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Thread: Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/2

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, December 2

    Good Luck on day #335 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Odds to win the 2018 World Series, from Planet Hollywood:

    5-1— Dodgers

    6-1— Astros/Indians/Bronx Bombers

    7-1— Cubs

    8-1— Nationals

    9-1— Red Sox

    14-1— Cardinals


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……..

    13) When someone throws their Christmas tree out on the front lawn on December 1st, there is a pretty good chance that person is moving soon.

    Thats how reporters were clued in that Jimbo Fi$her was bolting Florida State for the greener pa$ture$ of Texa$ A&M. You mock my dollar signs? Fi$her got $75M guaranteed for ten year$.

    Seminoles need to beat UL-Monroe Saturday to go to a bowl; Fi$her is gone, DL coach Odell Higgins is the interim coach for Saturday and if they win, the bowl game.

    12) So now Oregon’s Willie Taggert is the favorite for the Florida State job; FSU would be his third job in three years- he went from South Florida to Oregon last year.

    If Taggert bolts Oregon, the Ducks would have their third coach in three years in 2018.

    11) Then there is Tennessee, which still hasn’t hired a football coach and now they also have to hire a new athletic director. Pretty soon they also may need a new chancellor.

    Good luck hiring a quality coach when the jackasses on Twitter have veto power over which coach gets hired, which is what happened earlier this week with the Greg Schiano debacle.

    10) Interesting story on the TheMMQB.com on how the Buffalo Bills have a different player stand in front of the team every week and talk about what motivates him and what people have been the driving forces in their lives.

    It allows players to get to know their teammates better and hopefully bonds them tighter as a team. An unusual approach; if the Bills make the playoffs, more teams will do it.

    9) Six Sutter brothers played in the NHL; they combined to score 2,936 points, which is the NHL record for most points scored by a family.

    Two Gretzky brothers played in the NHL; Brent Gretzky had one goal, three assists. Wayne Gretzky scored the rest of the family’s 2,861 points.

    8) Sounds like major league baseball might add expansion teams in Portland/Montreal, go to 32 teams, four geographically-based divisions with a 156-game schedule.

    7) Charlie Hoffman made 12 birdies Friday, shot a 63 and leads the Hero World Challenge; I’m only telling you because ESPN won’t report anything except what Eldrick Woods shoots. Guy makes 12 birdies out of 18 holes, it deserves some publicity.

    6) Shohei Ohtani has until December 22 to sign with a major league team; there are reports from a Japanese newspaper that the Padres are one of his final five teams. Ohtani wants to hit and pitch in the majors and there are reports he wants to play on a team that doesn’t already have a Japanese player on it— no idea why.

    5) Purdue 80, Maryland 75— NFL referee Gene Steratore worked this game; wonder if he has the Ravens’ game in Baltimore Sunday- would make his travel simpler.

    4) Grambling 64, Georgia Tech 63— Awful loss for the Yellow Jackets; Grambling was ranked #338 before this game. Grambling had lost 63 games in a row against Power 5 teams, dating back 21 years. Yikes.

    3) USC 31, Stanford 28— Wow, Sam Darnold has an interesting decision ahead of him after the Trojans’ bowl game; go play pro football and get rich, or stay in college and prepare for the NFL for one more season? If the Browns go 0-16, I’m guessing he stays at USC.

    2) One of the themes of Moneyball was that Billy Beane “wanted to change the game” as far as how baseball front offices did their jobs.

    Looks like he’s accomplished his goal; he’s turned front offices against the manager’s job and turned it into a middle-manager, button-pusher type that they think almost anyone can do.

    Bronx Bombers named Aaron Boone manager, someone who has never managed in the major leagues before. You really think managing a baseball team in New York City is an entry-level job? The amount of media scrutiny that goes on? A first-timer is a good choice?

    I could care less if the Bronx Bombers ever win another game; just seems to me that firing Joe Girardi for someone who is a rookie manager is an incredibly bad idea.

    1) Derek Jeter is doing a hell of a job as Marlins’ owner; his latest fiasco (from CBS Sports):

    “Miami Marlins fired a veteran scout a few days after he underwent colon cancer surgery. What’s worse, the scout received the phone call to learn of his dismissal while laying in the hospital waiting on a kidney transplant.”

    Classy, great people skills; how much money could the scout possibly be making?

    Trading Giancarlo Stanton in a salary dump will be Jeter’s next move; because they’re dumping salary, the Marlins will trade a guy who hit 59 homers and get very little back, in way of players.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, December 2


    Celtics won four of last five games with Phoenix; four of last six series games went over total. Suns covered six of last eight series games. Phoenix lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-4 vs spread as a road underdog. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Celtics won 19 of their last 21 games; they’re 6-2 vs spread as home favorites. Six of their last seven games went over the total.

    Clippers won five of their last seven games with Dallas; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five games in this building. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Clippers won three of last four games but now Griffin is hurt; they’re 3-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over the total. Dallas lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 1-3 as home favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

    Nets won their last three games with Atlanta; under is 8-0-1 in last nine series games. Hawks are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. Atlanta lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-5-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Five of their last seven games went over. Brooklyn lost six of its last nine games; they’re 2-1 vs spread as home favorites. Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

    Road team won four of last five Detroit-Philly games; Pistons covered their last three games in this building. Three of last four series games stayed under. Detroit won three of its last four games; they’re 7-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total. 76ers won six of their last nine games; they’re 5-3 vs spread as a home favorite. Four of their last six games stayed under the total.

    Cavaliers won four of last six games with Memphis; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Grizzlies are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Ohio. Memphis lost its last ten games and fired its coach; they’re 4-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Cavaliers won their last ten games (5-5 vs spread); they’re 2-8 as a home favorite. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

    Bucks won their last three games with Sacramento; they just beat them by 25 in Sacramento four nites ago. Kings covered three of last four visits to Milwaukee. Last ten series games went over the total. Sacramento won three of last five games (3-1-1 vs spread); they’re 3-6-1 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over. Bucks won three of last four games; they’re 3-4-1 as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over.

    Lakers lost seven of last ten games with Denver; LA is 1-3 vs spread in last four games in this building. Last nine series games went over the total. Lakers lost five of their last seven games; they’re 3-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Six of last seven series games went over total. Denver won its last five home games; they’re 5-3 vs spread as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

    Home side won eight of last ten Pelican-Trailblazer games; New Orleans is 1-5 vs spread in its last six visits to Oregon. Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Pelicans lost their last three games; they’re 3-4 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Blazers won seven of last ten games; they’re 2-8-1 vs spread as home favorites. Eight of their last ten games stayed under the total.

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    NBA

    Saturday, December 2


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    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX @ BOSTON
    Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games on the road
    Boston is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
    Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

    LA CLIPPERS @ DALLAS
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    LA Clippers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    Dallas is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

    ATLANTA @ BROOKLYN
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 9 games when playing Atlanta

    MEMPHIS @ CLEVELAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
    Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

    SACRAMENTO @ MILWAUKEE
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home

    LA LAKERS @ DENVER
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

    NEW ORLEANS @ PORTLAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 13 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games at home
    Portland is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against New Orleans


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-02-2017 at 01:08 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, December 2


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    PHOENIX (8 - 15) at BOSTON (19 - 4) - 12/2/2017, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    BOSTON is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 158-116 ATS (+30.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA CLIPPERS (8 - 12) at DALLAS (5 - 17) - 12/2/2017, 2:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 220-270 ATS (-77.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (4 - 17) at BROOKLYN (8 - 13) - 12/2/2017, 3:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    BROOKLYN is 4-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (14 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (12 - 9) - 12/2/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    PHILADELPHIA is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
    DETROIT is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 38-69 ATS (-37.9 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 6-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (7 - 14) at CLEVELAND (15 - 7) - 12/2/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games this season.
    MEMPHIS is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
    MEMPHIS is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
    CLEVELAND is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SACRAMENTO (7 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (11 - 9) - 12/2/2017, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 158-203 ATS (-65.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 85-59 ATS (+20.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 391-456 ATS (-110.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 148-189 ATS (-59.9 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 258-313 ATS (-86.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 57-92 ATS (-44.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (8 - 13) at DENVER (12 - 9) - 12/2/2017, 9:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (11 - 11) at PORTLAND (13 - 9) - 12/2/2017, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PORTLAND is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-02-2017 at 01:09 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, December 2


    Phoenix @ Boston

    Game 501-502
    December 2, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    108.325
    Boston
    124.899
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 16 1/2
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    12 1/2
    216
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-12 1/2); Under

    LA Clippers @ Dallas


    Game 503-504
    December 2, 2017 @ 2:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    113.582
    Dallas
    119.389
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 6
    198
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    by 4 1/2
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (-4 1/2); Under

    Atlanta @ Brooklyn


    Game 505-506
    December 2, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    114.512
    Brooklyn
    117.512
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 3
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 5
    219
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+5); Over

    Detroit @ Philadelphia


    Game 507-508
    December 2, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    121.445
    Philadelphia
    122.567
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1
    222
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 5
    214 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+5); Over

    Memphis @ Cleveland


    Game 509-510
    December 2, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    111.356
    Cleveland
    124.407
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 13
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 11 1/2
    207
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-11 1/2); Under

    Sacramento @ Milwaukee


    Game 511-512
    December 2, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    109.223
    Milwaukee
    125.575
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 16 1/2
    194
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 11
    199 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-11); Under

    LA Lakers @ Denver


    Game 513-514
    December 2, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    116.792
    Denver
    117.810
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 1
    235
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    6
    221 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (+6); Over

    New Orleans @ Portland


    Game 515-516
    December 2, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    116.558
    Portland
    118.774
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 2
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 6 1/2
    206
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (+6 1/2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-02-2017 at 01:10 PM.

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