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Thread: NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Conference Championship Week (Fri., Dec. 1 - Sat., Dec. 2)

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    Default NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Conference Championship Week (Fri., Dec. 1 - Sat., Dec. 2)


    Week 14


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Friday, December 1 - Saturday, December 2

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Betting action very heavy as NCAAF Championship Week pointspreads hit the board
    Patrick Everson

    “The Badgers are undefeated. Buckeyes signal caller J.T. Barrett is banged up. Wisconsin covered the number in four straight. No wonder 67 percent of early bettors are on the Badgers and the points.”

    Conference championship week has arrived in college football, which could lead to easy decisions or utter chaos for the committee deciding on the four-team College Football Playoff. All we’re concerned with is the betting angle on these games. So with that, here’s a look at the opening lines and early action on the Power Five conference finals, with insights from Dave Mason, brand manager for offshore sportsbook BetOnline.ag.

    Georgia Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers (-2.5)

    Auburn had a fantastic finish to the regular season, charting two impressive home wins, over an unbeaten Georgia squad in Week 11, then another unbeaten in Alabama in Week 13. The Tigers (10-2 SU, 6-4-2 ATS) bested ‘Bama 26-14 Saturday as a 6-point home underdog, two weeks after upending Georgia 40-17 catching 2.5 points at home.

    The upset of the Tide gives Auburn a rematch against Georgia, with the winner of the SEC title game assuredly in the CFP. The Bulldogs (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) bounced back from the loss to the Tigers with blowout wins the last two weeks. Georgia rolled Kentucky 42-13 as a 23.5-point home chalk, then dumped host Georgia Tech 38-7 laying 11.5 points on Saturday.

    “No surprise that the SEC championship is taking on more bets than any other game on the betting board,” Mason said. “As a matter of fact, there are twice as many bets on this game than the second-most-bet-game – the ACC championship. After knocking off No. 1 Alabama last week and then-No. 1 Georgia with ease a few weeks ago, 68 percent of early bettors are on Auburn minus the points.”

    That helped move the line to Auburn -3.

    Miami Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigers (-7.5)

    Miami had a great chance to enter the ACC final undefeated, but stubbed its toe badly in Week 13. The Hurricanes (10-1 SU, 5-6 ATS) went to Pittsburgh as a 12-point fave and barely even scored a dozen points, losing 24-14.

    Clemson won five in a row SU following its shocking loss at Syracuse, and cashed in its last three games. On Saturday, the Tigers (11-1 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) coasted past South Carolina 34-10 giving 12.5 points on the road.

    “With Miami losing its first game of the year, in addition to Clemson covering each of its last three games, it’s not surprising that 82 percent of early bettors are on the defending champs,” Mason said. “Tons of early action, as this is the second-most-bet game so far.”

    That helped jack up this line from the opener of Clemson -7.5 to -9 by Sunday night.

    Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers (+6.5)

    Wisconsin got through the regular season unscathed and now hopes to lock up a CFP bid in the Big Ten final. The Badgers (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS) dispatched Minnesota 31-0 as a hefty 18.5-point favorite Saturday.

    Ohio State is hoping to win this week and sneak into the CFP despite having two losses, including a 55-14 shellacking at Iowa, where Urban Meyer’s troops were 21-point faves on Nov. 4. The Buckeyes (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS) outlasted archrival Michigan 31-20 on Saturday, but fell short of cashing as 12.5-point chalk.

    “The Badgers are undefeated. Buckeyes signal caller J.T. Barrett is banged up. Wisconsin covered the number in four straight. OSU is 1-4 ATS in its last five,” Mason said. “No wonder 67 percent of early bettors are on the Badgers and the points.”

    Based on that action, the line ticked down to Ohio State -6.

    Texas Christian Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners (-6)

    After a shocking home loss to Iowa State, Oklahoma won seven in a row to reach the Big 12 title game, with the last five victories all by 18 points or more. The Sooners (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) went off as 23-point favorites Saturday at West Virginia and won 59-31.

    Texas Christian also lost to Iowa State, though on the road, and TCU’s second loss came at Oklahoma on Nov. 11, 38-20 as a 6-point pup. The Horned Frogs (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) bounced back with two easy wins, including Saturday at home against Baylor, 45-22 as a heavy 24.5-point chalk.

    “Considering that the Sooners have covered in four out of their last five, including the win over TCU a few weeks back, it’s not surprising that the majority of early bettors are on Oklahoma,” Mason said, noting the line moved to Sooners -6.5. “This is by far the most-lopsided-bet game so far, as the bet count is about 20/1 in favor of Oklahoma.”

    Stanford Cardinal vs. Southern California Trojans (-3.5)

    Even with a win this week in the Pac-12 title game, Southern Cal has virtually no chance of reaching the CFP. The Trojans (10-2 SU) have been among the worst spread-covering outfits in the nation, which they demonstrated again in their Nov. 18 regular-season finale, a 28-23 win over UCLA as a 14.5-point home favorite.

    Stanford has absolutely no shot at the CFP, but did finish the regular season with style. The Cardinal, who won a tiebreaker with Washington to reach the Pac-12 final, dumped Notre Dame 38-20 getting 3 points at home Saturday night.

    “After opening USC -3.5, early bettors took the points with Stanford, and the line moved very quickly to the Trojans as field-goal favorites,” Mason said. “Since the line movement, more bets are on USC, with only 30 percent of the bettors taking Stanford. This lopsided bet count is a little surprising, since the public didn’t back USC too much during the second half of the season. Perhaps the Trojans’ 42-24 thrashing of the Cardinal back in September is still on the minds of the masses. Of the Power Five conference championship games, this one is getting the fewest bets by far.”
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017 at 04:01 AM.

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    College football's biggest betting mismatches: Championship week edition
    Monty Andrews

    TCU's Kenny Hill was one of the most accurate passers in the nation in 2017, completing two-thirds of his attempts while throwing multiple interceptions just once all season.

    Pac-12 Championship

    Stanford Cardinal vs. USC Trojans (-3, 57.5)


    Cardinal's ball-hawking prowess vs. Trojans' turnover troubles

    Things looked bleak early in the season for Stanford, but wins in eight of their final nine games have the Cardinal facing the USC Trojans for Pac-12 supremacy this Friday night. Stanford running back Bryce Love might be on the outside looking in for the Heisman Trophy, but it was still a sensational season for the 5-10 dynamo, who racked up nearly 1,900 yards on the ground. But the focus here isn't on Love: rather, it's on the significant advantage Stanford has in the turnover department.

    Stanford has one of the most dangerous secondaries in the nation, finishing the regular season tied for 10th among FBS teams in interceptions (16). Combine that with eight fumble recoveries in 12 games, and the Cardinal finished tied for 11th in total turnovers gained with 24. Stanford won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin in last weekend's 38-20 victory over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and forced two turnovers in their earlier meeting with the Trojans, a 42-24 setback in their second game of the season.

    USC dominated that initial matchup despite losing the turnover battle, but will need to be better in that department if it hopes for a similar result this Friday. The Trojans finished outside the top 100 nationally in total turnovers allowed with 22 - 10 fumbles lost and 12 interceptions. USC turned the ball over a combined five times in its two regular-season losses to Washington and Notre Dame - and if it can't do a better job against the Cardinal, it could have one more loss on its 2017 ledger.

    Big 12 Championship

    Oklahoma Sooners vs. TCU Horned Frogs (+7, 62.5)


    Sooners' so-so pass defense vs. cool Kenny Hill

    TCU will have revenge on its mind Saturday afternoon as the Horned Frogs square off against the Oklahoma Sooners for the Big 12 Championship. The Sooners racked up 38 first-half points en route to a 38-20 triumph over the Horned Frogs back on Nov. 11, part of a seven-game winning streak that has Oklahoma in the mix for the national title. But to get there, the Sooners will need to be better in the pass defense department - and they should get a stiff test this weekend from TCU quarterback Kenny Hill.

    Oklahoma doesn't have many weaknesses, but its QB pressure and overall secondary performance represent areas that could use some improvement. The Sooners finished in the lower half among FBS teams in sacks per game at 1.92, and intercepted just seven passes all season; only 21 teams had fewer INTs. Oklahoma didn't let those deficiencies prevent them from emerging as the team to beat in the Big 12, but it could be a different story this weekend.

    Only five teams threw fewer interceptions than the Horned Frogs this season, who had just five INTs in 12 games. Hill was one of the most accurate passers in the nation in 2017, completing two-thirds of his attempts while throwing multiple interceptions just once all season. Oklahoma limited him to 13-of-28 passing in one of his rare off games, but he still racked up 270 yards and a touchdown in that encounter - and if he's given time to operate this weekend, TCU will make a game of it.

    SEC Championship

    Georgia Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers (-2.5, 49)


    Georgia's red-zone rampage vs. Auburn's downfield defensive problems

    One of the weekend's marquee matchups pits SEC East champion Georgia against SEC West champ Auburn. The Tigers injected themselves into the national title picture with last weekend's 24-16 triumph over the formerly top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, and will lock up a spot in the College Football Playoff semifinal with a victory over the Bulldogs. But it won't be an easy encounter this weekend, with Georgia boasting the top red-zone scoring offense in the nation.

    The Bulldogs are known for boasting one of the country's top defenses - ranking fifth among FBS in scoring defense (13.8 points per game), but they were as tenacious as any team in Division I when they reached the opponent's 20-yard line, scoring 33 touchdowns and adding 11 field goals in 45 total trips - good for an absurd 97.8-percent success rate. Twenty-three of those TDs came courtesy the run - no surprise, considering that RBs Nick Chubb and Sony Michel combined for 26 rushing scores this season.

    Auburn didn't allow many red-zone chances this season - teams reached the Tigers' 20-yard line just 26 times all season. But the Tigers were below-average when it came to allowing points on those red-zone opportunities, permitting opponents to score 84.6 percent of the time. Like Georgia, Auburn is one of the top defensive teams in Division I - but if the Bulldogs get inside the Tigers' 20, it could spell major problems for them in what is expected to be a tightly-contested affair.

    ACC Championship

    Clemson Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes (+9.5, 47.5)


    Clemson's third-down dominance vs. Miami's drive-extension woes

    Clemson is in the enviable position of holding down the nation's No. 1 seed heading into the final game before the College Football Playoff participants are chosen. That makes the goal for this weekend simple: Win the ACC championship game against the Coastal Division-champion Miami Hurricanes, and you're in. And to that end, Clemson will look to take advantage of a sizeable edge when it comes to the Hurricanes facing third down situations.

    Clemson forced more than its share of punts during the regular season, ranking sixth in the country in third-down conversion rate against at 28.6 percent. Prior to South Carolina's 6-of-15 performance on third down last week, the Tigers held its previous four opponents - Georgia Tech, N.C. State, Florida State and the Citadel - to a combined 13-for-58 on third-down chances. It's no wonder that the Tigers racked up 27 punt returns on the season, ranking in the top 10 nationally.

    Miami overcame a difficult start to the season - at least from a weather perspective - to reel off 10 consecutive victories before dropping a 24-14 stunner to host Pittsburgh last weekend. And you could make the case that the Hurricanes' third-down struggles finally caught up with them; they went just 4-of-15 in that situation against the Panthers, and rank 121st out of 129 FBS teams in overall third-down conversion rate (30.7 percent). More struggles this weekend could mean disaster for Miami.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017 at 04:02 AM.

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    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Friday, December 1

    If this report updates, I'll edit this reply to show it.

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    STANFORD (9 - 3) vs. USC (10 - 2) - 12/1/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    STANFORD is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    STANFORD is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
    USC is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    STANFORD is 3-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
    STANFORD is 3-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Saturday, December 2

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    IDAHO (3 - 8) at GEORGIA ST (6 - 4) - 12/2/2017, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    IDAHO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    IDAHO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    IDAHO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    IDAHO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
    IDAHO is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 6) at APPALACHIAN ST (7 - 4) - 12/2/2017, 2:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA LAFAYETTE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    APPALACHIAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
    APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    GA SOUTHERN (2 - 9) at COASTAL CAROLINA (2 - 9) - 12/2/2017, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    TROY (9 - 2) at ARKANSAS ST (7 - 3) - 12/2/2017, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARKANSAS ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    ARKANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    ARKANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    TROY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
    ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    S ALABAMA (4 - 7) at NEW MEXICO ST (5 - 6) - 12/2/2017, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    S ALABAMA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    S ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    S ALABAMA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    S ALABAMA is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
    S ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 91-122 ATS (-43.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 43-71 ATS (-35.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    S ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NORTH TEXAS (9 - 3) at FLA ATLANTIC (9 - 3) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLA ATLANTIC is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
    FLA ATLANTIC is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
    FLA ATLANTIC is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    FLA ATLANTIC is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
    FLA ATLANTIC is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
    FLA ATLANTIC is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
    FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MEMPHIS (10 - 1) at UCF (11 - 0) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    MEMPHIS is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    UCF is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    AKRON (7 - 5) vs. TOLEDO (10 - 2) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TOLEDO is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
    TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    GEORGIA (11 - 1) vs. AUBURN (10 - 2) - 12/2/2017, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GEORGIA is 2-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGIA is 2-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    FRESNO ST (9 - 3) at BOISE ST (9 - 3) - 12/2/2017, 7:45 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOISE ST is 139-101 ATS (+27.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 139-101 ATS (+27.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
    FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
    FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
    FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
    FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI (10 - 1) vs. CLEMSON (11 - 1) - 12/2/2017, 7:45 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OHIO ST (10 - 2) vs. WISCONSIN (12 - 0) - 12/2/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    OHIO ST is 182-140 ATS (+28.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 182-140 ATS (+28.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 165-126 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
    OHIO ST is 1-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MASSACHUSETTS (4 - 7) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (7 - 4) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MASSACHUSETTS is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
    MASSACHUSETTS is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA MONROE (4 - 7) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 6) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
    FLORIDA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    TCU (10 - 2) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1) - 12/2/2017, 12:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA is 2-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA is 3-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by Udog; 12-01-2017 at 11:14 AM.

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    NCAAF

    Conference Championship Week


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    Trend Report
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    Friday, December 1

    STANFORD @ SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
    Stanford is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 8 games
    Southern California is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern California's last 6 games


    Saturday, December 2

    MASSACHUSETTS @ FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
    Massachusetts is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Massachusetts is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Florida International is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games

    LOUISIANA-MONROE @ FLORIDA STATE
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 20 games
    Florida State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
    Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    NORTH TEXAS @ FLORIDA ATLANTIC
    North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    North Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    AKRON @ TOLEDO
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Akron's last 10 games
    Akron is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
    Toledo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Toledo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    MEMPHIS @ CENTRAL FLORIDA
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

    TEXAS CHRISTIAN @ OKLAHOMA
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas Christian's last 8 games
    Texas Christian is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
    Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas Christian

    GEORGIA SOUTHERN @ COASTAL CAROLINA
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games on the road
    Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games
    Coastal Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

    IDAHO @ GEORGIA STATE
    Idaho is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Idaho's last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia State's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia State's last 5 games at home

    LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE @ APPALACHIAN STATE
    Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Appalachian State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    Appalachian State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

    GEORGIA @ AUBURN
    Georgia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
    Georgia is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Auburn
    Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Auburn's last 9 games

    SOUTH ALABAMA @ NEW MEXICO STATE
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 8 games
    South Alabama is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 7 games

    TROY @ ARKANSAS STATE
    Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Troy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Troy

    FRESNO STATE @ BOISE STATE
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games
    Fresno State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Fresno State
    Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

    MIAMI-FL @ CLEMSON
    Miami-FL is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami-FL's last 9 games
    Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Clemson is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami-FL

    WISCONSIN @ OHIO STATE
    Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
    Ohio State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017 at 04:04 AM.

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    College football conference championship game rematches: What's new and what's not
    Ashton Grewal

    Georgia gets a second crack at Auburn in the SEC Championship Game on Saturday afternoon three weeks to the day after it was thumped 40-17 at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Will the Dawgs bark back?

    Conference championship week in college football this year is, to borrow a Yogi Berra line, like déjà vu all over again. Seven of the conference championship games this weekend are rematches of conference games from earlier this season.

    Ashton Grewal examines the replays in the power conference title games to try and find out what’s changed for the teams involved since the last meeting, what’s the same, and what bettors should expect in the rematch.

    SEC championship game

    Teams: Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs

    Odds: Auburn -2.5, over/under 49
    Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, Georgia (Neutral field)

    Last game when and where: Week 11 at Auburn
    Last game odds: Georgia -2.5, over/under 48
    Last game result: Auburn 40 – Georgia 17

    Story of the first game: Auburn held Georgia to a season-low 46 rushing yards on 32 carries while it gained 246 yards on the ground itself against one of the best run defenses in the country.

    What’s different this time: A neutral field should help Georgia, as should the health of Auburn star running back Kerryon Johnson who hurt his shoulder in the Iron Bowl last weekend. Westgate SuperBook oddsmaker Ed Salmon says Johnson is worth about a half point to the spread. Vegas sees Auburn as the better team this time around.

    What’s the same: The playoff stakes for the Tigers. Auburn had to win out in the regular season to have any shot at securing a place in the college football playoff and it will have to beat Georgia a second time to make it inside the top four rankings.

    Georgia’s ATS dominance. The Bulldogs went right back to creaming the opposition after their setback against Auburn. UGA went 2-0 ATS after the game against Auburn and finished the season with an 8-4 mark against the spread.

    Big 12 Championship Game

    Teams: Texas Christian Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners

    Odds: Oklahoma -7, over/under: 63.5
    Location: AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas (Neutral field)

    Last game when and where: Week 11 at Oklahoma
    Last game odds: Oklahoma -6, 63.5
    Last game result: Oklahoma 38 – TCU 20

    Story of first game: The Sooners found the end zone in five of their first seven possessions and took a 38-14 lead into halftime. TCU played better in the second half but never got back in the game. Oklahoma ran for 200 yards on the ground against the third best rush defense in the country.

    What’s different this time: The game will be played on a neutral field but it’s safe to assume Oklahoma’s fan base will travel better than TCU’s.

    OU’s stock has gone up in the betting market while TCU’s has dropped since their first matchup. The books opened with the Sooners giving seven points in the Week 11 showdown and bettors backed the Frogs which brought the spread down to OU -6 by kickoff. This time, oddsmakers installed OU as 6.5-point chalk on a neutral field and the market is bringing the number up to a touchdown spread.

    What’s the same: The Sooners’ dominance against Big 12 opposition. Lincoln Riley’s team averaged a 14.3- point differential per game in conference play. TCU’s offense is decent but not in the same league as Oklahoma.

    Pac-12 Championship Game

    Teams: Southern California Trojans vs. Stanford Cardinal

    Odds: USC -4, over/under: 58.5
    Location: Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, California (Neutral field)

    Last game when and where: Week 2 at USC
    Last game odds: USC -3.5, 54.5
    Last game result: USC 42 – Stanford 24

    Story of the first game: The Trojans converted 10 of their 12 third downs and racked up 307 rushing yards, 28 first downs and 623 total offensive yards. USC’s nine possessions ended in touchdowns (six), interceptions (two) or victory formation kneels (one).

    What’s different this time: Stanford made a switch at QB when it elected to bench Keller Chryst for redshirt freshman K.J. Costello in Week 10. The Cardinal’s passing game has been more accurate with Costello under center and he’s coming off a four-TD-toss performance against the Fighting Irish.

    The health of Stanford running back Bryce Love is the real question mark in this rematch. He was completely healthy in Week 2 but he’s been struggling with a sore ankle for the past few weeks.

    What’s the same: It was a weird year in the Pac-12 and the winner of this game probably has no shot of making the college football playoff. But USC was the preseason favorite to win the conference and Stanford was the third choice behind USC and Washington.

    Trojans quarterback Sam Darnold was picked off twice in the first game against Stanford and USC's turnover problems continued throughout the season. The Trojans averaged 1.8 giveaways per game which puts them in the bottom rung of teams in the country.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017 at 04:06 AM.

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    Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett had arthroscopic knee surgery Sunday. WILL be able to play Saturday vs Wisconsin.
    Line: Buckeyes -6.5

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    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Conference Championship Week


    If this report updates, I'll edit this reply to show it.

    Friday, December 1

    Stanford @ USC

    Game 303-304
    December 1, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Stanford
    97.609
    USC
    107.080
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    USC
    by 9 1/2
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    USC
    by 3 1/2
    58
    Dunkel Pick:
    USC
    (-3 1/2); Over



    Saturday, December 2

    Idaho @ Georgia State

    Game 305-306
    December 2, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Idaho
    63.523
    Georgia State
    70.865
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia State
    by 7 1/2
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia State
    by 5
    46
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia State
    (-5); Under

    LA-Lafayette @ Appalachian St


    Game 307-308
    December 2, 2017 @ 2:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA-Lafayette
    68.046
    Appalachian St
    79.672
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 11 1/2
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 15
    57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA-Lafayette
    (+15); Over

    Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina


    Game 309-310
    December 2, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia Southern
    65.641
    Coastal Carolina
    71.176
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Coastal Carolina
    by 5 1/2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia Southern
    by 3
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Coastal Carolina
    (+3); Under

    Troy @ Arkansas St


    Game 311-312
    December 2, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Troy
    83.135
    Arkansas St
    85.697
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arkansas St
    by 2 1/2
    72
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arkansas St
    Pick
    59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas St
    Over

    South Alabama @ New Mexico St


    Game 313-314
    December 2, 2017 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Alabama
    60.552
    New Mexico St
    76.153
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Mexico St
    by 15 1/2
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Mexico St
    by 9 1/2
    53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Mexico St
    (-9 1/2); Under

    North Texas @ Florida Atlantic


    Game 315-316
    December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Texas
    79.001
    Florida Atlantic
    92.421
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida Atlantic
    by 13 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida Atlantic
    by 10
    74 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida Atlantic
    (-10); Under

    Memphis @ Central Florida


    Game 317-318
    December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    94.986
    Central Florida
    105.575
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Central Florida
    by 10 1/2
    83
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Central Florida
    by 7
    81
    Dunkel Pick:
    Central Florida
    (-7); Over

    Akron @ Toledo


    Game 319-320
    December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Akron
    73.871
    Toledo
    90.486
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toledo
    by 16 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toledo
    by 21 1/2
    58
    Dunkel Pick:
    Akron
    (+21 1/2); Over

    Georgia @ Auburn


    Game 321-322
    December 2, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia
    110.590
    Auburn
    110.477
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia
    Even
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Auburn
    by 2 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia
    (+2 1/2); Over

    Fresno State @ Boise State


    Game 323-324
    December 2, 2017 @ 7:45 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Fresno State
    88.835
    Boise State
    94.409
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boise State
    by 5 1/2
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boise State
    by 9 1/2
    50
    Dunkel Pick:
    Fresno State
    (+9 1/2); Over

    Miami-FL @ Clemson


    Game 325-326
    December 2, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami-FL
    103.351
    Clemson
    110.378
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Clemson
    by 7
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Clemson
    by 9 1/2
    46
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami-FL
    (+9 1/2); Over

    Ohio State @ Wisconsin


    Game 327-328
    December 2, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ohio State
    119.978
    Wisconsin
    105.630
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio State
    by 14 1/2
    40
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ohio State
    by 6
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio State
    (-6); Under

    Massachusetts @ FIU


    Game 329-330
    December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Massachusetts
    77.290
    FIU
    79.616
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    FIU
    by 2 1/2
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    FIU
    Pick
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    FIU
    Over

    LA-Monroe @ Florida State


    Game 331-332
    December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA-Monroe
    74.509
    Florida State
    93.316
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida State
    by 19
    85
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida State
    by 27
    64 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA-Monroe
    (+27); Over


    TCU @ Oklahoma

    Game 333-334
    December 2, 2017 @ 12:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    TCU
    106.560
    Oklahoma
    111.591
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 5
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 7
    63 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    TCU
    (+7); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-01-2017 at 01:39 PM.

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    NCAAF
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Conference Championship Week


    Weekend’s 13 best games
    Pac-12 title game, Santa Clara, CA

    USC didn’t have bye week all season, but had last week off, so they should be well-rested here. Stanford played rival Cal/Notre Dame last two weeks; they won last three games- three of their last five games were decided by 3 or less points. USC ran ball for 307 yards in 42-24 home win over Stanford Sept 9, just their 3rd win in last ten games with the Cardinal. Stanford beat USC 41-22 in Pac-12 title game two years ago, which was Trojans’ only appearance in this game. Pac-12 North teams are 6-0 vs Pac-12 South teams in this event, with Stanford 3-0, winning by 3-24-19 points. Stanford is 1-2 vs spread as an underdog this year; USC is 4-7 as a favorite.

    Idaho was +6 in turnovers, hammered Georgia State 37-12 at home LY, in teams’ first meeting. This is Vandals’ last I-A football game; they drop down to I-AA next year. Idaho lost its last three games, scoring total of 17 points in last two- they’re 4-1 vs spread as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 9-47-3-7 points, with win at So Alabama. Georgia State won three of its last four games, with wins by 8-4-3 points. Panthers are 1-1-1 vs spread as a favorite this year. Under is 7-1 in last eight Idaho games, 4-1 in State’s last five games.

    UL-Lafayette lost three of last five games; they allowed 50-34-34 points in last three. Cajuns are 1-5 when they allow 220+ rushing yards- they’re 2-3-1 as road underdogs this year. Appalachian State won its last two games 27-6/31-10, running ball for 579 yards; ASU won all three of its games vs ULL, winning by 24-21-19 points (2-1 vs spread). Mountaineers are 2-1 as home favorites this season. Last three ULL games went over the total; under is 5-3-1 in last nine ASU games. Sun Belt home favorites are 9-15 vs spread this season.

    Georgia Southern won its last two games after an 0-9 start, scoring 86 points; they covered four of last five games. Eagles are favored over a I-A team for first time this season- they’re 0-5 on road this year, with 27-6 loss the closest of the five games. Coastal Carolina is 2-9 in its first year of I-A football, beating Idaho LW after a 9-game losing streak. Chanticleers scored 17 or less points in three of their last four games- they’re 1-3 at home this year, beating UMass in opener. Four of last six Coastal games went over total; over is 7-2 in last nine GSU games.

    Arkansas State won its last four games with Troy, scoring 35+ points in all four games. Troy lost its opener at Boise State, then won nine of last 10 games, losing as an 18-point favorite to South Alabama. Trojans won their last four road games, including a SU win at LSU. Arkansas State won six of its last seven games, with only loss to USA; Red Wolves are 3-0 at home, thanks to a home game with Miami being cancelled by the hurricane in September. Three of last four Troy games went over total; four of last five ASU games stayed under.

    C-USA title game. Boca Raton
    Florida Atlantic ran ball for 447 yards, passed for 357 more in 69-31 thrashing of North Texas Oct 21, in game that was 41-7 at half- that was FAU’s first win in last five tries vs North Texas, but tams’ previous meeting was in 2014. FAU won its last eight games, seven by 18+ points; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight games. North Texas is 5-0 wince the loss at FAU; they’re 4-2 vs spread as an underdog this season. Over is 5-2 in last seven FAU games, 6-3 in Mean Green’s last nine. FAU ran ball for 318+ yards in five of last seven games.

    AAC title game, Orlando
    Central Florida ran ball for 350 yards, gained 603 yards and pounded Memphis 40-13 Sept 30; Knights are 10-0 vs Memphis, 2-3 vs spread in last five. Memphis is 7-0 since the UCF loss, 6-1 vs spread- they scored 41+ points in last five games. UCF won wild 49-42 game with USF last week, when Bulls tied game in last 2:00, but UCF ran ensuing kickoff back for GW score. UCF covered only once in its last five games- they’re 3-0 vs spread this year when spread was single digits. Six of last eight UCF games, four of last five Memphis games went over total.

    MAC title game, Ford Field, Detroit
    Toledo ran ball for 303 yards, pounded Akron 48-21 at home Oct 21. Rockets covered six of last seven games overall- they won six of last eight games with Zips, beating them 48-17 LY. Toledo is 7-3 vs spread as a favorite this season. Akron won three of last four games since the Toledo loss; Zips are 3-3 vs spread as a double digit underdog this season. Akron was held to 17 or less points in four of its five losses. Under is 9-2 in Akron games this season, 3-1 in last four Toledo games. This is first MAC title game since ’05 for Zips, ’04 for Toledo.

    SEC title game, Atlanta
    Auburn beat Georgia 40-17 Nov 11, outgaining Dawgs 488-230, running ball for 237 yards; Tigers are only 3-9 in last 12 games vs Georgia. Auburn won its last five games overall- they won Iron Bowl last week, have to bounce back here with another strong effort. Georgia’s 20-19 win at Notre Dame in September is only game they played all year that was decided by less than 14 points- their loss to Auburn is their only loss this season. Dawgs lost SEC title game in 2011-12; they last won it in 2005. Auburn won its last appearance here, over Missouri in 2013.

    Mountain West title game, Boise
    Fresno State (+6.5) upset Boise 28-17 at home last Saturday; Bulldogs won eight of last nine games after losing at Alabama/Washington in September. Fresno won its last four games overall, allowing 14.5 ppg- they’re 5-0 vs spread as an underdog. Boise State had won seven in a row before last week; Broncos are 4-1 vs spread this year in games with single-digit spread. Boise is in Mountain West title game for first time in three years; Fresno won it in 2013, lost it the next year. Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Fresno games, over is 3-2 in last five Boise games.

    ACC title game, Charlotte
    Clemson beat Miami 58-0 in teams’ last meeting two years ago; Tigers won ACC title game last two years, 45-37/42-35. Hurricanes are in this game for first time- ‘canes lost at Pitt LW, but still have shot at national playoff. Miami is 4-1 vs spread in games where spread was single digits. Clemson won its last five games since their loss at Syracuse, when QB Bryant got hurt- they covered last three games, Tigers are 3-0 vs spread in games with single-digit spread. Eight of last nine Miami games stayed under total; under is 6-2-1 in last nine Clemson games.

    Big 14 title game, Indianapolis
    Unbeaten Wisconsin gets into playoff with upset win here; Badgers held 11 of 12 opponents to 17 or less points- they’re underdog for first time this year. Wisconsin is in Big 14 title game for 5th time in seven years- they lost 59-0 to Ohio State three years, lost 38-31 to Penn State LY. Ohio State won last three games, outscoring foes 131-37; they beat rival Michigan 31-20 LW. Buckeyes haven’t been in Big 14 title game the last two years. Eight of last nine Ohio State games went over total; over is 7-5 in Wisconsin games.

    Big 12 title game, Dallas
    Oklahoma (-6) beat TCU 38-20 at home three weeks ago- game was 38-14 at the half. Sooners outgained TCU 533-424. Oklahoma won its last seven games since a 38-31 home loss to Iowa State Oct 7- they covered four of last five games. TCU is 3-2 in its last five games after a 7-0 start, losing to Iowa St/Sooners; Horned Frogs got senior QB Hill back from injury LW- he missed the Texas Tech game two weeks ago. Over is 6-4 in Sooners’ last ten games; seven of last eight TCU games stayed under. This is first Big X title game since 2010; Sooners won five of last seven Big X championship games.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-01-2017 at 01:41 PM.

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    NCAAF

    Friday, December 1


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Pac-12 Championship betting preview and odds: Stanford vs. USC
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Stanford Cardinal vs. Southern California Trojans (-4, 58.5)

    Stanford will try to defeat USC in the Pac-12 championship game for the second time in three seasons when the No. 15 Cardinal meet the No. 9 Trojans at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Friday night. Stanford has won eight of its past nine following a 38-20 victory against No. 17 Notre Dame on Saturday, and USC has won four straight for the second time this season.

    These teams met Sept. 9 in Los Angeles and the Trojans played one of their best games of the season, piling up 623 total yards in a 42-24 victory inside the Coliseum. USC quarterback Sam Darnold completed 21-of-26 passes for 316 yards and four touchdowns, and led the Trojans on six touchdown drives of 75 yards or longer. Stanford's go-to player continues to be running back Bryce Love, who had 160 rushing yards on 17 carries and scored a touchdown in the first meeting, one of 10 games with at least 100 yards rushing this season. USC will see a different quarterback as sophomore K.J. Costello replaced senior Keller Chryst four games ago and is coming off his best performance, throwing for 176 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions against the Fighting Irish.

    TV:
    8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    LINE HISTORY:
    USC opened as 3.5-point favorites and by Thursday night that number was bet up slightly to -4. The total hit betting boards at 57 and was bumped to 58.5.

    WEATHER REPORT:


    54 degrees at kickoff dropping to 49 by game's end - negligible winds with no chance of precipitation

    INJURY REPORT:


    Stanford - RB Bryce Love (Probable, Ankle), LB Joey Alfieri (Questionable, Shoulder), T Walker Little (Questionable, Undisclosed), LB Curtis Robinson (Doubtful, Undisclosed), DE Eric Cotton (Out, Foot), CB Terrence Alexander (Out Indefinitely, Forearm), CB Alijah Holder (Out For Season, Knee), LB Sean Barton (Out For Season, Knee).

    USC - DT Rasheem Green (Probable, Shoulder), TE Tyler Petite (Probable, Shoulder), G Chris Brown (Probable, Shoulder), WR Velus Jones Jr. (Questionable, Ankle), T Andrew Vorhees (Questionable, Back), QB Matt Fink (Questionable, Knee), DE Porter Gustin (Out Indefinitely, Toe), RB James Toland IV (Out Indefinitely, Shoulder), LB Hunter Echols (Out Indefinitely, Hip), DL Jacob Lichtenstein (Out Indefinitely, Back), T Nathan Smith (Out Indefinitely, Knee), DL Jay Tufele (Out Indefinitely, Back), DT Marlon Tuipulotu (Out For Season, Back), S Isaiah Pola-Mao (Out For Season, Shoulder), CB Greg Johnson (Out For Season, Shoulder), CB Keyshawn Young (Out For Season, Hamstring), G Viane Talamaivao (Out For Season, Pectoral), PK Michael Brown (Out For Season, Knee), DB Johathan Lockett (Out For Season, Hip), LB Tayler Katoa (Out For Season, Knee).

    ABOUT STANFORD (9-3 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, 4-8 O/U):
    The Trojans will have their hands full trying to block senior Harrison Phillips, who leads all FBS defensive tackles with 16.5 tackles for loss, including 6.5 sacks. The Cardinal also have a dependable secondary led by strong safety Justin Reid, the conference's co-leader in interceptions with five, including one against the Trojans earlier this season. Reid displayed his versatility against Notre Dame, totaling nine tackles (three solo), a sack and a pass breakup.

    ABOUT USC (10-2 SU, 3-8-1 ATS, 7-5 O/U):
    The Trojans will also have a somewhat different look than the last meeting against Stanford as the leading rusher from that game, Stephen Carr, hasn't bounced back from a four-game absence in October because of a foot injury. Carr has appeared in two games since his return, but totaled only 12 rushing yards on four carries and caught three passes for 59 yards. Ronald Jones II has flourished as the No. 1 back for USC, especially in the past four games, combining for 674 rushing yards and eight touchdowns in that span.

    TRENDS:


    * Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
    * Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
    * Under is 7-0 in Cardinal last 7 games following a straight up win.
    * Over is 5-1 in Trojans last 6 games overall.

    CONSENSUS:
    The favorite USC Trojans are picking up 66 percent of the spread picks and Over is grabbing 64 percent of the totals wagers.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-01-2017 at 01:42 PM.

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    College Football Conference Championship Weekend betting cheat sheet and odds

    American Championship Game

    (14) Memphis Tigers at (11) UCF Knights (-7, 81)


    Game to be played at Spectrum Stadium in Orlando, Florida

    * Tigers QB Riley Ferguson accounted for 28 touchdowns over his final seven regular-season games. Memphis scores 47 points per game, second only to UCF (48.3). The Tigers average just over 26 minutes time of possession, fourth-worst nationally.

    * The Knights lead the nation in scoring but are 50th in red-zone scoring rate (86.4 percent). QB McKenzie Milton has accounted for 10 TDs over his last two games. UCF has racked up 27 turnovers, tied for the fourth-most among FBS schools.

    LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers installed the Knights as 7-point faves at most books and the line has yet to move off that number heading into the weekend. The total hit the betting board at 85.5 and money flooding in on the under has driven that number down to 81 at most shops.

    TRENDS:

    * Tigers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

    * Knights are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

    * Over is 4-0 in Knights last 4 home games.

    * Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Central Florida.

    C-USA Championship Game

    North Texas Mean Green at Florida Atlantic Owls (-11.5, 73)


    Game to be played at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida

    * Mean Green RB Jeffery Wilson, who ran for 16 touchdowns, will miss the game with a foot injury. QB Mason Fine had six games of at least three TD passes in the regular season. North Texas ranks 18th nationally in third-down conversion rate (45.7 percent).

    * The Owls sit seventh in Division I in red-zone offense (94.3 percent). RB Devin Singletary leads the nation with 26 TD rushes and has accounted for multiple scores in nine straight games. FAU ranks seventh in the country in average turnover margin (plus-1.0).

    LINE HISTORY: FAU opened as 9-point faves and money coming in on the home team pushed that number up to -11.5 at most books. The total opened at 74.5 and has been bet down to 73.

    TRENDS:

    * Mean Green are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

    * Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

    * Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

    * Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

    MAC Championship Game

    Akron Zips vs. Toledo Rockets (-21.5, 58.5)


    Game to be played at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan

    * Zips QB Thomas Woodson (1,742 yards, 14 TDs, 8 INTs) is available to play after missing the previous three games. Akron ranks just outside the top 100 in red-zone offense (77.8 percent). The Zips' 107.8 rushing yards per game rank 117th nationally.

    * Rockets QB Logan Woodside threw five TD passes in a 48-21 win over Akron on Oct. 21. Toledo tossed just three INTs in the regular season, third-fewest in the country. The Rockets average 72.8 penalty yards per game, eighth-most in Division I.

    LINE HISTORY: The Rockets opened as low as 17-point faves at most shops and money came in on the favorites raising the line to -21.5. The total hit the betting board 56 and has been bet up to 58.5.

    TRENDS:

    * Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

    * Under is 10-1 in Zips last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

    * Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 neutral site games.

    * Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Toledo.

    Big 12 Championship Game

    (12) Texas Christian Horned Frogs at (2) Oklahoma Sooners (-7, 63.5)


    Game to be played at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, Texas

    * The Horned Frogs have allowed points on just 60.7 percent of opponent red-zone visits, the best rate in the nation. QB Kenny Hill has gone without an interception in six of his past seven games. TCU ranks 26th at 31 1/2 minutes of possession per game.

    * The Sooners snagged just seven interceptions during the regular season, ranking outside the top 100. QB Baker Mayfield has 18 TD passes over his last five games. Oklahoma passers have completed an FBS-high 72.2 percent of their attempts.

    LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Sooners as 6.5-point faves and bettors have pushed the line up to an even -7. The total opened at 62.5 and has been bet up as high as 63.5.

    TRENDS:

    * Horned Frogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

    * Under is 7-1 in Horned Frogs last 8 games overall.

    * Under is 6-1 in Sooners last 7 neutral site games.

    * Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma.

    SEC Championship Game

    (6) Georgia Bulldogs vs. (4) Auburn Tigers (-2, 48)


    Game to be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia

    * The Bulldogs own Division I's top red-zone offense at 97.8 percent. RB Sony Michel needs 97 rushing yards to give Georgia two 1,000-yard rushers for the first time in history. QB Jake Fromm has exceeded 200 passing yards just twice in his last eight games.

    * RB Kerryon Johnson is questionable with a shoulder injury; he has seven 100-yard efforts in his last eight games. The Tigers rank inside the top-20 nationally in sacks per game (2.83). Auburn averages 36.4 penalty yards per game, seventh-fewest in Division I.

    LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened as 3-point faves and money coming in on the underdog Bulldogs has brought that number down to Auburn -1.5. The total hit the betting board at 49 and at most shops has been bet down a full point to 48.

    TRENDS:

    * Tigers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

    * Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 conference games.

    * Over is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 conference games.

    MWC Championship Game

    Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos (-8.5, 50)


    Game to be played at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho

    * Bulldogs QB Marcus McMaryion threw for 332 yards and two scores in last week's 28-17 win over Boise State. Fresno State has just five interceptions against in 2017. The Bulldogs rank just inside the top 100 in third-down conversion rate (37.1 percent).

    * The Broncos rank ninth in the nation in third-down conversion rate (47.1) but are dead last on fourth down (12.5 percent). QB Brett Rypien has surpassed 250 passing yards in five straight games. Boise State has thrown just five INTs, sixth-fewest in Division I.

    LINE HISTORY: Boise State hit the board as 9.5-point chalk and money coming in on the Bulldogs has brought that number down a full-point to -8.5. The total opened at 49 and was bet up as high as 51 before fading back to 50. Check out the complete line history here.

    TRENDS:

    * Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

    * Broncos are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.

    * Under is 8-0 in Bulldogs last 8 games overall.

    * Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

    ACC Championship Game

    (7) Miami Hurricanes vs. (1) Clemson Tigers (-9, 46.5)


    Game to be played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina

    * Hurricanes WR Ahmmon Richards was carted off the field during practice Wednesday; his status for the weekend is up in the air. Miami ranks 11th in FBS in red-zone offense (92.5 percent). The Hurricanes' plus-1.6 turnover margin per game leads the nation.

    * The Tigers have completed 66.7 percent of their pass attempts, the seventh-best rate in the country. RB Travis Etienne has five rushing scores in his last three games. Clemson is one of four teams with 40 or more sacks in 2017.

    LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened as low as 6.5-point chalk and money flooding in on Clemson has driven that line up to -9. The total opened 47.5 and money on the under has brought that number down to 46.5 at most books.

    TRENDS:

    * Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.

    * Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.

    * Under is 8-1 in Hurricanes last 9 games overall.

    * Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

    Big Ten Championship Game

    (7) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. (3) Wisconsin Badgers (+6, 51)


    Game to be played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana

    * The Buckeyes have converted 49.7 percent of their third-down chances, the fourth-best rate in the nation. QB J.T. Barrett has accounted for multiple TDs in 10 straight games. Ohio State averages 72.1 penalty yards per game, 10th-most in Division I.

    * The Badgers are the only FBS team not to trail in the fourth quarter at any point this season. RB Jonathan Taylor has seven 100-yard rushing efforts in his past eight games. Wisconsin allowed one TD and one field goal over its last three games.

    LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Buckeyes as 6.5-point faves and injury concerns with J.T. Barret has caused money to come in on both sides during the middle of the week, settling at -6 heading into the weekend. The total hit the betting board at 53 and bettors have beat that number down to 51 at most shops.

    TRENDS:

    * Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

    * Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

    * Over is 9-1 in Buckeyes last 10 conference games.

    * Underdog is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

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    NCAAF

    Saturday, December 2


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    Big 12 Championship betting preview and odds: Texas Christian vs. Oklahoma
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    Texas Christian Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners (-7, 63.5)

    Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield says winning a national championship, not the Heisman Trophy, is his main goal. The odds-on favorite for college football's most cherished award, who adorns this week's cover of Sports Illustrated, can take another big step toward accomplishing both feats on Saturday afternoon when the Sooners face TCU in the Big 12 Championship Game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

    Heisman voters must turn in their ballots by 5 p.m. ET on Monday so this is Mayfield's last chance to hammer down the award after finishing third last season and fourth in 2015. Oklahoma also enters the contest No. 3 in this week's College Football Playoff rankings so a win over the Horned Frogs would also likely lock up one of the four spots in the CFP. Mayfield threw for 333 yards and three touchdowns, and also rushed for 50 yards when the teams met on Nov. 11, a 38-20 victory by the host Sooners who raced out to a 38-14 halftime lead and coasted to an easy win. "For me, that would be something special," Mayfield said Monday when asked at a press conference about what it would be like to win the Heisman. "I'm not going to downplay that and act like it's not a big deal. But I didn't come back here to win a Heisman. I came here to win a national title. For me, the mindset is I have to win against TCU and then win two more games after that."

    TV:
    12:30 p.m. ET, Fox

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Sooners opened as 7-point favorites at most shops and hasn't moved off the opening number heading into the weekend. The total hit betting boards at 62.5 and has been bet up slightly to 63.5.

    WEATHER REPORT:
    Dome

    INJURY REPORT:


    TCU - S Niko Small (Probable, Upper Body), LB Travin Howard (Probable, Undisclosed), LB Montreal Wilson (Questionable, Undisclosed), PK Jonathan Song (Questionable, Groin), QB Shawn Robinson (Questionable, Undisclosed), S Nick Orr (Questionable, Suspension), RB Darius Anderson (Out Indefinitely, Foot).

    Oklahoma - S Kahlil Haughton (Questionable, Leg), DT Matt Romar (Out Indefinitely, Undisclosed(.

    ABOUT TCU (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS, 3-9 O/U):
    Coach Gary Patterson is going with the old "pressure is on them, we have nothing to lose" strategy going into this one. "There's no pressure here for us. This is all gravy here," Patterson told reporters. "You've got a chance to play in a championship game, it's good for recruiting, you've got a chance to play in the metroplex, everybody gets a chance to see us." The Horned Frogs, who will be minus starting safety Nick Orr who will be suspended the first half for throwing a punch in last week's win over Baylor, must get a much better effort defensively this time around after allowing 533 yards, including 200 rushing, in the first meeting while quarterback Kenny Hill (19 touchdown passes) must find the end zone after going just 13-of-28 for 270 yards and one TD in the loss to the Sooners in Norman.

    ABOUT OKLAHOMA (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS, 7-5 O/U):
    Mayfield has completed 247-of-346 passes (71.4 percent, No. 1 in the nation) for 4,097 yards, 37 touchdowns and five interceptions and his pass efficiency rating of 203.3 is on target to be an NCAA record but Oklahoma is hardly a one-man show. Running back Rodney Anderson had 290 all-purpose yards and four touchdowns in the first meeting against TCU, including 151 yards rushing and two TDs against a Horned Frogs defense that entered the contest allowing a nation-low 69.7 rushing yards per game, while junior tight end Mark Andrews leads the team in receptions (51) for 848 yards and six touchdowns and is one of three finalists for the Mackey Award. Senior defensive end/outside linebacker Ogbonnia Okoronkwo leads a defense that has improved steadily during the season with 8.0 sacks and 17.5 tackles for loss.

    TRENDS:


    * Horned Frogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

    * Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

    * Under is 7-1 in Horned Frogs last 8 games overall.

    * Under is 14-3-1 in Sooners last 18 games in December.

    * Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma.

    CONSENSUS:
    The favorite Sooners are picking up 67 percent of the spread picks and Over is grabbing 68 percent of the totals wagers.


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    NCAAF

    Saturday, December 2


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    SEC Championship betting preview and odds: Georgia vs. Auburn
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    Georgia Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers (-1.5, 48)

    Saturday’s SEC championship game in Atlanta serves as a de facto play-in for the College Football Playoff, matching one of the most consistent teams in the nation with the hottest team in the land. Georgia has spent all season at or near the top of the rankings, its only misstep through 12 games coming against an Auburn team that it will face again for the conference title, after the Tigers overcame two losses to knock off the top-ranked Bulldogs and No. 1 Alabama in a two-week span.

    There certainly is plenty of focus on the fourth-ranked Tigers’ 40-17 dismantling of the Bulldogs in Auburn on Nov. 11, and Auburn’s key Saturday will be to frustrate Georgia’s vaunted rushing attack one again, after holding the No. 6 Bulldogs to 46 yards on the ground in the first meeting.

    “I like where we are at and how we have gotten here,” Auburn coach Gene Malzahn told reporters on Tuesday, referencing the Tigers five-game winning streak after a 5-2 start. “A lot of times, it is how you get to where you are at that can help you move forward.”

    Georgia rebounded from the loss to dominate Kentucky and Georgia Tech, sparked by a defense that is fifth nationally with 13.8 points per game allowed but surrendered 488 yards to the Tigers in its lone defeat.

    “I think you should prepare the same, regardless of your record, regardless of a revenge factor, and be real consistent in your approach,” Georgia coach Kirby Smart told the media on Monday.

    TV:
    4 p.m. ET, CBS.

    LINE HISTORY:
    The spread opened with the Tigers favored by a field goal but the line has dropped to 1.5 as we enter the weekend. The total is bouncing back and forth between 48 and 49.

    WEATHER REPORT:
    63 degrees and mostly cloudy at game time - Negligible winds and no chance of precipitation

    INJURY REPORT:


    Georgia - FB Christian Payne (Questionable, Undisclosed), DT DaQuan Hawkins-Muckle (Questionable, Back).

    Auburn - LB Tre' Williams (Probable, Shoulder), LB Chandler Wooten (Questionable, Undisclosed), RB JaTarvious Whitlow (Questionable, Ankle), RB Kerryon Johnson (Probable, Shoulder).

    ABOUT GEORGIA (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS, 5-7 O/U):
    The Bulldogs’ dynamic duo of running backs Nick Chubb (1,098 rushing yards, 13 rushing touchdowns) and Sony Michel (903, 13) fuels a ground attack ranked first in the SEC at 265.7 yards per game. Freshman quarterback Jake Fromm was sacked four times at Auburn, but has completed 21-of-30 passes for 347 yards and three touchdowns in two games since the loss to the Tigers. Georgia’s defense allows 271.9 yards per game, fourth in the nation, and ranks 12th nationally in rushing defense (112.5 yards per contest).

    ABOUT AUBURN (10-2 SU, 6-4-2 ATS, 7-5 O/U):
    A critical key for the Tigers is the health of running back Kerryon Johnson, as the SEC’s leader in rushing yards per game (127.6) - who is tied for sixth nationally with 17 rushing scores - is listed as day-to-day with a shoulder injury. Quarterback Jarrett Stidham, who transferred from Baylor, is fourth nationally in completion percentage (68.5 percent) while passing for 2,682 yards and 16 touchdowns. The Tigers defense is ninth in the country in scoring defense (16.4 points per game) and 11th in total defense (303.3 yards per contest).

    TRENDS


    *Auburn is 4-0 ATS in its last four conference games.
    *Georgia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 conference games.
    *The over is 5-2 in Georgia's last seven games.
    *The over is 7-1 in Auburn's last eight conference games.
    *The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the the last eight meetings between these two programs.

    CONSENSUS:
    About 56 percent of players expect the Auburn Tigers to cover as 1.5-point favorites against Georgia.


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    NCAAF

    Saturday, December 2


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    ACC Championship betting preview and odds: Miami vs. Clemson
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    Miami Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigers (-9.5, 46)

    Game to be played at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

    Clemson has won five straight games since its lone slip-up of the season, but Miami has just one chance to atone for its only mistake. The Tigers and Hurricanes look to stake their final claim to a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff when they square off in the ACC Championship on Saturday in Charlotte, N.C.

    Clemson’s national title defense seemingly took a hit with a 27-24 loss at Syracuse on Oct. 13, but the team has climbed back to the top of the College Football Playoff rankings with five straight victories, including a 34-10 rout of rival South Carolina last week. “Four quarters, man,” Clemson coach Dabo Swinney told reporters. “We're four quarters away from having a chance to go back to the playoff." The Hurricanes were in position to do the same before last week’s 24-14 loss at Pittsburgh ruined their bid for a perfect season. Miami slipped to No. 7 in the playoff rankings, meaning even with a win over the Tigers, it might need some help to get into the four-team field.

    TV:
    8 p.m. ET, ABC.

    LINE HISTORY:
    Clemson opened this matchup as about a 6.5 to 7-point favorite for this conference championship game showdown, but when the news broke that Ahmmon Richards would miss the game with a knee injury, the line moved to around Clemson -9 and currently sits at -9.5. The total hit the board at 47.5 and has been bet down to 46.

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Miami (-21) + Clemson (-24.5) = Clemson -3.5

    WEATHER REPORT:
    kickoff will be 49 degrees and mostly cloudy - neglible winds and no chance of precipitation

    INJURY REPORT:


    Miami - WR A. Richards (Out for season, knee), TE C. Herndon IV (Out for season, knee).

    Clemson - LB J. Davis (Probable Saturday, knee), LB C. Smith (Questionable Saturday, calf), RB T. Etienne (Questionable Satruday, leg), LB T. Lamar (Out Saturday, shoulder), CB M. Fields (Out indefinitely, foot).

    ABOUT MIAMI (10-1, 5-6 ATS, 2-9 O/U):
    As everyone knows thanks to their gaudy “turnover chain,” the Hurricanes thrive on takeaways – they have forced 29 turnovers while committing only 12. The defense has been up to virtually every challenge, but the question is whether the offense can bounce back from last week’s sub-par performance. The Hurricanes will be without two of their top three receivers as Ahmmon Richards tore the meniscus in his left knee during practice Wednesday and will need surgery, further depleting a corps that also lost tight end Christopher Herndon IV to a season-ending knee injury against Pitt.

    ABOUT CLEMSON (11-1, 7-4-1 ATS, 4-7-1 O/U):
    One of the nation’s top defenses did it again last week, holding the Gamecocks to 207 total yards – the seventh time this season the Tigers have allowed fewer than 250, including each of the last three contests. The dominant defense overshadows an offense that ranks in the top 25 nationally in total yards (459 per game) and scoring (35.2 points). Leading rusher Travis Etienne (720 yards, 12 touchdowns) is nursing a leg injury, but even if he’s not 100 percent, the Tigers have plenty of weapons beginning with quarterback Kelly Bryant, who has passed for 2,426 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions while rushing for 639 yards and 10 scores.

    TRENDS:


    * Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last six conference games.
    * Clemson is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 neutral site games.
    * Under is 8-1 in Miami's last nine games overall.
    * Under is 5-1-1 in Clemson's last seven conference games.

    CONSENSUS:
    When it comes to covering the number bettors are giving Miami a very slight edge in this ACC Championship, with 53 percent of wagers backing the underdog Hurricanes. When it comes to the total bettors like this game to go Over, with 68 percent of wagers on it.


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    NCAAF

    Saturday, December 2


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    Big Ten Championship betting preview and odds: Ohio State vs. Wisconsin
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    (7) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers (+6, 51)

    Despite being the lone remaining power-conference school with an unblemished record and boasting the top defense in the country, No. 3 Wisconsin is finding respect hard to come by because of a relatively light schedule. The Badgers will get one last shot at improving their resume in hopes they can lock down a spot in the College Football Playoff when they meet seventh-ranked Ohio State on Saturday in the Big Ten Championship game in Indianapolis.

    None of Wisconsin's first 12 wins this season have come against opponents who finished the regular season ranked in the coaches' poll, which has consistently been the major argument keeping the Big Ten West champions from seeing its name listed among the top four teams in the CFP rankings before securing the No. 4 spot Tuesday. While losses from the top two teams in the last CFP poll - Alabama and Miami (Fla.) - over Thanksgiving weekend certainly helped their cause in that regard, the Badgers took care of business on their end and completed their first unbeaten regular season since 1912 following a 31-0 rout of Minnesota last Saturday. The Buckeyes, who are seventh in the CFP, are headed to the Big Ten Championship for the first time since crushing Wisconsin 59-0 in 2014 en route to winning the inaugural CFP national championship. Ohio State has won three straight since getting pummeled 55-24 at Iowa on Nov. 4 to keep its playoff hopes alive and defeated arch-rival Michigan 31-20 last weekend.

    TV:
    8 p.m. ET, FOX.

    LINE HISTORY:
    Ohio State opened at most books as 5.5-point favorites and by Friday night that number was bet up slightly to -6. The total hit betting boards at 53 and money coming in on the under drove that number to 51.

    WEATHER REPORT:
    Dome

    INJURY REPORT:


    Ohio State - QB J.T. Barrett (Probable, Knee), LB Dante Booker (Questionable, Concussion), WR Jaylen Harris (Out Indefinitely, Lower Body).

    Wisconsin - RB Bradrick Shaw (Questionable, Leg), DB Lubern Figaro (Questionable, Leg), LB Noah Burks (Questionable, Leg), S D'cota Dixon (Questionable, Leg), TE Luke Benzschawel (Out, Leg), TE Zander Neuville (Out For Season, Leg), P P.J. Rosowski (Out Indefinitely, Leg), WR Quintez Cephus (Out For Season, Leg).

    ABOUT OHIO STATE (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS, 9-3 O/U):
    J.T. Barrett (2,728 yards passing, 672 yards rushing and 42 total touchdowns) is listed as probable for the championship game after he aggravated a cartilage injury in his right knee before and during this last weekend's victory over the Wolverines. Before leaving the game for good in the third quarter, Barrett joined Dan LeFevour of Central Michigan (2006-09) as the only players in FBS history to throw for 100 TDs and run for 40 more. Freshman J.K. Dobbins (1,190 yards rushing) spearheads the conference's top-ranked ground attack (250.3 yards), while sophomore Mike Weber (602) has run for 109 yards per game over his last three outings and leads the Buckeyes with 10 rushing TDs, half of which have come during the winning streak.

    ABOUT WISCONSIN (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS, 7-5 O/U):
    Running back and Doak Walker Award finalist Jonathan Taylor ranks third in FBS with a Big Ten-best 1,805 rushing yards and needs only 120 over the remainder of the season to break the FBS freshman record held by Oklahoma's Adrian Peterson set in 2004. Butkus Award finalist T.J. Edwards (67 tackles - 45 solo and 11 for loss - and four interceptions) and cornerback Nick Nelson (school-record 20 pass breakups) were honored as consensus all-conference selections Tuesday and lead the top total defense in FBS (236.9 yards allowed). Sophomore quarterback Alex Hornibrook is 19-2 as a starter and ended an eight-game streak of throwing an interception against Minnesota, finishing 15-of-19 for 151 yards and three touchdowns.

    TRENDS:
    



    * Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

    * Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

    * Over is 8-0 in Buckeyes last 8 games following a straight up win.

    * Underdog is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.



    CONSENSUS:
    The underdog Badgers are picking up 69 percent of the spread picks and O/U is splitting 50/50 of the totals wagers.


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