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Thread: Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/6

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    Default Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, December 6

    Good Luck on day #339 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    — Ball State 80, Notre Dame 77— Big upset for David Letterman’s alma mater.

    — West Virginia 68, Virginia 61— High-level game, two top-4 seeds in March.

    — Texas 71, VCU 67— Shaka Smart wins his return to Richmond.

    — Stephen Curry (ankle) is out for the next couple weeks.

    — Texas Tech 82, Nevada 76 OT— Could be a big score on Selection Sunday.

    — Arizona 67, Texas A&M 64— Sean Miller’s Wildcats are starting to play better.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: A quick scan thru the bowl schedule…….

    13) UCF is getting ten points from Auburn in the Peach Bowl, the same stadium where Auburn just lost the SEC title game. Auburn’s coach just signed a $49M contract to stay on the Plains.

    Central Florida is 12-0; two years ago, they were 0-12. Great season, but then their coach took the Nebraska job about 45 seconds after they won the AAC title game. Scott Frost and his staff will still coach their bowl game, but only because he needs the three hours of national TV exposure to remind people he is now the highly-paid coach of Nebraska.

    12) Iowa State-Memphis is a good bowl between two upstart teams who had excellent seasons, and surprise!!!— neither coach has bolted yet.

    Matt Campbell actually re-upped with the Cyclones, though contracts don’t always mean that much in today’s world. Mike Norvell is in his second year at Memphis; he could still wind up being a candidate at Tennessee, since just about everyone else already has been, but he also signed a contract extension this week to stay at Memphis.

    11) Florida State is -15 over Southern Miss in the Independence Bowl in Shreveport; they’re hiring Willie Taggart as coach, but likely he won’t coach the bowl game. Now Derwin James, FSU’s best defensive player, has declared for the NFL Draft and is skipping the bowl game. Lay 15 points here at your own risk.

    10) Holiday Bowl has long been the bowl with a tradition of wild, high-scoring games, so fitting that Mike Leach coaches there. Washington State-Michigan State is quite a contrast as far as coaches’ personality, with the offbeat Leach and the gruff Mark D’Antonio matching wits.

    When he was at Texas Tech, Leach won ’04 Holiday Bowl 45-31 as an 11-point dog over Cal.

    9) Normally, UAB-Ohio U wouldn’t catch my attention, but what a job UAB coach Bill Clark has done. UAB dropped football- they didn’t field a team the last two years, but due to outcry from alumni, they brought the team back this year and now they’re bowling in the Bahamas.

    Meanwhile, while Nebraska fired their coach and hired Scott Frost, one of their old coaches, Frank Solich, has gone 88-67 at Ohio U— he went 58-19 as Nebraska’s coach but that wasn’t good enough. Bobcats are only 2-6 in bowls under Solich.

    8) Kansas State-UCLA could be Bill Snyder’s last game as coach at K-State. Snyder is 78 and had a cancer scare last year— the job he’s done at K-State (209-110-1) is impossible to overstate.

    Before he got to the Little Apple (K-State is in Manhattan, KS), the Wildcats were a joke, going 26-82-3 the previous 11 seasons— they were the welcome mat of college football. Snyder fixed all that, made them respectable, won a lot of games. Their stadium has been named after him for over a decade now.

    7) There is a bowl called the “Academy Sports & Outdoors Texas Bowl”; it is played in Houston. Problem is, the Sports & Outdoor Bowl is in a domed stadium, where the Texans play.

    Missouri-Texas are playing in the indoor Outdoors Bowl; Mizzou started this season 1-5 but won its last six games. Tigers fired their defensive coordinator during the 1-5 start; their OC just left for another opportunity, which could complicate their bowl preparation.

    6) Fresno State went 10-28 the last three years, so they hired former Cal coach Jeff Tedford, who was Aaron Rodgers’ college coach. Fresno is 9-4 this season; they get their second trip to Hawai’i in two months when they play Houston in the Hawai’i Bowl on Christmas Eve, after a full day of NFL games. There is no NFL game that night, so hopefully this will be a fun game.

    5) New Mexico State is in a bowl game for the first time since 1960— good for them!!! Aggies are playing Utah State (also the Aggies) in the Arizona Bowl in Tucson.

    New Mexico State was 11-49 the last five years; great year for coach Doug Martin.

    4) SMU won’t have to go too far for their bowl game; Mustangs are playing Louisiana Tech in the Frisco Bowl, being played in the Dallas Cowboys’ practice facility, which is roughly 25 miles from the SMU campus.

    Louisiana Tech won its last three bowls, scoring 35-47-48 points. SMU is in its first bowl in five years.

    3) Since 1999, Utah is 13-1 in bowl games, 9-1 under Kyle Whittingham. Utes lost six of their last eight games this year after a 4-0 start- they head to Dallas to play West Virginia in the Heart of Dallas Bowl, played in the old Cotton Bowl stadium.

    2) Boise State won six of its last eight bowl games, winning the Las Vegas Bowl three years in a row, from 2010-12; Broncos are back in Vegas this year, playing an Oregon team whose coach just jumped ship after one year, for the greener pa$ture$ of Florida $tate. Ducks lost the 2006 Las Vegas Bowl, 38-8 to BYU.

    1) Marshall vs Colorado State in a bowl game in Albuquerque is a little weird; Thundering Herd won its last five bowl games- their last bowl loss was in 2004. Colorado State won 27-24 on this field October 20. Do kids get excited about going to a bowl in Albuquerque?

    1a) Which raises the question I raise every year; what is the worst bowl game to go to?
    — Pinstripe Bowl, played in the Bronx, where it is almost always damned cold.
    — Famous Idaho Potato Bowl in Boise, where it often snows.
    — Quick Lane Bowl in Detroit can’t be that much fun, but at least the game is indoors.
    — Playing Navy in Annapolis probably isn’t that great a trip.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, December 6


    Calgary @ Toronto

    Game 1-2
    December 6, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Calgary
    11.997
    Toronto
    11.013
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -150
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    (+130); Over

    Chicago @ Washington


    Game 3-4
    December 6, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    12.122
    Washington
    11.203
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+120); Under

    Philadelphia @ Edmonton


    Game 5-6
    December 6, 2017 @ 9:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    10.223
    Edmonton
    12.310
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    N/A

    Ottawa @ Anaheim


    Game 7-8
    December 6, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    10.404
    Anaheim
    11.899
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Anaheim
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    N/A





    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, December 6


    Maple Leafs won three of last four games with Calgary; home side won seven of last eight series games. Flames lost their last four visits here. Last four series games stayed under the total. Calgary lost five of its last seven games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 road games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Toronto is 3-4 in its last seven games, losing last two home games. Under is 7-3-1 in Leafs’ last 11 games.

    Washington won six of last seven games with Chicago; under is 4-1-2 in those games. Blackhawks lost their last five games in this building. Chicago lost its last four games, three by one goal; they lost three of last four road games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Washington won five of its last six games; they’re 9-2 in last 11 home games. Three of their last four games went over.

    Edmonton won four of last six games with Philly; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Flyers lost four of last five games in Edmonton. Flyers snapped a 10-game losing skid in Calgary Monday; they lost four of their last five games on road. Six of their last eight games went over total. Edmonton won three of its last four games; they’re 3-5 in last eight home games. Six of their last eight games went over the total.

    Ducks won three of last four games with Ottawa; under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Senators lost four of their last five visits here. Ottawa lost eight of its last nine games overall, four of last five on road. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Anaheim lost in a SO in Las Vegas last night; they’ve lost seven of last eight games, losing last two games in the Pond. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.




    NHL

    Wednesday, December 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CALGARY @ TORONTO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Calgary is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary

    CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON
    Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
    Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

    PHILADELPHIA @ EDMONTON
    Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
    Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    OTTAWA @ ANAHEIM
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games
    Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
    Anaheim is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Ottawa


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2017 at 02:13 PM.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, December 6


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CALGARY (14-12-0-1, 29 pts.) at TORONTO (17-10-0-1, 35 pts.) - 12/6/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 65-58 ATS (+134.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
    CALGARY is 17-13 ATS (+34.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    CALGARY is 13-8 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CALGARY is 37-29 ATS (+68.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 30-42 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
    TORONTO is 86-101 ATS (-77.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 3-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (12-10-0-5, 29 pts.) at WASHINGTON (16-11-0-1, 33 pts.) - 12/6/2017, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
    WASHINGTON is 140-77 ATS (+54.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 24-6 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 183-217 ATS (-74.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 3-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (9-11-0-7, 25 pts.) at EDMONTON (11-14-0-2, 24 pts.) - 12/6/2017, 9:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    EDMONTON is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 3-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OTTAWA (9-10-0-6, 24 pts.) at ANAHEIM (11-11-0-6, 28 pts.) - 12/6/2017, 10:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    ANAHEIM is 3-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2017 at 02:14 PM.

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    NHL

    Wednesday, December 6



    Top NHL OVER Teams:

    1. Islanders 18-8-1
    2. Golden Knights 17-8-2
    3. Rangers 17-9-1
    4. Avalanche 16-9-1
    5. Wild 15-10-2

    Top NHL UNDER Teams:

    1. Sharks 19-6-1
    t2. Ducks 16-11-1
    t2. Kings 16-11-2
    4. Blue Jackets 16-12
    5. Sabres 14-11-3
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2017 at 02:14 PM.

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    NHL

    Wednesday, December 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NHL Game of the Day: Blackhawks at Capitals betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Chicago Blackhawks at Washington Capitals (A: +115, H: -135, T: 5.5)

    Two perennial powers heading in opposite directions will collide on Wednesday night when the Washington Capitals host the Chicago Blackhawks. The Capitals are starting to hit their stride with five wins in their last six games, but the Blackhawks are battling to avoid the Central Division basement after dropping four in a row.

    Captain Alex Ovechkin became the first player in the league to score 20 goals and in the process moved into 20th place on the all-time list with his 578th tally. "He's one of the best goal-scorers in the game and he knows where to put the puck," goaltender Philipp Grubauer said of Ovechkin, one of 11 players with 20 goals in each of his first 13 seasons. "He's dangerous and you can't leave him alone that many times." Washington's only loss in the past six games came at the hands of the Los Angeles Kings, who sent Chicago to its fourth consecutive defeat (0-2-2) with a 3-1 road victory on Sunday. The Blackhawks have struggled against the Capitals, losing six of their last seven overall and the past six visits to Washington, including a 6-0 drubbing in their last trip in January.

    TV:
    8 p.m. ET, NBCSN

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Capitals opened as -145 home favorites and some surprising Blackhawks action has forced books to drop the moneyline down to -135 on the home side. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has not moved off that opening number.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:


    Anton Forsberg (CHI) vs. Braden Holtby (WAS)

    GP
    W
    L
    OTL
    GAA
    SAVE %
    SO

    Anton Forsberg
    9
    1
    3
    3
    3.02
    .914
    0

    Braden Holtby
    20
    14
    6
    0
    2.63
    .919
    0


    INJURY REPORT:


    Blackhawks - G Corey Crawford (Mid Dec, Lower Body), RW Marian Hossa (Out For Season, Illness), D Michal Rozsival (Out Indefinitely, Concussion).

    Capitals - C Chandler Stephenson (Probable, Upper Body), RW T.J. Oshie (Doubtful, Head), LW Andre Burakovsky (Mid Dec, Thumb).

    ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS (12-10-5, 12-14 O/U):
    Backup netminder Anton Forsberg has one win in nine appearances but he deserved a better fate in back-to-back losses to Dallas and Los Angeles over the weekend while subbing for the injured Corey Crawford. Forsberg turned aside 54 of 57 shots in the two defeats but Chicago mustered a combined three goals in support of him. "He’s doing everything we need him to do in there," captain Jonathan Toews said. "We just need to support him, create some offense and find some ways to get some wins for him.”

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS (16-11-1, 15-13 O/U):
    Forward T.J. Oshie, who is third on the team in scoring, is expected to sit out Wednesday's contest, listed as "very doubtful" by coach Barry Trotz when his head hit the boards in what appeared to be an inadvertent hit by San Jose's Joe Thornton. Andre Burakovsky practiced for a second straight day but Trotz said his return from surgery on his broken thumb will likely be put off another game or two. However, forward Chandler Stephenson (upper body) is expected back in the lineup following a one-game absence.

    TRENDS:


    * Blackhawks are 3-14 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
    * Capitals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
    * Under is 5-0 in Blackhawks last 5 road games.
    * Over is 17-4-5 in Capitals last 26 vs. Central.
    * Blackhawks are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is siding with the home favorite Capitals at a rate of 71 percent and the Over is getting 62 of the totals action.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Wednesday, December 6



    Blackhawks are 3-14 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
    Capitals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall & 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
    CHI +115 WAS -130

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