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  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, October 11

    Good Luck on day #283 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    — Tom Brady has a sprained left shoulder, is expected to play against the Jets Sunday.

    — Game 4 of Cubs-Nationals got rained out; they’ll try again Wednesday at 4:00.

    — Texas Southern’s basketball team has 13 pre-conference games, all true road games.

    — Mets bought a AAA farm team in Syracuse, so Las Vegas 51’s will have a new parent club next season.

    — Bucs signed Patrick Murray as their new kicker; Fordham grad can also punt and once played Gaelic football in high school.

    — Las Vegas 5, Arizona 2– NHL’s expansion Golden Knights are 3-0.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) San Francisco 49ers are 25th NFL team since 1997 to play overtime games on consecutive weekends; Niners lost both games, are now 0-5, with last four losses all by 2 or 3 points.

    12) Of the previous 24 teams who played consecutive OT games, four had a bye the following week, so that takes us down to 20 teams- those 20 teams went 10-10 SU in the third week, but 12-7-1 against the spread.

    11) A breakdown according to how the teams did in the OT games:
    WW?— Teams that won both OT games went 2-2 vs spread in that third game.
    WL?— Teams were 1-3 vs spread in the third game.
    LL?— Teams were 4-2-1 vs spread; this is where the 49ers trend this week.
    LW?— Teams were 5-0 vs spread in the third game.

    10) For the record, Baltimore has played OT games on consecutive weekends four times in the last 21 years; no one else has done it more than twice.

    9) Ironic that with lot of college basketball coaches in hot water over fraud allegations with the shoe companies, the 16-team PK80 tournament taking place in Oregon next month to honor Phil Knight’s 80th birthday will be a big deal.

    16 teams, all Nike-affiliated, will play three games in this event; might make it easier for the FBI to serve their subpoenas, with so many teams in the same city all at once.

    8) Thru 4.5 games this season, Chicago Bears didn’t have a pass play longer than 30 yards, the only NFL team without one. Finally Chicago scored on a 38-yard TD pass in the third quarter Monday night; problem is, it was a pass thrown by punter Pat O’Donnell on a fake punt. Oy.

    7) Mitchell Trubisky is the 30th starting QB for the Bears in the last 25 years.

    6) San Diego State is bowl-eligible already, which means coach Rocky Long gets a $50,000 bonus, and the athletic director, for some reason, gets a $12,500 bonus.

    5) New Orleans Saints traded RB Adrian Peterson to the Cardinals Tuesday for a conditional draft pick. Why would a RB without great receiving skills have signed with a Payton/Brees team in the first place? Arizona’s skill players have lot of miles on them; we’ll see if this helps them.

    4) Greg Bird hit a home run in a 1-0 playoff game the other day; the first player to ever hit a home run in a 1-0 postseason game was Casey Stengel in 1923, he of course went on to be a famous manager in New York City, but he was also a good player, hitting .284 in 14 MLB seasons.

    3) Political trivia: when Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was in college, he was a drummer in the University of Texas marching band.

    2) I’m glad the NFL lightened up and allows (most) celebrations after TDs now. They don’t hurt anyone and I think most people like them. Maybe most importantly. the media likes them and over time, that will help the public’s perception of the league, which could use some help.

    1) RIP to the great QB YA Tittle, who played 17 years in the NFL with Colts-49ers-Giants; his W-L record was 78-50-5, but he never won a playoff game (0-4). Keep in mind it was a lot harder to make the playoffs back then. Mr Tittle passed away over the weekend at age 90.

    Tittle was also one of the opposing coaches against Al Pacino’s Miami Sharks in the excellent football movie Any Given Sunday. RIP, sir.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, October 11


    Home team won 7 of last 8 New Jersey-Toronto games; Devils lost last three visits here, with two of those losses in SO’s. Last four series games went over total. New Jersey won its first two games 4-1/6-2 (over 1-0-1), with a road win in Buffalo. Maple Leafs scored 19 goals in winning their first three games (over 3-0), with two of those wins at home.

    Penguins are 5-3 in last eight games with Washington; road teams won 5 of last 7 series games. Pittsburgh won 3 of last 4 visits here. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Penguins lost 2 of first 3 games (over 2-1), pitching shutout in last game after allowing 15 goals in first 2 games. Caps won 2 of first 3 games (over 3-0), beating Montreal 6-1 in their only home game.

    Road team in 9-1 in last 10 Boston-Colorado games; Avalanche beat Bruins 4-0 in Boston Monday, but Boston won 3 of last 4 visits to Denver. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Bruins split couple home games (over 1-1) to open the season. Colorado opened season with a 2-1 road trip (over 1-1-1)— this is their home opener.

    Islanders won their last four games with Anaheim, with last two in SO/OT; under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. New York won last three games in the Pond. Islanders lost 2 of first 3 games, losing 5-0 at Columbus in their only road game. Ducks lost 2 of first 3 games, all at home; they scored total of 2 goals in losing last two games (under 2-1).

    Calgary won 3 of its last 4 games with the Kings; under is 6-2-2 in last ten series games. Flames lost 3 of last 4 visits to Staples Center- they ended a 20+-game losing skid in Anaheim Monday night, are 2-1 in their first three games (under 2-1). Los Angeles allowed only one goal in winning its first two games (under 1-0-1), beating Flyers 2-0 in their only home game.




    NHL

    Wednesday, October 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    8:30 PM
    NEW JERSEY vs. TORONTO
    New Jersey is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
    Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey

    8:30 PM
    PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
    Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games at home

    10:30 PM
    BOSTON vs. COLORADO
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Boston's last 19 games when playing Colorado
    Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
    Colorado is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston

    11:00 PM
    NY ISLANDERS vs. ANAHEIM
    NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the NY Islanders last 18 games
    Anaheim is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
    Anaheim is 5-7-3 SU in their last 15 games ,when playing at home against NY Islanders

    11:30 PM
    CALGARY vs. LOS ANGELES
    Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Calgary is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    Los Angeles is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Los Angeles's last 16 games when playing at home against Calgary


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-11-2017 at 01:01 PM.

  4. #4
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    Pro Hockey Trend Report

    NEW JERSEY (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at TORONTO (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/11/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW JERSEY is 9-28 ATS (+50.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 83-99 ATS (-58.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
    TORONTO is 128-141 ATS (-69.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    TORONTO is 60-94 ATS (-47.0 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    TORONTO is 4-2 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 4-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.4 Units)

    PITTSBURGH (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) at WASHINGTON (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/11/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 80-97 ATS (-44.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 126-66 ATS (+41.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 55-28 ATS (+17.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 38-49 ATS (-46.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 13-9 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 13-9-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

    BOSTON (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at COLORADO (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/11/2017, 9:35 PM

    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 25-15 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 182-170 ATS (+361.0 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 191-215 ATS (+462.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    COLORADO is 24-61 ATS (-40.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 5-18 ATS (+29.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 4-14 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 3-2 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    COLORADO is 3-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)
    NY ISLANDERS (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) at ANAHEIM (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/11/2017, 10:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY ISLANDERS is 4-0 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    NY ISLANDERS is 4-0-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

    CALGARY (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/11/2017, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOS ANGELES is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 21-7 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    CALGARY is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 14-18 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 103-108 ATS (-55.9 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    LOS ANGELES is 6-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 6-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, October 11


    New Jersey @ Toronto

    Game 51-52
    October 11, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Jersey
    11.285
    Toronto
    13.219
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -200
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-200); Over

    Pittsburgh @ Washington


    Game 53-54
    October 11, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    10.984
    Washington
    11.761
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -125
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-125); Over

    Boston @ Colorado


    Game 55-56
    October 11, 2017 @ 9:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    11.542
    Colorado
    9.672
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -130
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-130); Over

    NY Islanders @ Anaheim


    Game 57-58
    October 11, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    8.983
    Anaheim
    12.332
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Anaheim
    -135
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    (-135); Over

    Calgary @ Los Angeles


    Game 59-60
    October 11, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Calgary
    10.366
    Los Angeles
    11.792
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    -135
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Los Angeles
    (-135); Under

  6. #6
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    NHL

    Wednesday, October 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    NHL Game of the Day: Penguins at Capitals
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Capitals will be looking for revenge after the Penguins bounced them for the playoffs each of the past two seasons. Washington is a -130 home favorite Wednesday night.

    Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals (-130, 6)

    A powerful Russian leader surely was not mentioned on the first leg of the Pittsburgh Penguins' visit to the nation's capital. Expect that to change as the Penguins prepare to face Alex Oveckin and the Washington Capitals on Wednesday night, a matchup coming 24 hours after the reigning Stanley Cup champs were feted at the White House.

    Pittsburgh has dual concerns entering the latest chapter of the Sidney Crosby-Ovechkin rivaly -- slowing down Washington's offense and its Russian superstar captain. The Penguins finally have something to build on, blanking Nashville in a Stanley Cup Finals rematch after they were outscored 15-5 in their first two games. Conversely, the Capitals are coming off their first loss, blowing a two-goal lead in an overtime defeat at Tampa Bay. Ovechkin was kept off the scoresheet in the setback after a scorching start in which he pumped in seven goals in the team's first two wins.

    TV:
    7:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Capitals opened this epic rivalry as -130 home favorites and that's where the line sits as of Wednesday morning at Sports Interaction. The total hit the board at 6.0.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:


    Matt Murray (PIT) vs. Braden Holtby (WAS)

    GP W L OTL GAA SAVE% SO

    Matt Murray
    2 1 0 1 3.84 .879 1

    Braden Holtby
    2 2 0 0 2.40 .930 0

    INJURY REPORT:


    Penguins - D Ian Cole (Out indefinitely, mouth), RW Patric Hornqvist (Questionable Wednesday, hand).

    Capitals - RW Tom Wilson (Out Wednesday, suspension).

    ABOUT THE PENGUINS (1-1-1, 2-1 O/U):
    After getting pierced for 11 goals in his first two appearances of the season, goaltender Matt Murray earned his first victory with a 26-save shutout of Nashville, although he praised his teammates. "We weren't happy with either of the games prior to this," Murray said. "This is our first really good team effort and I think every single guy in the room stepped up." Defenseman Ian Cole lost some teeth after taking a slap shot to the mouth Saturday and will not be available, but forward Patric Hornqvist (hand) could make his season debut.

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS (2-0-1, 3-0 O/U):
    T.J. Oshie scored twice and set up another tally as Washington built a pair of two-goal leads at Tampa Bay, but he lamented the fact that the team took its foot off the pedal. "Early in the season here, that's a learning moment for us," said Oshie, who had 10 points in four regular-season games versus Washington last season. "I feel like every year you kind of get that same thing. Once you get a lead, you start sitting back. So we'll get that out of our game." Evgeny Kuznetsov has eight assists, including on each of Ovechkin's goals.

    TRENDS:

    * Penguins are 1-4 in their last five road games.
    * Road team is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
    * Over is 15-4-2 in Penguin's last 21 games playing on three or more days rest.
    * Over is 5-1 in Capitals last six overall.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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