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Thread: Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/30

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 30

    Good Luck on day #333 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Some trends for Week 13 of the NFL

    — Seahawks covered eight of last ten games as a home underdog.

    — 49ers are 3-16 vs spread in last 19 non-divisional games.

    — Oakland is 2-6-1 vs spread in its last seven games.

    — Chiefs covered 14 of last 18 games as a road favorite.

    — Minnesota Vikings covered their last six games.

    — New England is 2-8 vs spread as a divisional road favorite.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) University of Tennessee’s football team is still looking for a football coach, as they re-define the term “clusterfuck”. At this rate, they’ll be interviewing Al Pacino for the job; he was good as the football coach in Any Given Sunday.

    What a bunch of bumbling fools the Tennessee administration is; they offer Jeff Brohm a deal, he says yes, the AD takes it to the chancellor, who says no— they make changes, the AD takes it back to Brohm, who then says no. Oy.

    12) Since Les Miles doesn’t appear to be a candidate in Knoxville, how about Tee Martin, who is the offensive coordinator at USC now and was a QB in college who led Tennessee to the national title in 1998? Martin replaced Peyton Manning as the Vols’ QB- wouldn’t he be a good choice?

    11) I’m sure the NFL offices were thrilled that Sports Illustrated came out with an article saying that Browns’ WR Josh Gordon was making $10,000 a month in college selling weed.

    Gordon is playing this week for the first time in three years after various suspensions.

    10) There will be conference games in college basketball this weekend; the Big 14 is playing two games per team, because their conference season is a week shorter this year, with the conference tournament in Madison Square Garden in March.

    That means the Big 14 teams who make the NCAA tournament will have a week off before Selection Sunday, which is very unusual.

    9) March 17 will be Decision Day for Eli Manning and the Giants- they owe him a $5M bonus if he is still on the roster then. Chances seem pretty good that he will not be.

    8) Best red zone offenses in the NFL (when teams get inside the opponents’ 20-yard line): Eagles 6.11 points/drive, Packers 5.35, Saints/Raiders 5.29

    Worst red zone offenses: Browns 3.11, Colts 3.36, Jets 3.38, Cardinals 4.00

    7) Best black zone offenses in NFL (drives that start 75+ yards from goal line): Patriots 2.59 pts/drive, Saints 2.43 Eagles 2.21, Vikings 2.07

    Worst black zone offenses: Colts 0.64, Browns 0.78, Giants 0.92, Ravens 0.93

    6) Best ratios of 20+-yard plays, for/against: Vikings +24 (54-30), Eagles +17 (47-30), Falcons +16 (48-32)

    Worst ratios: Giants -26 (26-52), Colts -22 (36-58), Buccaneers -17 (38-55).

    5) East Carolina basketball coach Jeff Lebo resigned (got fired) Wednesday; Pirates are 2-4 in what was Lebo’s 8th year in charge at ECU- he is the second coach to leave his job this week, and it isn’t December yet.

    4) Dak Prescott has thrown six INT’s in 4th quarter, most of any QB in NFL this season.

    3) Nation-wide in college football conference title games that are rematches, the team that won the first game is 17-13 vs spread in the second meeting.

    2) You can’t make this stuff up: American Airlines says a computer glitch allowed all their pilots to take vacation over Christmas week. Now the pilots’ union says thousands of flights are in jeopardy of cancellation. Americans says they’re offering time and a half pay for pilots to fill in and expect (hope) to resolve the issue.

    1) Since Eli Manning has been the Giants’ starting QB, the three other NFC East teams have all had 10+ starting QB’s- Washington has had 10, Eagles/Dallas 12 each.

  3. #3
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, November 30



    Notre Dame @ Michigan State

    Game 511-512
    November 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Notre Dame
    75.321
    Michigan State
    77.249
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan State
    by 2
    134
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan State
    by 6
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    Notre Dame
    (+6); Under

    Harvard @ Northeastern


    Game 513-514
    November 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Harvard
    52.166
    Northeastern
    52.514
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Harvard
    Even
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northeastern
    by 2 1/2
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Harvard
    (+2 1/2); Over

    South Florida @ Elon


    Game 515-516
    November 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Florida
    45.447
    Elon
    57.175
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Elon
    by 11 1/2
    126
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Elon
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Elon
    N/A

    NC-Wilmington @ East Carolina


    Game 517-518
    November 30, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NC-Wilmington
    55.709
    East Carolina
    47.834
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NC-Wilmington
    by 8
    167
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NC-Wilmington
    by 1 1/2
    159
    Dunkel Pick:
    NC-Wilmington
    (-1 1/2); Over

    Memphis @ UAB


    Game 519-520
    November 30, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    51.357
    UAB
    60.922
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UAB
    by 9 1/2
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UAB
    by 4 1/2
    142 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    UAB
    (-4 1/2); Under

    North Texas @ Oklahoma


    Game 521-522
    November 30, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Texas
    42.203
    Oklahoma
    75.777
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 33 1/2
    168
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 28 1/2
    155 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma
    (-28 1/2); Over

    Missouri @ UCF


    Game 523-524
    November 30, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Missouri
    69.611
    UCF
    59.371
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Missouri
    by 10
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Missouri
    by 2
    136
    Dunkel Pick:
    Missouri
    (-2); Over

    San Diego St @ San Diego


    Game 525-526
    November 30, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Diego St
    64.358
    San Diego
    53.643
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego St
    by 10 1/2
    152
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Diego St
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Diego St
    N/A

    Pacific @ Cal Riverside


    Game 527-528
    November 30, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pacific
    49.196
    Cal Riverside
    52.514
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cal Riverside
    by 3 1/2
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pacific
    by 2
    148
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cal Riverside
    (+2); Over

    Texas Tech @ Seton Hall


    Game 529-530
    November 30, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas Tech
    71.029
    Seton Hall
    69.640
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas Tech
    by 1 1/2
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seton Hall
    by 1 1/2
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas Tech
    (+1 1/2); Over

    South Carolina @ Temple


    Game 531-532
    November 30, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Carolina
    65.498
    Temple
    66.623
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Temple
    by 1
    148
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Carolina
    by 1
    143
    Dunkel Pick:
    Temple
    (+1); Over

    Western Carolina @ Coll of Charleston


    Game 533-534
    November 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Carolina
    45.612
    Coll of Charlesto
    55.542
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Coll of Charlesto
    by 10
    122
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Coll of Charlesto
    by 15 1/2
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Carolina
    (+15 1/2); Under

    North Dakota St @ Mississippi State


    Game 535-536
    November 30, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Dakota St
    56.966
    Mississippi State
    58.600
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Mississippi State
    by 1 1/2
    132
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Mississippi State
    by 10 1/2
    138
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Dakota St
    (+10 1/2); Under

    Weber State @ Fresno State


    Game 537-538
    November 30, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Weber State
    54.205
    Fresno State
    62.725
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Fresno State
    by 8 1/2
    146
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Fresno State
    by 10 1/2
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Weber State
    (+10 1/2); Over

    Northern Arizona @ Santa Clara


    Game 539-540
    November 30, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Northern Arizona
    37.029
    Santa Clara
    57.599
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Santa Clara
    by 20 1/2
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Santa Clara
    by 13
    139
    Dunkel Pick:
    Santa Clara
    (-13); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017 at 12:23 PM.

  4. #4
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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, November 30


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    NOTRE DAME (6 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (5 - 1) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 39-12 ATS (+25.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
    MICHIGAN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HARVARD (3 - 4) at NORTHEASTERN (2 - 4) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HARVARD is 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    HARVARD is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    NORTHEASTERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NORTHEASTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
    NORTHEASTERN is 1-1 straight up against HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    S FLORIDA (4 - 3) at ELON (4 - 3) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ELON is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
    ELON is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UNC-WILMINGTON (2 - 3) at E CAROLINA (2 - 4) - 11/30/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    E CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (3 - 1) at UAB (4 - 3) - 11/30/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UAB is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    UAB is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UAB is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    UAB is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    N TEXAS (4 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (4 - 1) - 11/30/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N TEXAS is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
    N TEXAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MISSOURI (5 - 2) at UCF (4 - 2) - 11/30/2017, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UCF is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    UCF is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    UCF is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN DIEGO ST (5 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 0) - 11/30/2017, 11:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
    SAN DIEGO is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PACIFIC (3 - 4) at UC-RIVERSIDE (2 - 3) - 11/30/2017, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PACIFIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-RIVERSIDE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
    UC-RIVERSIDE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    UC-RIVERSIDE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-RIVERSIDE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-RIVERSIDE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS TECH (6 - 0) vs. SETON HALL (5 - 1) - 11/30/2017, 6:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEXAS TECH is 133-177 ATS (-61.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    TEXAS TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
    TEXAS TECH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    S CAROLINA (5 - 1) vs. TEMPLE (3 - 1) - 11/30/2017, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEMPLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
    S CAROLINA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    S CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
    S CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    S CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    S CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
    S CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    S CAROLINA is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
    TEMPLE is 40-66 ATS (-32.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    W CAROLINA (2 - 5) at COLL OF CHARLESTON (4 - 2) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W CAROLINA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    W CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
    W CAROLINA is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLL OF CHARLESTON is 1-1 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    COLL OF CHARLESTON is 2-0 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    N DAKOTA ST (3 - 3) at MISSISSIPPI ST (5 - 0) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N DAKOTA ST is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    MISSISSIPPI ST is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WEBER ST (4 - 2) at FRESNO ST (4 - 2) - 11/30/2017, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WEBER ST is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
    FRESNO ST is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    N ARIZONA (0 - 6) at SANTA CLARA (1 - 5) - 11/30/2017, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N ARIZONA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    SANTA CLARA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
    SANTA CLARA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    N ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
    SANTA CLARA is 1-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017 at 12:25 PM.

  5. #5
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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, November 30


    Michigan State pounded North Carolina 63-45 Sunday night; Spartans are 5-1 vs schedule #58- 4 of their 6 games were on neutral floors. MSU has #3 eFG% defense in country, but has turned ball over 22.8% of time while playing a slowish pace. Notre Dame is 6-0; they haven’t played in 8 days since beating Wichita St 67-66 in Maui final, after trailing by 16 at one point. Irish play #37 pace, in bottom 15 in country. Big 14 home favorites are 19-14 vs spread; ACC underdogs are 5-7 away from home. ACC teams are 12-4 SU vs Big 14 this year (9-7 vs spread).

    Harvard won three of last four games with Northeastern, losing 80-71 in last visit here couple years ago. Huskies lost their last four games, allowing 80.5 ppg- they’ve turned ball over 24.3% of time vs schedule #65- they’re #268 experience team. Harvard lost four of last five games, with three of those losses to teams outside top 200; they’re shooting only 28.8% on arc, turning ball over 20.6% of time. CAA home favorites are 2-1 vs spread; Ivy League road underdogs are 6-7. Ivy League teams covered seven of last 10 games vs CAA teams.

    East Carolina coach Lebo quit/was fired earlier this week; Pirates lost three of last four games with NC-Wilmington, with only win two years ago. UNCW is 1-3 vs D-I teams, losing only true road game by 27 at Davidson; Seahawks have played schedule #78. UNCW is playing pace #11- they’ve been a terrible defensive team so far under new coach McGrath- their only win was over Campbell. CAA favorites are 3-4 vs spread away from home; AAC underdogs are 6-8. Last 2+ years, AAC teams are 8-6 vs spread when playing CAA squads.

    UAB lost 62-55 at Memphis LY, in brickfest where teams shot combined 4-25 on arc; Blazers went 0-3 at Cayman Islands tourney- they’re 2-3 vs D-I teams, 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 13-5-10 points. Memphis is 3-1 vs schedule #272; Tigers are shooting only 26.9% on arc while turning ball over 21.7% of time. Memphis starts three juniors, one senior. C-USA home favorites are 5-3 vs spread; AAC underdogs are 6-8 away from home. Last 2+ years, AAC teams are 10-6 vs spread when facing a C-USA team.

    Central Florida’s best player Taylor is out hurt and UCF is turning ball over 24.6% of time; UCF is 4-2 but lost last two games in the Orlando tourney, scoring 45-43 points. Knights’ best win is over #109 Nebraska. Missouri won 2 of 3 in that same Orlando tourney; Tigers are without star freshman Porter- they’re turning ball over 22.3% of time, but are making 41.2% on the arc. SEC favorites are 15-6 vs spread away from home; AAC underdogs are 6-9. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 11-7 vs spread when playing an AAC opponent.

    San Diego State won nine of last 10 games with San Diego, with only loss two years ago in a game played outdoors at Petco Park. Aztecs are 5-2 in Dutcher’s first year as coach, losing final of Fullerton tourney- they’re #222 experience team but their bench is 54th in minutes played. San Diego Toreros are 5-0 vs schedule #341; only top 150 team they’ve played is Grand Canyon, a good WAC team. Mountain West favorites are 7-5 vs spread away from home; WCC underdogs are 3-10. MW teams are 5-2 vs spread when playing WCC opponents this season.

    Pacific won three of last four games after an 0-3 start; 3-0 vs teams outside top 200, 0-4 vs top 200 teams. Riverside lost last three D-I games after upsetting Cal in its opener; UCR is turning ball over 23.1% of time, making just 24.6% on arc. Highlanders start three seniors, so they should be better. Pacific starts two sophs, three juniors- they’re #222 experience team. WCC favorites are 7-13 vs spread, 4-4 away from home; Big West underdogs are 19-13, 1-1 at home. Last 2+ years, Big West teams are 24-21 vs WCC teams (6-1 this year).

    Texas Tech starts five seniors, is 6-0 with top 100 wins over BC/Northwestern at Mohegan Sun- this is already their 2nd trip to the Northeast, long way from home. Red Raiders force turnovers 26.3% of time. Seton Hall is #96 team; they’re 5-1 with wins over Indiana/Vandy- they lost by a point to URI on neutral floor. Pirates force turnovers 24.1% of time. Big X favorites are 9-10 away from home; Big East underdogs are 3-6, 0-2 at home. Last 2+ years, Big X teams are 5-5 vs spread when playing a Big East opponent.

    South Carolina is 5-1 after winning at FIU Monday; Gamecocks are #273 experience team, also won at Wofford- their only loss was 69-65 to Illinois State in Myrtle Beach tourney. Temple got upset at LaSalle Sunday; Owls are 3-1 with three top 75 wins. over ODU-Auburn-Clemson (schedule #8). Temple starts two juniors, two seniors. Carolina led by 11 with 10:57 Sunday, were outscored 32-17 rest of way. SEC favorites are 15-6 vs spread away from home; AAC underdogs are 6-8. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 11-7 vs spread when playing an AAC opponent.

    Charleston is 3-2 vs D-I teams after going 1-1 in Alaskan Shootout; Cougars are missing one of their better players- they are 3-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200- they’re forcing turnovers 23.3% of time. Western Carolina is 1-5 vs D-I teams with only win vs #349 Alabama A&M; WCU is turning ball over 24.6% of time- four of their five losses were to top 80 teams in nation. CAA favorites are 5-5 vs spread; SoCon underdogs are 8-15 away from home. Last 2+ years, SoCon teams are 8-4 vs spread when playing CAA squads.

    Mississippi State is 5-0 vs schedule #346; their best two wins are Jacksonville State, SF Austin. Bulldogs are shooting only 26.2% outside arc- they’re #332 experience team that is playing lot of subs. North Dakota State’s confidence should be helped by So Dakota St winning at Ole Miss the other day; Bison are 3-3, with only top 100 game a 10-point loss at USC. SEC home favorites are 8-11 vs spread; Summit League underdogs are 12-15 away from home. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 6-3 vs spread when playing a Summit league foe.

    Weber State is 2-2 vs D-I teams, beating Mountain West’s Utah St by 6; this is their first D-I game in 11 days. Wildcats are #220 experience team that plays slow pace and doesn’t sub much. Fresno State is #19 experience team that is 4-2, losing to Arkansas/Evansville; Bulldogs don’t sub much either, but are making 39.1% of their 3-pointers. Mountain West home favorites are 15-5 vs spread; Big Sky underdogs are 18-21 away from home. Last 2+ years, Big Sky squads are 21-19 vs spread when playing a MW opponent.

    Santa Clara is 0-4 vs D-I teams, and even lost to Anchroage up in Alaska; Broncos protect ball well, but are shooting 32.1% on arc, 42.3% inside arc- they play pace #333. Northern Arizona is 0-6 with a loss to an NAIA school; Lumberjacks are turning ball over 25.6% of time, shooting 40.8% inside arc- when you’re 0-6, all the stats are dreadful. WCC home favorites are 3-9 vs spread; Big Sky underdogs are 18-21 away from home. Last 2+ years, WCC teams are 17-16-1 vs spread when playing a Big Sky opponent.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017 at 12:27 PM.

  6. #6
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    NCAAB

    Thursday, November 30


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ALICE LLOYD @ MOREHEAD STATE
    ALICE LLOYD

    No trends to report
    MOREHEAD STATE

    Morehead State is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Morehead State's last 6 games at home
    TEXAS TECH @ SETON HALL
    TEXAS TECH

    Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    SETON HALL

    Seton Hall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Seton Hall is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    NOTRE DAME @ MICHIGAN STATE
    NOTRE DAME

    Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    MICHIGAN STATE

    Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Michigan State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    SOUTH FLORIDA @ ELON
    SOUTH FLORIDA

    South Florida is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
    South Florida is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    ELON

    Elon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Elon is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    NJIT @ WEST VIRGINIA
    NJIT

    No trends to report
    WEST VIRGINIA

    West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    HARTFORD @ LIU-BROOKLYN
    HARTFORD

    No trends to report
    LIU-BROOKLYN

    No trends to report
    CAMPBELL @ STETSON
    CAMPBELL

    No trends to report
    STETSON

    No trends to report
    WESTERN CAROLINA @ COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
    WESTERN CAROLINA

    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Carolina's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against College of Charle
    COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON

    College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Western Carolina
    College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Carolina
    MOLLOY @ HOFSTRA
    MOLLOY

    No trends to report
    HOFSTRA

    No trends to report
    HARVARD @ NORTHEASTERN
    HARVARD

    Harvard is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Northeastern
    Harvard is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    NORTHEASTERN

    Northeastern is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
    Northeastern is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Harvard
    TEXAS SOUTHERN @ OAKLAND
    TEXAS SOUTHERN

    No trends to report
    OAKLAND

    Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Oakland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
    NORTH CAROLINA A&T @ CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE
    NORTH CAROLINA A&T

    No trends to report
    CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE

    No trends to report
    INDIANA-KOKOMO @ IPFW
    INDIANA-KOKOMO

    No trends to report
    IPFW

    IPFW is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    IPFW is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    NORTH DAKOTA STATE @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
    NORTH DAKOTA STATE

    North Dakota State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    MISSISSIPPI STATE

    Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    CENTRAL PENN COLLEGE @ HOWARD
    CENTRAL PENN COLLEGE

    No trends to report
    HOWARD

    No trends to report
    CARVER BIBLE @ SAVANNAH STATE
    CARVER BIBLE

    No trends to report
    SAVANNAH STATE

    No trends to report
    COLLEGE OF NEW ROCHELLE @ ST. FRANCIS-BROOKLYN
    COLLEGE OF NEW ROCHELLE

    No trends to report
    ST. FRANCIS-BROOKLYN

    No trends to report
    CHRISTENDOM COLLEGE @ NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
    CHRISTENDOM COLLEGE

    No trends to report
    NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

    No trends to report
    BETHUNE-COOKMAN @ JACKSONVILLE
    BETHUNE-COOKMAN

    No trends to report
    JACKSONVILLE

    No trends to report
    ST. THOMAS-TEXAS @ SAM HOUSTON STATE
    ST. THOMAS-TEXAS

    No trends to report
    SAM HOUSTON STATE

    No trends to report
    UNC WILMINGTON @ EAST CAROLINA
    UNC WILMINGTON

    UNC Wilmington is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing East Carolina
    UNC Wilmington is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    EAST CAROLINA

    East Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against UNC Wilmington
    East Carolina is 5-14-1 ATS in its last 20 games when playing UNC Wilmington
    UTRGV @ TEXAS A&M
    UTRGV

    UTRGV is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    UTRGV is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
    TEXAS A&M

    Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    MEMPHIS @ UAB
    MEMPHIS

    Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UAB
    Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UAB
    UAB

    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UAB's last 6 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
    ALABAMA STATE @ JACKSONVILLE STATE
    ALABAMA STATE

    No trends to report
    JACKSONVILLE STATE

    Jacksonville State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    Jacksonville State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    SOUTH DAKOTA @ UMKC
    SOUTH DAKOTA

    South Dakota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of South Dakota's last 10 games on the road
    UMKC

    UMKC is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    UMKC is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    NORTH TEXAS @ OKLAHOMA
    NORTH TEXAS

    North Texas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    North Texas is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
    OKLAHOMA

    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 5 games
    Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    OTTAWA (AZ) @ UTSA
    OTTAWA (AZ)

    No trends to report
    UTSA

    UTSA is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
    MISSOURI @ CENTRAL FLORIDA
    MISSOURI

    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Missouri's last 12 games on the road
    Missouri is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    CENTRAL FLORIDA

    Central Florida is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
    Central Florida is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
    SOUTH CAROLINA @ TEMPLE
    SOUTH CAROLINA

    South Carolina is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    TEMPLE

    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 5 games
    Temple is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    NEW MEXICO STATE @ UTEP
    NEW MEXICO STATE

    New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UTEP
    New Mexico State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
    UTEP

    UTEP is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    UTEP is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
    WEBER STATE @ FRESNO STATE
    WEBER STATE

    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 5 games on the road
    Weber State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    FRESNO STATE

    Fresno State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games
    PACIFIC @ UC RIVERSIDE
    PACIFIC

    Pacific is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against UC Riverside
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pacific's last 9 games on the road
    UC RIVERSIDE

    UC Riverside is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pacific
    UC Riverside is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Pacific
    MULTNOMAH UNIVERSITY @ PORTLAND
    MULTNOMAH UNIVERSITY

    No trends to report
    PORTLAND

    Portland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Portland is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games
    NORTHERN ARIZONA @ SANTA CLARA
    NORTHERN ARIZONA

    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Northern Arizona's last 23 games on the road
    Northern Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    SANTA CLARA

    Santa Clara is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Santa Clara is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    KENNESAW STATE @ SEATTLE
    KENNESAW STATE

    No trends to report
    SEATTLE

    Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Seattle is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
    SAN DIEGO STATE @ SAN DIEGO
    SAN DIEGO STATE

    San Diego State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Diego
    San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    SAN DIEGO

    San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego State


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017 at 12:28 PM.

  7. #7
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    College basketball's top ATS teams:

    Nevada 7-0 ATS
    Portland St. 6-0 ATS
    Washington St. 5-0 ATS
    Florida St. 5-0 ATS
    South Alabama 5-0 ATS
    Southern Utah 5-0 ATS
    Central Michigan 4-0 ATS
    Towson 4-0 ATS
    UC Davis 4-0-1 ATS

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