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Thread: Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/9

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    Default Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/9

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, January 9

    Good Luck on day #9 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Stanford 77, USC 76— This game Sunday night ended when a kid on Stanford drained a half-court shot at the buzzer. It is a clip worth finding on the Interweb- quite an ending.

    — Raptors 114, Nets 113 OT— Toronto is a very quiet 28-10.

    — Vegas Golden Knights, an NHL expansion team, are 18-2-1 at home.

    — Dustin Johnson almost got a hole-in-one on a 433-yard, par-4 hole Sunday- he won the tournament by eight shots.

    — Duquesne is a surprising 3-0 in Atlantic 14, with new coach Keith Dambrot, who was Lebron James’ high school coach.

    — Minnesota 127, Cleveland 99— Lebron was a career-worst minus-39.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Alabama 26, Georgia 23 OT— Freshman QB Tua Tagovailoa was 35-53 passing this whole season, before this game. Alabama put him in to start second half, trailing 13-0- they looked dead, but Tagovailoa was 14-24/166 with three TD’s, including the game-winner in OT, as Alabama wins another national title, in highly dramatic fashion.

    Jalen Hurts is 25-2 as Alabama’s QB, but he’ll never start another game— will he transfer?

    12) Watching the ESPN Film Room on ESPN News, Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy said: “In bowl games, officials are going to let ‘em play a little more. So if you have to hold, hold.” Kevin Sumlin agreed and said same thing also goes for defensive backs in pass coverage.

    11) Gundy made another point just before halftime, saying how important it is for teams to have something positive happen right before the half. “It really helps the mood in the locker room at halftime.” Halftimes are lot longer in college ball than the NFL.

    10) Kevin Sumlin got fired by Texas A&M after this season; if he wants to go on TV next year, he will be very good. Good natured guy, gets points across quickly.

    9) Gundy and Northwestern coach Pat Fitzgerald agreed that their teams are better off with their coordinators calling plays, rather than the head coach, who has to manage the administrative aspects of the program. They were saying playcallers study film “for eight hours a day”.

    8) 6.5 years ago, Georgia QB Jake Fromm played in the Little League World Series; now he was a QB in the national championship game as a freshman in college.

    7) A gambler at South Point Casino in Las Vegas risked $557,500 to win $300,000, taking Alabama on the money line. No pointspread. Yikes.

    I can’t even imagine what it must be like watching a game with half a million bucks riding on it. Especially this game!!!

    6) Portent of the future? National anthem was played with Donald Trump on the field, but the players were in the locker room. Thats smart, avoiding any potential political displays or any other controversies that would take away from the game.

    5) If Alabama played 14-0 Central Florida on a neutral field, they’d be a 13-point favorite.

    4) In divisional round of NFL playoffs, #1-seeds are 16-5 against #6 seeds- the #6-seed won a road game the previous week, while the #1-seed had a bye.

    3) When a 2-seed plays a 3-seed in this round, the 2-seed is 26-8- the bye really does help.

    2) Since 2001, when the Patriots play at home in this round of playoffs, they’re 5-4-2 vs spread.

    1) Chicago Bears hired Chiefs’ OC Matt Nagy as their new head coach. Nagy played six years in the Arena League— he joins Jay Gruden as former AFL QB’s who are now NFL head coaches.

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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, January 9


    Sabres won four of last five games with Winnipeg; over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Jets lost three of their last four visits to western New York. Winnipeg won five of its last six games; they’re 2-8 in their last 10 road games. Three of Jets’ last four games stayed under total. Buffalo nine of last 11 games overall- they split last four home games. Over is 5-3 in Sabres’ last eight games.

    Washington won four of last five games with the Canucks, who lost three of last four games in this arena. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Vancouver lost its last four games, outscored 17-7; they lost eight of last nine road games. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Washington won its last four games, scoring 18 goals; they won last nine home games (last home loss Nov 30). Caps’ last four games went over total.

    Chicago won seven of its last ten games with Ottawa; Blackhawks are 3-2 in their last five visits here. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Chicago is 3-5 in its last eight games overall- they won five of last six home games. Five of their last six games went over total. Ottawa is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 5-2 in last seven home games. Six of their last nine games went over total.

    Lightning won eight of last ten games with Carolina; six of last eight series games went over the total. Hurricanes lost their last five games at Tampa Bay. Carolina lost three of last four games; they’re 4-9 in last 13 road games. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Tampa Bay split its last six games overall; they won eight of last nine home games. Six of their last eight home games went over total.

    Blues won seven of last ten games with Florida; three of last four series games went over total. Panthers won 3-1/2-1 in their last two visits to St Louis. Florida was outscored 12-5 in losing its last three games; they lost six of last seven road games. Four of their last six games stayed under total. St Louis won its last three home games but is 4-7 in its last 11 games overall. Under is 12-3 in their last 15 games.

    Nashville won its last ten games with Edmonton; under is 5-1-2 in last eight series games. Oilers were outscored 13-6 in losing their last five visits to Music City. Edmonton lost six of its last seven games; they’re they lost last three road games, outscored 13-5. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Nashville is 4-6 in its last ten games; they lost three of last four home games. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

    Minnesota is 6-4 in its last ten games with Calgary; Flames lost three of last five visits to the Twin Cities. Under is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Calgary won its last three games, all by one goal; they lost four of last six road games. Under is 8-3 in Flames’ last 11 games. Minnesota won four of last six games; they won nine of last ten home games. Seven of their last nine games went over total.

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    NHL

    Tuesday, January 9


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WINNIPEG @ BUFFALO
    Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Winnipeg is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo
    Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

    VANCOUVER @ WASHINGTON
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 13 games
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

    CHICAGO @ OTTAWA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
    Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    CAROLINA @ TAMPA BAY
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
    Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    CALGARY @ MINNESOTA
    Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

    EDMONTON @ NASHVILLE
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
    Edmonton is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
    Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

    FLORIDA @ ST. LOUIS
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Florida's last 17 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis's last 15 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2018 at 12:47 PM.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, January 9


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WINNIPEG (25-11-0-7, 57 pts.) at BUFFALO (10-23-0-9, 29 pts.) - 1/9/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 0-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
    BUFFALO is 211-219 ATS (+480.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    BUFFALO is 10-32 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
    BUFFALO is 5-24 ATS (+38.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 4-1 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    BUFFALO is 4-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VANCOUVER (16-20-0-6, 38 pts.) at WASHINGTON (26-13-0-3, 55 pts.) - 1/9/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 88-49 ATS (+178.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    WASHINGTON is 14-3 ATS (+8.4 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 14-2 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 41-18 ATS (+14.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    VANCOUVER is 5-1 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights this season.
    VANCOUVER is 196-217 ATS (+480.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 188-219 ATS (-71.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 40-50 ATS (-39.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 4-1 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 4-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (20-15-0-6, 46 pts.) at OTTAWA (14-17-0-9, 37 pts.) - 1/9/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 353-347 ATS (-135.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 37-31 ATS (+75.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 28-20 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 14-26 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all games this season.
    OTTAWA is 97-106 ATS (-79.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 0-4 ATS (-6.4 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
    OTTAWA is 162-147 ATS (-119.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 9-15 ATS (-7.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 9-16 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 2-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CAROLINA (19-14-0-8, 46 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (30-9-0-3, 63 pts.) - 1/9/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 8-28 ATS (+48.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 30-12 ATS (+42.2 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 16-4 ATS (+9.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 4-8 ATS (-7.3 Units) after a division game this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 372-416 ATS (+799.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 6-1 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 6-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FLORIDA (17-18-0-6, 40 pts.) at ST LOUIS (26-16-0-3, 55 pts.) - 1/9/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA is 52-71 ATS (-24.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    FLORIDA is 158-237 ATS (+414.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLORIDA is 3-2 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA is 3-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EDMONTON (18-22-0-3, 39 pts.) at NASHVILLE (24-11-0-6, 54 pts.) - 1/9/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    EDMONTON is 18-25 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
    EDMONTON is 9-17 ATS (-8.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    EDMONTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    NASHVILLE is 22-27 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 7-0 (+7.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 7-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CALGARY (21-16-0-4, 46 pts.) at MINNESOTA (22-17-0-3, 47 pts.) - 1/9/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CALGARY is 13-3 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 49-57 ATS (-31.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 4-4 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 4-4-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2018 at 12:47 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, January 9



    Winnipeg @ Buffalo

    Game 51-52
    January 9, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    10.331
    Buffalo
    11.775
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (+145); Under

    Vancouver @ Washington


    Game 53-54
    January 9, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vancouver
    11.704
    Washington
    10..889
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vancouver
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -230
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vancouver
    (+190); Under

    Chicago @ Ottawa


    Game 55-56
    January 9, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    10.561
    Ottawa
    11.609
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ottawa
    -110
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (-110); Over

    Carolina @ Tampa Bay


    Game 57-58
    January 9, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    10.223
    Tampa Bay
    12.788
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -205
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-205); Over

    Florida @ St. Louis


    Game 59-60
    January 9, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida
    9.883
    St. Louis
    12.314
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 2 1/2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-165); Under

    Edmonton @ Nashville


    Game 61-62
    January 9, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    10.982
    Nashville
    12.017
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-165); Under

    Calgary @ Minnesota


    Game 63-64
    January 9, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Calgary
    11.737
    Minnesota
    10.241
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    (+120); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2018 at 12:48 PM.

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    NHL Betting Cheat Sheet and Odds: Caps back on top in the Metropolitan
    Monty Andrews

    The Washington Capitals are once again masters of the Metropolitan Division, as they put their four-game winning streak on the line Tuesday night against the visiting Vancouver Canucks.

    The Only Game in Town

    Hockey bettors might go a bit crazy this week, with just 13 total games on the schedule between Monday and Thursday. The week kicks off with a one-game ledger, as the Toronto Maple Leafs host the Columbus Blue Jackets on a night where most of the sports world will be fixated on the college football national championship game. But don't sleep on this one, with plenty of interesting trends to pursue. Most notably: The Maple Leafs have a significant home edge in this one; they've won five of their past six games at Air Canada Centre while the visiting Blue Jackets have dropped six of their previous seven away from Columbus.

    Winning Washington

    The Washington Capitals are once again masters of the Metropolitan Division, as they put their four-game winning streak on the line Tuesday night against the visiting Vancouver Canucks. The Capitals have used their recent hot stretch, combined with the New Jersey Devils' five-game winless skid, to open up a three-game edge atop the division coming into the week - and oddsmakers believe they'll stay there, making them the prohibitive +220 favorite on Bet365 to finish atop the Metropolitan by season's end. Things are decidedly bleaker for the Canucks, who come into this one having dropped four in a row.

    Unlikely Central Cellar Dwellers

    The Minnesota Wild and Chicago Blackhawks were expected to contend for the Central Division title coming into the season - but as we reach the unofficial first half of the campaign, neither team looks like a division champion as they square off Wednesday night at United Center. Both teams are on the periphery of the Western Conference playoff picture and occupy the bottom two spots in the division; the Wild own a one-point edge over Chicago, but the Blackhawks have a game in hand. Minnesota is installed at +1,300 on Bet365 to claim the Central title, while the Blackhawks find themselves at +1,700 as of Monday.

    Injury Updates

    * The New York Rangers will have to do without forward Chris Kreider for a while longer as he deals with a blood clot in his arm and a required rib resection. The Rangers are 11-4-1 SU in games in which Kreider has recorded at least one point.

    * Winnipeg Jets forward Mark Scheifele is expected to be out another six weeks with an upper-body injury, but his team appears to be doing just fine without him. The Jets are 4-0-1 since Scheifele went down, scoring four or more goals four times in that span.

    * The Colorado Avalanche are in a similar situation, having gone 5-1-0 since losing defensive star Tyson Barrie to a broken hand. Barrie, who is expected to be out another six weeks, is enjoying a sensational season with 27 points through 34 games.

    Player News

    * Looking for a model of consistency? Look no further than league scoring leader Nikita Kucherov of the Tampa Bay Lighting, who has been held without a point just seven times in 42 games. The Lightning are 3-3-1 SU in those seven contests.

    * Colorado Avalanche forward Nathan McKinnon has surged into second place in the league scoring race with 52 points; 12 of those have come in his last five games. the Avs are 18-7-2 SU in games in which McKinnon hits the scoresheet.

    * It has been nearly a month since Marc-Andre Fleury returned to action, and the Vegas Golden Knights netminder has been simply outstanding in that span. Fleury is 6-1-1 in eight starts, recording two shutouts and allowing more than two goals just once.

    Stanley Cup Futures

    * There's the Tampa Bay Lightning - and then there's everyone else. Bet365 has the East-leading Lightning as the runaway favorites to win their second Stanley Cup championship, installing them at +575 heading into the week.

    * The slumping Devils have seen their Stanley Cup prospects take a nosedive, leaving them with the fifth-best odds in the East entering Monday. Bet365 has New Jersey at +1,400, behind Tampa, Washington, Boston and Toronto.

    * Don't look now, but the Colorado Avalanche are paying out a lot less to end their Stanley Cup drought than they were earlier in the season. Colorado is now listed at +2,500 to win its first NHL championship since 2001.

    Over/Under Trends

    * As good a show as Vegas puts on at home (18-2-1 SU), the expansion Golden Knights have been plenty entertaining away from Sin City, as well. Vegas is 12-7-1 O/U through 20 road games, and 23-16-2 O/U so far this season.

    * The Honda Center hasn't seen much red-light action this season, with the Anaheim Ducks having gone 6-14-1 O/U through their first 21 home contests. The Ducks rank 27th in home goals per game (2.62) and 14th in goals against (2.62).
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2018 at 12:49 PM.

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