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  1. #1
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    Default CFL Trends and Indexes - Division Semis (Sun. November 12)

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, November 12

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    CFL Betting Notes - Semis
    David Schwab

    Hamilton failed to qualify for this year’s CFL Grey Cup Playoffs, but it ended its season on a high note with Friday’s 33-0 shutout of Montreal as a heavy 15-point home favorite. Later that night, Winnipeg sealed the No. 2 spot in the West Division by beating Calgary 23-5 as a 7 ½-point underdog on the road.

    Saturday’s betting action starting with Edmonton grinding out an 11-7 win on the road against Saskatchewan as a 3 ½-point underdog on the road. Toronto locked up the East Division title with a 40-13 romp over British Columbia as a slight two-point road favorite.

    Sunday, Nov. 12

    East Division Semifinals (ESPN2, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-8 SU, 10-8 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (8-9-1 SU, 12-6 ATS)

    Point-spread: Ottawa -1
    Total: 51

    Game Overview

    The Roughriders finished the regular season on a straight-up 4-2 run while going 3-3 against the spread. They went 5-4 ATS this year on the road and the total stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in their last four road games. Over the course of its final five games, Saskatchewan was able to post at least 27 points in four of those games to end the season scoring average to 28.3 points per game.

    Kevin Glenn led the ‘Riders offense at quarterback with 4,038 passing yards and 25 passing touchdowns. His top target in the passing game was Duron Carter with 73 receptions for 1,043 yards. Cameron Marshall was the team’s leading rusher with 543 yards on 101 carries, but he remains questionable for Sunday with a bad knee. Saskatchewan’s defense was second in the CFL in points allowed (23.9).

    Ottawa finished its regular season on a SU three-game winning streak and it covered the spread in three of its last four games. The total went OVER the closing line in those last three games after staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in its previous eight contests. The RedBlacks posted a 2-4 record ATS in their last six home games.

    The big question heading into this inter-division matchup is the health of quarterback Trevor Harris, who left his last start with a hand injury. He was fourth on the list in passing yards this season with 4,679 and tied for the lead in touchdown throws with 30. If for some reason he cannot go, look for William Powell to get the call.

    Betting Trends

    -- Ottawa has a 5-2 edge ATS in its last seven games against Saskatchewan with the total going OVER the closing betting line in four of the last five meetings. The road team won each of the two matchups this season SU with the RedBlacks covering the spread both times. Both games were decided by a single point.

    West Division Semifinals (ESPNNews, 4:30 p.m. ET)

    Edmonton Eskimos (12-6 SU, 8-10 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (12-6 SU, 13-5 ATS)

    Point-spread: PICK
    Total: 56

    Game Overview

    Following Edmonton this season was a crazy ride with a SU seven-game run to start the year followed by a six-game slide. The Eskimos were able to regain that winning form with a SU five-game winning streak to close out the year. While they were not one of the best betting teams in the CFL this year, they did close things out with a 4-1 record ATS in their last five games. The total went OVER in 10 of their last 14 games.

    Led by the CFL’s most prolific passer in Mike Reilly, Edmonton averaged 28.4 PPG. This was the third-highest scoring average in the league. Reilly threw for 5,830 yards and 30 touchdowns this season with Brandon Zylstra hauling in 100 receptions for 1,687 yards as the CFL top receiver in that category as well.

    The Blue Bombers’ upset victory against Calgary in Week 20 was just their third SU win in the last five games following a run of eight victories in their previous nine contests. They still managed to post a 6-2 record ATS in their final eight games with the total staying UNDER in five of their last seven outings. Winnipeg was 5-3 ATS this season when closing as a favorite.

    This is another team that knew how to put points on the board this season with an average of 30.8 PPG that was tops in the CFL. Matt Nichols had the fifth-most passing yards with 4,472 and he was tied for second in passing touchdowns with 28. Winnipeg also had one of the best ground games in the league led by Andrew Harris’s CFL-high 1,035 rushing yards.

    Betting Trends

    -- The road team has won five of the last six meetings SU with Winnipeg holding a 4-2 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last 10 games between the two. As far as this season’s series, the Blue Bombers won both meetings SU and ATS.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2017 at 12:21 PM.

  3. #3
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    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Division Semifinals


    Sunday, November 12

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    SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 8) at OTTAWA (8 - 9 - 1) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 133-97 ATS (+26.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a division game this season.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 122-91 ATS (+21.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 4-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 3-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    EDMONTON (12 - 6) at WINNIPEG (12 - 6) - 11/12/2017, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    EDMONTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    EDMONTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1996.
    EDMONTON is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
    WINNIPEG is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
    WINNIPEG is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
    WINNIPEG is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
    WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 4-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Division Semifinals


    Saskatchewan (10-8) @ Ottawa (8-9-1)— Underdogs covered four of last five Saskatchewan-Ottawa games; both meetings this year were decided by one point, both in last six weeks— last five series games were decided by total of 8 points. Roughriders are 3-1 vs Redblacks in Ottawa, winning last two visits here by total of 3 points. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Riders won four of last six games- they won last four road games SU; seven of their last eight games stayed under. Ottawa won its last three games, scoring 30-33-41 points; they lost four of their last six home games.

    Edmonton (12-6) @ Winnipeg (12-6)— Winnipeg won 10 of its last 13 games, but they lost two of last three home games; Blue Bombers are 5-3 vs spread as a home favorite this season. Edmonton won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); three of those five games were on road. Bombers swept Eskimos this year, winning 33-26 at home, 28-19 in Edmonton. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Under is 5-2 in last seven Winnipeg games, 4-7 in last 11 Edmonton games. Edmonton won Grey Cup in 2015; Winnipeg hasn’t won a playoff game since 2011.




    CFL

    Division Semifinals


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    Trend Report
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    Sunday, November 12

    SASKATCHEWAN @ OTTAWA
    Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
    Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan

    EDMONTON @ WINNIPEG
    Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Winnipeg is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
    Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2017 at 12:22 PM.

  4. #4
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    Default

    CFL
    Dunkel

    Division Semifinals


    Sunday, November 12

    Saskatchewan @ Ottawa

    Game 601-602
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Saskatchewan
    114.051
    Ottawa
    118.164
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 4
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ottawa
    by 1 1/2
    51
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (-1 1/2); Over

    Edmonton @ Winnipeg


    Game 603-604
    November 12, 2017 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    125.556
    Winnipeg
    113.384
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 12
    59
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    by 3
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    (-3); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2017 at 12:23 PM.

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