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  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, November 14

    Good Luck on day #317 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Vanderbilt signed a top 100 point guard from Class of 2018 Monday; good for them.

    — Carlos Beltran retired Monday; I’m thinking he makes the Hall of Fame someday.

    — Nets’ guard D’Angelo Russell (knee) will miss the next few Brooklyn games.

    — Michigan 72, Central Michigan 65— Gutty effort by 21-point underdog Chippewas.

    — Minnesota 86, Providence 74— Richard Pitino has a damn good team.

    — Toledo Rockets’ basketball team played eight OT games last year, tied for the most ever, and the most for any team since Valparaiso in 1993.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) I’m going to rant for a minute or two about ballcarriers who don’t protect the ball near the goal line; instead, they get selfish and try to stretch the ball over the line, so they can score the touchdown, when exposing the ball to contact opens up the possibility of a fumble/touchback.

    Happened to Bennie Cunningham in Chicago Sunday; happened to Corey Davis in Nashville and that was just one day. Bears lost by 7 points, by the way. Tennessee won despite Davis’ miscue, but they were losing in the last 2:00. When the Rams lost 16-10 at home to Seattle, Todd Gurley fumbled on the 1-yard line, stretching the ball towards the pylon.

    The level of selfishness with this kind of stuff is debatable; scoring TD’s is obviously good, but with lot of incentives in players’ contracts, it behooves the player to score the TD himself rather than set up a fairly easy TD for a teammate on the next play.

    It should be about WE, not ME; if that is hokey, so be it.

    12) In a related subject, on the Titans’ game Sunday, they showed the list of goals one of the Titan defenders had for this season- nine items. None of them were team-related.

    “Make all-pro”, “x number of INTs” “x number of tackles”- nowhere did it say “Help my team make the playoffs” or “Help my defense lead league in points allowed/game”

    If I sound like an old guy protecting his lawn, thats fine- football is a team game, and helping the team win (Tennessee is 6-3) should be one of those goals, not just getting your numbers.

    11) Mark Schlereth was the analyst on Bengals-Titans Sunday; he does a very good job, has some strong opinions and talks football. Hadn’t heard him work a game before.

    In the first half, Tennessee TE Delanie Walker was talking to refs during a TV timeout, telling them about how he was being held. Schlereth says, “He is being respectful, and that will get him a call in the second half.”

    Sure enough, Walker drew not one but two defensive holding calls in the 4th quarter.

    10) Here is how much NFL teams can change in the course of a half-season; the NFL releases its schedule in April. A month later, Las Vegas puts out spreads on every game, except for the Week 17 games. Back in May, the spread for the Week 10 Texans-Rams game was Houston -3, and that was way before Deshaun Watson became a rookie sensation.

    Rams were favored by 12 points Sunday, thats how much Sean McVay has improved the Rams.

    9) You watch some of these NFL games, and the GM/owner sit next to each other, which has to be terribly awkward if things aren’t going well.

    I mean, if you’re down 31-10, what do you say to the billionaire whose money you’ve used to build this team that is losing 31-10 and maybe has lost three of its last four games?

    8) In their last two games, Indianapolis Colts have scored four TD’s, on plays of 45-80-60-61 yards, all very big plays. In those two games, Colts have only been in the red zone once.

    7) In their last two games, Houston has been in the red zone five times, and hasn’t scored a point, which seems almost impossible. Hard to believe the Texans won’t try TJ Yates under center this week against Arizona— maybe he could spark an offense that has good receivers.

    6) Underrated movie: “One More Time” with Christopher Walken playing an aging singer who makes a comeback. It was made in 2015, is worth your time if you’re a Walken fan.

    5) Dodgers-Padres will play three games in Mexico next season

    4) Missouri’s highly-touted freshman Michael Porter Jr is a vegetarian; I’m not sure if thats a good idea for a young man trying to make the NBA. Young Mr Porter should still be a senior in high school, but they accelerated his college career so he could cash in on the NBA’s big bucks a year earlier than otherwise. He only played 2:00 in Mizzou’s opener; he has a bad back.

    3) Tennessee fired football coach Butch Jones, who then apparently got four Tennessee recruits to flip their commitment away from the Volunteers, hoping to land the kids at whereever his next stop might be. Recruiting is a cut-throat, competitive business; Jones is a good recruiter but a lousy game coach. Will be curious to see where he lands next.

    2) NFL’s catch rule lacks common sense; this is what the rule should be— “A catch is when a receiver has complete control of the ball and gets two feet inbounds” thats it- this “going to the ground” BS just lacks basic common sense, and creates calls that are just plain wrong.

    1) Bill Walton was on the mike at the basketball game from China Friday night; every time I hear Walton’s voice now I think of my late friend Joe, who passed away recently at a much too young age.

    When Joe and I worked together, I’d duck into his office and we would laugh about stuff Walton had said the night before, ro talk about life in general. After I retired, we still texted a lot about basketball, but then Joe became ill and left us much too soon. He loved his children and he enjoyed basketball and being a referee and he was just a good guy who is missed now.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, November 14


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    BOSTON (12 - 2) at BROOKLYN (5 - 8) - 11/14/2017, 7:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 5-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 6-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TORONTO (7 - 5) at HOUSTON (11 - 3) - 11/14/2017, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (8 - 5) at DALLAS (2 - 12) - 11/14/2017, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 382-319 ATS (+31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1011-884 ATS (+38.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 811-689 ATS (+53.1 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 153-107 ATS (+35.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 408-327 ATS (+48.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in the first half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, November 14


    Celtics won their last five games with Brooklyn, but Nets covered three of last four; Boston is 4-2 vs spread in last six visits to Brooklyn. Five of last six series games stayed under. Boston won its last 12 games despite their injuries; they covered four of last five on road. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Nets lost six of last eight games, covered three of last four. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Russell is out for Nets; Irving is ??able for Celtics.

    Road team won both Toronto-Houston games last season, with both games going over the total. Houston won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); five of their last seven games went over total. Rockets are 2-2 vs spread as a home favorite this season. Toronto split its last six games; they’re 3-2 vs spread as a road underdog. Four of their last six games went over total.

    Spurs won eight of last nine games with Dallas; they covered three of last four games in this building. Three of last four series games went over the total. San Antonio won four of its last five games, all at home- they lost their last three road games. over is 5-5 in their last ten games. Dallas lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Under is 4-1 in their last five games.




    NBA

    Tuesday, November 14


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    Trend Report
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    BOSTON @ BROOKLYN
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

    TORONTO @ HOUSTON
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Houston
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto

    SAN ANTONIO @ DALLAS
    San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
    San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 22 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing San Antonio


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-14-2017 at 01:30 PM.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, November 14


    Boston @ Brooklyn

    Game 501-502
    November 14, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    118.699
    Brooklyn
    121.650
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 3
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brooklyn
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    N/A

    Toronto @ Houston


    Game 503-504
    November 14, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    125.102
    Houston
    124.801
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    Even
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 6 1/2
    219
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (+6 1/2); Under

    San Antonio @ Dallas


    Game 505-506
    November 14, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    126.408
    Dallas
    110.879
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 15 1/2
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 6 1/2
    201
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-6 1/2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-14-2017 at 01:30 PM.

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