONA (11-28-0-9, 31 pts.) - 1/22/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 11-37 ATS (+59.1 Units) in all games this season.
    ARIZONA is 9-26 ATS (+47.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY ISLANDERS is 3-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-22-2018 at 11:25 AM.

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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, January 22


    Toronto is 5-3 in its last eight games with Colorado; five of last six series games went over the total. Avalanche won three of last five games in this building. Colorado won its last nine games, allowing total of 11 goals in last eight; this is only their 2nd road game since Christmas- they’re 6-2 in last eight road games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Toronto lost four of its last five games, with three OT losses; six of their last eight games stayed under.

    Devils won three of last four games with Detroit; over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Red Wings won three of last five visits to New Jersey. Detroit lost four of its last five games overall; they’re 1-4 in their last five road games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. New Jersey lost seven of its last nine games overall; they split last four home games. Six of their last nine games went over.

    Minnesota won its last three games with Ottawa; teams split last four series games played here. Under is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Senators lost eight of last nine road games; they lost three of last four games overall. Five of last six series games went over. Minnesota won three of its last four games overall; they won five of last seven home games. Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

    Lightning won their last four games with Chicago; they’re 2-3 in last five games in Windy City. Seven of last nine series games stayed under the total. Tampa Bay was outscored 14-4 in losing its last three games; they lost three of last four road games. Five of their last six games went over the total. Blackhawks lost three of last four games; they lost four of last six home games. Three of their last four games stayed under total.

    Home side won nine of last ten Buffalo-Calgary games; Sabres lost their last five games in the Saddledome. Last four series games went over total. Buffalo lost seven of its last eight games; they lost last four road games, outscored 18-9. Five of their last seven games went over total. Flames won seven of last eight games overall, three of last four at home. Four of their last six games stayed under.

    Home side won nine of last ten Islander-Arizona games; New York lost four of last five games in Arizona. Three of last four series games stayed under total. Islanders won their last three road games and four of last six games overall. Five of last six Islander games went over total. Coyotes five of their last six games, with four losses in OT/SO; they lost four of last five home games. Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.

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    NHL

    Monday, January 22


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT @ NEW JERSEY
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Jersey's last 10 games at home
    New Jersey is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

    COLORADO @ TORONTO
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

    OTTAWA @ MINNESOTA
    Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

    TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games at home

    NY ISLANDERS @ ARIZONA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games
    Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

    BUFFALO @ CALGARY
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Calgary
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-22-2018 at 11:27 AM.

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    NHL Betting Cheat Sheet and Odds: Avalanche burying their competition
    Monty Andrews

    Colorado has been downright dominant during their nine-game winning streak, outscoring opponents 37-14 while winning seven of those games by multiple goals.

    Rocky Mountain High

    The Colorado Avalanche are the hottest thing going right now, winners of nine consecutive games heading into Monday's road encounter with the Toronto Maple Leafs. Colorado has been downright dominant during the streak, outscoring opponents 37-14 while winning seven of those games by multiple goals. The Maple Leafs halted an extended skid with a 4-3 triumph over Ottawa, just their sixth win in the past 16 games. The Avalanche have the upper hand by virtue of a 4-3 overtime win in their first meeting Dec. 29 in Denver, and have won five of their previous seven head-to-head encounters at Air Canada Centre.

    Eichel vs. McDavid, Chapter 2

    Two of the league's best young superstars will face off for the second and final time this season as Jack Eichel leads the Buffalo Sabres into Edmonton for a date with Connor McDavid and the surging Oilers on Tuesday night. Eichel was the victor in the first meeting between former top-two picks earlier this season, scoring a goal in a 3-1 Buffalo victory. but oddsmakers are sure to make Edmonton the favorite in this one; the Oilers come in having won three consecutive games for just the second time all season, while the Sabres have been one of the worst road teams in the league at 5-14-6.

    Back in Sin City

    Few people who have been to Las Vegas like being away from Sin City for long - and that certainly goes for the expansion Golden Knights, who return to T-Mobile Arena for a Tuesday night encounter with the Columbus Blue Jackets. Vegas returns to familiar confines following a 2-1-1 showing on a four-game trip through the southeastern United States, and is no doubt happy to build on its league-best 18-2-2 home mark. But not all is perfect on the Las Vegas Strip, as the Golden Knights have gone just 3-for-36 on the power play over their past 13 games despite scoring twice with the man advantage in Sunday's 5-1 win over Carolina.

    Injury Updates

    * The Oilers' inconsistent offense has been dealt a major blow with word that center Ryan Nugent-Hopkins will miss the next 5-to-6 six weeks with cracked ribs. Nugent-Hopkins has a team-best 16 goals for Edmonton, which ranks 22nd at 2.8 goals per game.

    * The New York Rangers' injury parade has a new participant. Veteran defenseman Kevin Shattenkirk will be out indefinitely after undergoing surgery with a torn meniscus; he joins Chris Kreider, Ryan McDonagh and Kevin Hayes on the sidelines.

    * Toronto Maple Leafs blue-liner Morgan Rielly is considered questionable for Monday's pivotal encounter with the red-hot Avs. Reilly sat out the Leafs' win over the Senators on Saturday night with an upper-body injury suffered Thursday in Philaelphia.

    Player News

    * James Neal is in rarefied air after reaching the 20-goal plateau for the 10th straight season; the Golden Knights forward is just the sixth active player to reach the milestone. Vegas is a blistering 14-2-2 SU this season in games in which Neal scores.

    * Washington superstar Alex Ovechkin continues to lead NHL goal-scorers with 29, two more than Nikita Kucherov and Anders Lee. The Capitals had reeled off wins in 12 straight games in which Ovechkin had scored prior to Sunday's 2-1 loss to the Flyers.

    * A report out of Buffalo suggests the Sabres haven't initiated talks on a new contract with forward Evander Kane, who is in the last year of his current deal. The Sabres will likely trade Kane, who ranks second on the team in goals (16) and points (36).

    Stanley Cup Futures

    * The Boston Bruins have won plenty of support in the eyes of oddsmakers, thanks to a point streak that has reached 16 games as of Sunday. The Bruins, 12-0-4 over that stretch, are now at +900 to win the Stanley Cup championship, according to Bet365.

    * Colorado continues to surge up the futures list as it rides the longest streak of the NHL season into Monday's encounter with Toronto. The Avalanche have gone from +2,800 on Wednesday all the way up to +2,000 as of Sunday afternoon.

    Over/Under Trends

    * Vegas was once one of the hottest over plays at T-Mobile Arena - but regression to the mean is in full effect. The Golden Knights have gone below the total in four of their previous five home games, and have slipped to 11-10-1 O/U for the season.

    * The Washington Capitals have been one of the most exciting road teams in the league so far. The Ovechkin-led Caps have exceeded the total in 15 of their 22 games away from Washington, including each of their previous three contests.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-22-2018 at 11:28 AM.

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