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Thread: Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/6

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, January 6

    Good Luck on day #6 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Longshot Super Bowl exacta odds: winner listed first

    1,250-1— Titans over Panthers

    1,000-1— Falcons over Titans, Falcons over Bills

    800-1— Bills over Falcons

    600-1— Eagles over Titans, Eagles over Bills

    500-1— Rams over Titans, Rams over Bills

    250-1— Jaguars over Panthers


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) Did some research today: as far as NFL teams meeting for third time in season in playoffs; in Super Bowl era, the home team is 34-25 in the third meeting. Teams that swept first 2 meetings are 11-5 in third meeting.

    Carolina lost to the Saints twice this year, so they fit this scenario Sunday.

    12) Jon Gruden is going to get a 10-year, $100M contract to coach the Oakland/Las Vegas Raiders, which seems excessive, but now ESPN needs to come up with someone to replace Gruden interviewing college QB prospects before the NFL Draft, because that was some of their best programming.

    College basketball notes from last few days:
    11) Western Kentucky’s 4-star recruit Josh Anderson became eligible this week, and will play at Marshall Saturday. Anderson is an athletic defender at guard who gives the Hilltoppers needed depth- they used seven players in their last three games.

    10) North Texas won two of its first three games in C-USA; the three games were decided by total of four points.

    9) Stanford 107, UCLA 99 2OT— Bruins went 19-35 on foul line in this double OT game, a game Bruins led by 13 with 9:31 to play. Six players fouled out of this game, three on each side.

    8) Over last seven years, Big West has put seven different teams into the NCAA tournament; in these one-bid leagues, all that really matters in the conference tournament in March, not sure if thats a good thing, but it is what it is.

    7) Best college basketball studio show is on FS1, with Steve Lavin/Jim Jackson analyzing games and Rob Stone. Good banter where you can learn stuff, and laugh at same time.

    6) Mike Dunleavy Sr has coached 1,329 NBA games; quite a coup for Tulane to hire him as their basketball coach. Green Wave was 33-63 the last three years, 6-25 in Dunleavy’s first season last year, but they’re 11-4 this year, and 2-1 in the AAC with wins over Temple/SMU.

    Big improvement for Tulane, who last finished over .500 in conference 11 years ago.

    5) Cal Poly 80, Cal-Santa Barbara 79 OT— Gauchos led this game 23-2 on road Thursday nite, but let it slip away down the stretch. Not too many teams that are down 21 come back to win.

    4) Colorado 90, Arizona State 81 OT— Sun Devils were unbeaten, ranked #4 in country, but now they’re 0-2 in Pac-12, after losing to Arizona/Colorado. ASU was 9-33 on arc in this game, was +7 in turnovers. Conference play is tough, much more competitive.

    3) UNLV 82, San Jose State 76 OT— UNLV coaches dodged a bullet here; down a point with 0:16 left, Rebels called timeout, but star player McCoy didn’t check in quick enough during the timeout, so he had to stay on the bench, and since UNLV was out of timeouts, they played the most important possession of the game without their best player. No bueno.

    UNLV tied the game, McCoy came back in and played the OT, and the Rebels survived to win a game that would’ve been a hideous loss. San Jose State is rebuilding- there was almost no one there— there had been a power outage on campus during the day. UNLV did its walk-thru in a mostly dark gym— seriously. TV announcer Drew Goodman filmed part of it with his phone.

    2) Tennessee State 67, Jacksonville State 60— Gamecocks were 0-3 on foul line for the game; you don’t see that a lot- they were 10-24 on the arc. Tennessee State was 15-15 on the line; they shot 61% inside the arc. JSU may have been looking ahead to its game with Belmont Saturday.

    1) Texas A&M scored 61.5 ppg in losing its first two SEC games, after an 11-1 start to their season, but think they get leading scorer Hogg back from suspension for their home game with LSU today. Hogg was 5th (and hopefully last) Aggie to be suspended this season- they just got couple guys back from knee injuries- they’re very good if they can just get back to full strength.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, January 6


    Warriors won their last 10 games with the Clippers; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six series games played here. Last four Warrior games went over the total. Golden State won its last 16 of its last 18 games; they’re 9-10 as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Clippers won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-5 as home dogs. Six of their last seven games went over total.

    Celtics won their last seven games with Brooklyn, but Nets are 6-3 vs spread in last nine series games. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Celtics won their last five games; they’re 8-5 vs spread as road favorites. Four of their last five games went under the total. Brooklyn won three of its last four games; they’re 8-4 vs spread as home underdogs. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

    Pacers won three of last four games with Chicago; bulls are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under. Chicago scored 47 points in 4th quarter in win at Dallas Friday; Bulls lost three of last four games, are 8-1 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs. Eight of their last nine games went over total. Indiana lost its last five games; they’re 5-6 as home favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

    Cavaliers won nine of last ten games with Orlando (7-3 vs spread); they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 3-1 in their last four games in Orlando. Cavaliers lost four of their last five games; they’re 5-8 as road favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Orlando lost 12 of its last 13 games; they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven tries as home underdogs. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

    Pistons won three of last four games with Houston; Rockets are 3-2 vs spread in last five trips to Detroit. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Houston lost six of its last eight games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five road games and Harden is out hurt. Over is 7-3-1 in Rockets’ last 11 games. Detroit lost by 36 in Philly Friday; they lost three of last four games, are 2-6 vs spread in their last eight games. Four of Pistons’ last five games stayed under total.

    Wizards won seven of last nine games with Milwaukee; Bucks are 1-3 vs spread in last four trips to Washington. Five of last seven series games stayed under total. Milwaukee is 5-7 in its last 12 games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five tries as road underdogs. Over is 17-4 in their last 21 games. Washington won its last four games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as home favorites. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

    Pelicans are 5-3 in last eight games with Minnesota; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to the Twin Cities. Eight of last nine series games went over. New Orleans won four of its last six games; they’re 6-6 as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Minnesota lost three of last five games; they’re 2-10 vs spread in last 12 games as home favorites. Wolves’ last five games stayed under total.

    Nuggets won their last four games with Sacramento; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Four of last five series games stayed under the total. Denver won five of its last seven games; they’re they’re 8-10-1 vs spread on road. Five of their last seven games stayed under total. Sacramento lost five of its last six games; they’re 7-6 as home underdogs. Five of their last six games went over the total.

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    NBA

    Saturday, January 6


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    Trend Report
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    GOLDEN STATE @ LA CLIPPERS
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    BOSTON @ BROOKLYN
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
    Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    HOUSTON @ DETROIT
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

    CHICAGO @ INDIANA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
    Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

    CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Cleveland is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games

    MILWAUKEE @ WASHINGTON
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 17 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    NEW ORLEANS @ MINNESOTA
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
    New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing New Orleans

    DENVER @ SACRAMENTO
    Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Denver is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Denver


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-06-2018 at 12:17 PM.

  5. #5
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, January 6


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    GOLDEN STATE (31 - 8) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 20) - 1/6/2018, 3:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BOSTON (32 - 10) at BROOKLYN (15 - 23) - 1/6/2018, 6:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
    BOSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 6-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 8-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHICAGO (14 - 25) at INDIANA (19 - 19) - 1/6/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 6-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 6-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (25 - 13) at ORLANDO (12 - 27) - 1/6/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    ORLANDO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
    ORLANDO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
    ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games this season.
    ORLANDO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 62-92 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 7-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (27 - 10) at DETROIT (20 - 17) - 1/6/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MILWAUKEE (20 - 17) at WASHINGTON (23 - 16) - 1/6/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 150-190 ATS (-59.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) as a favorite this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (19 - 18) at MINNESOTA (24 - 16) - 1/6/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 40-69 ATS (-35.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (21 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 25) - 1/6/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 174-221 ATS (-69.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
    DENVER is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    SACRAMENTO is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    SACRAMENTO is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-06-2018 at 12:18 PM.

  6. #6
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, January 6


    Golden State @ LA Clippers

    Game 501-502
    January 6, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    127.239
    LA Clippers
    121.421
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 6
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 8 1/2
    226
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (+8 1/2); Over

    Boston @ Brooklyn


    Game 503-504
    January 6, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    119.727
    Brooklyn
    117.654
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 2
    203
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 5
    208
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+5); Under

    Chicago @ Indiana


    Game 505-506
    January 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    113.202
    Indiana
    120.199
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 7
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 4 1/2
    214 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (-4 1/2); Under

    Cleveland @ Orlando


    Game 507-508
    January 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    124.766
    Orlando
    110.812
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 14
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 8 1/2
    221
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-8 1/2); Over

    Houston @ Detroit


    Game 509-510
    January 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    125.762
    Detroit
    115.398
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 10 1/2
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 4
    213
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-4); Under

    Milwaukee @ Washington


    Game 511-512
    January 6, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    117.312
    Washington
    124.786
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 7 1/2
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 4
    214 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-4); Over

    New Orleans @ Minnesota


    Game 513-514
    January 6, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    120.404
    Minnesota
    118.919
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1 1/2
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2
    218 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (+2); Under

    Denver @ Sacramento


    Game 515-516
    January 6, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    117.823
    Sacramento
    115.702
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 2
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 5 1/2
    207
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+5 1/2); Over

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