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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/27

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, November 27

    Good Luck on day #330 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 12 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Buffalo Bills, +9.5 (568)- W

    5) Jacksonville Jaguars+2.5 (609)- W

    4) Los Angeles Rams, -2.5 (640)- W

    3) Tennessee Titans, -3 (654)- W

    2) New Orleans Saints, +2.5 (696)- L

    1) Carolina Panthers -4.5 (967)- W

    Season record of top 6 picks: 32-40


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

    Bengals 30, Browns 16— Cleveland is first team since ’76-’77 Buccaneers to start 0-11 two years in a row, but Bucs were an expansion team. Bengals have won 7 games in a row vs Cleveland. Browns are 0-11, 2-9 vs spread- they did have eight plays of 20+ yards- they had total of 13 in their previous five games. 5-6 Bengals are only a game out of AFC’s second Wild Card.

    Eagles 31, Bears 3— Chicago is paying its two QB’s $36M this year; they didn’t have a first down in the first half, trailing 24-0. Eagles have now won nine games in a row, covered last eight, as they head out on an odd, late-season road swing (Seattle-Rams-Giants). Playing a rookie QB can get a coach fired; Bears had total of 8 first downs, only 140 yards- their longest play: 19 yards.

    Patriots 35, Dolphins 17— Patriots have a 3-game lead in AFC East with five games to play; they won their last seven games (6-1 vs spread). Miami lost its last five games (0-3-2 vs spread); they’ve made playoffs twice in last 16 years- last time they won a playoff game was after the ’00 season. Dolphins’ owner Stephen Ross is a Michigan alum; rough week for him all around.

    Bills 16, Chiefs 10— Third year in a row, a team that started out 5-0 went 1-5 or worse in its next six games (’15 Falcons/’16 Vikings). KC scored 32.8 pts/game in its 5-0 start; they’ve scored 18 pts/game in the 1-5 skid. Despite that, Chiefs lead an awful AFC West by a game over the surging Chargers. Bills won field position by 13 yards; they’re -7 in turnovers in their losses, +13 in wins.

    Falcons 34, Buccaneers 20— Julio Jones caught 15 passes for 253 yards; he caught 54 passes in his first ten games. Atlanta won four of its last five games overall; they’re tied with the Seahawks for 2nd Wild Card in NFC, and they beat the Seahawks. Falcons outgained Tampa 516-373; they had 10 plays of 20+ yards. Average total in last nine games with Tampa Bay is now 55.8.

    Panthers 35, Jets 27— Carolina scored TD’s on defense, special teams in this game. If playoffs started today (they don’t), NFC South would get three teams in playoffs, with Panthers being #5 seed. Carolina won/covered its last four games; they’re 5-1 on road, winning by 20-3-3-14-8 points away from home. Jets lost four of last five games; this was first time they trailed at half since Week 2.

    Titans 20, Colts 16— Indy had ball up 16-6 with 2:30 left in 3rd quarter, but lost fumble deep in their own territory and imploded from that point on. This was Tennessee’s first win in 10 visits to Lucas Oil Stadium; they swept the Colts this year. Titans are now tied for first with Jaguars in AFC South; they host Jacksonville on New Year’s Eve in the season finale.

    Seahawks 24, 49ers 13— Seahawks won their last four road games; they’re tied with Atlanta for last Wild Card spot and play Eagles-Rams-Jaguars the next three weeks. Seattle won last nine games against the 49ers, winning last four visits to Santa Clara, by 16-17-2-11 points. Niners finally put new QB Jimmy Garoppolo in a game- he was 2-2 passing and threw a TD pass- if they want fans to buy tickets for 2018, how about playing him the last five weeks?

    Rams 26, Saints 20— Rams threw for 354 yards despite their leading WR Woods being out; of course, it didn’t hurt that the Saints’ top two CB’s were also out.

    Here are Rams’ receiving numbers Sunday:
    Kupp caught 8 balls for 116 yards
    Watkins caught 4 balls for 82 yards
    Gurley caught 4 balls for 54 yards
    Reynolds caught 4 balls for 37 yards and a TD
    Higbee caught 3 balls for 48.

    Except for Gurley, none of those guys were on the Rams two years ago; kudos to GM Les Snead, who at this time last year was taking a ton of grief. Now he is the GM of a contending team.

    Cardinals 27, Jaguars 24— Blaine Gabbert went 5-22 as Jacksonville’s QB, from 2011-13; he dealt the Jaguars’ playoff hopes a blow here- Phil Dawson cranked a 57-yard FG as time expired to give Arizona the win. Jaguars are at home the next three weeks (Colts-Seattle-Texans); they are tied with Tennessee for first in AFC South. Jaguars visit Nashville in Week 17.

    Raiders 21. Broncos 14— There was a brawl in first quarter of this game; Talib/Crabtree both got tossed. Broncos lost their last seven games (0-7 vs spread); they’re 0-5 on road (0-5 vs spread) losing by 10-21-10-28-7 points. Paxton Lynch got hurt, so Denver is back to Siemian at QB. Raiders were only NFL team in 83 years to have zero INTs in their first 10 games- they finally got one in this game.

    Steelers 31, Packers 28— Green Bay scored four TD’s, three on plays of 39+ yards, but in the end, the Steelers kicked a 53-yard FG on last play of the game to move to 9-2. Pittsburgh hosts the Patriots in Week 15, with #1 seed in AFC likely at stake. Packers lost five of their last six games, are two games out of Wild Card.

    1) College hoop tournament finals—
    Wooden Legacy: Washington State 93, San Diego State 86
    PK80: Duke 87, Florida 84;
    Michigan State 63, North Carolina 45
    AdvoCare Tourney: West Virginia 83, Missouri 79

    Elsewhere, Texas A&M won 75-59 at USC.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, November 27


    Home side won seven of last nine Panther-Devil games; Florida won four of last five. Panthers lost three of last five games in the Garden State. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Florida lost three of last four games overall, four of last six on the road. Eight of their last nine games stayed under total. New Jersey won three of last four games; they’re 2-3 in last five home tilts. Last five Devil home games stayed under.

    Penguins are 5-3 in their last eight games with Philly; over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Flyers lost three of last four visits to Pittsburgh. Philly lost its last seven games (four of last five in OT/SO); they lost last three on road- their last four games went over total. Penguins lost three of their last four games; they’re 3-2 in last five at home. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    Blue Jackets won five of last six games with Montreal; they’re 2-3 in their last five games in this building. Last three series games stayed under the total. Columbus won its last six games, allowing total of six goals; they won last three road games- seven of their last eight games stayed under. Canadiens lost five of last six games overall, four of last six at home; under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.

    Jets won their last three games wth Minnesota; Wild lost three of last five visits to Manitoba- six of last eight series games went over total. Minnesota lost three of last five games; they split last six road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Winnipeg won six of its last eight games, winning last three at home by combined score of 12-5. Six of Jets’s last eight games stayed under the total.

    Ducks won three of last four games with Chicago; under is 3-0-3 in last six series games. Anaheim won 3-2/1-0 in last two visits to the Windy City. Ducks lost their last three games, scoring four goals; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Anaheim is 4-4 on the road. Chicago won three of last four games overall; they split last four home games. Let three series games stayed under the total.




    NHL

    Monday, November 27


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    Trend Report
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    FLORIDA @ NEW JERSEY
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home
    New Jersey is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

    PHILADELPHIA @ PITTSBURGH
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Pittsburgh is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

    COLUMBUS @ MONTREAL
    Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 10 games

    MINNESOTA @ WINNIPEG
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    ANAHEIM @ CHICAGO
    Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
    Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing at home against Anaheim


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-27-2017 at 11:23 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, November 27


    Florida @ New Jersey

    Game 51-52
    November 27, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida
    11.918
    New Jersey
    9.786
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Jersey
    -130
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida
    (+110); Over

    Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh


    Game 53-54
    November 27, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    11.221
    Pittsburgh
    10.319
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    N/A

    Columbus @ Montreal


    Game 55-56
    November 27, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Columbus
    10.940
    Montreal
    12.336
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Montreal
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Columbus
    -115
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (-105); Under

    Minnesota @ Winnipeg


    Game 57-58
    November 27, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    11.776
    Winnipeg
    10.812
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    -125
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-105); Over

    Anaheim @ Chicago


    Game 59-60
    November 27, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Anaheim
    10.520
    Chicago
    12.019
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    -180
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (-180); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-27-2017 at 11:24 AM.

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, November 27


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    FLORIDA (8-12-0-2, 18 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (14-5-0-4, 32 pts.) - 11/27/2017, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA is 43-61 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    FLORIDA is 24-36 ATS (-13.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW JERSEY is 14-9 ATS (+23.0 Units) in all games this season.
    NEW JERSEY is 14-9 ATS (+25.1 Units) first half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLORIDA is 5-2 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA is 5-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

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    PHILADELPHIA (8-9-0-6, 22 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (12-10-0-3, 27 pts.) - 11/27/2017, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 5-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 5-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLUMBUS (15-7-0-1, 31 pts.) at MONTREAL (9-12-0-3, 21 pts.) - 11/27/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLUMBUS is 66-44 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 24-14 ATS (+38.6 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 41-17 ATS (+24.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 20-5 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 19-6 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 39-18 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 22-7 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 9-15 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
    MONTREAL is 9-15 ATS (-11.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
    MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-7.4 Units) after a division game this season.
    MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (-7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLUMBUS is 5-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    COLUMBUS is 5-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (11-9-0-3, 25 pts.) at WINNIPEG (14-6-0-3, 31 pts.) - 11/27/2017, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 23-11 ATS (+34.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 40-32 ATS (+72.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 7-5 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 7-5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ANAHEIM (10-9-0-4, 24 pts.) at CHICAGO (11-8-0-3, 25 pts.) - 11/27/2017, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 51-25 ATS (+17.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 347-345 ATS (+1.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 95-87 ATS (-62.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 3-3 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 3-3-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-27-2017 at 11:25 AM.

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