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Thread: Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/3

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, December 3

    Good Luck on day #336 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 12 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Pittsburgh Steelers -5 (534)

    5) New England Patriots -8.5 (605)

    4) Minnesota Vikings +3 (744)

    3) New Orleans Saints -4 (829)

    2) Seattle Seahawks +6 (880)

    1) Green Bay Packers +1.5 (1,016)

    Season record of top 6 picks: 32-40


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

    13) Ohio State 27, Wisconsin 21 (football)— How does JT Barrett have a minor knee operation on Sunday, then play six days later? This is smart?

    Let the debate begin; Ohio State or Alabama for the 4-team national playoff? In my mind, if you lose 55-24 to Iowa, like Ohio State did, then you don’t make the playoff. I’d vote for Alabama, but by time you read this, it has probably already been determined.

    Ohio State 83, Wisconsin 58 (basketball)— Rough day all-around for the Badgers.

    12) Central Florida 62, Memphis 55, OT— Fantastic game, with UCF finishing a 12-0 regular season after going 0-11 two years ago. Thats the good news for the Knights.

    Bad news: UCF coach Scott Frost agreed to a 7-year, $35M deal with Nebraska. It was a glorious day for the Central Florida kids, but then it gets dampened by their coach skipping town for big bucks. Welcome to the real world.

    Frost will apparently coach UCF in its bowl game, which is unusual, but is is national TV exposure for a Nebraska program that went 4-8 this season and obviously isn’t in a bowl.

    11) Xavier 89, Cincinnati 76— Bearcats didn’t get the memo that this was a noon tip-off- they played first 10:00 like they hit the snooze button on their alarm clocks. Game was 26-9 after 10:00, then it was pretty much even after that. Cincinnati is 1-7 in Cintas Center.

    This rivalry is so intense they played it on a neutral court for a couple years; in Saturday’s game, one of the Xavier players was yapping at Cincy coach Cronin, who then yapped back. The two head coaches already don’t like each other and today didn’t help that any.

    10) Oklahoma 41, TCU 17— Horned Frogs didn’t score in the second half.

    This game was played in the Cowboys’ beautiful stadium; there is actually a bowl game on Dec 20 inside the Cowboys’ practice facility, which seats 12,000 for games and hosted a ton of high school games in Frisco, TX.

    Imagine having a practice facility so nice that it hosts a college bowl game?

    9) Georgia 28, Auburn 7— Auburn scored first time they had ball, never scored again; Georgia is first SEC East team to win this game since 2008.

    8) Clemson 38, Miami 3— Ugly end to what has been an excellent season for Miami. Bryant was 23-29/252 passing; Clemson coaches did hell of a job developing his passing skills this season.

    7) Clippers’ guard Austin Rivers got fined $25,000 by the NBA for telling a fan to “shut the (bleep) up” during a recent home game.

    It is surprising this doesn’t happen more, seeing how close NBA fans are to the court and to the coaches/players. Courtside seats cost serious money, too.

    6) Wichita State 69, Baylor 62— Solid road win for the Wheatshockers.

    Georgia 73, Marquette 66— Same thing for the SEC’s Bulldogs.

    5) Florida Atlantic 41, North Texas 17— I’ll take the under on how long Lane Kiffin stays at FAU, but his Owls are 10-3 and Conference USA champs.

    One of my pet peeves reared its ugly head in this game; kid on FAU catches a long TD pass, jogs towards the goal line, then casually drops the ball BEFORE HE CROSSES THE GOAL LINE.

    Why is this cool? How is this tolerated? Why does it happen so much? It is stupid!!!!

    4) Arizona 91, UNLV 88 OT— Rebels were 0-2 this week, with pair of OT losses. UNLV’s three starting guards combined to shoot 5-21 from floor; McCoy/Juiston, their two big guys who will both be in the NBA, were 23-31- they need to get more shots.

    This was a great game to watch; two teams playing their hearts out, but the talented freshmen are so young, so raw- they won’t be grownups until they’re in the NBA for a couple of years.

    UNLV’s guards need to know they’re much better players when they’re passing the ball to Juistin and McCoy.

    3) SMU 72, USC 55— Mustangs avenged a couple of losses to USC last year.

    Imagine going to a college game and seeing a former US President sitting in the front row at halfcourt? George W Bush goes to lot of SMU games; he lives pretty close to their campus.

    2) UConn 84, Monmouth 81 OT— Huskies won their last two games, over Columbia and Monmouth, with both wins in overtime. Winning is good, but when Columbia takes you to overtime, thats a red flag for a program with NCAA tournament aspirations.

    1) A young man named Tyvoris Solomon plays basketball for South Carolina State; during their game with NC State Saturday, Solomon collapsed on the bench and his heart stopped. Only fast work by South Carolina’s trainer saved the young man’s life.

    Tyvoris Solomon was in the hospital Saturday night with his family by his side; he was said to be resting comfortably and recovering, which we’re all thankful for.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, December 3


    Knicks won four of last six games with Orlando; Magic is 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Seven of last ten series games stayed under the total. Orlando lost nine of its last ten games; their last six games went over total. Magic is 5-6-1 vs spread as a road underdog. New York lost three of its last four games; they’re 5-0 as a home favorite. Under is 5-2 in Knicks’ last seven games.

    Golden State won six of last seven games with Miami, but the Heat covered four of last five; Warriors are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to South Beach. Last three series games stayed under total. Golden State won six of its last eight games; they’re 5-7 as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Miami won four of its last six games; they’re 1-2-1 as home underdogs. Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games.

    Clippers won seven of last ten games with Minnesota; three of last four series games stayed under total. LA is 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Clippers lost 11 of last 14 games; they’re 3-5 vs spread as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over total. Minnesota is 3-5 SU in its last eight games, 3-6 vs spread as home favorites. Five of their last seven games went over total.

    San Antonio won three of last four games with OKC; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Six of last nine series games stayed under total. Spurs won six of their last seven games; they’re 2-2 as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games stayed under the total. Oklahoma City lost five of its last seven games; they’re 4-4-1 as home favorites. Three of their last four home games stayed under.

    Lakers lost seven of last eight games with Houston; last five series games went over. Rockets are 4-1 vs spread in last five series games played here. Houston won six in row, 12 of last 13 games; they’re 6-2 as a road favorite- four of their last five games stayed under total. Lakers are 1-3 vs spread if they played night before; they’re 8-5 vs spread at home, 5-5 as an underdog. Six of their last seven home games went over total.




    NBA

    Sunday, December 3


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    Trend Report
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    ORLANDO @ NEW YORK
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Orlando's last 14 games when playing on the road against New York
    New York is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 14 games when playing at home against Orlando

    SAN ANTONIO @ OKLAHOMA CITY
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
    San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against San Antonio

    GOLDEN STATE @ MIAMI
    Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
    Golden State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
    Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State

    LA CLIPPERS @ MINNESOTA
    LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    LA Clippers is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games

    HOUSTON @ LA LAKERS
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2017 at 12:32 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, December 3


    Orlando @ New York

    Game 701-702
    December 3, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    112.564
    New York
    119.988
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New York
    by 7 1/2
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New York
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    N/A

    Golden State @ Miami


    Game 703-704
    December 3, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    132.112
    Miami
    118.229
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 14
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 10
    218 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-10); Over

    LA Clippers @ Minnesota


    Game 705-706
    December 3, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    115.711
    Minnesota
    122.812
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 7
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 12 1/2
    213 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (+12 1/2); Under

    San Antonio @ Oklahoma City


    Game 707-708
    December 3, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    122.311
    Oklahoma City
    120.719
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 1 1/2
    194
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 4 1/2
    199 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Houston @ LA Lakers


    Game 709-710
    December 3, 2017 @ 9:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    128.904
    LA Lakers
    114.455
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 14 1/2
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 11
    225
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-11); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, December 3


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (9 - 14) at NEW YORK (11 - 10) - 12/3/2017, 3:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 4-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (17 - 6) at MIAMI (11 - 11) - 12/3/2017, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
    MIAMI is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 128-174 ATS (-63.4 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (8 - 13) at MINNESOTA (13 - 10) - 12/3/2017, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 220-271 ATS (-78.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 390-454 ATS (-109.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 30-53 ATS (-28.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 4-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (15 - 7) at OKLAHOMA CITY (9 - 12) - 12/3/2017, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 183-137 ATS (+32.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 166-128 ATS (+25.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1015-888 ATS (+38.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 411-329 ATS (+49.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-7 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (17 - 4) at LA LAKERS (8 - 14) - 12/3/2017, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 6-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 6-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2017 at 12:33 PM.

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