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  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, October 31

    Good Luck on day #303 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — World Series has been tied 2-2 42 times; the Game 5 winner won 28 of those 42 World Series.

    — Knicks 116, Denver 110— Porzingis had 38, Knicks are fun to watch. I wonder why?

    — Celtics 108, Spurs 94— San Antonio lost its last three games.

    — Warriors 141, Clippers 113— Game was 74-57 at half; Clippers had been #1 in defense.

    — Chiefs 29, Broncos 19— Broncos are now 0-3 on the road; their QB’s are substandard.

    — Happy birthday to former LSU hoop coach Dale Brown, who turns 82 today.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) New England traded backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo to the 49ers last night for a 2nd-round pick next April, but the 49ers’ 2nd-round pick figures to be the 33rd pick, pretty much a first round pick. Patriots don’t have a backup QB on their roster right now; would they be the team that signs Colin Kaepernick?

    12) Following Twitter during the baseball game Sunday night was funny; people are so fickle, they overreact quickly and in a 13-12, 10-inning game, there is a lot to comment on.

    11) One thing the great baseball game obscured was a pretty good football game in Detroit; Lions were putrid in red zone, scoring 9 points on five drives. Steelers’ JoJo Schuster-Smith caught a 97-yard touchdown pass, right after the Lions were stuffed on a goal-line stand by Pittsburgh.

    10) Astros’ payroll this year is $124,343,900, broken down this way:
    — Justin Verlander makes $28M a year, but he was only in Houston for a month, so his money isn’t included in the $124M figure you see up above.
    — Other four starting pitchers made a combined $17,239,500 this season.
    — Catcher Brian McCann makes $17M, DH Carlos Beltran makes $16M
    — Yuli Gurriel, Josh Reddick made a combined $27.4M this season.
    — Altuve/Springer/Correa/Bregman earned a combined $9.661,900 this season.

    At some point, Astros have to shed some of these hitters and add pitching, or else we’re in for an endless stream of 13-12 playoff games. Gurriel/Reddick’s contracts seem excessive, Altuve is going to break the bank when he hits free agency (his agent is Scott Boras)

    Seems logical that out of Correa/Springer/Bregman, two of them will wind up elsewhere.

    Verlander is on the books for 2018 and 2019, both at $28M a season.

    9) Detroit Lions gained 482 yards Sunday night but didn’t score a TD; only 1994 Bengals (496 yards vs Seattle) and ’86 49ers (501 yards vs Washington) gained more yards without scoring a touchdown.

    8) Washington Nationals named Dave Martinez manager; he has been Joe Maddon’s right-hand man for several years……….Phillies named Gabe Kapler skipper- both guys are first-time major leaguer managers.

    7) ESPN’s Mike Breen also does play-by-play for the Knicks on MSG Network; he is the best at what he does because he is fair and smart.

    Monday night, Knicks’ Doug McDermott took a 3-pointer in transition with 0:06.9 left in first quarter; he made it, but Denver came down an hit a 3-pointer of their own at the buzzer to end the quarter. Breen simply said: “That is why coaches like to hold the ball to take the last shot of a quarter, so the other team can’t score.”

    6) Boston Celtics got an $8.4M salary cap exemption because of Gordon Hayward’s injury; they have to use it by March 10.

    5) College basketball starts next week; Missouri Valley Conference is going downhill, with both Creighton/Wichita State jumping ship in recent years. Missouri State/Illinois State are expected to be the Valley’s frontrunners this winter.

    4) Houston Texans traded disgruntled LT Duane Brown to Seattle, for CB Jerome Lane, a 5th round pick next year and a 2nd round draft pick in 2019.

    3) You wonder why baseball teams coddle pitchers? Because they only last so long— look at the career of Fernando Valenzuela— from age 19-25, Valenzuela was 99-68, with an ERA of 2.94- he threw 257+ innings five years in a row. He was box office gold, for sure.

    From age 26-36, he went 74-85, with an ERA of 4.55, bouncing around between five teams. You only have so many pitches in your arm. Valenzuela threw 149 pitches in a playoff game when he was 20. If that happened today (it wouldn’t), heads would roll.

    2) Ticket brokers apparently own 15,000 tickets to both Games 6-7 of the World Series; should Houston win Game 6, those brokers would lose out of a potential $20M in profits with no Game 7 to benefit from.

    1) RIP Lewis D’Antoni, 103, who passed away this weekend; the father of Rockets coach Mike and Marshall coach Dan D’Antoni, Lewis D’Antoni was a coach himself— I saw him interviewed in the stands at a Marshall game a couple years ago, when he was 101. Lot of energy even then; he lived a full life. RIP, sir.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2017 at 12:39 PM.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, October 31


    Sacramento @ Indiana

    Game 501-502
    October 31, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    115.403
    Indiana
    117.593
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 2
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 5 1/2
    209 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Phoenix @ Brooklyn


    Game 503-504
    October 31, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    115.564
    Brooklyn
    110.790
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Phoenix
    by 5
    235
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 4
    229 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+4); Over

    Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee


    Game 505-506
    October 31, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    126.557
    Milwaukee
    117.361
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 9
    205
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 1
    213
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (-1); Under

    Detroit @ LA Lakers


    Game 507-508
    October 31, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    122.898
    LA Lakers
    117.034
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 6
    205
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 4
    209
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (-4); Under





    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, October 31


    Indiana is 6-4 in its last ten games with Sacramento; Kings are 2-0-1 vs spread in their last three visits to Indianapolis. Under is 4-1 in last five series games. Sacramento lost its last four games; they’re 1-2 on road, 1-1 as road underdogs, losing away games by 2-17 points. Under is 4-2 in their games this month. Pacers split their first six games (over 3-3); they’re 2-1 at home, 1-0 as a home favorite.

    Nets won four in row, eight of last 10 games with Phoenix, covering last four; Suns are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn (under 5-0). Phoenix is 3-0 vs spread (2-1 SU) since they changed coaches; they’re 0-2 on road (1-1 vs spread) losing by 42-7 points. Brooklyn lost three of last four games; they’re 3-1 at home, 2-0 as a home favorite. Over is 4-2-1 in their games this month.

    Home side won six of last seven Thunder-Buck games; OKC won six of last eight (5-3 vs spread) series games. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Oklahoma City split its first six games (under 4-2); they’re 1-2 on road (favored in all 3), losing by 9 in Utah, 3 in Minnesota. Bucks won three of last four games; over is 4-2 in their games this month. Milwaukee split its four home games SU.

    Lakers lost their last three games with Detroit, by 20-5-19 points; Pistons are 1-4 vs spread in last five series games played here. Under is 4-2 in last six series games. Detroit won its last three games, by 21-8-8 points; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Pistons won their last three road tilts; they’re 6-1 vs spread overall. Lakers lost three of last four games; they’re 1-3 at home. Last three Laker games stayed under total.




    NBA

    Tuesday, October 31


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO @ INDIANA
    Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
    Indiana is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games

    PHOENIX @ BROOKLYN
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    Brooklyn is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

    OKLAHOMA CITY @ MILWAUKEE
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    DETROIT @ LA LAKERS
    Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 9 games at home
    LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2017 at 12:56 PM.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Long Sheet


    Tuesday, October 31

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    SACRAMENTO (1 - 5) at INDIANA (3 - 3) - 10/31/2017, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 158-198 ATS (-59.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (2 - 4) at BROOKLYN (3 - 4) - 10/31/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    BROOKLYN is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 3) at MILWAUKEE (4 - 2) - 10/31/2017, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 389-453 ATS (-109.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 252-310 ATS (-89.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 57-91 ATS (-43.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 426-513 ATS (-138.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (5 - 2) at LA LAKERS (2 - 4) - 10/31/2017, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2017 at 12:57 PM.

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