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Thread: NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Sat., Dec. 9)

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    Default NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Sat., Dec. 9)


    Week 15


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, December 9

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Last edited by BettorsChat; 12-09-2017 at 03:35 AM.

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    College Football Playoff opening line report: Alabama opens favorite over Clemson, Oklahoma-UGA spread already on the move
    Patrick Everson

    Alabama and Clemson meet for the third straight year in the postseason, but this time a ticket to the National Championship is on the line.

    Let the debate begin!

    No, not over Alabama getting into the four-team College Football Playoff over Big Ten champion Ohio State. But rather, over the opening lines for the two national semifinal showdowns. Patrick Everson gets you right into those numbers and early action in Las Vegas, with insights from Chris Andrews, sportsbook director at the South Point, and Jay Kornegay, who runs the Superbook as vice president of race and sports for the Westgate Las Vegas.

    No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. No. 1 Clemson Tigers – Open: Pick; Move: -1

    Alabama had the weekend off, missing out on the SEC Championship Game after falling to Auburn 26-14 as a 6-point road favorite in the regular-season finale. The Crimson Tide (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS) still managed to edge out Ohio State for the final CFP berth.

    Defending national champion Clemson (12-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) boatraced Miami in the ACC final, winning 38-3 as a 12.5-point neutral-site favorite in Charlotte, N.C. Saturday. The Tigers and Tide met in the last two CFP Championship Games, with Bama winning two years ago and Clemson winning last year. The Tigers covered the spread in both games.

    “We opened at pick. I kept saying I really thought Clemson should be the favorite, but that they’d bet Alabama,” Andrews said. “We’re up to -1 on Bama, a little public, a little sharp. I don’t mind Clemson at plus anything. We’ll see where bettors take me.”

    The Superbook opened the Tide -1, briefly shot to -2, then dropped to -1 before splitting the difference at -1.5. The modest discrepancies between books doesn’t surprise Kornegay.

    “The market’s just trying to settle down,” Kornegay said. “Every book is like that right now, flying around. There are a lot of respected opinions out there. It’s not like we’ve got guys with both hands full of money, making bets. Most people are just soaking it in. If respected players make a bet, you’re gonna move it, and you’ll also moved based on what the market is doing.”

    No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs vs. No. 2 Oklahoma Sooners – Open: -3; Move: -2.5; Move: -2; Move: -1.5

    Georgia took advantage of a revenge opportunity to win the SEC crown and reach the College Football Playoff. The Bulldogs (12-1 SU, 9-4 ATS), who got trounced at Auburn three weeks ago, rolled the Tigers 28-7 as a 2-point neutral-site chalk in Atlanta Saturday.

    Oklahoma (12-1 SU, 8-5 ATS) had no trouble in Saturday’s Big 12 final, dispatching Texas Christian 41-17 laying seven points at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

    “We opened Oklahoma -3, now we’re down to 1.5. I’m seeing anywhere from pick to 1.5” at other books, Kornegay said. “In our eyes, we think Oklahoma could be the highest-ranked team. But these games are so close. It really is splitting hairs here.”

    The South Point opened Oklahoma -2 with a plan in mind, but the line has stayed there so far.

    “I thought that was a good number, because when you open on a number like two, if the wiseguys lay the two, you go right to -3, and if they take the +2, you go right to -1,” Andrews said. “We were the first ones up, and I really thought we’d go a point either way with wiseguy money. So far, we’ve got active play, but we’re still at two.”

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    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 15


    Saturday, December 9

    Army @ Navy

    Game 103-104
    December 9, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Army
    87.012
    Navy
    85.643
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Army
    by 1 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Navy
    by 3 1/2
    51
    Dunkel Pick:
    Army
    (+3 1/2); Under





    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Saturday, December 9

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARMY (8 - 3) vs. NAVY (6 - 5) - 12/9/2017, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARMY is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
    ARMY is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
    ARMY is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
    NAVY is 166-123 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
    NAVY is 166-123 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    NAVY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    NAVY is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
    NAVY is 79-42 ATS (+32.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARMY is 2-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
    NAVY is 1-1 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NCAAF
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 15


    Army is 8-3 this season, winning six of last seven games; they ended a 14-game losing streak to Navy LY, beating Middies 21-17. Underdogs covered six of last eight meetings in this great rivalry. Cadets can win the Commander-in-Chief trophy for first time in 21 years with a win here; they lost last game 52-49 to North Texas, three weeks ago. Navy lost five of its last six games after a 5-0 start; Middies are 2-3-2 vs spread as a favorite this year. Army is 3-2 as an underdog. Five of last seven Army games went over total; four of last six Navy games stayed under.




    NCAAF

    Week 15


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Saturday, December 9

    ARMY @ NAVY
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Navy
    Army is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing Army
    Navy is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Army


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2017 at 03:06 PM.

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    College football bowl schedule: Matchups and betting odds for all of the games

    The college football regular season is over but the FBS bowl season will keep NCAAF bettors busy during the winter holidays. The main course will be the two college football playoff games involving Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia, but there is plenty of college football bowl betting action before we get to the Rose and Sugar Bowl games on New Year’s Day.

    Here’s a quick look at all the matchups, dates, times, locations, betting odds for all the bowl games right down to the lesser known goofy-named ones like the Cherlbundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl.

    R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

    Matchup: North Texas Mean Green vs. Troy Trojans


    Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome – New Orleans, Louisiana
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 1:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Troy -6.5
    Moneyline: Troy (-270), North Texas (+190)
    Total: NA

    Autonation Cure Bowl

    Matchup: Georgia State Panthers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers


    Location: Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 2:30 PM ET on CBSSN

    Pointspread: Western Kentucky -5
    Moneyline: Western Kentucky (-215), Georgia State (+165)
    Total: NA

    Las Vegas Bowl

    Matchup: Oregon Ducks vs. Boise State Broncos


    Location: Sam Boyd Stadium – Las Vegas, Nevada
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 3:30 PM ET on ABC

    Pointspread: Oregon -9
    Moneyline: Oregon (-365), Boise State (+255)

    Total: NA

    Gildan New Mexico Bowl

    Matchup: Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Colorado State Rams


    Location: Dreamstyle Stadium – Albuquerque, New Mexico
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 4:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Colorado State -3
    Moneyline: Colorado State (-175), Marshall (+135)
    Total: NA

    Raycom Media Camellia Bowl

    Matchup: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders


    Location: Cramton Bowl – Montgomery, Alabama
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 8 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Arkansas State -3.5
    Moneyline: Arkansas State (-175), Middle Tennessee State (+135)
    Total: NA

    Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl

    Matchup: Akron Zips vs. Florida Atlantic Owls


    Location: FAU Stadium – Boca Raton, Florida
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 19, 7:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Florida Atlantic -17
    Moneyline: Florida Atlantic (-1040), Akron (+540)
    Total: NA

    DXL Frisco Bowl

    Matchup: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs


    Location: Toyota Stadium – Frisco, Texas
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 20, 8:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Southern Methodist -7
    Moneyline: SMU (-290), Louisiana Tech (+210)
    Total: NA

    Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl

    Matchup: Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Temple Owls


    Location: Tropicana Field – St. Petersburg, Florida
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 21, 8:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Temple -7
    Moneyline: Temple (-290), FIU (+210)

    Total: NA

    Bahamas Bowl

    Matchup: UAB Blazers vs. Ohio Bobcats


    Location: Thomas Robinson Stadium – Nassau, Bahamas
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 22, 12:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Ohio -8.5
    Moneyline: Ohio (-350), UAB (+250)
    Total: 60

    Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

    Matchup: Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Wyoming Cowboys


    Location: Albertson’s Stadium – Boise, Idaho
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 22, 4:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Central Michigan -3
    Moneyline: Central Michigan (-160), Wyoming (+120)

    Total: NA

    Birmingham Bowl

    Matchup: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. South Florida Bulls


    Location: Legion Field – Birmingham, Alabama
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 23, 12:00 PM on ESPN

    Pointspread: South Florida -3.5
    Moneyline: South Florida (-175), Texas Tech (+135)
    Total: NA

    Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

    Matchup: San Diego State Aztecs vs. Army Black Knights


    Location: Amon G Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, Texas
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 23, 3:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: San Diego State -5
    Moneyline: San Diego State (-210), Army (+160)
    Total: NA

    Dollar General Bowl

    Matchup: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Toledo Rockets


    Location: Ladd-Pebbles Stadium – Mobile, Alabama
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 23, 7:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Toledo -7.5
    Moneyline: Toledo (-290), Appalachian State (+210)
    Total: NA

    Hawaii Bowl

    Matchup: Houston Cougars vs. Fresno State Bulldogs


    Location: Aloha Stadium – Honolulu, Hawaii
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 24, 8:30 PM on ESPN

    Pointspread: Houston -2.5
    Moneyline: Houston (-150), Fresno State (+110)

    Total: NA

    Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl

    Matchup: Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers


    Location: Cotton Bowl – Dallas, Texas
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 26, 1:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Utah -3.5
    Moneyline: Utah (-165), WVU (+125)
    Total: NA

    Quick Lane Bowl

    Matchup: Duke Blue Devils vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

    Location: Ford Field – Detroit, Michigan
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 26, 5:15 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Duke -5
    Moneyline: Duke (-210), NIU (+160)
    Total: NA

    Cactus Bowl

    Matchup: Kansas State Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins


    Location: Chase Field – Phoenix, Arizona
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 26, 9:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Kansas State -2.5
    Moneyline: Kansas State (-150), UCLA (+110)
    Total: NA

    Walk On’s Independence Bowl

    Matchup: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles


    Location: Independence Stadium – Shreveport, Louisiana
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 27, 1:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Florida State -16
    Moneyline: FSU (-855), Southern Miss (+485)
    Total: NA

    New Era Pinstripe Bowl

    Matchup: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Boston College Eagles


    Location: Yankee Stadium – New York, New York
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 27, 5:15 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Iowa -3.5
    Moneyline: Iowa (-170), Boston College (+130)
    Total: NA

    Foster Farms Bowl

    Matchup: Arizona Wildcats vs. Purdue Boilermakers


    Location: Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, California
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 27, 8:30 PM ET on FOX

    Pointspread: Arizona -2.5
    Moneyline: Arizona (-145), Purdue (+105)
    Total: NA

    Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl

    Matchup: Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers


    Location: NRG Stadium – Houston, Texas
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 27, 9:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Texas -3.5
    Moneyline: Texas (-170), Mizzou (+130)
    Total: NA

    Military Bowl presented by Northrop Brumman

    Matchup: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Navy Midshipmen


    Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium – Annapolis, Maryland
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 28, 1:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Virginia -1.5
    Moneyline: Virginia (-135), Navy (-105)
    Total: NA

    Camping World Bowl

    Matchup: Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys


    Location: Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 28, 5:15 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Oklahoma State -5
    Moneyline: OSU (-210), VT (+160)
    Total: NA

    Valero Alamo Bowl

    Matchup: Stanford Cardinal vs. Texas Christian Horned Frogs


    Location: Alamodome – San Antonio, Texas
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 28, 9:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: TCU -3
    Moneyline: TCU (-160), Stanford (+120)
    Total: NA

    San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl

    Matchup: Washington State Cougars vs. Michigan State Spartans


    Location: SDCCU Stadium – San Diego, California
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 28, 9:00 PM ET on FS1

    Pointspread: Pick ‘em
    Moneyline: WSU (-120), MSU (-120)

    Total: NA

    Belk Bowl

    Matchup: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Texas A&M Aggies


    Location: Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, North Carolina
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 1:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Wake Forest -5
    Moneyline: Wake Forest (-215), Texas A&M (+165)
    Total: NA

    Hyundia Sun Bowl

    Matchup: NC State Wolfpack vs. Arizona State Sun Devils


    Location: Sun Bowl – El Paso, Texas
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 3:00 PM ET on CBS

    Pointspread: NC State -6
    Moneyline: NC State (-245), ASU (+175)
    Total: NA

    Music City Bowl

    Matchup: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Northwestern Wildcats


    Location: Nissan Stadium – Nashville, Tennesseee
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 4:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Northwestern -10.5
    Moneyline: Northwestern (-410), Kentucky (+290)
    Total: NA

    Arizona Bowl

    Matchup: Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico State Aggies


    Location: Arizona Stadium – Tucson, Arizona
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 5:30 PM ET on CBSSN

    Pointspread: Utah State -7.5
    Moneyline: Utah State (-285), New Mexico State (+205)
    Total: NA


    Cotton Bowl

    Matchup: Southern California Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes


    Location: AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 8:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Ohio State -6.5
    Moneyline: OSU (-260), USC (+220)
    Total: NA

    Taxslayer Bowl

    Matchup: Louisville Cardinals vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs


    Location: Everbank Field – Jacksonville, Florida
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 30, 12:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Louisville -5
    Moneyline: Louisville (-210), Mississippi State (+175)
    Total: NA

    Liberty Bowl

    Matchup: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Memphis Tigers


    Location: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium – Memphis, Tennessee
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 30, 12:30 PM ET on ABC

    Pointspread: Memphis -3
    Moneyline: Memphis (-150), Iowa State (+130)
    Total: NA

    Fiesta Bowl

    Matchup: Washington Huskies vs. Penn State Nittany Lions


    Location: University of Phoenix Stadium – Glendale, Arizona
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 30, 4:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Penn State -2.5
    Moneyline: Penn State (-135), Washington (+115)
    Total: NA

    Orange Bowl

    Matchup: Miami Hurricanes vs. Wisconsin Badgers


    Location: Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, Florida
    Date, time & TV: Dec. 30, 8:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Wisconsin -6.5
    Moneyline: Wisconsin (-255), Miami (+215)
    Total: NA

    Outback Bowl

    Matchup: South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Michigan Wolverines


    Location: Raymond James Stadium – Tampa Bay, Florida
    Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2

    Pointspread: Michigan -8.5
    Moneyline: Michigan (-355), South Carolina (+265)
    Total: NA

    Peach Bowl

    Matchup: Central Florida Knights vs. Auburn Tigers


    Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, Georgia
    Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 12:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Auburn -9.5
    Moneyline: Auburn (-355), UCF (+295)
    Total: NA

    Citrus Bowl

    Matchup: LSU Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish


    Location: Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
    Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 1:00 PM ET on ABC

    Pointspread: LSU -2
    Moneyline: LSU (-130), Notre Dame (+110)
    Total: NA

    Rose Bowl presented by Northwestern Mutual

    Matchup: Georgia Bulldogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners


    Location: Rose Bowl – Pasadena, California
    Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 5:00 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Pick ‘em
    Moneyline: Georgia (-110), Oklahoma (-110)
    Total: NA

    Sugar Bowl

    Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Clemson Tigers


    Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome – New Orleans, Louisiana
    Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 8:45 PM ET on ESPN

    Pointspread: Alabama -2
    Moneyline: Bama (-130), Clemson (+110)
    Total: NA
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2017 at 03:29 PM.

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    Under on incredible historical hot streak in Army-Navy game

    There’s only one game on the college football schedule this weekend, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t an opportunity to make some cash for bettors before the start of the bowl season.

    The Under is a perfect 11-0 in the last 11 matchups between Army Black Knights and the Navy Midshipmen. The Over/Under line for this weekend’s game between the two teams opened as high as 50 offshore but has been bet down to 46 as of Tuesday.

    The movement shouldn’t scare off bettors too much. The total for the annual final match of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series has closed at a smaller number in each of the last seven years and the Under is still filling up the win column.

    One explanation for the Under streak could be the play caller for the Cadets and Midshipmen in recent years. Army and Navy routinely finish near the bottom in passing attempts per game, but the two teams start treating their matchups like a forward pass is still illegal.

    Army attempted an average of 9.3 passes per game in 2016 and threw just four passes against Navy. There were 14 pass attempts in last year’s game with eight of them leading to completions and three resulting in interceptions.

    The game kicks off 3:00 p.m. ET on Saturday at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. More than 55 percent of contest players are picking the game to go Over the 46-point total.

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    NCAAF

    Saturday, December 9


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NCAAF Game of the Day: Army vs. Navy betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipman (-3, 46)

    Army can claim its first Commander-in-Chief's Trophy since 1996 when it meets Navy for the 118th time Saturday at Philadelphia in a game that could see more punts than passes. The Black Knights, who have thrown 60 times this season, are also trying for their second straight victory in a series which they trail 60-50-7 after the Midshipmen (99 pass attempts) rattled off 14 straight wins from 2002-15.

    Army (368.1 rushing yards per game) and Navy (347.5) boast the top ground attacks in the nation with senior quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw and junior quarterback Zach Abey running the respective shows. "I think from a base philosophy standpoint, it's the same offense,'' Black Knights coach Jeff Monken told reporters. "... To find major differences, it would be difficult for me to do that.'' Army prevailed 21-17 last season in Baltimore on Bradshaw's 9-yard touchdown run with 6:42 remaining, but it means little as the page has been turned on arguably college football's most celebrated rivalry. "The 14 wins don’t help us, the loss last year doesn’t hurt us," Midshipmen coach Ken Niumatalolo told reporters. "This is a totally different year. That’s always been my approach. Every year is different, every game is different."

    TV:
    3 p.m. ET, CBS.

    LINE HISTORY:
    Navy opened at most shops as 3.5-point chalk and heading into the weekend the line was bet down slightly to -3. The total hit the betting board at 48 and money coming in on the under has driven that number down to 46.

    WEATHER REPORT:
    kickoff will be 32 degrees and cloudy - winds at 7mph with a 50% chance of snow

    INJURY REPORT:


    Army - DB Jaylon McClinton (Questionable, Undisclosed), DB Marcus Hyatt (Out Indefinitely, Upper Body), DL Andrew McLean (Out For Season, Knee), DB Jalen Sharp (Out For Season, Knee), DL Amadeo West (Out For Season, Knee), OL Mike Johnson (Out For Season, Knee).

    Navy - RB Micah Farrar (Questionable, Undisclosed), DE Anthony Villalobos (Questionable, Ankle), LB Hudson Sullivan (Questionable, Foot), LB Jerry Thompson (Questionable, Arm), RB Keoni-Kordell Mahekau (Questionable, Concussion), RB Tre Walker (Out For Season, Knee), P Erik Harris (Out Indefinitely, Suspension).

    ABOUT ARMY (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS, 6-5 O/U):
    Bradshaw set the school record for rushing yards in a season with 1,472 after recording 244 in a 52-49 loss at North Texas on Nov. 18, and can surpass Navy's Napoleon McCallum (1,583 in 1983) for the most among service academy teams. Bradshaw and junior running back Darnell Woolfork (668 yards) have 11 rushing touchdowns apiece as the Black Knights' 43 TDs on the ground are three shy of the school record set last season, surpassing the 45 by the 1946 team. Sophomore running back Kell Walker (553 yards, six TDs) and junior running back Andy Davidson (517 yards, four TDs) are also major contributors with Davidson rushing for two scores versus North Texas.

    ABOUT NAVY (6-5 SU, 5-4-2 ATS, 4-7 O/U):
    Abey (1,322 yards, 14 touchdowns), who sustained a concussion and a shoulder injury against Temple on Nov. 2 and missed the SMU game Nov. 11, was held to 180 rushing yards and one touchdown over his last three games. Sophomore running back Malcolm Perry (818 yards, eight TDs) filled in at quarterback and rushed for 282 yards in the 43-40 victory over SMU before missing the 24-17 loss at Notre Dame on Nov. 18 with an ankle injury and rushing for 82 yards in a 24-14 setback at Houston on Nov. 24. The Midshipmen use the element of surprise in their passing game as senior wide receiver Tyler Carmona (four TDs) averages 27.2 yards per 14 receptions while Perry (two scores) averages 25.1 yards on 12 catches.

    TRENDS:
    



    * Midshipmen are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

    * Under is 15-3 in Black Knights last 18 neutral site games.

    * Under is 4-0 in Midshipmen last 4 vs. INDEP.

    * Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.



    CONSENSUS:
    The chalk Navy Shipman are picking up 61 percent of the spread action on Covers and the Over is grabbing 60 percent of the totals wagers.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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