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Thread: Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/7

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    Default Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 7

    Good Luck on day #340 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Last year in the major leagues, the first-pitch strike %age was 60.3%. In the Japanese major leagues, first-pitch strike %age was only 48.2%.

    — Washington 74, Kansas 65— Mike Hopkins’ first big win with the Huskies.

    — Loyola, Chi 65, Florida 59— Been a rough week for the Gators.

    — Middle Tennessee 66, Vanderbilt 63— Nice win for the Blue Raiders.

    — Last year, 12 SEC teams made bowls; this year, only nine made bowls, and 4 of those 9 are underdogs in their bowl game.

    — RIP Ron Meyer 76, who was Eric Dickerson’s college coach at SMU and went 54-50 as an NFL coach with the Colts/Patriots.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) Stellar trivia item: Villanova basketball coach Jay Wright owns a USFL championship ring from the 1986 Philadelphia Stars, coached by Jim Mora Sr.

    Wright worked in the Stars’ marketing department that season. Think anyone else won a USFL ring and also won a college basketball national title?

    12) Was surprised to learn that new Mets’ manager Mickey Callaway will earn around $800,000 next season. Thats not a lot of cash for a big league skipper.

    In other words, the manager of a major league team in New York City makes less than both of the coordinators of LSU’s football team. Not the head coach, the coordinators.

    11) Basketball coaches at Virginia Commonwealth have this in their contract:

    If the coach bolts VCU for another job, that team has to play a home-and-home series with the Rams, which is why Texas visited VCU Tuesday— LSU will do the same in the near future, since Will Wade skipped town to coach the Bayou Bengals.

    10) 75 days after Hurricane Maria, 215,000 people have already migrated from Puerto Rico to Florida. Wonder how many of them will register to vote, or are already registered?

    9) Former FBI Director James Comey is apparently writing a book on leadership; what do guys like that do when they lose their job? Guess he’ll do a book tour when it is published and we’ll hear a lot more from Mr Comey.

    8) Arena trivia: West Virginia University’s basketball arena opened in 1970; they recently did $26M of improvements on it. Back in 1970, the first event held in the arena was a concert by Grand Funk Railroad. Just thought you’d like to know.

    7) Sports agent Andy Miller lost his certification to be an agent this week, as result of the FBI investigation into corruption in college basketball. Miller represented Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Lowry- Lowry makes around $30M a year.

    Very expensive day- losing Lowry as a client costs Miller’s agency $900,000 a year, and thats just one client.

    6) There is one of those courtroom TV shows, Judge Mathis; apparently, Judge Mathis’ daughter went to Michigan State and worked as a student assistant for the basketball team. Spartans’ hoop coach Tom Izzo was in the “courtroom” for a recent taping and was recognized by the judge, whose daughter is now a lawyer.

    5) Willie Taggart officially signed on to coach Florida State’s football team, meaning that in 2018, the Oregon Ducks will have their third football coach in three years. I’m guessing the next Oregon coach will have a steep buyout clause in their contract. Taggart’s buyout was $4.5M.

    4) Kansas City Chiefs have a big game this week, at home against their rivals from Oakland, but they suspended CB Marcus Peters for the week, after Peters threw a penalty flag into the stands at Swamp Stadium Sunday, as he protested a penalty on a play against the Jets.

    I laughed out loud when Peters threw the flag in the stands; never saw that before, but even Peters thought the move deserved an ejection— he left the field and threw his gloves to a fan in the stands. But it turns out he was never ejected— took the team ten minutes to get Peters back on the sidelines. He returned, but without socks/gloves.

    Chiefs lost six of their last seven games after a 5-0 start; this week’s game is huge for both teams, but Kansas City took a stand and suspended a starter.

    3) UCLA cancelled its basketball game with Montana Wednesday because of the wildfires in the Los Angeles area. Team practices/workouts were also cancelled.

    2) Fact I learned from listening to Bill Walton on the Arizona-Texas A&&M game Tuesday: Arizona is the 6th-largest state in the country, in terms of area. Didn’t know that.

    1) I got an e-mail today, asking to donate to a candidate in the Alabama Senate race— are you bleeping kidding me? I live in upstate New York, I think politicians are gutless weasels- there is a 0% chance I’m giving a politician money. Ever.

    Would much rather go find a homeless person up by the supermarket I go to and give him a few bucks.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2017 at 02:03 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, December 7


    Valparaiso @ Purdue

    Game 709-710
    December 7, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Valparaiso
    54.320
    Purdue
    75.834
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Purdue
    by 21 1/2
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Purdue
    by 14
    146 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Purdue
    (-14); Under

    Ohio @ Maryland


    Game 711-712
    December 7, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ohio
    45.612
    Maryland
    64.743
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Maryland
    by 19
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Maryland
    by 14 1/2
    147
    Dunkel Pick:
    Maryland
    (-14 1/2); Under

    Drexel @ LaSalle


    Game 713-714
    December 7, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Drexel
    52.786
    LaSalle
    59.622
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LaSalle
    by 7
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LaSalle
    by 9
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Drexel
    (+9); Over

    TX-Arlington @ Northern Iowa


    Game 715-716
    December 7, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    TX-Arlington
    64.322
    Northern Iowa
    62.763
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    TX-Arlington
    by 1 1/2
    132
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northern Iowa
    by 3 1/2
    134 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    TX-Arlington
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Iowa @ Iowa State


    Game 717-718
    December 7, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Iowa
    58.376
    Iowa State
    68.499
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Iowa State
    by 10
    157
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iowa State
    by 6 1/2
    151 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Iowa State
    (-6 1/2); Over

    Elon @ NC-Greensboro


    Game 719-720
    December 7, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Elon
    46.512
    NC-Greensboro
    54.672
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NC-Greensboro
    by 8
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NC-Greensboro
    by 4 1/2
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    NC-Greensboro
    (-4 1/2); Under

    East Washington @ San Francisco


    Game 721-722
    December 7, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    East Washington
    47.984
    San Francisco
    52.377
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Francisco
    by 4 1/2
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Francisco
    by 7 1/2
    142 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    East Washington
    (+7 1/2); Under

    Howard @ Georgetown


    Game 723-724
    December 7, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Howard
    43.411
    Georgetown
    61.209
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgetown
    by 18
    155
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgetown
    by 21
    150 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Howard
    (+21); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2017 at 02:05 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, December 7


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VALPARAISO (8 - 0) at PURDUE (8 - 2) - 12/7/2017, 6:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PURDUE is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PURDUE is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    PURDUE is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    PURDUE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PURDUE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    PURDUE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
    PURDUE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    PURDUE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    PURDUE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    VALPARAISO is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OHIO U (4 - 3) at MARYLAND (7 - 3) - 12/7/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO U is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DREXEL (4 - 4) at LASALLE (5 - 4) - 12/7/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LASALLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    LASALLE is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LASALLE is 1-1 against the spread versus DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
    LASALLE is 1-1 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TX-ARLINGTON (7 - 1) at N IOWA (6 - 2) - 12/7/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TX-ARLINGTON is 48-22 ATS (+23.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    TX-ARLINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    TX-ARLINGTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    N IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IOWA (4 - 5) at IOWA ST (5 - 2) - 12/7/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IOWA is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ELON (6 - 3) at UNC-GREENSBORO (5 - 3) - 12/7/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UNC-GREENSBORO is 58-89 ATS (-39.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
    UNC-GREENSBORO is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ELON is 1-0 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
    ELON is 1-0 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    E WASHINGTON (3 - 5) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 3) - 12/7/2017, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E WASHINGTON is 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in December games since 1997.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in December games since 1997.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 84-124 ATS (-52.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    E WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    E WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOWARD (1 - 8) at GEORGETOWN (6 - 0) - 12/7/2017, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOWARD is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    GEORGETOWN is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGETOWN is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGETOWN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGETOWN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGETOWN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    GEORGETOWN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOWARD is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGETOWN over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGETOWN is 1-0 straight up against HOWARD over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2017 at 02:06 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, December 7


    Valparaiso is 8-0, but best team they’ve played is #132 Utah State (schedule #317); they beat SIU-E by 25 in their only road game- this is a major step up for Crusaders. Purdue won its last four games, all vs top 60 teams- they won their first two conference games by five points each. Boilermakers are 5-1 vs top 100 teams, losing to Tennessee in OT on neutral floor. Boilers are #42 experience team thats played schedule #41- they’re shooting 41% on arc. Big 14 home favorites are 20-15 vs spread; MVC road underdogs are 6-9.

    Maryland is 7-3 after winning in OT at Illinois Sunday, after blowing a 19-point halftime lead. Terps are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with all four wins by 15+ points. Maryland is turning ball over 24.4% of time; they coughed it up 25 times at Illinois. Ohio U is 4-3 against schedule #336; this is Bobcats’ first road game. One of Ohio’s wins was in four OT’s vs Indiana State. Ohio lost to Clemson by 5 on a neutral floor in their only top 100 game this season. Big 14 home favorites are 20-15 vs spread; MAC road underdogs are 11-8.

    Fairly quick turnaround for LaSalle team that played in Ireland over the weekend. Road team won last three Drexel-LaSalle games; Dragons won by 13 here two years ago. Drexel is 3-4 vs schedule #256; they’re 2-1 vs top 200 teams, with their best win over #51 Houston- they’re shooting only 29.2% on arc. LaSalle is #33 experience team that is 5-4 against schedule #104; three of Explorers’ five wins are by exactly four points. LaSalle is also struggling on arc, shooting 28.3%. A-14 home favorites are 15-14 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 5-9.

    Northern Iowa hasn’t played in eight days since OT win at home over UNLV; Panthers are 6-2 vs schedule #30- their only two losses are to North Carolina/Villanova. Panthers have three top 100 wins, two of which were on neutral floor. Tex-Arlington is 7-1 vs schedule #250; they’re the most experienced team in country. Mavericks’ only loss was by 1 at Alabama- they’ve got wins at BYU/Niagara. Arlington won three of four games decided by five or less points. MVC home favorites are 14-4 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 11-9.

    Iowa State won three of last four games with Iowa; Cyclones lost by 14 in Iowa City LY. Iowa lost five of its last six games; McCaffery is hinting at lineup changes. Hawkeyes are 0-2 on road, losing by 24 at Va Tech, 13 at Indiana- they also lost first two Big 14 games, losing at home to Penn State. Cyclones won last five games after an 0-2 start; their only top 100 win was over Boise State by 11 in finals of Myrtle Beach tourney. Iowa is #335 experience team that has only one top 300 win. Big X home favorites are 16-8 vs spread; Big 14 road underdogs 1-6.

    Elon won its last 12 games with former league rival NC-Greensboro; teams didn’t play last year. Elon is #32 experience team that is 4-3 against schedule #203, with three wins in OT games- they’re 0-3 on road. losing by 29-1-9 points. UNCG is 3-3 vs D-I teams; they won last game in triple OT at Liberty Saturday. Spartans are 4-3 vs schedule #196; they’re forcing turnovers 23.8% of time (#26). SoCon home favorites are 5-3 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 5-9. Last 2+ years, SoCon teams are 10-4 vs spread when playing a CAA opponent.

    Eastern Washington won its last three games vs San Francisco, by 4-5-6 points; Eagles won 81-77 here two years ago. USF is 4-3 vs schedule #271; they’re 3-1 vs teams outside the top 200, with wins by 12-13-2 points- they just beat Central Arkansas team that hammered Cal Bears last nite. EWU lost four of its last five games; they’re 1-4 on road, but the win was at Stanford. WCC home favorites are 7-11 vs spread; Big Sky underdogs are 21-27 away from home. Last year+, Big Sky teams are 12-9-1 vs spread when playing a WCC opponent.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2017 at 02:07 PM.

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    NCAAB

    Thursday, December 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VALPARAISO @ PURDUE
    Valparaiso is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Valparaiso's last 7 games on the road
    Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Valparaiso
    Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Valparaiso

    NJIT @ RUTGERS
    Rutgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NJIT
    Rutgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

    OHIO @ MARYLAND
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ohio's last 9 games on the road
    Maryland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Maryland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

    DREXEL @ LA SALLE
    Drexel is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
    Drexel is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing La Salle
    La Salle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Drexel
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of La Salle's last 5 games

    QUINNIPIAC @ HARTFORD
    Quinnipiac is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hartford
    Quinnipiac is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Hartford


    STONY BROOK @ COLUMBIA
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbia's last 10 games at home
    Columbia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Stony Brook

    ELON @ UNC GREENSBORO
    Elon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UNC Greensboro
    Elon is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro
    UNC Greensboro is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    UNC Greensboro is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games

    IOWA @ IOWA STATE
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Iowa's last 9 games when playing Iowa State
    Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Iowa State
    Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
    Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    TEXAS-ARLINGTON @ NORTHERN IOWA
    Texas-Arlington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-Arlington's last 5 games on the road
    Northern Iowa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Northern Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

    HOWARD @ GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY
    Georgetown University is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Georgetown University is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    EASTERN WASHINGTON @ SAN FRANCISCO
    Eastern Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Eastern Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2017 at 02:08 PM.

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    NCAAB

    Thursday, December 7



    Over is 9-1 in Iowa Hawkeyes' last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    Over is 21-8 in Iowa St. Cyclones' last 29 overall & Over is 16-5-1 in their last 22 vs. Big Ten.
    Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
    Total: 153

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