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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/19

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/19

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, November 19

    Good Luck on day #322 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo:Sunday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 11 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Denver Broncos -2.5 (583)

    5) New Orleans Saints -7.5 (586)

    4) Minnesota Vikings -2 (749)

    3) Detroit Lions -2.5 (928)

    2) New England Patriots -6.5 (1,086)

    1) Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (1,306)

    Season record of top 6 picks: 23-37


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Texas 28, West Virginia 14— We talked earlier this week about players stretching the ball towards the goal line, trying to score a TD, but then getting hit and fumbling. West Virginia QB Grier did this when game was 0-0, fumbled for a touchback, and also broke the middle finger on his throwing hand, ending his day and likely his season. Not good.

    In the ESPN studios later on, Booger MacFarland showed his hand to the camera; MacFarland played defensive line for LSU and then for nine years in the NFL. The pinky on one hand points almost straight out to the right; the middle finger on that hand looks like a dogleg left on a golf course. Apparently he didn’t ice his hand after it was splinted and it didn’t heal properly.

    12) Purdue 24, Iowa 15— Hawkeyes scored TD with 1:04 left to cut lead to 24-15; instead of kicking PAT to get within one score, they went for 2 points and failed, ending the game. Unsure why they did that— just kick the PAT and put more pressure on Purdue to close the game out.

    As for Purdue, they’re 5-6, making the Old Oaken Bucket game next week against rival Indiana for a bowl bid.

    11) Miami 44, Virginia 28— Cavaliers led 14-0 early, 21-14 at half, 28-14 early in third quarter, then Miami stormed back and won going away. Virginia gained 439 yards but turned ball over three times and had a failed onside kick when they led 14-0.

    10) Upsets of the Week:
    Kansas State (+20) 45, Oklahoma State 40
    Akron (+14.5) 37, Ohio U 34
    Tulane (+9) 20, Houston 17
    Purdue (+7) 24, Iowa 15
    Coastal Carolina (+7) 13, Idaho 7
    Duke (+6.5) 43, Georgia Tech 20

    9) Alabama 56, Mercer 0
    Clemson 61, Mercer 3
    Florida State 77, Delaware State 6

    To paraphrase Nancy Kerrigan, why? why? why? These games cheat the fans out of watching a competitive contest. Go play a Sun Belt team like Auburn did, or a MAC or C-USA team. Don’t play I-AA teams, its ridiculous.

    8) Kansas State 45, Oklahoma State 40— 20-point underdog Kansas State led 42-13 late in 3rd quarter, but they wound up with their 4th-string QB in game in last 4:00, trying to preserve a 45-40 lead- they ran the Wildcat, went 3/out., but the defense preserved the win, making Bill Snyder’s team bowl eligible for the 8th year in a row.

    K-State WR Byron Pringle caught four passes for 166 yards and three TD’s; he also ran a kickoff back 89 yards for a touchdown. Pretty good day.

    7) LSU 30, Tennessee 10- Next year Vols will have their 7th head coach since Nick Saban has been at Alabama. LSU has had five coaches since Saban has been in Tuscaloosa.

    6) Penn State 56, Nebraska 44— Cornhuskers allowed 50+ points in consecutive games for first time since 1945. I’m guessing Nebraska’s next coach will have from defensive side of the ball.

    5) Texas A&M 31, Ole Miss 24- Shane Tripucka is A&M’s punter; his uncle is Kelly Tripucka, who played in the NBA for 10 years, scoring 12,142 points (17.2 pts/game).

    4) Michigan State 17, Maryland 7— On a snowy day in East Lansing, the WINNING quarterback completed 2-14 passes for 20 yards. For the whole game. And they won.

    3) Warriors 124, 76ers 116— Philly led this game 47-28 after the first quarter, led by 22 at the half, then Golden State went off in third quarter, outscoring the 76ers 47-15. Last time Sixers scored 47+ points in the first quarter of a game? March of 1990. They won that day.

    2) USC 28, UCLA 23— Was surprised to hear Kirk Herbstreit say that he wouldn’t be surprised if QB Sam Darnold goes back to USC next season. Only a cynic would translate that as meaning: “I don’t want to play for Cleveland”

    Herbstreit later said that right now, Rosen is clearly ahead of Darnold as an NFL prospect. Very unusual to hear that kind of candid analysis. Agree or disagree, but we need more of that.

    1) Wake Forest 30, NC State 24— Freshman WR for NC State had ball on one-yard line with 2:00 left, tried to lunge forward to get the ball over the goal line……and fumbled. No bueno.

    Maybe it is what Phil Jackson calls “heightened awareness”, I notice it more because it bugs me so much, but it does seem like lot of ballcarriers are fumbling near the goal line.

    NC State was 14-23 on 3rd down in this game; pretty sure I’ve never seen a team convert 14 third down plays for first downs in one game. Wolfpack ran 94 plays, Wake Forest ran 56, but the Deacons won. Go figure.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, November 19


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    NY ISLANDERS (11-6-0-2, 24 pts.) at CAROLINA (8-6-0-4, 20 pts.) - 11/19/2017, 5:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY ISLANDERS are 6-15 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAROLINA is 5-5 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 5-5-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

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    COLORADO (9-8-0-1, 19 pts.) at DETROIT (10-8-0-2, 22 pts.) - 11/19/2017, 6:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 2-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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    OTTAWA (8-4-0-6, 22 pts.) at NY RANGERS (9-9-0-2, 20 pts.) - 11/19/2017, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 7-5 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 7-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

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    FLORIDA (7-10-0-2, 16 pts.) at ANAHEIM (8-7-0-3, 19 pts.) - 11/19/2017, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLORIDA is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA is 3-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

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    LOS ANGELES (12-6-0-2, 26 pts.) at VEGAS (11-6-0-1, 23 pts.) - 11/19/2017, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, November 19


    Islanders won their last three games with Carolina; road teams won four of last five series games. New York is won three of its last four visits to Raleigh. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Islanders are 5-3 in last eight games overall, 2-3 in last five road games. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Hurricanes won four of last six games, are 2-3 in last five home games- they are 0-2 if they played night before. Carolina’s last three games went over.

    Road team won seven of last nine Colorado-Detroit games; Avalanche won three of last four visits to Detroit. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Colorado lost four of last five games, both overall and on road; they’re 1-3 if they played night before. Last 11 Avalanche games went over the total. Red Wings won six of last nine games; they won three of last four at home. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    Home side won seven of last eight Ottawa-Ranger games; Senators lost three of last four visits to Manhattan. Over is 3-0-2 in last five series games. Ottawa is 3-5 in its last eight games, they are 4-9 on road. Six of their last nine games went over the total. New York won its last five home games, but lost last two games, 6-3/2-0, both on road. Over is 8-2 in Rangers’ last ten games.

    Florida won five of last seven games with Anaheim; they split last four games in the Pond. Over is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Panthers lost seven of last ten games; they’re 2-3 in last five road games. Five of last six Florida games stayed under the total. Ducks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 2-4 in their last six home games. Over is 5-5 in their last ten games.

    Kings lost four of their last five games; they’re 6-2 on the road this season. Last three LA games stayed under the total. Las Vegas is 7-1 at home; they’re 3-6 in last nine games overall. Over is 8-2 in Knights’ last ten games.




    NHL

    Sunday, November 19


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    Trend Report
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    NY ISLANDERS @ CAROLINA
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Islanders's last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Carolina's last 23 games when playing NY Islanders
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Carolina's last 19 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

    COLORADO @ DETROIT
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
    Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    OTTAWA @ NY RANGERS
    Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    FLORIDA @ ANAHEIM
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
    Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    LOS ANGELES @ LAS VEGAS
    Los Angeles is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
    Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-19-2017 at 11:57 AM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, November 19



    NY Islanders @ Carolina

    Game 1-2
    November 19, 2017 @ 5:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    12.987
    Carolina
    11.382
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Islanders
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    -140
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Islanders
    (+120); Under

    Colorado @ Detroit


    Game 3-4
    November 19, 2017 @ 6:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    12.966
    Detroit
    9.771
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    -170
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (+150); Over

    Ottawa @ NY Rangers


    Game 5-6
    November 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    9.700
    NY Rangers
    11.443
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Rangers
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Rangers
    -140
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Rangers
    (-140); Over

    Florida @ Anaheim


    Game 7-8
    November 19, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida
    10.242
    Anaheim
    11.314
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Anaheim
    -135
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    (-135); Under

    Los Angeles @ Vegas


    Game 9-10
    November 19, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Los Angeles
    10.298
    Vegas
    12.067
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    -130
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (+110); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-19-2017 at 11:59 AM.

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